Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Some Stadium, that. Seems to be multi-use - football, cricket, pop concerts, all sorts. Amazing how they can produce good wickets.

Those floodlight pylons must be the sexiest I have seen in many a year of floodlight pylon perving.

Click to see full-size image.

[tikay]

I know it only takes a shilling ew to move there Markets, but Martin Jol is now 6/4 favourite (5/2 in places) to be the next Premier League Manager to exit.


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/next-manager-to-leave-post

[Simon Galloway]

Compliance Officers, the very thought, ugh.

Yea apologise again one more time on my behalf next time you see her pls

[tikay]

Okay we are still more than three months away from the baseball starting again, but Ive been keeping a keen eye on transactions in the off season.

So looking at last season it just showed how open baseball actually is looking at the exploits of oakland.

Now the bet I am going to propose is totally out there but it is:

Kansas city royals to win the world series at 150/1 with youwin (never heard much about youwin is it a okay betting site??)

okay looking at last season stats top battiing stats in terms of averages:
in 12th place you will find billly butler
in 30th place alex gordon
in 33rd place escobar
Now having three pllayers in the top 50 is some going for one of the less fancied teams!!!

Now looking at there pitching last year it was piss poor!!! but they have now signed james shields who was 30th in the ranking of top pitching eras last year

they also siigned ervin santana who had a poor season last year but is a quality pitcher, who usually puts up good stats

then they also got one more pitcher a gem in wade davis, in his start at the end of last year he had, 3 win 0 losses and a total era of 2.43. Last year tampa used him from the bullpen, but kansas will be using him as a starter as a starter 2010 and 2011 he had winning records 12 and 10 and 11 and 10

So to complement these pitcher they also guthrie and chen,  L. Hochevar, smith and mendoza and even though these gentlemen didnt have the best of years last year, ow they have the above three who should take the bulk of the pressure it should help them!

so last year they won 72 and lost 90, so even with a piss poor pitching line up last year they got quite a few wins because of such a strong batting line up

Okay so now thinking about winning, they would need to win there division first in which they have formidable outfit in detroit to topple but last year they were beind detroit by 16 games, with the new pitching recruits this margin wll shorten a lot.
So if they make it through then in a playoff situation I think they would be a tough match for any team.

Singheeee!

Good to see you back here.

That bet seems.......crazy, but at those prices, we might just have a bit of fun over a long season, you never know.

I cannot bet with "YouWin", & their price is now 100/1, but we have had a small interest @ 80/1 elsewhere.

I actually placed this bet yesterday, as soon as you Posted, but I was otherwise engaged so could not respond at the time.

We have £10 EW @ 80/1, BetVictor, Kansas City Royals to win the MLB Baseball World Series.

ON


Betid 29730252100 Time: 19:48 Bet Type: Single Stake: £ 20.00 
EVENT  SELECTION  PRICE  E/W TERMS  STATUS 
World Series Winner 2013 MLB World Series Winner
Outright - Outright
 Kansas City Royals  80/1  EW 1/2 1,2  Unsettled 

[Tal]

That would be fun for the TFT weekend, as it falls slap bang in the middle of the World Series!

[tikay]

That would be fun for the TFT weekend, as it falls slap bang in the middle of the World Series!

Imagine if the TFT weekend had been this weekend just gone & we were all watching it together!

Must say, that NFL was wonderful entertainment from start to finish, all 4 games. Think the average points per game was not far shy of 70, too.

Loved it.

[AndrewT]

It's risky using the Globes as a bellwether for the Oscars, as they're voted for by the foreign press, but there was very much a feeling of 'apart from Day Lewis, Lincoln's not much cop'. Not only did Spielberg not win but Tommy Lee Jones missed out on Supporting Actor. This would provide a good basis for opposing Lincoln for best picture. The opposition is Argo and Les Mis, and they both won their categories last night.

In the Best Picture betting, Argo was chopped from 11/1 to 5/1 and Les Mis has drifted over the last few days to 10/1 from 6/1. I think this represents value to oppose Lincoln - Les Mis is building up a head of steam from people seeing it at the cinema now (something Argo and SLP won't get) and my previous comments about it for the Baftas in terms of its scale also apply here. Chicago won Best Picture in 2003 against more serious films so the voters have form for preferring a musical against more weighty pieces (Chicago beat The Pianist and The Hours).

Therefore I recommend a mini-banzai of £20 on Les Miserables for the Best Picture Oscar (and I do mean Oscars this time) at 10/1 with Hills or Boylesports (or Stan James, for those not persona non grata)

[Chompy]

Voler La Vedette retired.

[claypole]

They are now between 2/1 & 9/4, & we have £250 at an average price of just under 7/1.  Presumably, we will need to discuss some insurance on that bet soon.......

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/superbowl/winner

This is interesting - be good to hear Keiths views; although I have already made my decision which the elders will hate.  However, I did have a much bigger bet than i wanted with the intention of laying back, so stuck to my plan.  I now have a book which is x4.66 my original stake profit 49ers and no risk (thin) - which I am happy with and I want the sweat - however what is the right approach?

[tikay]

It's risky using the Globes as a bellwether for the Oscars, as they're voted for by the foreign press, but there was very much a feeling of 'apart from Day Lewis, Lincoln's not much cop'. Not only did Spielberg not win but Tommy Lee Jones missed out on Supporting Actor. This would provide a good basis for opposing Lincoln for best picture. The opposition is Argo and Les Mis, and they both won their categories last night.

In the Best Picture betting, Argo was chopped from 11/1 to 5/1 and Les Mis has drifted over the last few days to 10/1 from 6/1. I think this represents value to oppose Lincoln - Les Mis is building up a head of steam from people seeing it at the cinema now (something Argo and SLP won't get) and my previous comments about it for the Baftas in terms of its scale also apply here. Chicago won Best Picture in 2003 against more serious films so the voters have form for preferring a musical against more weighty pieces (Chicago beat The Pianist and The Hours).

Therefore I recommend a mini-banzai of £20 on Les Miserables for the Best Picture Oscar (and I do mean Oscars this time) at 10/1 with Hills or Boylesports (or Stan James, for those not persona non grata)

Thanks Andrew.

This thread is in danger of being dominated by Arty & novelty bets.

Betfair go around 15/1, but the market is very thin. Would it make sense to go that route & try & get a better price?

[AndrewT]

It's risky using the Globes as a bellwether for the Oscars, as they're voted for by the foreign press, but there was very much a feeling of 'apart from Day Lewis, Lincoln's not much cop'. Not only did Spielberg not win but Tommy Lee Jones missed out on Supporting Actor. This would provide a good basis for opposing Lincoln for best picture. The opposition is Argo and Les Mis, and they both won their categories last night.

In the Best Picture betting, Argo was chopped from 11/1 to 5/1 and Les Mis has drifted over the last few days to 10/1 from 6/1. I think this represents value to oppose Lincoln - Les Mis is building up a head of steam from people seeing it at the cinema now (something Argo and SLP won't get) and my previous comments about it for the Baftas in terms of its scale also apply here. Chicago won Best Picture in 2003 against more serious films so the voters have form for preferring a musical against more weighty pieces (Chicago beat The Pianist and The Hours).

Therefore I recommend a mini-banzai of £20 on Les Miserables for the Best Picture Oscar (and I do mean Oscars this time) at 10/1 with Hills or Boylesports (or Stan James, for those not persona non grata)

Thanks Andrew.

This thread is in danger of being dominated by Arty & novelty bets.

Betfair go around 15/1, but the market is very thin. Would it make sense to go that route & try & get a better price?

Yeah - for £20 you'll be fine.

Oh the irony of not checking Betfair.

[Doobs]

Voler La Vedette retired.

Was about to say that is no use to us as Tarla isn't running.

But just checked and she has an entry at Thurles on Thursday.  Guess if she wins will have to start weighing up the opposition again.  

[tikay]

It's risky using the Globes as a bellwether for the Oscars, as they're voted for by the foreign press, but there was very much a feeling of 'apart from Day Lewis, Lincoln's not much cop'. Not only did Spielberg not win but Tommy Lee Jones missed out on Supporting Actor. This would provide a good basis for opposing Lincoln for best picture. The opposition is Argo and Les Mis, and they both won their categories last night.

In the Best Picture betting, Argo was chopped from 11/1 to 5/1 and Les Mis has drifted over the last few days to 10/1 from 6/1. I think this represents value to oppose Lincoln - Les Mis is building up a head of steam from people seeing it at the cinema now (something Argo and SLP won't get) and my previous comments about it for the Baftas in terms of its scale also apply here. Chicago won Best Picture in 2003 against more serious films so the voters have form for preferring a musical against more weighty pieces (Chicago beat The Pianist and The Hours).

Therefore I recommend a mini-banzai of £20 on Les Miserables for the Best Picture Oscar (and I do mean Oscars this time) at 10/1 with Hills or Boylesports (or Stan James, for those not persona non grata)

Thanks Andrew.

This thread is in danger of being dominated by Arty & novelty bets.

Betfair go around 15/1, but the market is very thin. Would it make sense to go that route & try & get a better price?

Yeah - for £30 you'll be fine.

Oh the irony of not checking Betfair.

Please, £20 not £30.

Details to be confirmed later, as I cannot C & P it right now, but we are on.

[Tal]

It's risky using the Globes as a bellwether for the Oscars, as they're voted for by the foreign press, but there was very much a feeling of 'apart from Day Lewis, Lincoln's not much cop'. Not only did Spielberg not win but Tommy Lee Jones missed out on Supporting Actor. This would provide a good basis for opposing Lincoln for best picture. The opposition is Argo and Les Mis, and they both won their categories last night.

In the Best Picture betting, Argo was chopped from 11/1 to 5/1 and Les Mis has drifted over the last few days to 10/1 from 6/1. I think this represents value to oppose Lincoln - Les Mis is building up a head of steam from people seeing it at the cinema now (something Argo and SLP won't get) and my previous comments about it for the Baftas in terms of its scale also apply here. Chicago won Best Picture in 2003 against more serious films so the voters have form for preferring a musical against more weighty pieces (Chicago beat The Pianist and The Hours).

Therefore I recommend a mini-banzai of £20 on Les Miserables for the Best Picture Oscar (and I do mean Oscars this time) at 10/1 with Hills or Boylesports (or Stan James, for those not persona non grata)

Thanks Andrew.

This thread is in danger of being dominated by Arty & novelty bets.

Betfair go around 15/1, but the market is very thin. Would it make sense to go that route & try & get a better price?

Yeah - for £20 you'll be fine.

Oh the irony of not checking Betfair.

Will they really go 2 in a row after The Artist last year?

Not disputing the logic but I'd put Argo above the miserable ones.

[AndrewT]

They won't remember what they voted for last year.

Also, we're betting prices - it doesn't matter if we think Argo has a better chance of winning - it is 5/1, after all.