Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

What the fffffffumble?

97 points?!

Been a daft weekend for sport so let's draw a line under it and move on.

Thank the Lord it's Monday

[tikay]

Save time tomorrow Mr Mere.

Mark this bet down as a winner.

Should have had way more than an apple on it.

Instruction to Mere.

IGNORE that instruction.

REPEAT - IGNORE that instruction.


Final Score 35 - 62.

35 + 62 = 97.

[tikay]

[tikay]

Sheriff:

See me in my office, 9am sharp.

[tikay]

Metta World Peace was apparently gonna come play in England during last year's lockout but they sorted it out before he got the chance. Quite a few NBA stars headed overseas during the lockout, China and the like, not sure how a UK club could afford to pay for his expenses never mind a wage. When u say he's a character, presume you've seen the footage of when he, along with Stephen Jackson n others, waded into the stands to batter some mouthy fella and got banned for the season.

There's been a few name changes in the NBA, the highest scorer in NBA history, Kareem Abdul Jabbar, was Lew Alcindor, quite a few come to mind who found Islam actually, Abdul-Rahif I remember, but the best are the comedy names. There was a defo a World B Free in the NBA before Metta World Peace.

Wasn't there an Aussie Rules player who changed his name to something to like Pedigree Chum (some kind of animal food) so they got publicity every times he touched the ball. Think the league suspended him til he changed it back tho so that went tits up.

One of the teams changed their name this week, the New Orleans Hornets, who used to be the Charlotte Hornets, are now the New Orleans Pelicans. Charlotte, who now have the Bobcats, apparently want the Hornets name back. Got that tikay?

Lakers looked good today tho surely any oppo should be able to post Nash every possession and score at will.

Sorry Jeff, I'm not buying that.

Nobody with the name Meta World Peace could possess a violent thought in his body.

[Tal]

Yeah that was just his famous Jack Douglas impression

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 0835, Monday January 28th                           

PROFIT on Month = £129.10

Unsettled Bets  - £910.00




https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=18

[BigAdz]

As a knee jerk reaction to the last week or so, it seems we are the wrong side of a lot of the 5/6 10/11 type chances that, if you lose one, you have to win two more to be in profit.

Yes, great after timing, I know, but we seem to get far more mileage from the "meatier" bets.

Are some of our members who were once more circumspect in their selections now looking to/feeling obliged to find us more bets? Some of the reasoning for some bets doesn't seem as robust as once was.

Just throwing it out there on a Monday morning to ensure we are sharp as we enter year two.

[tikay]

Daily Report as @ 0845, Monday January 28th

We lost £139 yesterday.

Could have been far worse, or far better. Swings & swongs big time.

5 losers were balanced by one (remarkable) winner, & we were able to write back in a bet which we had previously written off, saving £30.

The losses were spread across Football, Tennis, NFL, NBA & Cricket, & all bets came from respected members. Some days it is not meant to be.

Losses;

Liverpool, -£100. Thiis was intended to be used as a trading position, but defeat against Oldham rather scuppered that. 

Pujara, (-£20, -£20, & -£10) = -£50, I think Ladbrokes knew more than we did, & our man never struck a ball in 5 games.

Sir Andy Murray, -£10. It was looking so good at the start of the 2nd set, but we can have no complaints in the end, we gpt our arse kicked.

OKC v The Lakers. It was too good to be true, & we were a whopping 13 points shy in the end. At least we trimmed the bet size & saved £22. -£33.

Rugby Union. We went Over, the game went narrowly Under. -£22.

Pro-Bowl. Car crash. -£22.

Winners;

Not exactly a winner, but I erroneously wrote off the Samie Ghadie DoI bet yesterday, thinking it was a "Splash" bet. Don't even ask. +£30.

Bell, Top England Scorer. How do these things happen? We were out with the washing, but he edged ever nearer the impossible total, & eventually cruised home head in chest. Wonderful stuff by gherkhin, who also tipped Tredders as Top Bowler at 6/1, for a tasty two-timer. +£70. 

[tikay]

As a knee jerk reaction to the last week or so, it seems we are the wrong side of a lot of the 5/6 10/11 type chances that, if you lose one, you have to win two more to be in profit.
Yes, great after timing, I know, but we seem to get far more mileage from the "meatier" bets.

Are some of our members who were once more circumspect in their selections now looking to/feeling obliged to find us more bets? Some of the reasoning for some bets doesn't seem as robust as once was.

Just throwing it out there on a Monday morning to ensure we are sharp as we enter year two.

I think that is a bit premature Mr Big.

We have not had a good week, but it happens, & we have to be man enough to take the rough with the smooth. Many poker players struggle to take a bit of adversity, but I'd like to think we do it well here.

A lot of this week's swings came from bigger priced Ante-Post bets, & I want that we continue with these, they are tremendous fun for us all. Overall, very profitable, too, unless we make a complete pigs ear of our 49-ers position.

The 10/11 & 5/6 shots are important, too, it is quite important (for blonde) that we keep the thread active, & enjoy ourselves, & engage with as many different Members as possible, & these pick-em bets are perfect for that, it keeps the thread ticking over & maintains interest levels. I know that is not a betting strategy, but I have to consider blonde, too. These are incredibly tricky shoes for me to wear, because only Tighty & I have that responsibility. Overall, we do OK with them, we just came up short this week.

As long as we can keep our head above water, I'm happy, though of course learning the trade is vital, too. Followers can pick & choose what recommends to bet, of course.

I agree, however, that we must keep sharp & focused, & I still make plenty of mistakes.

Short-priced Pick-em bets are low-variance, Ante-Post are high-variance. A balance of both is important, I think.

[BigAdz]

Absolutely Mr K.

Totally understand the rationale etc.

As I said, it was out there for a bit of discussion, and it is fact that if you dabble in odds on shots etcetc.

Rest assured, my portfolio doesn't begin and end with TFT, i have borderline degen tendancies, yet have made only 6 recommends in 6 months on here, 4, i think, taken up.  I must admit I spend far too much time on here, digesting every little nugget from the elders. I love the place, but when a bit of variance creeps in, should we not all have a look at our game just to make sure we are still A gaming it?

Right, enough of that, what's the next bet?!

[horseplayer]

"As I said, it was out there for a bit of discussion, and it is fact that if you dabble in odds on shots etcetc.
"

can you explain this please?

i think you may be suggesting betting odds on is never value if you are then why do you say that

[tikay]

Absolutely Mr K.

Totally understand the rationale etc.

As I said, it was out there for a bit of discussion, and it is fact that if you dabble in odds on shots etcetc.

Rest assured, my portfolio doesn't begin and end with TFT, i have borderline degen tendancies, yet have made only 6 recommends in 6 months on here, 4, i think, taken up.  I must admit I spend far too much time on here, digesting every little nugget from the elders. I love the place, but when a bit of variance creeps in, should we not all have a look at our game just to make sure we are still A gaming it?Right, enough of that, what's the next bet?!

Sort of, yes, but nobody on earth can beat variance, it is a fact of life, & it is what gaming & betting is based upon. Without variance, there would not be any betting, or poker.

We just have to learn to cope with it better than others. And I think we do, there is never any bemoaning ill-fortune here.

I agree we must try to keep our A-game in play, but please also remember that Tighty & I have other agendas here, too. I must add, however, the thread is a delight, & we rarely get troubled by the usual elephants in the room or trolls. 

[class]

I noticed this morning that a couple of the lines on the Superbowl went to +/- 3, although they have since returned to 3.5. Is this significent in any way? I only ask because I don't have a clue!!

[Doobs]

I noticed this morning that a couple of the lines on the Superbowl went to +/- 3, although they have since returned to 3.5. Is this significent in any way? I only ask because I don't have a clue!!

Yes very.  Bad beat did a post about it a couple of days ago.  I will try and bump it