Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Earlier in Fred I was posting in Fred about Wolves and relegation odds. They was 8/1, they are now 15/2 best priced and are now actually in the relegation zone. I saw them at Hillsborough not long ago and they was one of the worst sides I've seen this season. Nowadays they have a new-ish manager and according to Doncaster fans he creates a team who doesn't create many chances, not good for a relegation haunted team is it?

They are currently in a poor run of form too, I think 15/2 is still a good price, thoughts?

...along with searching for odds for relegation I find these odds on Bolton...

Sky Bet 16 -1
Bet Victor 14-1
Blue Square 16-1
Paddy Power 33-1
888 16-1
Coral 16-1

This is the current standing in Championship...

19th Huddersfield - 36pts
20th Bolton - 34 pts
21st Barnsley - 34 pts
----------------------------
22nd Wolves - 33 pts
23rd P'boro - 28 pts
24th Bristol City - 28 pts

Paddy Power haven't adjusted price here and although I do not have fantastic stats to show for this, the reality is that they are 1 point above relegation & are 33-1. That is worth a small punt of anyones money including Fred. That is massive value, imo.

I would recc @ £20 for Wolves to get relegated bet @ 15/2

I would also recc Bolton bet at stakes between £3-£10. @ 33's. If you are going to get on this, please do ASAP, price will not be around in the afternoon!

Bolton price also good to back and lay, imo.

Morning Aaron.

There appears to be some inaccuracy in those League Positions, but we have nevertheles had two small wagers, thank you. The 33/1 Bolton is a good spot, I think, well done.

I do think Barnsley might well get out of it, & you never know even Peterborough could go on a run. So....

We have had £10 @ 15/2, Paddy Power, Wolves to be relegated.

And £5 @ 33/1, Paddy Power, Bolton to get relegated.

We should have a bit of fun, at little cost, with these, & either of the two going down would do.

ON

Npower Championship Npower Championship Relegation 2012-2013
08-02-2013 19:45
Relegation
Wolves @ 15/2
 
Npower Championship Npower Championship Relegation 2012-2013
08-02-2013 19:45
Relegation
Bolton @ 33/1
 
Your Bets Win
Single: Wolves @ 15/2
1 line at £10.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £10.00
Potential returns: £85.00
No: O/23146337/0000256

 
Win
Single: Bolton @ 33/1
1 line at £5.00 per line
Total stake for this bet: £5.00
Potential returns: £170.00
No: O/23146337/0000257

 
Total stake: £15.00
Free bets voucher: £0.00
Total Cost: £15.00

[Tal]

Anyone else got butterflies in their stomach this morning?

Come on, the King of Clubs

[tikay]

Yet another NFL bet for the experts to feast their eyes on...

Longest Touchdown Yardage - OVER 45.5 at 10/11

Reasoning? We know SF has a good rushing game with both Kaepernick and Gore options. The last time the Ravens faced a team with a dual-threat in the rush (RGIII and the Redskins), they conceded 31 points and nearly 200 yards. Add to this that Kaepernick and Torrey Smith have combined for 8 touchdowns already of over 45.5 yards, and that Flacco loves the deep throws and has Anquan Boldin there, I think this is a good bet.

However, as this is my first bet, and I note that you like even numbers, would recommend £33 10/11 OVER 45.5 longest touchdown yardage at Ladbrokes or William Hill.

Thanks Adam.

This appears to be, effectively, 10/11 for a flip - see the Post by BadBeat near the foot of page 1929.

Appreciate the tip though, & hope to see more of you here.

[tikay]

Anyone else got butterflies in their stomach this morning?

Come on, the King of Clubs

A very odd situation arose last night.

As you can imagine, I was much looking forward to a busy evening on Fred, the Build-Up on the TV, & the game, been looking forward to it for months now.

But.....one of my colleagues has become unavailable for tonight's Show, & so I have been asked to cover for him.

One of those things.....

I'll be Offline & unable to place any further Superbowl Bets from 6pm.

I should be back home around 0030, which will be, I guess, halfway into the 2nd quarter.

I'm not complaining, it is one of those things, but the timing is unfortunate.

[Tal]

Anyone else got butterflies in their stomach this morning?

Come on, the King of Clubs

A very odd situation arose last night.

As you can imagine, I was much looking forward to a busy evening on Fred, the Build-Up on the TV, & the game, been looking forward to it for months now.

But.....one of my colleagues has become unavailable for tonight's Show, & so I have been asked to cover for him.

One of those things.....

I'll be Offline & unable to place any further Superbowl Bets from 6pm.

I should be back home around 0030, which will be, I guess, halfway into the 2nd quarter.

I'm not complaining, it is one of those things, but the timing is unfortunate.

Translation: I'm a complete sicko and have decided that, rather than watch the game Fred has had its biggest ever bet on, I'm going to work, be out of contact with any scores and then get home to squeeze the result.


Degens gotta degen...



I've missed a few super bowls of late because of working the next morning, so I do understand.

[tikay]

Are west Indies a bet at to beat australia in the one dayer? I know they got destroyed in the first game but they are a good team. Anyone else got any proper views?

Good morning Majorx2.

It would seem the answer is "yes" judging by the current score, WI are 160-4, needing about 100, off 130 balls.

Unfortunately, I was long in the Land of Nod when you Posted this, sorry.

Hope you had a bit yourself.

[tikay]

Anyone else got butterflies in their stomach this morning?

Come on, the King of Clubs

A very odd situation arose last night.

As you can imagine, I was much looking forward to a busy evening on Fred, the Build-Up on the TV, & the game, been looking forward to it for months now.

But.....one of my colleagues has become unavailable for tonight's Show, & so I have been asked to cover for him.

One of those things.....

I'll be Offline & unable to place any further Superbowl Bets from 6pm.

I should be back home around 0030, which will be, I guess, halfway into the 2nd quarter.

I'm not complaining, it is one of those things, but the timing is unfortunate.

Translation: I'm a complete sicko and have decided that, rather than watch the game Fred has had its biggest ever bet on, I'm going to work, be out of contact with any scores and then get home to squeeze the result.


Degens gotta degen...



I've missed a few super bowls of late because of working the next morning, so I do understand.

Hmm....

I'm a bit disappointed, but sense of responsibility rules, & I cannot say no, nor should I. You know how it is.

Think that's called "trying to put a brave face on it"......

[tikay]

" In three transfer windows QPR have now signed seven new strikers, seven centre-halves, four goalkeepers, eight midfielders, a winger, two left-backs and two right‑backs. They now have such a bloated squad – 42 players if we are counting the 10 they have out on loan – that it has been impossible for them to shoehorn everyone into the revised 25-man squad they submitted to the Premier League on Friday"http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/blog/2013/feb/02/qpr-gamble-harry-redknapp?CMP=twt_gu

Wow. That is extraordinary.

4 keepers, 7 strikers, 7 centre halves!

How many managers in that period - 3?

[tikay]

M'boro v Barnsley - An early one for next Saturday.

Barnsley to win @ 4/1 - Good price, not sure it will be around in a few days.

M'boro won 2 out of last 6 and they was against much weaker opposition in Aldershot & Hastings United, the other four have been lost.

Barnsley won 5 out of last 6 and all against Championship opposition. Drawing the other one.

I've kept a keen eye on Barnsley and they are much better with a new manager 7 added much more experience to the team. M'boro however aren't playing well and just got thrashed by Ipswich.

Think 4/1 is good, but not amazing. Good enough and recc @ £15.

Thanks Aaron.

I believe this was flagged up by redarmi, too, though he suggested 5/1 was the price that he'd be interested at.

Let us see how the market goes. It won't shorten miuch from 4/1, imo.

[tikay]

Daily Summary, as @ 1020, Sunday February 3rd                           

LOSS on Month = £78.50

Unsettled Bets  - £1,010.00


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=19

[hector62]

Morning Mr T.

Today Italy play France in the 6 nations. Obviously we want Italy to win for our long term bets and I believe they can keep the score respectable. The Italian pack is more than capable, but they are lacking creativity in the backs and will struggle to score tries. It is cold over there and it is a heavy pitch and as we all know the French do not like leaving home. On the handicap market we can get +14 for Italy which is very decent. Italy have not lost a home 6 nations match by that margin since 2009. In fact they beat France in this fixture 2 years ago.

Suggest £22 Italy +14 points @ 10/11 Boylesport.

[tikay]

Daily Report as @ 1030, Sunday February 3rd

We lost £57.50 yesterday.

Our Rugby Max went down on the very last play of the game, but a couple of lovely bets elsewhere limited the damage.

horsey gave us Cheltenham to beat Torquay, for a nice +£52.50.

spudy got off the Fred mark with a nice tip on Ireland to beat Wales, which was tremendous fun, & gave us +£39.

A DNB on Crawley Swindon, & Alex Pritchett Antyime Goalscorer, were both "pushes".

Having lost £150 on the MAX, an overall loss of a shade over £50 was a prettty decent result really.

Our 6 Nations Outrights are all in good shape, too.

We have Ireland to win @ 9/2, Best Price now 5/2.

Wales for the Wooden Spoon, @ 20/1 - now 15/2!

We have 16/1 Tuiligi Top Try Scorer, this has eased to 25/1 after he missed the game due to injury.

Our QPR to be Relegated bet had a positive day, with Reading winning, & as you were for all the other contendors, but it was a must-win day for QPR at home to Norwich, & as the weeks go by, they are slowly running out of games. QPR are now 8/15 to go down, we are on at 8/5.

We have a lovely bet on Doncaster to win League One, £20 @ 12/1, they are now 9/2, but missed a chance to go 3 points clear at the top yesterday when they were turned over by lowly Bury.  A good bet, this.

I'll list our Superbowl positions shortly.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

Today Italy play France in the 6 nations. Obviously we want Italy to win for our long term bets and I believe they can keep the score respectable. The Italian pack is more than capable, but they are lacking creativity in the backs and will struggle to score tries. It is cold over there and it is a heavy pitch and as we all know the French do not like leaving home. On the handicap market we can get +14 for Italy which is very decent. Italy have not lost a home 6 nations match by that margin since 2009. In fact they beat France in this fixture 2 years ago.

Suggest £22 Italy +14 points @ 10/11 Boylesport.

Morning hector.

I hope you noted that Dr Noh is having a good Tournament in the Dubai Golf. He will not win it, but a fine effort by him.

Like that Italy Bet, everyone else is quoting 12 points, so we are ahead of the pack there.

I must say, the various 6 Nations sweats we had yesterday were tremendous fun, and watching 6 Nations Rugby Union beats football hands down for me.

We have £22 @ 10/11, BoyleSports, Italy (+14) to beat those travelling Frenchies. 

ON

Bet ref: 68/70£22.00 Single
Market Selection Hcp Price
Italy vs. France
Match Handicap Italy +14 10/11
Total stake £22.00
Estimated return £42.00

Full stake £22.00
Full Estimated return £42.00

[Eso Kral]

This is the current standing in Championship...

19th Huddersfield - 36pts
20th Bolton - 34 pts
21st Barnsley - 34 pts
----------------------------
22nd Wolves - 33 pts
23rd P'boro - 28 pts
24th Bristol City - 28 pts

Thats not the right league table Aaron as Barnsley still in the zone on 31pts and Wolves have 33pts and are out the zone with Bolton 34pts Ipswich 35..

Just for the record I wasnt digging Aaron out but pointing out that we should be in posession of the cirrect stats before recommending a bet.
Fwiw I like the price fred has backed at.

[hector62]

I certainly am watching Dr Noh closely as he was 3-1 in the top dog eater market. I didn't put him up on here as he was delayed in his travel plans last week which concerned me a bit but had to show him some support myself.