Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Benitez is 11/10 to be next PL manager to go

Isn't the right price odds on?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/next-manager-to-leave-post


Lerner to sack Lambert?...well he appears the patient sort and he's tight...doesn't want to pay anyone off really

Jol? maybe

Can't see anyone else likely (though of course its football, you never know)



Roman could tire of Rafa's lack of short term results at any time

no views on this?

tell me its completely daft, no value at all..I don't mind

[tikay]

Benitez is 11/10 to be next PL manager to go

Isn't the right price odds on?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/next-manager-to-leave-post


Lerner to sack Lambert?...well he appears the patient sort and he's tight...doesn't want to pay anyone off really

Jol? maybe

Can't see anyone else likely (though of course its football, you never know)



Roman could tire of Rafa's lack of short term results at any time

no views on this?

tell me its completely daft, no value at all..I don't mind

One for the football lads, Rich.

His position must be tenuous, at best.

[scotty2hatty]

Benitez is 11/10 to be next PL manager to go

Isn't the right price odds on?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/next-manager-to-leave-post


Lerner to sack Lambert?...well he appears the patient sort and he's tight...doesn't want to pay anyone off really

Jol? maybe

Can't see anyone else likely (though of course its football, you never know)



Roman could tire of Rafa's lack of short term results at any time

no views on this?

tell me its completely daft, no value at all..I don't mind

Read it yesterday and wasn't convinced, think they'll just stick it out with him and do enough to take 3rd.

[TightEnd]

Billy Davies will be announced this afternoon, apparently, returning to Forest.

Cancel that beer.

[tikay]

Billy Davies will be announced this afternoon, apparently, returning to Forest.

Cancel that beer.

I'll word bookiebasher. He's probably in the pub.

[tikay]

If ChipPrince's Darts Recommend happened to appear here, we'd get on.......

I have had the bet already, but I will leave it in my off-thread account if the suggestion does not materialise.

[TightEnd]

If ChipPrince's Darts Recommend happened to appear here, we'd get on.......

I have had the bet already, but I will leave it in my off-thread account if the suggestion does not materialise.

um, can I copy it across?

[tikay]

If ChipPrince's Darts Recommend happened to appear here, we'd get on.......

I have had the bet already, but I will leave it in my off-thread account if the suggestion does not materialise.

um, can I copy it across?

I believe you asked him, & he agreed, so yes, you may proceed......

I really like the bet, & more especially, the workings behind it. Love to see the logic behind bets researched, even if sample size generally invalidates much of it.

[BigAdz]

Benitez is 11/10 to be next PL manager to go

Isn't the right price odds on?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/next-manager-to-leave-post


Lerner to sack Lambert?...well he appears the patient sort and he's tight...doesn't want to pay anyone off really

Jol? maybe

Can't see anyone else likely (though of course its football, you never know)



Roman could tire of Rafa's lack of short term results at any time

no views on this?

tell me its completely daft, no value at all..I don't mind

FWIW, Only thought is that Roman swam against the tide of fan feeling with this appt, I suspect he may tough it out for rest of season, hoping for the best, and then ditch him while everyone away on their hols, as quietly as is poss, these days

[TightEnd]

ChipPrince





So,

In last years Prem League, with the 7 players who are in this years (Not inc VG, Newton & Thornton) there was:

Legs: 1210
180's: 321

So the average was a 1 player hitting a 180 every 3.77 legs he played

With 2 players in each leg there was a 180 every 1.89 legs.



In this years World Champs the 10 players played:

Legs: 1051
180's: 264

So the average was a 1 player hitting a 180 every 3.98 legs he played

With 2 players in each leg there was a 180 every 1.99 legs.


So basically a 180 every other leg.


In the Prem League tonight there are 5 fixtures, each can have a maximum of 12 legs, or the min would be 5x 7-0.

So:

MAX LEGS POSSIBLE:  60
MIN LEGS POSSIBLE:  35


Basing the World aves on the max number of legs possible we would see 30 180's, but realistically we will see around 52-54 legs, assuming each game is likely to be 7-4, 7-5, 6-6 etc.

50 LEGS EXPECTS 25 180's
52 LEGS EXPECTS 26 180'S   etc etc


Based on this I've had a pretty chunky week 1 bet on:

Under 30.5 180's @ 10/11


GL all.

[tikay]

ChipPrince





So,

In last years Prem League, with the 7 players who are in this years (Not inc VG, Newton & Thornton) there was:

Legs: 1210
180's: 321

So the average was a 1 player hitting a 180 every 3.77 legs he played

With 2 players in each leg there was a 180 every 1.89 legs.



In this years World Champs the 10 players played:

Legs: 1051
180's: 264

So the average was a 1 player hitting a 180 every 3.98 legs he played

With 2 players in each leg there was a 180 every 1.99 legs.


So basically a 180 every other leg.


In the Prem League tonight there are 5 fixtures, each can have a maximum of 12 legs, or the min would be 5x 7-0.

So:

MAX LEGS POSSIBLE:  60
MIN LEGS POSSIBLE:  35


Basing the World aves on the max number of legs possible we would see 30 180's, but realistically we will see around 52-54 legs, assuming each game is likely to be 7-4, 7-5, 6-6 etc.

50 LEGS EXPECTS 25 180's
52 LEGS EXPECTS 26 180'S   etc etc


Based on this I've had a pretty chunky week 1 bet on:

Under 30.5 180's @ 10/11


GL all.

Love it!

Thanks Dwayne, & to Tighty for the nudge.

We have £55 @ 10/11, Betfred, UNDER 30.5 x 180's in Week One (tonight) of the Premier League.

The bet is owned by TheChipPrince.

ON

2/7/2013 11:26:58 AM  86/
87  W:55.00  Single  Premier League - Week 1 Specials/Total 180s  Under 30.5   10/11  Open  O  £55.00  £0.00 

[bookiebasher]

Billy Davies will be announced this afternoon, apparently, returning to Forest.

Cancel that beer.

I'll word bookiebasher. He's probably in the pub.

Bugger , im such a sucker for a story and a beer.

Bet you can't wait for my next tip. I will be going in the pub about 8.10pm and
meeting a bloke who knows Rafa apparently

[Tal]

Breaking news that Jamie Carragher is still playing football.

[DungBeetle]

Benitez is 11/10 to be next PL manager to go

Isn't the right price odds on?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/next-manager-to-leave-post


Lerner to sack Lambert?...well he appears the patient sort and he's tight...doesn't want to pay anyone off really

Jol? maybe

Can't see anyone else likely (though of course its football, you never know)



Roman could tire of Rafa's lack of short term results at any time

no views on this?

tell me its completely daft, no value at all..I don't mind

I would say it is more likely they show him the door at the end of the season after limping to 4th?

For me "no manager to leave" is better value at 4?  Also, does Hughton really have enough credit in the bank to be out at 50-1?  I remember we were musing about 8-1 for Norwich to go down a week ago - I imagine if they had a bad run of 4/5 losses in a row the board might get itchy fingers about preserving Premiership status.  Unlikely scenario I appreciate.

[AlunB]

The Ireland v England game in the 6N on Sunday will be really tight

Should be less than a score either way at the end

Ireland have home advantage, a kicker who will pot them from anywhere in the oppo's half, plenty of flair in the backs and a strong pack

England are in form, have a kicker who will pot them from anywhere in the oppo's half, and a strong pack. Less flair out the back, probably

It is really close

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/ireland-v-england/handicaps

Would like to recommend £3 the draw at 20-1. Feel that will be a possibility quite a long way through the match, and for little money you'll get the sweat...


This is not a recommend, but the likelihood of a Sin bin/yellow card is as close to a certainty as you can get, yet you can get 1/2.

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/ireland-v-england/will-there-be-a-sin-binning

In a close one, with the breakdowns fiercely contested, with Ireland in particular cynical, there will be a yellow or two

---

elsewhere Wales have picked the right team, on form! Tipuric comes into the back row, Hibbard in at hooker

I can't back them in Paris against the French who have to turn in a performance though

--

Scotland v Italy

Can't back Scotland at Odds-on. Unconvinced Italy will travel well either


No bets in the other two games for me

Jamie fkn Roberts. Hope he proves me wrong, but man what a waste of a place the last half a dozen games.