Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Have a Bit of a Banzai for you Tikay, Gonzaga bulldogs to win NCAA basketball champs @ 33/1 with william Hills they are currently ranked 3rd in the nation but are 20th in the betting they are an excellent team who have only lost twice this year (once on a freak last second shot by Butler) they beat their big conference rival Saint Mary's last week away from home so confidence should be riding high price may not last long as they are 14's everywhere else. suggest £20 @33's win or E/W half odds first 2. completes early April.

Another rare visitor, thanks Mr Moon.

Hills are MILES out of line there. I was going to ask why they were 33/1 based on the evidence you Posted, but they are so far out of line, we've dabbled. Note that Hills, unlike the others, do NOT bet EW on this.

A lot of the prices seem topsy turvy - see "Ohio State", too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/ncaab/ncaa-championship/winner

We have £20 @ 33/1, Wm Hill, Gonzaga Bulldogs to win the NCAA Championship. Might just get a fun sweat with this, if so, a bargain at £20.


ON

17 Mar 2013 - NCAA Championship 2013 - Championship Winner

Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 33/1

Stake : £20.00
Estimated Returns : £680.00Transaction Reference:O/0457483/0000267/

PS - Heres the Gonzaga Bulldogs Team Motif. Gotta love that, surely? Makes Ronnie look like a handbag dog.

Click to see full-size image.

[tikay]

Thanks Joe.

I'm getting more confused about this Corners bet by the minute, & the point you make had not crossed my tiny mind.

My grandad used to give the Bookies Runner a crumpled up piece of paper with a shilling in it, three threepenny cross doubles & a treble. Life was so simple then.....

[Chompy]

Zola talking to Watford Observer about resting the big guns again for tonight's game at Ipswich.  Sigh.

Make of that what you will from a betting perspective.

Dammit Zola, this is the Championship, and you have to put out your best XI unless there's a good reason not to. Remember Brizzle City?

[Doobs]

2xUp & Doobsy.

Whoops!

Lesson noted, thanks lads.

I can now see the relationship.

No need for "sorry", it is all good feedback & learning material for many of us.

Hopefully, we'll get away with it this time.

After rereading Doubleup & Doobs's posts about six times each, I think i'm learning too. Please ignore my above post, Doobs!

You were right, I misunderstood the bet.  It did look too bad to be true.  The bet is that they lead at half time and hold which isn't so simple.  

[tikay]

2xUp & Doobsy.

Whoops!

Lesson noted, thanks lads.

I can now see the relationship.

No need for "sorry", it is all good feedback & learning material for many of us.

Hopefully, we'll get away with it this time.

After rereading Doubleup & Doobs's posts about six times each, I think i'm learning too. Please ignore my above post, Doobs!

You were right, I misunderstood the bet.  It did look too bad to be true.  The bet is that they lead at half time and hold which isn't so simple.  

I had not realised that either.

Anyway, we are on, good luck anyone else who is.

[doubleup]

2xUp & Doobsy.

Whoops!

Lesson noted, thanks lads.

I can now see the relationship.

No need for "sorry", it is all good feedback & learning material for many of us.

Hopefully, we'll get away with it this time.

After rereading Doubleup & Doobs's posts about six times each, I think i'm learning too. Please ignore my above post, Doobs!

You were right, I misunderstood the bet.  It did look too bad to be true.  The bet is that they lead at half time and hold which isn't so simple.  

I had not realised that either.

Anyway, we are on, good luck anyone else who is.

plus me

had built a spreadsheet for the bet with mean and variance and z scores and everything too

[Doobs]

Zola talking to Watford Observer about resting the big guns again for tonight's game at Ipswich.  Sigh.

Make of that what you will from a betting perspective.

Dammit Zola, this is the Championship, and you have to put out your best XI unless there's a good reason not to. Remember Brizzle City?

We should take the 15/8 on Ipswich surely?  Especially those that took the 180s on Watford to win the championship.

[kpnuts]

I'm gonna keep chipping away, and please have faith, it will all come good in the end.

Yesterday had a wager on, dare I say it, the Cheltenham Cross Country race.

I have been waiting some time for this horse to be put in this race and yesterday in The Weekender Gordon Elliot confirmed he was putting Chicago Grey in the race.

It has a tremendous Cheltenham pedigree on any ground better than good and firmer, winning twice and looking likely to win when falling, from 3 runs on that sort of ground. At his best he is pounds ahead of the best of the rest on chase form, he has the ideal racing style for the race(switched off and creep into the race), he has won the 4miler at a previous festival, so distance holds no fears, will probably have Paul Carberry on him-a master jockey for this type of animal, and best of all the race is usually run on the firmest part of the course. He has had a wind op and will have a single hurdle race before the main aim, this race.

Bet Victor went 20s last night, and I forgot to post, and its now 14s, but I firmly expect this horse to be close to favourite on the day, especially with Mr Elliots ability to pull of major touches.

Bet Victor are also non runner free bet, so even at 14s it looks great value.

£10 ew recomend.

Looking good, BigAdz. CG just had a cruisey 2m4 jog around Navan and picked up a €26k first prize at 25/1 too, not bad for a prep run! Looked well fit, was only getting going towards the finish as the others slammed on the brakes.

[Ant040689]

Been scrolling through the Championship games and see potential bets in:

Sheffield Wednesday to beat Birmingham away at 2.91

Blackburn or the draw (+0.5) at 1.92

Wednesday have had ten days rest and their form has been good. Seemingly there has been unrest in the Birmingham camp with the Zigic saga, but he has been admitted back into the squad, plus the 4-0 hammering may have deflated them a lot and put a stop to their mini comeback of sorts.

Blackburn fresh from their heroics on Saturday away against Arsenal are involved in another big tie for the Championship and a crucial one for their playoff hopes. Their form has been great and Hull have been just squeezing out wins by 1 recently, making me feel like a 1-1 may be on the cards here.

Dunno what you guys think, of course, know that I am a complete punter.

 

[Tal]

Been scrolling through the Championship games and see potential bets in:

Sheffield Wednesday to beat Birmingham away at 2.91

Blackburn or the draw (+0.5) at 1.92

Wednesday have had ten days rest and their form has been good. Seemingly there has been unrest in the Birmingham camp with the Zigic saga, but he has been admitted back into the squad, plus the 4-0 hammering may have deflated them a lot and put a stop to their mini comeback of sorts.

Blackburn fresh from their heroics on Saturday away against Arsenal are involved in another big tie for the Championship and a crucial one for their playoff hopes. Their form has been great and Hull have been just squeezing out wins by 1 recently, making me feel like a 1-1 may be on the cards here.

Dunno what you guys think, of course, know that I am a complete punter.

 

From what I understand, Birmingham were OK but had no outlet with the two young lads up top. Zigic, for all his whinginess, has at least the ability to hold it up and get in the way.

Not saying 2.91 isn't a good price; just that I'm not expecting the kind of performance seen last week.

[class]

With the NCAA basketball bet, how many games are left? Do they have a realistic chance of winning, or will it be a case of (hopefully) greening out for a freeroll later?

[redarmi]

With the NCAA basketball bet, how many games are left? Do they have a realistic chance of winning, or will it be a case of (hopefully) greening out for a freeroll later?

It doesn't really work like that Class.  There is a knockout tournament at the end of the of the season and the winners are the winners of this.  Gonzaga are VERY likely to have a place in the tournament.

[Chompy]

Zola talking to Watford Observer about resting the big guns again for tonight's game at Ipswich.  Sigh.

Make of that what you will from a betting perspective.

Dammit Zola, this is the Championship, and you have to put out your best XI unless there's a good reason not to. Remember Brizzle City?

We should take the 15/8 on Ipswich surely?  Especially those that took the 180s on Watford to win the championship.

See what team he puts out I guess. The following all played in the loss to Brizzle but not in the win over Brum at the weekend:

Fitz Hall, Ekstrand, Murray, Hogg, Eustace, Geijo, Forestieri.

Guessing Vydra will get a rest tonight but, if there's no Chalaboah or Deeney, I'm backing the tractors.

[class]

With the NCAA basketball bet, how many games are left? Do they have a realistic chance of winning, or will it be a case of (hopefully) greening out for a freeroll later?

It doesn't really work like that Class.  There is a knockout tournament at the end of the of the season and the winners are the winners of this.  Gonzaga are VERY likely to have a place in the tournament.

Many thanks, I don't follow Basketball so don't have a clue what's going on!

[DungBeetle]

Zola talking to Watford Observer about resting the big guns again for tonight's game at Ipswich.  Sigh.

Make of that what you will from a betting perspective.

Dammit Zola, this is the Championship, and you have to put out your best XI unless there's a good reason not to. Remember Brizzle City?

We should take the 15/8 on Ipswich surely?  Especially those that took the 180s on Watford to win the championship.

Yup - probably a spot of value given what happened against Charlton and Bristol City.

"Gianfranco Zola says he will consider making wholesale changes for tomorrow night's game with Ipswich Town despite defeats in the last two games where he significantly rotated his Watford squad. "

http://www.watfordobserver.co.uk/sport/watfordfc/watfordfcnews/10235788.Zola_will_consider_squad_rotation_despite_previous_defeats/