Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

The rafa rant tonight is brilliant. Top 5 all time tirade. Catch it if you can on ssn etc.

ROFL Benitez strikes again

[tikay]

Would like to chuck a couple of Darts at the Tswane Open

Last week while the world focused on the matchplay, our previous selection Jaco Van Zyl was winning a Pro Am event, which got little coverage, so he is bang in form.

The field this week is the strongest for a little while and I fancy he may be a false favourite, having bottled it when faced with any sort of challenge by ranking pros. However he is a quick starter on a roll.

The course is considered a bit of a beast length wise, but this is offset somewhat by being at altitude.

For this reason I am going to recommend an old sparring partner from our Junior days(our golfing careers took very different directions!) David Howell.

He has yet to miss a cut for ages and although one of the shortest on tour, he ranks highly compared to this field regards most other stats(shots per round/putting/saves), and I think the fact the course is long is making him a bit of a false price. After a few years in the wilderness, it is also fairly common knowledge round here he is practising very hard to make that final breakthrough back to the bigger league. Seven/Eight years ago he would have been clear fav for this.

Recommend £10 ew David Howell  @40-1 Coral

Banzai £5 Jaco van Zyl First Round Leader @24s on Betty(no Liquidity) 20s VCbet

Jaco nearly did us a big favour last week, he is deffo worth another shot, imo.

Just to confirm all this......

We have £10 EW @ 40/1, Corals, David Howell, to win Tshwane Open.

And £5 @ 25 (24/1), Betfair, Jaco Van Zyl to be First Round Leder, Tshwane Open.

ON

Single
(Each Way)  27/02/2013 19:46:27 coral mobile  Open £10.00 £20.00 £0.00 
               

Bet Selection Details             
Selection Odds Result
           
David Howell - Tshwane Open - Outright Betting 40/1 Open 


Bet ID:  25480829318
Event:  1st Round Leader
Bet placed at:  27-Feb-13 19:48 
 
 
 Market
type Selection Bid
type Bet
taken  Odds
req. Stake
(£) Liability
(£) Odds
matched 
  O  Jaco Van Zyl Back 27-Feb-13
19:48     25 2.00   25 
  O  Jaco Van Zyl Back 27-Feb-13
19:48     25 3.00   25
 

[tikay]

There will be limited service for placing bets tomorrow, I hope to be back Online by late afternoon. 

We have banked a bit of profit today, £55, so that's good, & all being well, February should be a good month, though we look like facing a bit of pain with the By-Election bet. Hopefully, the Darts will get us out of it.

Be nice to have a £700+ month.   

[Chompy]

The rafa rant tonight is brilliant. Top 5 all time tirade. Catch it if you can on ssn etc.

Benitez clips are usually so boring. This was more like it.

West Brom @ 8-1 on Saturday any interest Premiership boffins?

[The Camel]

Studied tomorrow's Southwell card hard.

Could hardly find a bet.

First time the 5f course will be used since the flood, be interesting to see how it rides.

[outragous76]

hardly a rant

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uzcVT6TN2Zg

[JaffaCake]

The golf tips this week from the man at bettingon.com are Van der Walt (again) at 45/1 in the PGA tour event and some fella called Charlie Belgan in the Honda at 175/1 (150/1 paying 6 with stanley james best I could see). He sounds like a poker player who either gets a massive stack or busts early on day one. Cheeky fiver e/w on each?

[adnmdv]

The website is (very openly) an affiliate. There's no reason to believe he's profitable at all and not just touting bets in order to generate traffic - tipping up all major TV sporting events but nothing else and typing up a whole multitude of bets in each. You're probably no worse off with random dart throwing.

[JaffaCake]

the golf guy has tipped a 90/1 winner and a 75/1 winner in recent weeks and added the 40/1 winner of the matchplay last week. He throws much better darts than I ever could. Feel free to leave your own darts in their case

[adnmdv]

Hey, I'm not stopping you from betting them yourself but I'm providing some balance. The website is making money by people clicking through their banners and their previews are a pretty transparent way for them to encourage that.

I don't have much incentive to give thread 'darts'. They do.

[horseplayer]

having a quick first look at that website

i do not have a problem with the affiliate thing a lot of "free" websites do the same

however looking at this weeks preview he mentions seven players in a positive way, there is no staking plan and there appears to be no record of profit or loss on the tips made so far unless i have missed it.

[BigAdz]

Jaco is becoming a nemesis.

Fast starter.

My ass, three over after thirteen, ten behind leader........

Strike one.

[superwomble]

Just in case it's been missed:

From Twitter:

Ladbrokes ‏@Ladbrokes
If the Tories win the Easleigh By-election, money back on losing bets on the By-election winner! #politicalpunting

Can't see the offer on the website so I queried it with them. They replied:

I don't see the offer either, however, you will be refunded with a free bet up to £25 if it loses. http://ow.ly/i6Tqp  GL

Lib Dems are 1.33. Worth putting £25 on them in case they win to cover the Tory bet, knowing that if the Tories win you'll get the £25 back as a free bet?

[AlunB]

having a quick first look at that website

i do not have a problem with the affiliate thing a lot of "free" websites do the same

however looking at this weeks preview he mentions seven players in a positive way, there is no staking plan and there appears to be no record of profit or loss on the tips made so far unless i have missed it.

That's how most people like to bet. They want guidance not rules. And to most punters a staking plan is anathema. I don't think the site is designed for readers of this thread.

[aaron1867]

Leeds v Millwall

Leeds very strong at home and Millwall on a bad bit of form lately, although they did beat M'boro last time out.

Leeds home form last 6 - WLWWWW - Loss was against the actual table toppers

Millwall away last 6 - WLLDLD

All bookies have priced it up fairly and not massive value to be had, but before I looked at odds I was thinking slightly odds on shot, but the bookies are not with this thought and best priced at 6/5.