Tips for Tikay

[BigAdz]

Last week I wandered into my lounge and my missus was watching American Idol.  Despite this show now entering its twelth season, her tolerance for watching this complete shite shows no sign of abating.

I had a chat for a whilst a series of complete dullards came on and performed the usual dreary ballards.

Then the fourth fella came on.  His name was Burnell, the producers filled us in on his back story and this is positive for two reasons, they let you know the back story of the people they like, and his back story is a good one.  His home was wrecked by Katrina, he had nothing, yet his spirit has got him through, yada yada.   All the judges appear to love him, and I think we can rely on Randi and Nicki bigging him up all the way to the final.

Here is Burnell:



Nicki said something that struck a chord in amongst the banal, she would pay to watch him sing now, and I can see exactly where she is coming from.

I have bitten the bullet, and lost half an hour of my life trawling through his rivals, and the females can all sing exceptionally well, and Angela Miller seems to be the best of the lot.  But she is 11/5 joint favourite and I expect 5 similar females are going to be splitting the vote with each other all the way to the final.  And to be frank, I can't see me parting with a dime to ever watch any of them sing.

Our man is 20/1 with bet365, get on quick, I guess it won't take much to make that 20s disappear.  Suggest at least £25 for the 10 week sweat.  

Has Chompy left too?


12s best already!

[Doobs]

Last week I wandered into my lounge and my missus was watching American Idol.  Despite this show now entering its twelth season, her tolerance for watching this complete shite shows no sign of abating.

I had a chat for a whilst a series of complete dullards came on and performed the usual dreary ballards.

Then the fourth fella came on.  His name was Burnell, the producers filled us in on his back story and this is positive for two reasons, they let you know the back story of the people they like, and his back story is a good one.  His home was wrecked by Katrina, he had nothing, yet his spirit has got him through, yada yada.   All the judges appear to love him, and I think we can rely on Randi and Nicki bigging him up all the way to the final.

Here is Burnell:



Nicki said something that struck a chord in amongst the banal, she would pay to watch him sing now, and I can see exactly where she is coming from.

I have bitten the bullet, and lost half an hour of my life trawling through his rivals, and the females can all sing exceptionally well, and Angela Miller seems to be the best of the lot.  But she is 11/5 joint favourite and I expect 5 similar females are going to be splitting the vote with each other all the way to the final.  And to be frank, I can't see me parting with a dime to ever watch any of them sing.

Our man is 20/1 with bet365, get on quick, I guess it won't take much to make that 20s disappear.  Suggest at least £25 for the 10 week sweat.  

That 20s didn't last long then.

[tikay]

Last week I wandered into my lounge and my missus was watching American Idol.  Despite this show now entering its twelth season, her tolerance for watching this complete shite shows no sign of abating.

I had a chat for a whilst a series of complete dullards came on and performed the usual dreary ballards.

Then the fourth fella came on.  His name was Burnell, the producers filled us in on his back story and this is positive for two reasons, they let you know the back story of the people they like, and his back story is a good one.  His home was wrecked by Katrina, he had nothing, yet his spirit has got him through, yada yada.   All the judges appear to love him, and I think we can rely on Randi and Nicki bigging him up all the way to the final.

Here is Burnell:



Nicki said something that struck a chord in amongst the banal, she would pay to watch him sing now, and I can see exactly where she is coming from.

I have bitten the bullet, and lost half an hour of my life trawling through his rivals, and the females can all sing exceptionally well, and Angela Miller seems to be the best of the lot.  But she is 11/5 joint favourite and I expect 5 similar females are going to be splitting the vote with each other all the way to the final.  And to be frank, I can't see me parting with a dime to ever watch any of them sing.

Our man is 20/1 with bet365, get on quick, I guess it won't take much to make that 20s disappear.  Suggest at least £25 for the 10 week sweat.  

Ha, I love some of that SO much!

Say it how it is......

First up - Bet365, despite me getting there the very moment Doobs stuck up the Bet, now go 12/1, not 20/1.

Next, they wanted to restrict me to.....£0.42.

Oddschecker do not seem to list American Idol, so I'm off to have a hunt round to see if anyone else might. Larbrokes often carry these type of Markets.

[Tal]

Some of the Pont Alexandre/The New One chat has been based on the concerns over the stable of The New One and the horse's fitness.

I can't help thinking that, if Mr Twiston-Davies thought for a picosecond that his unbeaten novice might not be 100%, he'd pull it and run it at Aintree in a few weeks.

Am I underthinking again?

You would like to think Tal. Problem is when a trainer sets out his stall to win a race, sometimes they dont see what we all see.

When stables go down, they tend to affect all the horses to a degree, problem Twister has, is if he walks past New Ones box every day looking to see a runny nose or whatever, he may not see it, and in his mind "All clear", but true symptoms take longer in some than others.

Thats a shit explaination, but you get my drift. Basically when a stable gets it, you rarely see any winners, even if said horse shows no issues. Invariably horse loses and trainer gets back and says "it coughed all the way home" etc.

I fancied it, but now cant even have it on my mind. Short term i may have got it wrong. Long Term +EV

You explained that better than I could.

I was going to label it the "Ant & Crystal Palace" factor.

It is difficult to see the wood for trees when we stand too close, & Mr T-D would not be the first trainer to think his sick geese were actually super-fit swans. There, more analogies than you can sake a stick at enough.

I'm not quite as naïve as my question (on reflection) implied, but I take both of your points.

[Chompy]

Glglgl with Burnell Doobs, his performance reminded me of...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Hpd5M8Vfdg

[tikay]

Nohting on Ladbrokes or William Hill, but bizarrely, BWin have "Norweigan Idol" (but not American Idol), & Chompy's beloved Melodifestivalen. Both are listed under "Entertainment".

Referee.....

[tikay]

Betfair list "American Idol Gender".

Female 1.38, Male 2.46.

If only they had liquidity.

[Doobs]

Nohting on Ladbrokes or William Hill, but bizarrely, BWin have "Norweigan Idol" (but not American Idol), & Chompy's beloved Melodifestivalen. Both are listed under "Entertainment".

Referee.....

Guess we'll have to wait until someone else puts a market up.  I think the final 10 was only decided last night.  

Must have been my bet that caused the big cut, which is a bit alarming as it wasn't that big and I should be a new ice cream to them?

[tikay]

Nohting on Ladbrokes or William Hill, but bizarrely, BWin have "Norweigan Idol" (but not American Idol), & Chompy's beloved Melodifestivalen. Both are listed under "Entertainment".

Referee.....

Guess we'll have to wait until someone else puts a market up.  I think the final 10 was only decided last night.  

Must have been my bet that caused the big cut, which is a bit alarming as it wasn't that big and I should be a new ice cream to them?

Yup.

I've trawled every odds-comparision site, & nothing is listed except Bet365, & the Betfair Gender thing.

[redarmi]

Glglgl with Burnell Doobs, his performance reminded me of...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Hpd5M8Vfdg

It more reminded me of this fella and if he cold only be persuaded to do this scene even I might vote for him.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=20G17K_0ghU

[Marky147]

Nohting on Ladbrokes or William Hill, but bizarrely, BWin have "Norweigan Idol" (but not American Idol), & Chompy's beloved Melodifestivalen. Both are listed under "Entertainment".

Referee.....

Guess we'll have to wait until someone else puts a market up.  I think the final 10 was only decided last night.  

Must have been my bet that caused the big cut, which is a bit alarming as it wasn't that big and I should be a new ice cream to them?

It was decided last night in the states, I think these are very much like the next manager markets and a little bit of money moves the price.

[Simon Galloway]

Probably, don't recall, but Mr Galloway stuck it up, so he'll know.

Laddies are going 3/1 Henderson top trainer in shop until 1pm today £50 max

Can lay it on BF @ 3.15

Printing £42.50 freeroll (pre-commish) (or lay it for a bit more to lock in a smaller profit)

[edgascoigne]

Unless the Chemist is up to his usual it looks like Grandouet misses the Champion Hurdle.

[Tal]

Unless the Chemist is up to his usual it looks like Grandouet misses the Champion Hurdle.

Marv

[BigAdz]

Could just be the weather having effect on market.

Its been cats and dogs for 2 days now here nr Chelts