Tips for Tikay

[rfgqqabc]

Doncaster still ~2/1 vs Swindon tomorrow on Sky. Pretty funny, both play much better away from home. 10/11 BTTS seems very fair to me. I know at 4/5 I wanted ~2.7 goals with Spin with a low supremacy and this game is 2.45 with 0-0.2 Supremacy. Probably a touch short.

However, I do think i have a bet. SPIN go 10.5-11 on corners and Hills over 2/1 over 12 corners. This seems pretty big. Redarmi, any help here? Betfred are 11/10 12 or more Hills 2/1 Over 12. Seems off to me.



Really like Dubai's post. <3 SPIN

Spoke to my dad about that, he said 9/4 would be Hills price so don't think it'll be a bet.

Interestingly enough, he backed the last two of Neil's horses today. Heres me feeling guilty for not texting him. Think he had another place for a treble too. Certainly booked a win from it anyway.

[hector62]

Morning Mr T.

Another round of super league today just 4 days after the last one so bodies will be battered and home advantage is even more important. Hull KR host league leaders Wigan and are 9-2 underdogs. Hull KR have won 4 of their last 5 matches and that includes a 26-12 win over Warrington who are the same standard as Wigan. Whilst Hull are missing their scrum half this can be offset by the number of Wigan players missing. Of course Wigan should be favourites but most important today will be the sheer will to win and go through the pain barrier so 9-2 is a decent price.

Suggest £15 Hull KR to beat Wigan @ 9-2 with Sporting bet.

[tikay]

Daily Report @ 1020, Monday April 1st

PROFIT on Month = £1,087.60


Outstanding bets £1,268.50



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=22

[Horneris]

Donny & Birmingham overpriced today

[tikay]

Daily Summary, @ 1030, Monday April 1st

We made a profit yesterday of £183.

We had three bets, if we count Neil's bet as one, & of the three, we managed a nice profit from 2 of them, the only loss on the day being a £10 Banzai.

Trigg gave us another  decent horse bet,but it was a non-runner & hopefully nobody lost money as a result. I tried to get on moments after it was withdrawn......

Snowy then got us off the mark with a wonderful Darts bet, on our man Snakebite. This was a clear VALUE bet, we got 4/7, he was thought to be a 1/3 shot, & he won by a distance (+£40). Great shout Snowy, & our European Tour bet on Peter Wright could be a real fun sweat. We have £5 @ 50/1, & he is now 16/1 everywhere.

Then Neil came along, with his EW Patent/Trixie thing, & my internet failed, so I missed Leg One, where we Unseated Rider, but we got on the last two, the first of which won nicely (+£120), & the other somewhat luckily clung on for 3rd (-£2.50), & the EW Double gave us a profit of £35.50, for a £153 profit overall. Terrific value stuff as ever, thanks Neil. Neil will be working through the Aintree card on BettingEmporium.com this week, so don't miss those.

I'll refrain from comment on the Month until, if he feels able, Mere does his Monthly Report, except to say we have run really good this month, no doubt about it, & negative variance is bound to show up soon, in Karabiner's words, smoking a pipe.

Many thanks to all our contributors, Elders, & of course Mere, who runs the Spready faultlessly & 100% efficiently.
 

[tikay]

Here's Snakebite, as requested by Snowy, & our Man Lord Channing, seen in a WSOP event last year, where he converted a 4-1 Chip Lead heads up......

Click to see full-size image.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

Another round of super league today just 4 days after the last one so bodies will be battered and home advantage is even more important. Hull KR host league leaders Wigan and are 9-2 underdogs. Hull KR have won 4 of their last 5 matches and that includes a 26-12 win over Warrington who are the same standard as Wigan. Whilst Hull are missing their scrum half this can be offset by the number of Wigan players missing. Of course Wigan should be favourites but most important today will be the sheer will to win and go through the pain barrier so 9-2 is a decent price.

Suggest £15 Hull KR to beat Wigan @ 9-2 with Sporting bet.

Morning hector, I'll get aboard that shortly.

Did you see the result of London Irish v Sale Sharks yesterday? - 33-33!

[Bazzaboy]

At the risk of stealing Snowballs thunder Snakebite is overpriced again today with Skybet @11/8 for anyone that can get on.  

Also Ian White at 10/11 with Coral and BV is too big.  He was the same price v Webster for the World Championships (he lost) but White off TV is a far better player than he is on TV.  His floor results haven't been that great on paper this year but in 3 of the 4 tournaments he has ran in to MVG, RVB and Thornton early doors so the draw hasn't been kind to him.  97 and 98 averages here so far suggest there is nothing wrong with his form.  Recommend £44

[BigAdz]

Ashamed to admit I just fell for an April Fool for first time in ages when mate text me Hills had a priority offer on GN next week of 20-1 the field this morning only.

Massive reload of the account, only to hunt around for 10 mins to suddenly realise....

DOH!

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

Another round of super league today just 4 days after the last one so bodies will be battered and home advantage is even more important. Hull KR host league leaders Wigan and are 9-2 underdogs. Hull KR have won 4 of their last 5 matches and that includes a 26-12 win over Warrington who are the same standard as Wigan. Whilst Hull are missing their scrum half this can be offset by the number of Wigan players missing. Of course Wigan should be favourites but most important today will be the sheer will to win and go through the pain barrier so 9-2 is a decent price.

Suggest £15 Hull KR to beat Wigan @ 9-2 with Sporting bet.

Thanks H.

The hector Followers Club nicked all the 9/2, but I got 5.2 on Betfair, which is not far off.

Wigan are mostly 1/6, so you must be fairly confident to oppose such a solid jolly. Braver than me, for sure.

We have £15 @ 5.2, Betfair, Hull KR to beat Wigan today.

ON

Bet ID:  26167507740
Event:  Match Odds
Bet placed at:  01-Apr-13 10:58  
 
 
 Market
type Selection Bid
type Bet
taken  Odds
req. Stake
(£) Liability
(£) Odds
matched  
  O  Hull KR Back 01-Apr-13
10:58     5.2 15.00   5.2
 

[horseplayer]

The hector Followers Club nicked all the 9/2, but I got 5/2 on Betfair, which is not far off.

quite a way off !!!

[Tal]

Nicknames, Bazza, please!

Tikay, that's Ian 'Diamond' White

[tikay]

The hector Followers Club nicked all the 9/2, but I got 5/2 on Betfair, which is not far off.

quite a way off !!!

Whoops, edited now!

5.2, not 5/2.

What is the difference between a backslash & a full stop between friends?

Now you see what poor Mere has to endure daily......

[TightEnd]

I can't tell you how fit the thing is, or why its unraced at 4...but

Flat trainer James Fanshawe has Aqua Jeter running in the Huntingdon bumper at 5.10pm

In the last five years Fanshawe has only run two horses in bumpers. One won on the AW at Lingfield, one lost

Aqua Jeter is a half brother to a Japanese Group One Winner, and Master of Hounds currently running (and has won) in Group 1s worldwide most recently in Dubai on Saturday

Its dam is a Group Two Winner

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/huntingdon/17:10/winner

If the 5-1 is correct, suggest a speculative pop..

If it has any ability with its breeding, got to be a class above any of these...

[MereNovice]

March 2013 Figures

Closed bets: 157
Amount wagered: £4,106.53
Profit/loss: £1,087.60
ROI: 26.48%

Number of "sports" bet on: 16
Most popular:  Horses (56), Football (36), Rugby Union (13).
Most profitable: Horses (£621.45), Football (£397.30), Cricket (£112.02)
Least profitable: Formula1 (-£65.00), Golf (-£55.00), Rugby League (-£49.75)

Number of tipsters: 34 including 11 new tipsters.


Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 1,327
Amount wagered: £44,984.42
Profit/loss: £2,393.86
ROI: 5.32%

Number of "sports" bet on: 28
Most popular:  Football (421), Horses(157), Golf (111), Cricket(106).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
         
Sport   Total   Profit  Amt Bet   ROI   No.
Football   1,171.24   14,189.66   8.25   421
Horses   882.54   4,806.42   18.36   157
NFL   728.75   2,885.00   25.26   74
...
Tennis   -306.18   1,086.35   -28.18   28
Formula1   -353.00   470.00   -75.11   17
Basketball   -960.89   2,513.33   -38.23   54


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 116


Number of different bookies/exchanges: 22

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
         
Bookie   Total   Profit  Amt Bet   ROI   No.
WilliamHill   1,230.34   4,667.00   26.36   128
Betfair   651.70   4,858.55   13.41   141
Bet365   462.22   2,135.84   21.64   82
...
Bwin   -312.30   990.00   -31.55   29
BetFred   -313.25   2,378.00   -13.17   82
StanJames   -331.95   2,243.20   -14.80   52


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7