Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Think there's a typo in the Hull KR score tikay. No need to worry.

 

What is the score?

6-78. Decided not to look again until I had confidence that the BBC website staff weren't just taking the piss.

Make that 84-6, Wigan got lucky near the end.

MOTM was awarded to the scoreboard operator.

Ouch!

What a start to April!

This variance bird can bugger off as soon as she likes.

Hector in April Fool's Day Prank

[tikay]

Abandon hope, all ye who enter here - Baseball starts shortly, 6.05pm, on ESPN, Red Sox v Yankees for starters, followed by three other games, back to back. I'm off to the Baseball thread.

[Chompy]

Boston Red Shoes?

[rinswun]

I know I'm not known here but thought you all might be interested in an opportunity.

Pinny have quick moving lines for most things which meaning anything which is far off tends to get adjusted pretty quickly and usually means they are pretty near to perfect. This is good as it enables us to see compare the lines available at other books and assuming pinny are correct, we can bet any significant line differences elsewhere comfortable that we are picking up solid equity. Today bet365 appear to be way off with their 5 inning total lines on a number of games, in some spots offering upto 2 extra runs whilst posting the under at the same price.

I understand you can't get on there and I'm not known so you might just want a watching brief but the following are incredible bets:

MIN/DET u5.5 @20/23 (pinny line is 3.5)
LAA/CIN u5 @5/6 (pinny line is 3.5)
SEA/OAK u4.5 @ 4/5 (pinny line is 3.5)

[aaron1867]

Everyone watch for blackburns relegation odds

[Tal]

Carlsen is in time trouble, needing to make 11 moves in 2 minutes 39 seconds. He is in front but happens to be at a critical point in the game, where he will be trying to work out whether he can win the game with a series of tactics.

Kramnik is still slightly down in his game, but he'll likely be more interested in what's going on elsewhere.

As am I.

[tikay]

Carlsen is in time trouble, needing to make 11 moves in 2 minutes 39 seconds. He is in front but happens to be at a critical point in the game, where he will be trying to work out whether he can win the game with a series of tactics.

Kramnik is still slightly down in his game, but he'll likely be more interested in what's going on elsewhere.

As am I.

Draw-draw will do, though?

[Tal]

Carlsen is in time trouble, needing to make 11 moves in 2 minutes 39 seconds. He is in front but happens to be at a critical point in the game, where he will be trying to work out whether he can win the game with a series of tactics.

Kramnik is still slightly down in his game, but he'll likely be more interested in what's going on elsewhere.

As am I.

Draw-draw will do, though?

Yes, but if Carlsen runs out of time, he will lose and that means if Kramnik can save his game, he will take the title.

[tikay]

Carlsen is in time trouble, needing to make 11 moves in 2 minutes 39 seconds. He is in front but happens to be at a critical point in the game, where he will be trying to work out whether he can win the game with a series of tactics.

Kramnik is still slightly down in his game, but he'll likely be more interested in what's going on elsewhere.

As am I.

Draw-draw will do, though?

Yes, but if Carlsen runs out of time, he will lose and that means if Kramnik can save his game, he will take the title.

Bugger.

Tell him to hurry up then!

Wow, what a twist in the tail, who'd have thought?

[Tal]

Carlsen is in time trouble, needing to make 11 moves in 2 minutes 39 seconds. He is in front but happens to be at a critical point in the game, where he will be trying to work out whether he can win the game with a series of tactics.

Kramnik is still slightly down in his game, but he'll likely be more interested in what's going on elsewhere.

As am I.

Draw-draw will do, though?

Yes, but if Carlsen runs out of time, he will lose and that means if Kramnik can save his game, he will take the title.

I know. To paraphrase Sir Alex:

Chess. Bloody Hell.

[tikay]

I know I'm not known here but thought you all might be interested in an opportunity.

Pinny have quick moving lines for most things which meaning anything which is far off tends to get adjusted pretty quickly and usually means they are pretty near to perfect. This is good as it enables us to see compare the lines available at other books and assuming pinny are correct, we can bet any significant line differences elsewhere comfortable that we are picking up solid equity. Today bet365 appear to be way off with their 5 inning total lines on a number of games, in some spots offering upto 2 extra runs whilst posting the under at the same price.

I understand you can't get on there and I'm not known so you might just want a watching brief but the following are incredible bets:

MIN/DET u5.5 @20/23 (pinny line is 3.5)
LAA/CIN u5 @5/6 (pinny line is 3.5)
SEA/OAK u4.5 @ 4/5 (pinny line is 3.5)

Hi Sir - or Madam.

Welcome, I've seen you on thread, but you've not suggested any bets before, just a clarification of a FGS query on the World Cup Qualifiers as I recall.

So I've not idea if I am speaking with a Betting Newbie or an Elder........

But......

Yes, the yardstick for determining if a price is good is usually Pinny or Betty, which is something I have had drummed into me in the last year, & took some grasping.

So......unless I am misreading something, yes, those three bets all look "value" to me, though I'd need some help from those who understand better than I do.

It took me a good while to find the bets, & Bet365 will Restrict me to about a tenner on each, but I don't mind that, it would be cool to welcome a new Member aboard.

Let me just double check what is what, &, hopefully, get some re-assurance from those who understand this better than me, then, for the sake of three x £10 or so bets, you can lose your Fred virginity, & we'll get on.

How did you spot these? They take a bit of finding. Are you a Baseball geek, a Betting geek, or something else? Genuine questions, like to get to know our regulars.

PS - Thanks.

[Tal]

Carlsen has made the time control but I don't like his position. He is a pawn down in an endgame and with an inferior position to my ice cream eyes.

Conversely, Ivanchuk had a nice position against Kramnik, but boy oh boy would we not want to be relying on that!

Pressure is a funny thing.


Edit: I will qualify all of this by saying I can't get the analysis up at the moment, so I'm going off a superficial inspection. If Carlsen can get the pawns off, he's fine. These positions all come down to the detail. A draw makes a massive difference, because Kramnik needs a mistake out of Ivanchuk to win.

[rinswun]

Hi Tikay,

I am a sport fan in general but particularly the stuff on the other side of the pond (MLB, NHL, PGA golf in particular). I am also a gambler who is attempting to be a lot more selective in his punts by sticking to what he knows. However, in an effort to learn more and in the interests of fun at smaller stakes, I have been following this thread since Cheltenham and placing a few selected bets (hence my question about the NR in the FGS bets).

Regarding the bets in question I have a US based friend who primarily bets tennis (particular the WTA stuff) and who has posted some impressive yearly figures. He told me at the start of the year that 365 is often way off on their totals on tennis and MLB, and slow to adjust them, so to keep an eye on them when the season rolled around. Sure enough he appears to be spot on. Every other book is near enough completely in line with Pinny.

[redarmi]

These 5 innings bets seem too far off to me........they are definitely value but would be a bit worried about getting palped on them and definitely the sort of thing that costs accounts at 365.

[tikay]

These 5 innings bets seem too far off to me........they are definitely value but would be a bit worried about getting palped on them and definitely the sort of thing that costs accounts at 365.

Thanks Stu, I was hoping you may be around.

As it happens, I am already Severely Severely Restricted with Bet365, but I really want to hang onto the Acccount if possible, as they sometimes allow me a decent bet, & they do offer such a great range of stuff.