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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16509457 times)
Chompy
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« Reply #38880 on: April 23, 2013, 11:50:00 PM »

Defo have a bag at 13/8 if you can get someone to take it. And as long as you have the £££ in Betty to be able to lay back a bag at two point whatever. Full-bank max-saveloy all-in oi-oi time!
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nirvana
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« Reply #38881 on: April 24, 2013, 12:07:39 AM »

Just done the maths on this Crewe gig.

Recommend full nelson - £2400
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Horneris
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« Reply #38882 on: April 24, 2013, 12:46:28 AM »

Full bank job to trade on coz loads of other punters will misinterpret the tweet, thus shortening the price
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maldini32
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« Reply #38883 on: April 24, 2013, 12:50:38 AM »

Are we just backing Walsall to trade out?

We not letting it ride? Surely a league 2 team can beat an academy team?
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Horneris
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« Reply #38884 on: April 24, 2013, 12:55:01 AM »

Are we just backing Walsall to trade out?

We not letting it ride? Surely a league 2 team can beat an academy team?

mate, its "homegrown" players not an academy side, which is about 7 of Crewe's general side anyway according to my sources, including the fantastic Luke Murphy.

Probs some value to be had at 13/8, 8/5 but wouldn't go overboard.

Peter Morse ‏@ThePeterMorse 2 hrs ago
Steve Davis confirms he will play fully homegrown XI on Saturday. Read what that means to #CreweAlex coaches in tomorrow's @CreweChronicle.
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maldini32
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« Reply #38885 on: April 24, 2013, 01:01:17 AM »

Are we just backing Walsall to trade out?

We not letting it ride? Surely a league 2 team can beat an academy team?

mate, its "homegrown" players not an academy side, which is about 7 of Crewe's general side anyway according to my sources, including the fantastic Luke Murphy.

Probs some value to be had at 13/8, 8/5 but wouldn't go overboard.

Peter Morse ‏@ThePeterMorse 2 hrs ago
Steve Davis confirms he will play fully homegrown XI on Saturday. Read what that means to #CreweAlex coaches in tomorrow's @CreweChronicle.


Ah ok, Im on @ 8/5. Was gonna let it ride maybe not now!
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Bazzaboy
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« Reply #38886 on: April 24, 2013, 07:42:00 AM »

Rogers was selected by the Aussies for the Ashes.
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tikay
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« Reply #38887 on: April 24, 2013, 07:53:14 AM »

Rogers was selected by the Aussies for the Ashes.

Bugger. That is bad, right?

I guess that is the risk we take, & it was built into the seemingly generous price of 7/2.

So be it, that's why we have a broad basket of CC bets.

Bookies 1, Fred 0
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TightEnd
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« Reply #38888 on: April 24, 2013, 07:58:45 AM »

Bookies 2, Fred 0 as it hurts the Middlesex bet badly too.

C'est la vie.
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tikay
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« Reply #38889 on: April 24, 2013, 08:00:10 AM »

Just done the maths on this Crewe gig.

Recommend full nelson - £2400

Excellent!

Do I hear any more? By tonight, it could be £25,000.

MAX.

Half Kelly

Bag

£2,400 Full Nelson.


Next suggestion please?



__________

The price seems to have settled overnight, 13/8 remains available in one spot (888, who will take it down when the day staff arrive), & it is generally 11/8 elsewhere, & 2.34 on Betfair.

I'm happy with that, we (seem to) have a value bet @ 13/8.
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tikay
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« Reply #38890 on: April 24, 2013, 08:01:24 AM »

Bookies 2, Fred 0 as it hurts the Middlesex bet badly too.

C'est la vie.

Bloody Aussies.
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« Reply #38891 on: April 24, 2013, 08:11:19 AM »

Surely if we think Walsall are worth sticking the national debt on, looking at ,FT market is a goer too?
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« Reply #38892 on: April 24, 2013, 08:20:08 AM »

Surely if we think Walsall are worth sticking the national debt on, looking at ,FT market is a goer too?

I'm not sure we all do, especially

If its "homegrown players" then thats 6 or 7 of the first team anyway.

If its current academy players its a different story

We undoubtedly have the best price we'll see on a Walsall win, but I wouldn't have thought it will collapse further unless it is confirmed that we'll be seeing 11 17-19 year olds on Saturday.

the quote I saw was "Davis confirmed he will start a team full of home-grown players on Saturday, meaning that last night was Aneke's final time in the starting line-up."

Aneke being the lad on loan form Arsenal

http://www.thisisstaffordshire.co.uk/Crewe-Alexandra-Chuks-Aneke-goal-sees-Sheffield/story-18788844-detail/story.html#ixzz2RMVSmriX

I don't think this is a team of CURRENT academy players as postulated when the bet was going on




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tikay
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« Reply #38893 on: April 24, 2013, 08:24:01 AM »

Surely if we think Walsall are worth sticking the national debt on, looking at ,FT market is a goer too?

Maybe.

Personally, I think we have nicked a good price, we have £150 on it, & I'm quite content with that.
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« Reply #38894 on: April 24, 2013, 08:28:05 AM »

I must admit, I have played but modestly.

Neither team have anything to play for, but he kids do. Home team advantage of a bunch of kids all out to prove themselves in final game atmosphere vs season long pro's looking forward to their holiday.

Certainly not a max in my house.

But if the gurus are convinced then the ht,ft should be considered?
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