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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16384226 times)
hector62
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« Reply #38910 on: April 24, 2013, 11:34:18 AM »

I have no idea about the Arsenal market but I quite like Barcelona at evs to win the dead rubber at home.

Morning Mr T.

Todays IPL maybe cheaters league sees Kolkata play Mumbai. The pitch at Kolkata is generally slow and not conducive to big scores. Only one of the 6 innings played here this year has been over 132. I think Kolkatas best  chance is for a slow pitch to be prepared for Narine to spin his stuff and they will be fearful of the big hitters that Mumbai have. With this in mind and the fact that Mumbai can't be said to be playing well I think we should go for the unders in the 6's market.

Anyone with bet365 should take their offer of under 10 at 8/11 but Fred will have to go with Ladbrokes.

Suggest under 9.5 6's £25 @ 4/5 Ladbrokes.

Incidentally it is Tendulkars 40th birthday today and there are all sorts of special bets around for him. I would have liked to get a price for him to score under 10 runs but that wasn't one I could find.
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tikay
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« Reply #38911 on: April 24, 2013, 11:46:31 AM »

I have no idea about the Arsenal market but I quite like Barcelona at evs to win the dead rubber at home.

Morning Mr T.

Todays IPL maybe cheaters league sees Kolkata play Mumbai. The pitch at Kolkata is generally slow and not conducive to big scores. Only one of the 6 innings played here this year has been over 132. I think Kolkatas best  chance is for a slow pitch to be prepared for Narine to spin his stuff and they will be fearful of the big hitters that Mumbai have. With this in mind and the fact that Mumbai can't be said to be playing well I think we should go for the unders in the 6's market.

Anyone with bet365 should take their offer of under 10 at 8/11 but Fred will have to go with Ladbrokes.

Suggest under 9.5 6's £25 @ 4/5 Ladbrokes.

Incidentally it is Tendulkars 40th birthday today and there are all sorts of special bets around for him. I would have liked to get a price for him to score under 10 runs but that wasn't one I could find.

Thanks hector.

What did you think of Gayle's whirlwind innings yesterday?

How many sixes were there in that match? Sure I read on Fred last week that we should be backing "UNDERS" on Sixes in IPL pretty regularly. Pity the poor spreads boys.......
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tikay
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« Reply #38912 on: April 24, 2013, 11:52:36 AM »

I have no idea about the Arsenal market but I quite like Barcelona at evs to win the dead rubber at home.

Morning Mr T.

Todays IPL maybe cheaters league sees Kolkata play Mumbai. The pitch at Kolkata is generally slow and not conducive to big scores. Only one of the 6 innings played here this year has been over 132. I think Kolkatas best  chance is for a slow pitch to be prepared for Narine to spin his stuff and they will be fearful of the big hitters that Mumbai have. With this in mind and the fact that Mumbai can't be said to be playing well I think we should go for the unders in the 6's market.

Anyone with bet365 should take their offer of under 10 at 8/11 but Fred will have to go with Ladbrokes.

Suggest under 9.5 6's £25 @ 4/5 Ladbrokes.

Incidentally it is Tendulkars 40th birthday today and there are all sorts of special bets around for him. I would have liked to get a price for him to score under 10 runs but that wasn't one I could find.

Thanks H.

This would be FIVE IN A ROW for you if this gets home, surely a Fred record?

Good luck!

I tried Bet3565, but they would only allow me £6.11, so I went the Ladbrokes route.

We have £25 @ 4/5, Ladbrokes, UNDER 9.5 Sixes, Mumbai v Kolkata.

ON


Under 9.5
 
Kolkata v Mumbai
Singles - Total Sixes 1 line @ £25.0 per line.Total Stake £25.00Potential Return £45.00 Receipt No: O/142640973/0000324
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« Reply #38913 on: April 24, 2013, 11:58:38 AM »

I was looking at that match and tried making a case for backing unders, but decided to swerve it in the end. Would have felt like another 84-6 rugby league defeat if I had. You did read that we should look at backing the unders in the 6's maket and I do tend to agree with it. But Mr Gayle and Mr Dhoni are certainly people to be wary of.

Maybe I should have followed Mr Dubai's Kelly betting advice from last week. When I wrote that I thought Bayern Munich should be 6/4 favourites for the Champions league I think he said if I thought that then Kelly theory meant I should have north of £3,000 on them. Would be feeling good about that now though. Still a couple of cakes to the good from their victory last night will do me just fine.
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« Reply #38914 on: April 24, 2013, 12:04:53 PM »

Well depending on your roll maybe more Smiley
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« Reply #38915 on: April 24, 2013, 12:11:59 PM »

There could possibly be a lot of money for Arsenal, think they will go off 2.12 or 2.34. So id let it ride for minute. Think Barca will be bet, Munich can lose and progress and usually a load of money for opposition of teams like that, cant see them going off Evens, zero chance rest players, crowd would kill them if did

Looking at oddschecker and Betfair, it seems the evens is going.  Suggest Tikay gets on now if he is going to bet.

I don't know who put Walsall up, but 2.24 on Betfair looks short enough to me.   I don't think it is right for me to reverse someone's bet and any decision should rest with the original proposer.
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« Reply #38916 on: April 24, 2013, 12:13:32 PM »

I cant possibly see how Barcelona will drift bigger than evens but can defo see them going sub 1.85 on betfair.

Dont want this to turn into a trading thread really tho
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« Reply #38917 on: April 24, 2013, 12:22:18 PM »

Value aside, Even as a Gooner, i can't see how the current Arsenal side can be odds on even against a demob happy Manure side.

We have a terrible recent record against them and the teams legs seem to turn to jelly as soon as the players get on the pitch.

Our recent form looks a lot better than we are playing and with Ferguson chasing new points record, its no cake walk.

for all that I am desperate to see us beat the *****
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
tikay
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« Reply #38918 on: April 24, 2013, 12:37:32 PM »

There could possibly be a lot of money for Arsenal, think they will go off 2.12 or 2.34. So id let it ride for minute. Think Barca will be bet, Munich can lose and progress and usually a load of money for opposition of teams like that, cant see them going off Evens, zero chance rest players, crowd would kill them if did

Looking at oddschecker and Betfair, it seems the evens is going.  Suggest Tikay gets on now if he is going to bet.

I don't know who put Walsall up, but 2.24 on Betfair looks short enough to me.   I don't think it is right for me to reverse someone's bet and any decision should rest with the original proposer.

Remind me please - was I due to get on Barca to beat Bayern? Who stuck the bet up?

Betty now go 1.96.

I have taken £50 @ Evens with Corals for now, will stick the bet up later once I have got myself up to date with who suggested what.

CORRECTION/EDIT - Make that £100, which I have now placed with Corals, in total. The bet seems to be a potential Freeroll if the price firms up on Betfair, so I'm not risking anything.
« Last Edit: April 24, 2013, 12:39:43 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #38919 on: April 24, 2013, 12:41:20 PM »

There could possibly be a lot of money for Arsenal, think they will go off 2.12 or 2.34. So id let it ride for minute. Think Barca will be bet, Munich can lose and progress and usually a load of money for opposition of teams like that, cant see them going off Evens, zero chance rest players, crowd would kill them if did

Looking at oddschecker and Betfair, it seems the evens is going.  Suggest Tikay gets on now if he is going to bet.

I don't know who put Walsall up, but 2.24 on Betfair looks short enough to me.   I don't think it is right for me to reverse someone's bet and any decision should rest with the original proposer.

Lets see what horsey thinks, it was his idea. I suspect he will want to let it ride, & I have no qualms with that. We could freeroll by Trading though......
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« Reply #38920 on: April 24, 2013, 12:41:33 PM »

One for the Fred offers sheet ?  Suggest backing both Call Me Bubbles and Viconte Du Noyer £25 win Punchestown 16.20 with BetVictor (top two in betting both W Mullins to potentially benefit from money back offer)
Betfair prices suggest one or the other wins approx 50% of time and a decent amount of time we get money back for 2nd place

Has possible implications for Fred if the moneyback were to be triggered as it's a one time only deal and we have a similar bet already later in the day
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« Reply #38921 on: April 24, 2013, 12:44:37 PM »

One for the Fred offers sheet ?  Suggest backing both Call Me Bubbles and Viconte Du Noyer £25 win Punchestown 16.20 with BetVictor (top two in betting both W Mullins to potentially benefit from money back offer)
Betfair prices suggest one or the other wins approx 50% of time and a decent amount of time we get money back for 2nd place

Has possible implications for Fred if the moneyback were to be triggered as it's a one time only deal and we have a similar bet already later in the day


Thanks Simon.

I'll need the horse hexperts to cast their eye over that.

Good luck if you are on, same to us if we climb aboard.
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« Reply #38922 on: April 24, 2013, 12:51:27 PM »

the bet was to win not to trade

if the bet was to trade would have needed to have more on

happy to let bet ride no problem
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« Reply #38923 on: April 24, 2013, 01:08:34 PM »


NBA Playoffs

Golden State Warriors 131, Denver Nuggets 117


We were on Nuggets to win the Series 4-0, so we are dead in the water now. As luck would have it, we got Restricted to £5.55.

First time Denver have lost at home in 3 months GSW shot 65% which is absurd good lol gg
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@MtSpewmore
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I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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« Reply #38924 on: April 24, 2013, 01:20:30 PM »

calling ipl fans

how is the  man of the match market decided for the ipl please?

i notice tendulkar is priced up at 8-1 today with stan james

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