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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16378357 times)
JaffaCake
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« Reply #39000 on: April 25, 2013, 02:31:10 AM »

SB Nation's final mock draft...every one of tighty's bets wins if it goes how the experts think http://www.sbnation.com/nfl-mock-draft/2013/4/24/4249678/2013-nfl-mock-draft-ezekiel-ansah-matt-barkley
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« Reply #39001 on: April 25, 2013, 03:41:53 AM »

There is a very good bet tomorrow to have another attempt at getting a BetVictor refund.

Suggest £25 Solwhit in the 17.30 at Punchestown at 6/4 (best price).  If Solwhit doesn't win, there is a very strong chance it finishes 2nd to Quevega.  Other than Reve De Sivola the rest are 14s up.

If we don't get a refund on that bet from the offer we should back Twigline in the 19.15, assuming it is close to best price at BetVictor(There are no prices up now, so I will have to check this tomorrow).  This bet should not be placed until after the 17.30 is run, and should only be placed if Solwhit doesn't come 2nd to Quevega in the 17.30.   
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #39002 on: April 25, 2013, 08:24:53 AM »

There is a very good bet tomorrow to have another attempt at getting a BetVictor refund.

Suggest £25 Solwhit in the 17.30 at Punchestown at 6/4 (best price).  If Solwhit doesn't win, there is a very strong chance it finishes 2nd to Quevega.  Other than Reve De Sivola the rest are 14s up.

If we don't get a refund on that bet from the offer we should back Twigline in the 19.15, assuming it is close to best price at BetVictor(There are no prices up now, so I will have to check this tomorrow).  This bet should not be placed until after the 17.30 is run, and should only be placed if Solwhit doesn't come 2nd to Quevega in the 17.30.   

Thanks Doobs.

I MAY have a problem executing that if it comes to Plan B (the 19.15), as we cannot place the bet until after the 17.30 has finished.

I have to start work at 6pm prompt, & won't be back Online until around 1am Friday at best. 
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Tal
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« Reply #39003 on: April 25, 2013, 08:45:05 AM »

BBC has done a nice article on a young lad from Manchester who is tipped to get a jersey in the NFL Draft tonight: Melenik Watson.

6ft 5in, 22st, runs 40 yards in 5.29 seconds, jumps 24.5inches vertically and 103 horizontally.

Who needs a right tackle, then?
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« Reply #39004 on: April 25, 2013, 08:48:42 AM »

Solwhit bet looks good. Virtual match, although I have a sneaker Fiveforthree may outrun his odds, but also a Mullins horse.

Rock on ruby looks a bet to nothing tomorrow vs The Fly, so still chances either way.
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« Reply #39005 on: April 25, 2013, 08:51:26 AM »

BBC has done a nice article on a young lad from Manchester who is tipped to get a jersey in the NFL Draft tonight: Melenik Watson.

6ft 5in, 22st, runs 40 yards in 5.29 seconds, jumps 24.5inches vertically and 103 horizontally.

Who needs a right tackle, then?

Menelik Watson
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Tal
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« Reply #39006 on: April 25, 2013, 09:00:21 AM »

BBC has done a nice article on a young lad from Manchester who is tipped to get a jersey in the NFL Draft tonight: Melenik Watson.

6ft 5in, 22st, runs 40 yards in 5.29 seconds, jumps 24.5inches vertically and 103 horizontally.

Who needs a right tackle, then?

Menelik Watson

Or him.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Doobs
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« Reply #39007 on: April 25, 2013, 09:05:30 AM »

There is a very good bet tomorrow to have another attempt at getting a BetVictor refund.

Suggest £25 Solwhit in the 17.30 at Punchestown at 6/4 (best price).  If Solwhit doesn't win, there is a very strong chance it finishes 2nd to Quevega.  Other than Reve De Sivola the rest are 14s up.

If we don't get a refund on that bet from the offer we should back Twigline in the 19.15, assuming it is close to best price at BetVictor(There are no prices up now, so I will have to check this tomorrow).  This bet should not be placed until after the 17.30 is run, and should only be placed if Solwhit doesn't come 2nd to Quevega in the 17.30.   

Thanks Doobs.

I MAY have a problem executing that if it comes to Plan B (the 19.15), as we cannot place the bet until after the 17.30 has finished.

I have to start work at 6pm prompt, & won't be back Online until around 1am Friday at best. 

As BigAdz has said, we still have another day after today.

I didn't realise I hadn't actually used this offer myself until the early hours of this morning.  I had a winner first day (thin) and had assumed that counted, but it only counts if you trigger the bonus.  So I had been on here saying you had to use the offer and not even bothering myself!

But will be on the two tonight if needed.

Have a good show.
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« Reply #39008 on: April 25, 2013, 09:12:30 AM »

After a goalkick is taken, when it gets launched into the air, is it still in the team who took the teams possession until it's touched, or is it no possession?

Similarly, when there is a corner is it counted as possession from when it's put behind until it's taken or is this no possession too?

Anyone know the answer to this?

From a goal kick, the ball is in open play (ie no possession) until a player touches the ball.

From a corner, it is deemed already in the teams possession (because you can score directly from a corner).
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tikay
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« Reply #39009 on: April 25, 2013, 09:42:54 AM »

After a goalkick is taken, when it gets launched into the air, is it still in the team who took the teams possession until it's touched, or is it no possession?

Similarly, when there is a corner is it counted as possession from when it's put behind until it's taken or is this no possession too?

Anyone know the answer to this?

From a goal kick, the ball is in open play (ie no possession) until a player touches the ball.

From a corner, it is deemed already in the teams possession (because you can score directly from a corner).

Good man, thanks.

I thought that was a rather interesting bet, but it helps to know the parameters.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #39010 on: April 25, 2013, 09:50:54 AM »

After a goalkick is taken, when it gets launched into the air, is it still in the team who took the teams possession until it's touched, or is it no possession?

Similarly, when there is a corner is it counted as possession from when it's put behind until it's taken or is this no possession too?

Anyone know the answer to this?

From a goal kick, the ball is in open play (ie no possession) until a player touches the ball.

From a corner, it is deemed already in the teams possession (because you can score directly from a corner).

Good man, thanks.

I thought that was a rather interesting bet, but it helps to know the parameters.

i would not pretend to realise how the nuances work on the stats

however the opta stats which i put up for the reasoning were slightly different to the stats on the uefa website

interesting for sure

i have a feeling vcbet took the uefa stats to set the market despite using opta to settle the bets


they also had an interesting market on who would be top points scorer using the opta stats via whoscored.com

reuss and Goetze were smashed in all day (16-1 both to about 5-1 i think) and if the big pole had not scored 4 (obviously) they were clear 2nd and 3rd best on the points tally. Somebody i respect emailed me to tell me reuss and goetze constantly "score" well on the opta stats and the compilers got quite lucky. This hopefully means they will offer this market again.

be very interesting if they offer these markets from here on in.

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superwomble
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« Reply #39011 on: April 25, 2013, 10:00:21 AM »

If Juan Mata starts for Chelsea tonight the 3/1 at Boyles for an anytime assist looks good. He has 26 assists in 49 appearances this season. Worth a bet I think, but team news essential first as he didn't start their last Europa game.
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tikay
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« Reply #39012 on: April 25, 2013, 10:06:20 AM »

After a goalkick is taken, when it gets launched into the air, is it still in the team who took the teams possession until it's touched, or is it no possession?

Similarly, when there is a corner is it counted as possession from when it's put behind until it's taken or is this no possession too?

Anyone know the answer to this?

From a goal kick, the ball is in open play (ie no possession) until a player touches the ball.

From a corner, it is deemed already in the teams possession (because you can score directly from a corner).

Good man, thanks.

I thought that was a rather interesting bet, but it helps to know the parameters.

i would not pretend to realise how the nuances work on the stats

however the opta stats which i put up for the reasoning were slightly different to the stats on the uefa website

interesting for sure

i have a feeling vcbet took the uefa stats to set the market despite using opta to settle the bets


they also had an interesting market on who would be top points scorer using the opta stats via whoscored.com

reuss and Goetze were smashed in all day (16-1 both to about 5-1 i think) and if the big pole had not scored 4 (obviously) they were clear 2nd and 3rd best on the points tally. Somebody i respect emailed me to tell me reuss and goetze constantly "score" well on the opta stats and the compilers got quite lucky. This hopefully means they will offer this market again.

be very interesting if they offer these markets from here on in.

Very much so. I already looked this morning to see if they are offering them on the Chelsea (Europa League) game tonight, but although they offer over 100 markets, there are not any which rely on OPTA Stats & the like. Unlike last night, they are not (yet) offering Under/Over markets on Fouls, Throw-Ins & Goal Kicks either. As it happens, their lines on these were pretty close last night.

As an aside, very odd that the EUFA & OPTA stats differ so markedly.
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tikay
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« Reply #39013 on: April 25, 2013, 10:06:47 AM »

If Juan Mata starts for Chelsea tonight the 3/1 at Boyles for an anytime assist looks good. He has 26 assists in 49 appearances this season. Worth a bet I think, but team news essential first as he didn't start their last Europa game.

Thanks womble.
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« Reply #39014 on: April 25, 2013, 10:38:40 AM »

Walsall 1.98 betfair.
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