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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16367642 times)
hector62
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« Reply #40185 on: May 06, 2013, 10:47:32 AM »

Just checked again and Betvictor are Evs for the UK to finish 21st or below. But maybe £5 on the UK to finish last at 9-1 from Bwin? We may need Mr Chompys opinion as Bonnie claims to have a big European fan base centered around Germany.
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« Reply #40186 on: May 06, 2013, 10:53:26 AM »

What are you doing with the camels play off bet? Letting it ride?
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« Reply #40187 on: May 06, 2013, 11:11:31 AM »

What are you doing with the camels play off bet? Letting it ride?

100/30 Watford looks big at BetVictor.  Are Leicester really the better team?

You can hedge on Betfair at 3.35 which is better than Camel planned for, think he thought about 5/2 originally. Maybe hedge a quarter and back Watford may be better?  Up to Camel really.

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #40188 on: May 06, 2013, 11:14:25 AM »

Personally wouldn't want the Brighton bet to ride.

Not ideal opposition in Palace, so would be looking to lay seen as we are on such a good price.
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« Reply #40189 on: May 06, 2013, 11:17:12 AM »

Isn't the MAX rule getting broken if the whole £300 rides? I thought the idea was to lay half off when the playoffs came, cashing in on the drop in price when Brighton made the playoffs.
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« Reply #40190 on: May 06, 2013, 11:57:02 AM »

Just checked again and Betvictor are Evs for the UK to finish 21st or below. But maybe £5 on the UK to finish last at 9-1 from Bwin? We may need Mr Chompys opinion as Bonnie claims to have a big European fan base centered around Germany.

I'm not advocating it, but if we wanted to lay there's some money on betfair to back a UK top 10 finish http://www.betfair.com/exchange/special-bets/market?id=1.108145521

Backing Bonnie to finish last ahead of Iceland (video features fish-gutting injury) doesn't seem like a great bet to me.
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« Reply #40191 on: May 06, 2013, 12:14:06 PM »

Just checked again and Betvictor are Evs for the UK to finish 21st or below. But maybe £5 on the UK to finish last at 9-1 from Bwin? We may need Mr Chompys opinion as Bonnie claims to have a big European fan base centered around Germany.

I'm not advocating it, but if we wanted to lay there's some money on betfair to back a UK top 10 finish http://www.betfair.com/exchange/special-bets/market?id=1.108145521

Backing Bonnie to finish last ahead of Iceland (video features fish-gutting injury) doesn't seem like a great bet to me.


If Iceland are so bad, they won't make the final?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
hector62
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« Reply #40192 on: May 06, 2013, 12:14:10 PM »

Iceland will have to qualify first, maybe the 3/4 they don't will appeal to you. I haven't seen any of the songs bar the UK one so can't comment.

In the to finish last market Spain are favourites at 8/5 then France at 7-1 then the UK.
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« Reply #40193 on: May 06, 2013, 12:15:16 PM »

Yes, lay £150 of Brighton at 3.3

Actually not too averse about laying the whole £300 and taking a £650 freeroll.

I think Brighton are a tad underpriced at 9/4.

5/2 still seems like the correct price to me.

I wouldn't want to get involved on Watford until their goalkeeping situation is clarified.

Wouldn't want a penny on them at 10/3 with the kid in goal.
« Last Edit: May 06, 2013, 12:20:22 PM by The Camel » Logged

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"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #40194 on: May 06, 2013, 12:17:38 PM »

Isn't the MAX rule getting broken if the whole £300 rides? I thought the idea was to lay half off when the playoffs came, cashing in on the drop in price when Brighton made the playoffs.

Great point, it's abso critical that in boys clubs we DON'T break made up code's. This is why we have codes ffs.

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« Reply #40195 on: May 06, 2013, 12:20:55 PM »

Isn't the MAX rule getting broken if the whole £300 rides? I thought the idea was to lay half off when the playoffs came, cashing in on the drop in price when Brighton made the playoffs.

Great point, it's abso critical that in boys clubs we DON'T break made up code's. This is why we have codes ffs.



You're just jealous because you're not in the club.
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"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #40196 on: May 06, 2013, 12:21:05 PM »

Yes, lay £150 of Brighton at 3.3

Actually not too averse about laying the whole £300 and taking a £650 freeroll.

I think Brighton are a tad underpriced at 9/4.

5/2 still seems like the correct price to me.

I wouldn't want to get involved on Watford until their goalkeeping situation is clarified.

Wouldn't want a penny on them at 10/3 with the kid in goal.

Of course, forgot that.  Camel on the ball.
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« Reply #40197 on: May 06, 2013, 12:25:12 PM »

Isn't the MAX rule getting broken if the whole £300 rides? I thought the idea was to lay half off when the playoffs came, cashing in on the drop in price when Brighton made the playoffs.

Great point, it's abso critical that in boys clubs we DON'T break made up code's. This is why we have codes ffs.
You're just jealous because you're not in the club.

Outed :-)
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Tal
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« Reply #40198 on: May 06, 2013, 12:26:12 PM »

Just checked again and Betvictor are Evs for the UK to finish 21st or below. But maybe £5 on the UK to finish last at 9-1 from Bwin? We may need Mr Chompys opinion as Bonnie claims to have a big European fan base centered around Germany.


I'm not advocating it, but if we wanted to lay there's some money on betfair to back a UK top 10 finish http://www.betfair.com/exchange/special-bets/market?id=1.108145521

Backing Bonnie to finish last ahead of Iceland (video features fish-gutting injury) doesn't seem like a great bet to me.



When the market gets a little wetter, I would think there will be a bottom market (easy, boys...) That is worth considering, no matter how utterly repulsive the opposition.

Been a year but the UK last year (with an actual proper band* that a lot of people in Europe has heard of) did only amass 10% of the points of this entry:



Didn't Fred bet on this?
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Tal
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« Reply #40199 on: May 06, 2013, 12:27:17 PM »

* As in successful.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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