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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16380651 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #43560 on: June 19, 2013, 10:20:02 AM »

I think England will beat SA today

Won the toss and bowl
Muggy conditions
No Steyn

Sadly prices have flip flopped since Monday and England have gone odds on, so no compelling reason for  abet
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« Reply #43561 on: June 19, 2013, 10:23:06 AM »

Yeah, not sure how long it is around for. I'm on for £25 also, not sure if maxxed at that & you definitely need to go via William Hill mobile app on mobile for free bet, 2 offers in one.

The max isn't going to be much more than that, and it is £25 for the offer, so seems as good a number as any.

Think we should do £25 on Montiridge in the first on Hills too.  It is one of Camel's tips and Hills are best.  Again we need to use mobile to get the offer.

Al Kazeem is biggest at Ladbrokes at 5/2 in the 3.45 and they are doing the 2nd place offer.  I know it looks like we are backing every horse in the race but each bet should be +EV so I am sure it is fine.

There should be something worth picking out in the 3.05 to pick up the Hills and Ladbrokes offers, but I haven't looked yet and going out for a bit.  There are 3 short priced horses in this race which is good.

On

WilliamHill via tablet

19 Jun 13 / 10:18   Single   1       2:30 Royal Ascot  –  Win    Montiridge @ 11/2   –   £25.00    O/4191275/0000084/F
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« Reply #43562 on: June 19, 2013, 10:36:27 AM »

Mere

you have used the Victor free bet

you have a Ladbrokes free bet to use, awaiting Mr Channing?
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« Reply #43563 on: June 19, 2013, 10:44:11 AM »

Mere

you have used the Victor free bet

you have a Ladbrokes free bet to use, awaiting Mr Channing?

That's plan A.
He's stated that he will post on BettingEmporium at 1pm so if someone can pick something out from his tips I'd be obliged.
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« Reply #43564 on: June 19, 2013, 10:44:56 AM »

South Africa 4/2 after 2 overs with the ball hooping about.
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« Reply #43565 on: June 19, 2013, 10:55:55 AM »

Spain v Tahiti

Both Teams NOT To Score available @ 1.46 on Betfair. Best any bookies offering is 2/7 which itself looks big to me.
Spain world ranking #1. Tahiti #138.
I read one lad who started for Tahiti v Nigeria climbs coconut trees for a living. Eight others are unemployed amateurs.
After they scored v Nigeria in 6-1 defeat, none of their players could sleep they were so happy, it was like winning the World Cup for them!
Tahiti Football Federation on Twitter ... @TahitiFootball: "No member of our selection could not sleep. It is a dream that is being realized"



Recommendation. All-in.
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« Reply #43566 on: June 19, 2013, 10:58:46 AM »

Wimbledon seedings

Nadal 5 as Dubai said

Murray/Nadal in the quarters if it goes to seeds. Ouch for both
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« Reply #43567 on: June 19, 2013, 11:09:08 AM »

Wimbledon seedings

Nadal 5 as Dubai said

Murray/Nadal in the quarters if it goes to seeds. Ouch for both

I don't understand this.
I think it's a free draw so Murray has the same chance of playing any of seeds 5 to 8 in the QFs assuming they get that far.
Even if it weren't free he would surely play no. 7 seed Tomas Berdych?
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« Reply #43568 on: June 19, 2013, 11:14:03 AM »

Wimbledon seedings

Nadal 5 as Dubai said

Murray/Nadal in the quarters if it goes to seeds. Ouch for both

I don't understand this.
I think it's a free draw so Murray has the same chance of playing any of seeds 5 to 8 in the QFs assuming they get that far.
Even if it weren't free he would surely play no. 7 seed Tomas Berdych?


Lazily I read a journo tweet and posted in here

I think they put seeds into blocks of the draw and then free draw round that

Before the draw itself, you know which seeds meet who if it goes according to seeding
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« Reply #43569 on: June 19, 2013, 11:17:07 AM »

StanJames.com

It's HAPPY HOUR! Until Midday we are Top Industry Price on Camelot in the race of the day at Ascot! 4/1 tempt you?


presumably if you are taking 7/2 on an offer earlier, you should be taking 4/1 here Doobs?
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« Reply #43570 on: June 19, 2013, 11:17:44 AM »

Wimbledon seedings

Nadal 5 as Dubai said

Murray/Nadal in the quarters if it goes to seeds. Ouch for both

I don't understand this.
I think it's a free draw so Murray has the same chance of playing any of seeds 5 to 8 in the QFs assuming they get that far.
Even if it weren't free he would surely play no. 7 seed Tomas Berdych?


Lazily I read a journo tweet and posted in here

I think they put seeds into blocks of the draw and then free draw round that

Before the draw itself, you know which seeds meet who if it goes according to seeding

Yes, a free draw given the parameters of the seeds, i.e. 1 cannot meet 2 until the final but is equally likely to play 3 or 4 in the semi-finals etc.
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« Reply #43571 on: June 19, 2013, 11:19:45 AM »

StanJames.com

It's HAPPY HOUR! Until Midday we are Top Industry Price on Camelot in the race of the day at Ascot! 4/1 tempt you?


presumably if you are taking 7/2 on an offer earlier, you should be taking 4/1 here Doobs?

We get money back if 2nd with our earlier 7/2 bet.
Not sure of the maths for 4/1 without this - sounds fair though.
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« Reply #43572 on: June 19, 2013, 11:20:37 AM »

Spain v Tahiti

Both Teams NOT To Score available @ 1.46 on Betfair. Best any bookies offering is 2/7 which itself looks big to me.
Spain world ranking #1. Tahiti #138.
I read one lad who started for Tahiti v Nigeria climbs coconut trees for a living. Eight others are unemployed amateurs.
After they scored v Nigeria in 6-1 defeat, none of their players could sleep they were so happy, it was like winning the World Cup for them!
Tahiti Football Federation on Twitter ... @TahitiFootball: "No member of our selection could not sleep. It is a dream that is being realized"



Recommendation. All-in.

1.46 seems fair

would not touch 2-7 though myself for all the fact they were awful at the back they attacked well against Nigeria and created plenty

obviously be a lot harder against Spain but how motivated Spain will be i have my doubts
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« Reply #43573 on: June 19, 2013, 11:55:53 AM »

Top the Camelot bet accordingly (£10)
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« Reply #43574 on: June 19, 2013, 11:57:16 AM »

StanJames.com

It's HAPPY HOUR! Until Midday we are Top Industry Price on Camelot in the race of the day at Ascot! 4/1 tempt you?


presumably if you are taking 7/2 on an offer earlier, you should be taking 4/1 here Doobs?

We get money back if 2nd with our earlier 7/2 bet.
Not sure of the maths for 4/1 without this - sounds fair though.

The 7/2 with free bet for 2nd is better than 4/1, but 4/1 obv v good too.  Think we should just take it if we have a Stan James account now.  In my head there isn't much between him and Al Kazeem so 4/1 looks a great price. I am not sure the form of the French horse is that great and we already have The Fugue at .  
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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