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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16387803 times)
a.sparrow
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« Reply #44835 on: July 10, 2013, 05:02:40 AM »

Belize vs USA in play right now 3-1 at half time.  Some big price disaparities in the over 6.5 goal market.  11/8 some firms for the over, as low as 4/6 other firms.  The under ranges from 8/15 to 11/10.  Betfair prices 1.86 for the overs and 2.08 for the unders. 

arbs and back both for guranteed profit etc.  Some money to be made if you can get a lot on,  i'm not sure which is the best way to go about it though.
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a.sparrow
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« Reply #44836 on: July 10, 2013, 05:52:04 AM »

Took what i learnt from Fred and decided to take the overs as it was way out of line and beat the betfair price rather than arb it.  It's just come in, however i fear as the two prices that were out of line are both owned by the same company, so it may well be a 'palp' but for now i've been paid out at the price i backed it at.
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« Reply #44837 on: July 10, 2013, 07:05:45 AM »

Took what i learnt from Fred and decided to take the overs as it was way out of line and beat the betfair price rather than arb it.  It's just come in, however i fear as the two prices that were out of line are both owned by the same company, so it may well be a 'palp' but for now i've been paid out at the price i backed it at.


Nice one.
I hope it holds.
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« Reply #44838 on: July 10, 2013, 08:01:48 AM »

Teddy, Cas, Piqué and Carew are the only footballers I've seen as having got through.


Tikay, ask Pique: "Shakira? Seriously, Shakira? How?!"
There was a rumour that Pique is gay and had been papped snogging another player, a Barca B teamer or something. Couple of weeks later and he's announcing a relationship with the hottest Spanish speaking pop star ever. Some might suspect a bit of emplyoing a PR team

Looks like they've taken the cover up a bit far now though, if that is the case obv Cheesy
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Tal
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« Reply #44839 on: July 10, 2013, 08:14:34 AM »

Teddy, Cas, Piqué and Carew are the only footballers I've seen as having got through.


Tikay, ask Pique: "Shakira? Seriously, Shakira? How?!"
There was a rumour that Pique is gay and had been papped snogging another player, a Barca B teamer or something. Couple of weeks later and he's announcing a relationship with the hottest Spanish speaking pop star ever. Some might suspect a bit of emplyoing a PR team

Looks like they've taken the cover up a bit far now though, if that is the case obv Cheesy

Blimey. Sounds like something out of the golden age of cinema!

I'm sure there are lots of gay footballers out there whose private lives are being managed by those who fear the impact it would have on some of their international markets, though.

In twenty or thirty years' time, there will be exposés and documentaries about what nonsense some high profile footballers had to go through to keep their contracts.

You can sleep with as many prostitutes as you like, no matter if you are married with kids, just as long as those prostitutes are female.
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Tal
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« Reply #44840 on: July 10, 2013, 08:44:18 AM »

Is the first ball to be a dot in the Ashes today at 2/7 with sporting bet just buying money?

Watson or Cook. Neither likely to play anything flamboyant first up.

Others go 1/5, so we are getting a bit there.
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« Reply #44841 on: July 10, 2013, 08:50:35 AM »

Is the first ball to be a dot in the Ashes today at 2/7 with sporting bet just buying money?

Watson or Cook. Neither likely to play anything flamboyant first up.

Others go 1/5, so we are getting a bit there.

Company I used to work for had a model that generated prices for every ball in cricket. The test match model was nearing completion before the owner  decided to pull the funding.

The 2/7 is massively wrong. We had the price at 1.1
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« Reply #44842 on: July 10, 2013, 08:51:24 AM »

What do we think of Chris Rogers+2.5 against Joe Root for the match bet?

Root has yet to open for England and Rogers is familiar with the conditions. Not much in this, I wouldn't think.

Equally, outside chance Australia have to bat one more time than England, although that's more wishful thinking Smiley

5/6 each with Ladbrokes.
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« Reply #44843 on: July 10, 2013, 08:56:18 AM »

Teddy, Cas, Piqué and Carew are the only footballers I've seen as having got through.


Tikay, ask Pique: "Shakira? Seriously, Shakira? How?!"
There was a rumour that Pique is gay and had been papped snogging another player, a Barca B teamer or something. Couple of weeks later and he's announcing a relationship with the hottest Spanish speaking pop star ever. Some might suspect a bit of emplyoing a PR team

Looks like they've taken the cover up a bit far now though, if that is the case obv Cheesy


+1

Yeah, like Shakira needs the cash.......and a service to set her up with men.

Sat back to back with her in Main E five years ago....felt like a schoolboy with a crush, could stop getting up and looking at her.lol
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« Reply #44844 on: July 10, 2013, 09:18:20 AM »

What do we think of Chris Rogers+2.5 against Joe Root for the match bet?

Root has yet to open for England and Rogers is familiar with the conditions. Not much in this, I wouldn't think.

Equally, outside chance Australia have to bat one more time than England, although that's more wishful thinking Smiley

5/6 each with Ladbrokes.

Whoever wins the toss has a big advantage. Might only bat once, but will be batting when pitch at its best

Completely unpredictable to say where the value is in this
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« Reply #44845 on: July 10, 2013, 09:22:35 AM »

Daily Report

Loss on Month £111.25

Outstanding Bets £1680.60

No bets completed or indeed placed yesterday

Katich scored a century against Northants, good news for that bet

Middlesex fought back agains t Warwickshire on the Uxbridge road.

The TdeF heads for the individual time trial today, but it looks like all our Tour bets are sunk at this stage, apart from the new match bet

In the Ashes we appear to have England and Australia to win, via offers. Cue the draw.

We have Clarke top Australian batsman for the series at a good price. Swann top overall bowler for the series. If it stays dry and hot, thats a good bet


My prediction. Australia win the toss and end 280-4. Or England win the toss and end 306-3.

Its a toss up
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« Reply #44846 on: July 10, 2013, 09:31:16 AM »

Re the time trial today, Tony Martin is - even to my limited knowledge of these matters - an outstanding TTer but best price 4/9 doesn't look much fun.

Is Froome at 15/8 with Boyle playable? Olympic bronze behind Martin, but only by 26seconds (Martin was 40 seconds behind Wiggins). Froome will be wearing a nice maillot for the occasion, too.
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« Reply #44847 on: July 10, 2013, 09:40:18 AM »

Mr Chompy

I am hearing Agar has been picked ahead of Lyon

Not confirmed, so beware, but 16-1 PP and Lads still


Obviously far from certain he'll play 5 Tests, but if you wanted a punt on spinning pitches and a good start...
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« Reply #44848 on: July 10, 2013, 09:42:42 AM »

Mr Chompy

I am hearing Agar has been picked ahead of Lyon

Not confirmed, so beware, but 16-1 PP and Lads still


Obviously far from certain he'll play 5 Tests, but if you wanted a punt on spinning pitches and a good start...

Now confirmed Agar plays.

be quick
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Tonji
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« Reply #44849 on: July 10, 2013, 09:55:30 AM »

Re the time trial today, Tony Martin is - even to my limited knowledge of these matters - an outstanding TTer but best price 4/9 doesn't look much fun.

Is Froome at 15/8 with Boyle playable? Olympic bronze behind Martin, but only by 26seconds (Martin was 40 seconds behind Wiggins). Froome will be wearing a nice maillot for the occasion, too.


Only two riders can really compete with Martin in TT. Wiggins & Cancellara, both not here.

Froome should be top 5 & take time out of his rivals. But because of the nature of this years TdF parcours the TT is not as crucial as other years.
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