Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

I was mentioning the market for Top Yorkshire club in the Championship the other day

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/top-yorkshire-club

Barnsley 12-1

I asked Curtis for his opinion. Bearing in mind Curtis is a Barnsley fan, but by no means myopic or biased. Decent judge and says it as he sees it

"12/1 looks huge, on first sight.  Definitely value, even with the rose-tinted specs.

I think we were 15/8 on the top South Yorkshire team market I looked at yesterday, so this price is basically driven by Leeds and Huddersfield.  Of the two, I'd be more concerned about Huddersfield being the spoiler, as they've invested well over the summer, IMO, and Robins is a good manager.

I really like the Top Half bet at 6/1 though, and we have +30 points on the handicap list, which are my other markets of choice.

Basically, the bookies (unsurprisingly) appear not to have given any credence to the post-Flitcroft improvment last season and we're in our usual place of top 3 relegation favourites.  I think you can find value around us generally, as we have, if anything, strengthened in a division where FFP will adversely impact quite a few teams compared to last season.  Rather than the usual optimism based on hope, the facts show that this squad (largely) under this manager last season were a top 6 side over 20-odds games.  If you remove the exceptional impact of the relegation dogfight last year, then I still think we're a team capable of making the top 12 at least to the extent where 6/1 is value."

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/top-south-yorkshire-club

If we say that it might be a bit of a stretch to scoop at 12-1 and finish above Leeds, here is the market Curtis refers to

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/to-finish-in-top-half

I think 6-1 Barnsley to finish top half in this season's Championship is outstanding. The division is so close, and a number of teams definitely are hindered by FFP

Bar Yeovil, 6/1 is the most generous price offered by any odds maker throughout the division. I think thats wrong

Recommend £100 Barnsley to finish top half at Bet Victor 6/1

[Chompy]

I'm also backing Barnsley in various markets this season fwiw.

[Doobs]

25/1 Nakhi Wells top goal scorer in league 1 is best 25/1 with BetVictor and Hills.  He is so good, Peterborough tried to poach him.  I think we need to reinvest a tenner of last year's winnings just because he is the unofficial thread mascot.

Cliffs. fast, young, didn't start every match last season, in an improving side, is a bit like Defoe if you squint, Chompy calls him Nikki Nahki.   All adds up, was hoping for 33/1 mind. 

Should put it on with Hills to balance out all the cool calculated bets that are +EV and make it a score. 

£20 Nakhi Wells, league 1 top scorer Hills 25/1.  -EV FTW

[Tal]

Will he be in League one all season?

[BigAdz]

25/1 Nakhi Wells top goal scorer in league 1 is best 25/1 with BetVictor and Hills.  He is so good, Peterborough tried to poach him.  I think we need to reinvest a tenner of last year's winnings just because he is the unofficial thread mascot.

Cliffs. fast, young, didn't start every match last season, in an improving side, is a bit like Defoe if you squint, Chompy calls him Nikki Nahki.   All adds up, was hoping for 33/1 mind. 

Should put it on with Hills to balance out all the cool calculated bets that are +EV and make it a score. 

£20 Nakhi Wells, league 1 top scorer Hills 25/1.  -EV FTW

You sound like my Mrs Doobs

Ask for a tenner and take twenty

[Doobs]

Will he be in League one all season?

Maybe not!

[Tal]

A spurs insider says a few office staff have been asked to work over the weekend. Soldado is an obvious possibility but there is word that spurs have bid £19m for Dzeko. He was supposed to be going to Dortmund, but now Lew isn't going anywhere, can't see him sticking around.

That'd be lovely, provided we can keep what we want to keep...

[BigAdz]

Bale and £9 mill should get him there

[Tal]

Bale and £9 mill should get him there

That'd probably do it, yeah. Reckon Levy might start lower, tho

[JaffaCake]

Isn't he the fella who runs like he's in treacle who's just about managing a place in man city's reserves since super Mario went? Exciting times

[Tal]

Isn't he the fella who runs like he's in treacle who's just about managing a place in man city's reserves since super Mario went? Exciting times

He essentially only looks like a world class player when he's at the Lane. He's torn us apart every time he's turned up.

Not grounds for signing a player, granted. He's a poacher, though, and exactly what we need. Adebayor drifts too much and, as much as I love Defoe, he struggled second half of the season.

This is the exciting bit for Spurs fans. Once the season starts, it's one big comedown as the wind-ups gradually increase.

[kukushkin88]

Any thoughts from Horsey/Chompy etc on Mukhadram in the 2.55 York tomorrow? 8/13 looks huge.

[tikay]

Evening Mr T.

There is a price in tonight's RL match between Wakefield and Leeds that is OOL. Ben Jones Bishop is 11/10 to score a try with Betvictor but he is odds on everywhere else. He has missed a lot of this season through injury but in the 5 match he has played he has scored 5 tries. These 2 sides met last week where he scored 2 tries and could have had 2 more.

Suggest £20  Jones Bishop to score a try anytime @ 11/10 with Betvictor.

How do you do it hector?

Incred stuff, well done, and thank you.

That's paid for tonight's poker tourney.

[horseplayer]

not my kind of price kuku tbh

I have backed Edin to be top scorer this season

There i have said it now.... Will be a very different beast with Navas feeding him

[Chompy]

Any thoughts from Horsey/Chompy etc on Mukhadram in the 2.55 York tomorrow? 8/13 looks huge.

Established market this and 4/7 is right for me. Big class edge and should win but couple of hard races against Al Kazeem. They're not machines etc.