Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

Is that a BOOM?

More Os needed

[tikay]

 

[a.sparrow]

Top work adz !

[BigAdz]

Allow me


BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!


Hope that filled a few pockets.

Good fun!

[Doobs]

Missed the important news.

Nicki Nakhi shoots. He scores.

[Doobs]

Think we have 2 free bets with Hills.  Suggest Stenson at 15/2 and Webb Simpson at 33/1 for team thread in the PGA.  Stenson bet is first if we haven't got both.  They have to be on the nose for free bet reasons.

[TightEnd]

Think we have 2 free bets with Hills.  Suggest Stenson at 15/2 and Webb Simpson at 33/1 for team thread in the PGA.  Stenson bet is first if we haven't got both.  They have to be on the nose for free bet reasons.

There are two free bets to use

[tikay]

Think we have 2 free bets with Hills.  Suggest Stenson at 15/2 and Webb Simpson at 33/1 for team thread in the PGA.  Stenson bet is first if we haven't got both.  They have to be on the nose for free bet reasons.

We have done EXACTLY that.

Have used our 2 x £25 Free Bets.

Prices "as advised".

All confirmations later, bit busy today.

ON

Need an hours nap now, then off to Hove Dogs. What a life.

Find me a winner at Hove dogs please.

[horseplayer]

goals goals and more goals in the p b'oro game

[Chompy]

Assombalongalonga AND Nicky Nacky!

[bobby1]

Back to the golf then.

We have a ton of good sweats, but that does not include Sterne, for Top South Aftica Bloke, who looks like he will miss the cut.

Sweats

Furyk is now -7 and 14/1 (from 70/1 at the start)
Kuchar is -7 and 15/2 (from 33/1)
Stricker is -5 and 28/1 (from 50/1)
Garcia is -3 and still around 55/1, which is where he started
That is 4 of the top 10 in the betting
Of the others
Casey is -1 and 200/1 (from 150/1)
Jimenez, Moore and Matsuyama are on evens and monster prices, English is +3 and even bigger.
Watson and Sterne missed the cut.

No hole in one as yet.

Team Maths have 9 of the first 10 in the betting, unfortunately Duffner is the missing one.  

Doobs,

Do you run the spready and re bet or bet new players after round one or are your bets all pre game?

Reason I ask is I have been mulling thru the convo on timing of bets and came to the conclusion that maybe betting players after round one using your system when the field that can win in is smaller and some firms are still betting 5 places. That is a spot that some of the firms are still trying to be very close to the BF prices.

Just looking thru the top of the board now from memory Dufner was about a 25 chance with the books and around 28/29 on BF, Kuchar was available at 20/1 fixed odds when 22 on BF, Furyk was 14/1 after round one and around 17 on BF. Scott 9/2 and 5.7/5.8. Rose 18/1 when 19.5 ish, Stenny about 20/1 when just bigger on BF, Westy was 8/1 and 9.6, Tiger 12 and 12, Mickelson 28/1 and 32 can't remember Rory, Day was 20/1 and about that and even lower profile players such as Garrigus and Hearn up near the top were still pretty close to the BF price when 5 places still available. The bigger names like Donald Poulter Schwarts etc that are a little off the pace are still v close to BF too.

Is that a spot that is better to exploit when 5 places available rather than 6 places for a full field before the off. Did you run the math at that stage please?

I just run things when I can.  I was up late, woken early the day before, so didn't have the energy/time for it after day 1.  As I alluded to before, it isn't just a press a button thing.  I have to do a lot of updates and moving things around manually as I am not that great at grabbing data from the Internet.  As these things are always a bit of a one off, I am not sure it is better to try and improve it. 

As I didn't look, I don't really know if it was better after day 1.  I did look this morning and it was mostly a fifth first 4, which didn't look very appetising.  I know I did something similar after day 2 or 3 of the Masters and the each way terms looked good at the time and it worked really well.  So I don't think there can be a general right answer, it just depends on the terms offered and shape of the field/betting. 

I remember you mentioning Dufner before day 1 and I thought I am sure he'd be good at the prices you mentioned.  Of course after I'd put the kids to bed, played poker for the evening etc, the Bookies had shortened a bit/Betfair had drifted a bit and he didn't look so good. 

I guess the lesson is just bet when you see the opportunity, whenever it is.

Silly moaning about missing one though, I have the rest right now, and maybe I can cover if he looks close to value on day 4.

cheers, good luck with em.

[horseplayer]

really is like the good ole days with the blue army

goals goals and goals

[Chompy]

Lolz. Stop that!

[Waz1892]

Derby 10/3

We are missing a lot of players through injury.

- Bruno (First choice rb)
- Chicksen (first choice lb)
- Bridcutt (best dm in champ)
- Orlandi, our best attacking player
- CMS
- Hoskins

Bridcutt and orlandi only just been announced on twitter by our local paper so bookies won't have reacted

good call!!

[tikay]

Watford 6?

Happy days.