Tips for Tikay

[Ant040689]

Just tilt bet on Brest to draw with Istres 26 mins in. 2.8 with a free bet I just realised I had. Have no idea what these guys are like.

[tikay]

Unfortunately, the tennis bet(s) went south, 6-3, 6-2.

[ripple11]

Unfortunately, the tennis bet(s) went south, 6-3, 6-2.

Unlucky as I thought the analysis was excellent....just didn't happen.

[JaffaCake]

Ha, was coming on to discuss laying these Aussies, nice opening partnership but we'd nip one out soon enough and hopefully inspire a collapse. Was just reading Adam's filure to be able to read properly and was one post away. This number 3 ain't no test batsman....anti-bok time...

Can officially blame BigAdz for us not getting on this just as the opening partnership was about to break, had a lovely lump on.....then missed another Channing special....if only he had my number!  

[JaffaCake]

Mariota stuff looks promising Tighty, hopefully we got a good sweat there at 20/1 or whatever we got

[BigAdz]

Mild touch of sentiment and a lot of confidence.

Elusivity been running in top grades sprints and been unlucky a few times in bigger fields. This is a big drop in grade and at 11/2 with PP looks worth a good ew bet. elsewhere is still fine.

£30 ew 11/2 Elusivity, and hope you dont get restricted!

[tikay]

Mild touch of sentiment and a lot of confidence.

Elusivity been running in top grades sprints and been unlucky a few times in bigger fields. This is a big drop in grade and at 11/2 with PP looks worth a good ew bet. elsewhere is still fine.

£30 ew 11/2 Elusivity, and hope you dont get restricted!

Where and when is this, please?

[Marky147]

"Mariota is next dual-threat QB breakout star

Oregon QB Marcus Mariota has an excellent chance of taking home the Heisman Trophy. He put up outstanding numbers during his redshirt freshman campaign and I believe he will post even better stats in 2013. Like Manziel, he's a dual-threat quarterback that is capable of producing highlight runs and throws on a weekly basis.

Despite the departure of Chip Kelly, the Oregon squad is positioned to compete for a national title. A late-season tilt against Stanford could provide the perfect stage for Mariota to produce his "Heisman moment." "

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap1000000229180/article/who-is-your-choice-for-2013-heisman-trophy-winner

LIKE

[a.sparrow]

Mild touch of sentiment and a lot of confidence.

Elusivity been running in top grades sprints and been unlucky a few times in bigger fields. This is a big drop in grade and at 11/2 with PP looks worth a good ew bet. elsewhere is still fine.

£30 ew 11/2 Elusivity, and hope you dont get restricted!

Where and when is this, please?

Hope Adz doesn't mind me answering for him.  Nottingham 7:05 tomorrow night.

My money is already down, but what do you think about having Queally on him rather than Tudhope?  Is that a sign with Tudhope being the stable jockey that they have a  better chance running elsewhere? I'm still learning about racing so its nice to hear views of more experienced punters.

[BigAdz]

Queally has ridden him before and statistically and probably in reality is the better jockey. Certainly got much more experience at this level.

[tikay]

Mild touch of sentiment and a lot of confidence.

Elusivity been running in top grades sprints and been unlucky a few times in bigger fields. This is a big drop in grade and at 11/2 with PP looks worth a good ew bet. elsewhere is still fine.

£30 ew 11/2 Elusivity, and hope you dont get restricted!

Where and when is this, please?

Hope Adz doesn't mind me answering for him.  Nottingham 7:05 tomorrow night.

My money is already down, but what do you think about having Queally on him rather than Tudhope?  Is that a sign with Tudhope being the stable jockey that they have a  better chance running elsewhere? I'm still learning about racing so its nice to hear views of more experienced punters.

Top man, thanks.

[tikay]

Mild touch of sentiment and a lot of confidence.

Elusivity been running in top grades sprints and been unlucky a few times in bigger fields. This is a big drop in grade and at 11/2 with PP looks worth a good ew bet. elsewhere is still fine.

£30 ew 11/2 Elusivity, and hope you dont get restricted!

Thanks Adz.

We were Restricted to £5.92 EW, I'm afraid. Never mind, it'll do, & we are on.

We have £5.92 EW @ 11/2, Paddy Power, Elusivity, 7.05 Nottingham, Tuesday.

ON

Your selections

 

NOTTINGHAM 19:05 STAKES 5f 13y
 13-08-2013 19:05
 Win or E/W
 Each Way Odds: 1/5 places 1,2,3
Elusivity @ 11/2 (GP)
 
 
Your Bets

 

 When placing an E/W bet, your total stake will be double the amount you enter in the stake box. 
 Single: Elusivity @ 11/2
 2 lines at £5.92 per line
 Total stake for this bet: £11.84
 Potential returns: £50.91
 No: O/23146337/0000340
 
 
Total stake: £11.84
 Free bets voucher: £0.00
 Total Cost: £11.84

[a.sparrow]

Queally has ridden him before and statistically and probably in reality is the better jockey. Certainly got much more experience at this level.

Cheers mate, i know you know your apples so it wasn't a question regarding the bet, just general curiosity which you have satisfied

[redarmi]

I am not sure I have ever had a bet on the Premier League.  It is such a well developed market and locking your money up for the season when it can be rolled over many times over the course of the year isn't really my thing but this year I think I may have to have a go for a couple of reasons that I don't think are really being taken into consideration by the market.  Taking all the teams in turn:

Liverpool/Tottenham - the so called live outsiders are both likely to lose their star players in Suarez and Bale.  Even if they don't given both players seem to want to go it is hard to see them operating as effectively as before even if they stay and there has to be a chance they leave in January too.  Liverpool are, in my opinion, okay value to get relegated at 500/1.  Suarez was so far and away their most important player it is incredible.  They will play a captain that is declining at a huge rate of knots and possibly shouldn't be playing but he will not be dropped and will continue to have a huge influence at the club.

Man City - Seem to be pretty solid favourites to me but a lot of new players and a new manager adds a level of unpredictability.  They are probably the most settled team in the league (of the contenders) and are a rock solid favourite at 9/4ish.

Man Utd - For years they have been a team that have outperformed their stats to a huge extent.  To all of us that uses stat analysis they have been a team that have outperformed their talent and have scored more goals than their shots data suggested that they should.  I have come to the conclusion that there is only one reason for this.  Fergusons tactical nous.  This year they won't have that.  Moyes could be as good.  He probably won't be.  As a team they will be somewhat unsettled with the Rooney stuff and if they get off to a bad start it might not bode well.  I think they should be 4-1 shots.

Chelsea - The on/off thing with Rooney can't be helping Torres and if they don't get Rooney they are stuck with a striker that the manager probably doesn't fancy and who has never really got it done there.  Added to that are the negative influences of Terry and Lampard who are past their best.  This seems a no win situation for Mourinho.  He plays them and his team are weakened.  He tries to find a way to move them out and it will take so much time and energy it will distract and disrupt.  They obviously have a decent chance but I am not sure they are 9/4 shots.

Arsenal - They have got rid of the deadwood and potentially going to sign the best upgrade they can in Suarez and even if they don't they will likely sign someone to score goals.  They have Wilshere back and a lot of continuity and still one of the best managers in the league.  They struggled with injuries last year especially in defence where Kocielny, Mertersacker and Vermalen missed 48 games between them yet they still got in the CL.  They just seem massively solid to me and I just don't understand why they aren't 7/1 shots and 11/1 with the Magic sign seems very fair to me especially EW.  Also really like 15/8 to finish in the top 3 with Ladbrokes.  In fact of the bets I think I like that one the most.  I can't have them bigger than 11/8.

[Longy]

"Mariota is next dual-threat QB breakout star

Oregon QB Marcus Mariota has an excellent chance of taking home the Heisman Trophy. He put up outstanding numbers during his redshirt freshman campaign and I believe he will post even better stats in 2013. Like Manziel, he's a dual-threat quarterback that is capable of producing highlight runs and throws on a weekly basis.

Despite the departure of Chip Kelly, the Oregon squad is positioned to compete for a national title. A late-season tilt against Stanford could provide the perfect stage for Mariota to produce his "Heisman moment." "

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap1000000229180/article/who-is-your-choice-for-2013-heisman-trophy-winner

Stanford game is easily the biggest game on the Ducks schedule. They are ranked 4 (Oregon 3) in the preseason cpaches poll and it will probably decide the winners of the PAC12 north/ PAC 12 and potentially one of the teams playing in the national championship. It is being held on a Thursday night, where there isn't any other college games on and will probably get a bigger audience in the US than the NFL game due it being on ESPN.

Manziel won the Heisman based on his performance against Alabama (National champions last year and only loss was to Manziel's Texas a&m team) which was probably the game of the year last year in college football.