Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

Racing against older horses last time too, back against his own age now?

Still clutching at the slim hope that it runs well tomorrow, and then he decides to supplement it for the St. Leger.

Racing against his own age group is probably tougher at this time of year tbh.

The Voltigeur is a recognised Leger trial, so who knows? If he bolts up today and looks like he'll get further, a supplementary entry for Doncaster wouldn't surprise at all.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £678.56

Outstanding Bets £2371.06

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=28

One bet, one loser yesterday as Monsieur Lacazette of Lyon failed to find the onion bag in their 2-0 loss to Real Sociedad. The Basques scored a couple of absolute thronkers, well worth catching online if you can

In more baseball excitement the Red sox lost the Giants and the Rays won to sweep the Orioles and tie it up at the top of the AL East.  

In cricket yesterday Northants had the better of the first day against Essex with Stephen Peters and Jumble Sales scoring hundreds. The key here is that even though Northants may not pip Lancashire to the title, they need not to lose to Essex to put us with a virtually assured each way return. So far so good

At Derby in the first division, Middlesex inexplicably won the toss and bowled. 279-6 for bottom side Derbyshire was the result. Their captain Wayne Marsden  scored a hundred becoming the first player this season over 1,000 championship runs and putting a rather large nail in the coffin of the Rogers captain most runs bet  

As well as the start of the York Ebor meeting today, its crunch time for our Ashes series bets at the Oval

We can scoop the lot, or miss out entirely, a damn sight more exciting than the Ashes themselves really at this stage

A recap

£50 Clarke top Australlia bat 5/2
£30 ew Warner top Australia bat at 25-1.Warner would need a large century here to have a squeak at the top 3

currently

Player           Inn Runs Best Average
MJ Clarke          8  346  187   49.42
CJL Rogers         8  344  110   43.00
SR Watson          8  216   68   27.00
SPD Smith          8  200   89   25.00
BJ Haddin          8  176   71   25.14
AC Agar            4  130   98   32.50
D Warner          4  120   71   30.00

£24 Swann top series bowler at 11/2, and he is three ahead

Player          Inn Wkts Average  Econ
GP Swann          8   23   27.00  2.97
RJ Harris         6   20   19.25  2.98
SCJ Broad         8   17   25.47  2.98
PM Siddle         8   17   26.29  2.81
JM Anderson       8   17   31.11  3.11

[TightEnd]

Monsieur Lacazette, Mais Non. I blame the dreadlocks, or the sponsor

Click to see full-size image.

Careful now Mr Johnson



Sales and Peters tons up for Northants



Any chance of a bad run of form, Mr Marsden?

Click to see full-size image.

Dreenie's all in



Doncaster nearly spring the upset at the Dw...

Click to see full-size image.

[Tal]

£600 ahead and a racing festival to come. Fred must be loving it

[tikay]

Racing against older horses last time too, back against his own age now?

Still clutching at the slim hope that it runs well tomorrow, and then he decides to supplement it for the St. Leger.

Racing against his own age group is probably tougher at this time of year tbh.

The Voltigeur is a recognised Leger trial, so who knows? If he bolts up today and looks like he'll get further, a supplementary entry for Doncaster wouldn't surprise at all.

A self-proclaimed expert such as Chompy with an ROI of 0.000000012% should know better - GREAT Voltiguer Stakes, please.

For those who love the history of thoroughbred racing, races with such names, which have endured many decades, are always worth a deeper look.

Hard to believe that the trainer of one of today's runners, Telescope (Sir Michael Stoute) won this very race before many of you were born, back in 1982. How extraordinary.

For a trip down Jockey, Trainer & Gee Gee Memory Lane, look at the results of this race for the last 60 odd years.....


 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Voltigeur_Stakes

[tikay]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £678.56

Outstanding Bets £2371.06

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=28

One bet, one loser yesterday as Monsieur Lacazette of Lyon failed to find the onion bag in their 2-0 loss to Real Sociedad. The Basques scored a couple of absolute thronkers, well worth catching online if you can

In more baseball excitement the Red sox lost the Giants and the Rays won to sweep the Orioles and tie it up at the top of the AL East.  

In cricket yesterday Northants had the better of the first day against Essex with Stephen Peters and Jumble Sales scoring hundreds. The key here is that even though Northants may not pip Lancashire to the title, they need not to lose to Essex to put us with a virtually assured each way return. So far so good

At Derby in the first division, Middlesex inexplicably won the toss and bowled. 279-6 for bottom side Derbyshire was the result. Their captain Wayne Marsden  scored a hundred becoming the first player this season over 1,000 championship runs and putting a rather large nail in the coffin of the Rogers captain most runs bet  

As well as the start of the York Ebor meeting today, its crunch time for our Ashes series bets at the Oval

We can scoop the lot, or miss out entirely, a damn sight more exciting than the Ashes themselves really at this stage

A recap

£50 Clarke top Australlia bat 5/2
£30 ew Warner top Australia bat at 25-1.Warner would need a large century here to have a squeak at the top 3

currently

Player           Inn Runs Best Average
MJ Clarke          8  346  187   49.42
CJL Rogers         8  344  110   43.00
SR Watson          8  216   68   27.00
SPD Smith          8  200   89   25.00
BJ Haddin          8  176   71   25.14
AC Agar            4  130   98   32.50
D Warner          4  120   71   30.00

£24 Swann top series bowler at 11/2, and he is three ahead

Player          Inn Wkts Average  Econ
GP Swann          8   23   27.00  2.97
RJ Harris         6   20   19.25  2.98
SCJ Broad         8   17   25.47  2.98
PM Siddle         8   17   26.29  2.81
JM Anderson       8   17   31.11  3.11

Thanks Rich, excellent news on the Baseball & Proper Cricket fronts.

[TightEnd]

there are three free bets to be used

Ladbrokes expiry 23rd

Betfred expiry 24th

Ladbrokes expiry 24th....

[tikay]

I'm thinking of encouraging Fred to have some fun with an NFL season long points line but need some help with a team. As a for instance, the line for the Bills is 316-360 and you can go over, under or somewhere in that range.

I read an article suggesting that the Bills could surprise with offence this season and that's the kind of thing that's needed to get a winner.

Points lines must a nightmare for the bookies, especially with so much transition in the leagues each season. Can we get a sweat going where we have a running points total over 16 Monday mornings?

Doesn't have to be the Bills obviously. I think what we are looking for is a team with a better than expected offence in a division with overrated defences. First thought was the Bengals but I think we've kind of covered that already.

Any intelligent views?

A reminder to His Tightness that he promised us his thoughts on this today.

As long as we think we can find a bit of value, what a great way to give us months of NFL fun at minimal cost. Pretty sure that we can afford, say, £100 which would last us 16 (?) weeks or so.  

[Chompy]

Racing against older horses last time too, back against his own age now?

Still clutching at the slim hope that it runs well tomorrow, and then he decides to supplement it for the St. Leger.

Racing against his own age group is probably tougher at this time of year tbh.

The Voltigeur is a recognised Leger trial, so who knows? If he bolts up today and looks like he'll get further, a supplementary entry for Doncaster wouldn't surprise at all.

A self-proclaimed expert such as Chompy with an ROI of 0.000000012% should know better - GREAT Voltiguer Stakes, please.

For those who love the history of thoroughbred racing, races with such names, which have endured many decades, are always worth a deeper look.

Hard to believe that the trainer of one of today's runners, Telescope (Sir Michael Stoute) won this very race before many of you were born, back in 1982. How extraordinary.

For a trip down Jockey, Trainer & Gee Gee Memory Lane, look at the results of this race for the last 60 odd years.....


 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Voltigeur_Stakes

'U' before 'E' except after 'Great'.

Just hope he crushes today and then heads for the Ledger.

[tikay]

Ledger - not biting.

[horseplayer]

Real Soceidad now probable qualification to the group stages is further good very early news for the top 3 bet

[hector62]

Morning Mr T.

Money has continued for Nadal all week and he is best price 11/4 now and has overtaken Murray as 2nd favourite. For that size of move in a major, the week before, means some serious money. Let us hope it is from the pro bettors who know what they are doing and not just some followers of a  luckbox icecream.

" More value pie vicar? "

[tikay]

Al Kazeem has been weak most of its runs this season

Just a very un sexy horse as opposed to the Hannon/Hughes media machine were everything Hughsie sits on is a superstar

Ladbrokes are offering £25 back if you back a horse in the Juddmonte and Al Kazeem wins.  They are best of the bookies on Toronado at 13/8, so we must bet that too.  

FWIW you can beat 7/4 on Betfair, but the bookies are a bit like the Saint and Greavsie sketch earlier when it comes to mentioning Betfair.  

The only horse I have an eye on for a free Ladbrokes bet is Foundry in the 3.05.  Seems to have come a long way given that they could probably find a softer race in Ireland...

Thanks. Try explaning THAT to Dreenie......

We have £25 @ 13/8, Toronado, 3.05 York. FREE £25 BET if Al Kazeem wins.

ON



Toronado
15:40

13/8

 Singles - Race Winner

1 line @ £25.0 per line
.
Total Stake £25.00

Potential Return £65.62

Receipt No: O/142640973/0000400

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

Money has continued for Nadal all week and he is best price 11/4 now and has overtaken Murray as 2nd favourite. For that size of move in a major, the week before, means some serious money. Let us hope it is from the pro bettors who know what they are doing and not just some followers of a  luckbox icecream.

" More value pie vicar? "

[TightEnd]

"The only horse I have an eye on for a free Ladbrokes bet is Foundry in the 3.05.  Seems to have come a long way given that they could probably find a softer race in Ireland... "

says the post.....