Tips for Tikay

[henrik777]

Not sure if Scott Brown is their main penalty taker, but he has certainly scored a few pens in the past. Would help matters!

Commons.

The penalties skewed Browns goal stats but at nearly 1 in 10 i wouldn't especially now Commons takes the spot kicks.

Shahktar were very bad before they scored and the keeper looked awful.

Celtic have only scored more than 2 once in in 8 competitive games this season and that was Cliftonville. 2 goals 3 times once against 10 men for 45 mins and once against cliftonville.


I really don't get how you guys are falling over yourselves to back Celtic scorers like we'll score 10.

Sandy

[Ironside]

Scott Brown is 13-2 biggest to score any time. Oddschecker is your friend Iron.

i know he is bigger that price listed i found the prices on oddschecker
was using those prices as examples that the punters like scott brown too score
i think brown is a talisman for celtic a bit like lampard and gerard
comes up with that little something when they really need it if celtic havent scored an early goal he will be the one pushing them forward and
trying the 25 yard belters

[celtic]

Scott Brown is 13-2 biggest to score any time. Oddschecker is your friend Iron.

i know he is bigger that price listed i found the prices on oddschecker
was using those prices as examples that the punters like scott brown too score
i think brown is a talisman for celtic a bit like lampard and gerard
comes up with that little something when they really need it if celtic havent scored an early goal he will be the one pushing them forward and
trying the 25 yard belters

brown & talisman in the same sentence? He has scored about a dozen times for celtic, maybe a bit more. He is good at firing the team up and annoying the opposition. 25 yard belters aren't what he is known for.

[Ironside]

ok i would like too recommend a value bet on tomorrows nights celtic game
i know there has already been a recommendation for FGS due too an abnormal
but i think i have spotted another rick in the bookies prices

scott brown is a shade under 10.0 on betfair with a few bookmakers having him out at 17.0
betfair is offering a special if he is the FGS then goes onto score a 2nd they will double the odds
if he scores a hattrick they will treble it
if he is fit he is a certain starter and with celtic needing goals he will be used in an attacking midfield role
if he isnt fit we get our money back
he is 3.75 on 365 too score anytime and 5.0 on betfair

i would like too recommend £5 FGS on scott brown @17.0 or above on betfred

would love the celtic brigade and the elders too dissect my thoughts please

There is no strong market on Betfair at the minute, so you can't use it as a guide.  Someone is offering just less than 10, somebody else wants less than 20.  Whilst the fact this is a game that Crltic are strong favourites should mean first goalscorer odds may be too long, the Betfair market is no real help in seeing this.

FWIW he scores about 1 game in 9 normally, so 5.0 looks to already reflect the nature of the game, and 16 FGS doesn't look like a massive rick.  Sure a fiver isn't an issue though!

That 2nd and 3rd goal bonus isn't going to add much to those that don't score frequently, but may add quite a bit of value to short priced players in matches against whipping boys*.  I haven't seem the Betfair offer, is it definitely on the exchange?

* most genuine whipping boys don't win home legs 2-0

sorry doobs my mistake its betfred thats offering that deal which is why the final recommend is on betfred havent recovered my my night out last night yet

[horseplayer]

Not sure if Scott Brown is their main penalty taker, but he has certainly scored a few pens in the past. Would help matters!

Commons.

The penalties skewed Browns goal stats but at nearly 1 in 10 i wouldn't especially now Commons takes the spot kicks.

Shahktar were very bad before they scored and the keeper looked awful.

Celtic have only scored more than 2 once in in 8 competitive games this season and that was Cliftonville. 2 goals 3 times once against 10 men for 45 mins and once against cliftonville.


I really don't get how you guys are falling over yourselves to back Celtic scorers like we'll score 10.

Sandy

Purely on the market Sandy

Hills priced up like the second leg was a pick me it isnt

[Ironside]

and i didnt check the market on betfair just saw the massive price difference on oddschacker just looked now no money traded

i now withdraw my spot of value

[redarmi]

Yeah think you are making a mistake I outlined when we were discussing the golf a few weeks ago.  For a Betfair market to be a good guide it must be liquid.  This market has had 28 quid matched on it so far and generally the FGS markets are pretty short on liquidity.  Effectively all of the liquidity on this kind of bet is with the firms so I really wouldn't take much notice of them.  Would also echo Doobs comments about the Betfred (I assume that is who it is and not Betfair) offer.  The 2nd and 3rd goal bonuses are worth a lot less for a player that scores infrequently although, of course, it still adds value.

[tikay]

and i didnt check the market on betfair just saw the massive price difference on oddschacker just looked now no money traded

i now withdraw my spot of value

OK, that is fair enough.

[henrik777]

Not sure if Scott Brown is their main penalty taker, but he has certainly scored a few pens in the past. Would help matters!

Commons.

The penalties skewed Browns goal stats but at nearly 1 in 10 i wouldn't especially now Commons takes the spot kicks.

Shahktar were very bad before they scored and the keeper looked awful.

Celtic have only scored more than 2 once in in 8 competitive games this season and that was Cliftonville. 2 goals 3 times once against 10 men for 45 mins and once against cliftonville.


I really don't get how you guys are falling over yourselves to back Celtic scorers like we'll score 10.

Sandy

Purely on the market Sandy

Hills priced up like the second leg was a pick me it isnt

Yeah but Celtic are way overpriced.

Commons isn't bad value but if i was to bet a quid i think Finonchenko @ 20 is amazing.

Sandy

[tikay]

In the Celtic game, Nico mentioned Lustig earlier, & Scotty backed it up.

Views, anyone?

Am not desperate to find another bet on the game, but if we think it reps value, we should have a bit.

[tikay]

Also playing tomorrow are Arsenal, at home, in their 2nd leg v the Turkish chaps.

Presumably we'll want to be on a cricket score?

[horseplayer]

Not sure if Scott Brown is their main penalty taker, but he has certainly scored a few pens in the past. Would help matters!

Commons.

The penalties skewed Browns goal stats but at nearly 1 in 10 i wouldn't especially now Commons takes the spot kicks.

Shahktar were very bad before they scored and the keeper looked awful.

Celtic have only scored more than 2 once in in 8 competitive games this season and that was Cliftonville. 2 goals 3 times once against 10 men for 45 mins and once against cliftonville.


I really don't get how you guys are falling over yourselves to back Celtic scorers like we'll score 10.

Sandy

Purely on the market Sandy

Hills priced up like the second leg was a pick me it isnt

Yeah but Celtic are way overpriced.

Commons isn't bad value but if i was to bet a quid i think Finonchenko @ 20 is amazing.

Sandy

Bit confused overpriced?

I dont have a view on the match odds prices but find it hard to believe anybody can think they are a long way wrong

[tikay]

It baffled me, too, because, it seemed to me that if they offer the "£50 with £50" Promo & accept the FIRST £50, then it seemed natural to expect them to accept the second £50. 

I expected the first £50 to be Restricted. Once they accepted that, I felt they were obliged to take the 2nd £50.

I NOW understand why, of course, as we have debated it, & you hacked my account to suss out my Limits.

I don't know THAT much about "Restricted Accounts" but I know a good deal more than you might think as to how & why folks get Restricted. But I STILL can't suss how you know the PRECISE limit a random can bet on Bet365. How could you possibly know the "normal" limit was £6,000?

From there, of course, it is easy to suss 10%, 5%, 1% etc, but the original figure still puzzles me. All Firms set that Limit independently, & differently. My Limits at various Firms varies. So how could you know I could get £600 on that game? 

The answer is obvious. You've hacked my Account to see what I've been punting. You have.

Have they told you that you are restricted?  When they started restricting me they phoned me and said I wasn't eligible for any future offers.

 

Not that I am aware, or recall. It just happened.

Best ask Keith, he knows all about my Bet365 Account.

[celtic]

Also playing tomorrow are Arsenal, at home, in their 2nd leg v the Turkish chaps.

Presumably we'll want to be on a cricket score?

Arsenal are playing tonight!

[tikay]

The Rabo Pro 12 (Rugby) will be kicking off soon and there may be a bit of mileage in a season long try scorer bet.

The Cardiff Arms Park, home of the Blues, has had an artificial pitch layed for this season. The old pitch was notorious for becoming a bog in the winter months and the traditional Xmas Derbys were a lottery (see video).

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/rugby-union/23775293

With mud baths a thing of the past I can see the flair players at the Blues scoring more than normal. Their biggest threat (literally) is Alex Cuthbert who I'm sure you will remember from the Lions tour. He is currently 9/1, Paddy Power (10s with Sky) to be top try scorer this season. I can see him scoring quite a few more over the winter months and bumping his 13 trys in 19 games record to closer to one a game. The only downfall is he will be away on Welsh duty for three months but I think he can run up a few trys before that starts.

Tim Visser has been top scorer the last two seasons but he is now playing for Scotland having completed his residency so will be in the same boat.

I've had £25 for a season long sweat.

This starts on the 6th September if you're interested?

Thanks Mr Rubbish.

Any of our other RU chaps got a view?

The part that slightly bothered me is him being away on International duty for 3 months of the season. Makes it a bit uphill for him to be top Club try scorer, no?