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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16367575 times)
BigAdz
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« Reply #51810 on: September 02, 2013, 10:43:58 AM »

Ladbrokes and Hills are offering their free bet if 2nd on the mobile at Hamilton again today.  From here it makes no sense, but i can't see the internal numbers. There must be enough people clicking through the casino and using free bets badly to make this a success for them.

Les Gar Gan in the first looks a must bet in the 14.10 at 11/8 with Hills.

The 15.40 looks like a can't lose race if you back either of the top 2.  3 horses and one looks absolutely dreadful.  We can't miss?  Laddies and Hills have both ducked the best price noticeably but with best price guaranteed I am not sure they can do much.  Don't back both with the same bookie.


Surely an element of this is that you give them your business. If you have sussed the game, as you have, you will win, but as it a favourites bourne recipe its not a killer, especially at the restricted level.

However the free bets(which is money you may not have bet without the offer)have time limits, and I for one have felt as an observer some of the bets have been forced due to time limits. As an Oddschecker junkie, WH are one of those that rarely get my cash based on being the best odds available, and maybe this is the leveller.

Then there are of course the rest who will just accept getting two bets for the price of one and I suspect(certainly based on some of my mates bizarre strategy) they will back the outsider with their own money and the fav with the freebie!







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Doobs
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« Reply #51811 on: September 02, 2013, 10:49:54 AM »

Is there any appetite for a golf bet.

I think Garcia is vulnerable when leading, though maybe everyone knows this.  Steve Stricker had one this before, so think he must be worth a free bet at 7/1. Use the Hills one.

Stenson has been in great form recently, and 3/1 looks a better price than Stricker's.  Using a free bet to back a 3/1 chance seems bad, and I'd be first to criticise, but I am loathe to commit real thread money the way the golf has gone at the weekend.

I'll have a ponder.

Ponder away Doobs.

3/1 already gone with Ladbrokes, so I think the free bet would be terrible on Stenson.  I have backed him with BetFred who are last offering 3/1.  Could be one for a sweat, though not sure it is value.

Edit, back Stricker with the free bet with Hills though.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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« Reply #51812 on: September 02, 2013, 10:52:56 AM »

Semi nicked from Chompy

Palace 5-1 Ladbrokes most Prem signings TDD

Could be six in, will anyone beat that?
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« Reply #51813 on: September 02, 2013, 10:55:15 AM »

Methinks our Cockrel has stopped crowing for a week....

Cockerel, dear.

And what have I done, apart from say your lot played brilliantly first half? Wenger had his tactics spot on. AVB commented that arsenal finished with four full backs on the pitch and thought this was a positive thing for spurs. But the point is that spurs had so little through the middle that Wenger was able to fill the wings with defenders and allow the midfield time to move as one to one side of the pitch or the other.
My only consolation is a lot of your fairweather prawn sandwich munching library goers will have lost their tenners betting on 5-2 Smiley



LOL, nothing mate....apart from bite

Seems harsh tbh. My love for your team is the same as it ever was.
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Ant040689
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« Reply #51814 on: September 02, 2013, 11:12:07 AM »

4/1 for the palace most signings now

anyone else offering odds?
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« Reply #51815 on: September 02, 2013, 11:12:56 AM »

Meschut Hertzill gone 2-1, 6-4, 11-10 since I posted that there link.

Had a few quid on Palarse @ 4-1 for a bit of interest, since Ollie seems to want to change his entire squad daily.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
tikay
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« Reply #51816 on: September 02, 2013, 11:14:30 AM »

4/1 for the palace most signings now

anyone else offering odds?


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/deadline-day/club-to-sign-most-players-on-deadline-day
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tikay
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« Reply #51817 on: September 02, 2013, 11:17:36 AM »



http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/deadline-day/harry-redkanpp-length-of-car-window-interview
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Doobs
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« Reply #51818 on: September 02, 2013, 11:18:18 AM »


Now best 3/1.  I tried Ladbrokes when they were 5/1.  25p max Sad
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« Reply #51819 on: September 02, 2013, 11:23:20 AM »

I've just noticed that Hills refunded on Kiyoshi yesterday, even though he was demoted to 3rd after a stewards.
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Doobs
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« Reply #51820 on: September 02, 2013, 11:23:48 AM »

Ladbrokes and Hills are offering their free bet if 2nd on the mobile at Hamilton again today.  From here it makes no sense, but i can't see the internal numbers. There must be enough people clicking through the casino and using free bets badly to make this a success for them.

Les Gar Gan in the first looks a must bet in the 14.10 at 11/8 with Hills.

The 15.40 looks like a can't lose race if you back either of the top 2.  3 horses and one looks absolutely dreadful.  We can't miss?  Laddies and Hills have both ducked the best price noticeably but with best price guaranteed I am not sure they can do much.  Don't back both with the same bookie.


Surely an element of this is that you give them your business. If you have sussed the game, as you have, you will win, but as it a favourites bourne recipe its not a killer, especially at the restricted level.

However the free bets(which is money you may not have bet without the offer)have time limits, and I for one have felt as an observer some of the bets have been forced due to time limits. As an Oddschecker junkie, WH are one of those that rarely get my cash based on being the best odds available, and maybe this is the leveller.

Then there are of course the rest who will just accept getting two bets for the price of one and I suspect(certainly based on some of my mates bizarre strategy) they will back the outsider with their own money and the fav with the freebie!








It really wasn't that long ago that I used free bets terribly myself, it wasn't until I sat down and worked it out that I wised up.

I accept some bets are forced, but even in those circumstances it is just moving a +20% bet in to a +15% one.  There is always something reasonable somewhere with Hills and Ladbrokes, just sometimes takes some time to find it.
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Chompy
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« Reply #51821 on: September 02, 2013, 11:23:52 AM »

Ladbrokes love a slash more than Charlotte Crosby.

Now 2/1 about the mighty Eagles.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
tikay
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« Reply #51822 on: September 02, 2013, 11:24:55 AM »

I've just noticed that Hills refunded on Kiyoshi yesterday, even though he was demoted to 3rd after a stewards.

Not for me.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #51823 on: September 02, 2013, 11:26:22 AM »

Ladbrokes love a slash more than Charlotte Crosby.

Now 2/1 about the mighty Eagles.


Smiley

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Doobs
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« Reply #51824 on: September 02, 2013, 11:29:14 AM »

I've just noticed that Hills refunded on Kiyoshi yesterday, even though he was demoted to 3rd after a stewards.

Not for me.

Nor me.  Maybe due a refund be because it was a home decision. Smiley
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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