Tips for Tikay

[Ant040689]

fair play on fred not backing it btw Tal, hopefully others on here will get on though.

[the sicilian]

The RP go for San Fran @ 8-1, and Cincy 25-1, Indy 50-1. Rather worryingly they agree with Spangles on 20-1 Andrew Luck.

Indy would be a headline and a half. Worst team in Football (no spurs gags, please) in 2011 and winning the superbowl in 2014. Would also be fun for Baltimore to be followed by Colts again.

The Colts became the worst team in the league mainly because Manning went down, which only enforces what a key position QB is...Luck comes in the next year and in his rookie season drags them to 11-5 behind a horrible O-line..he got hit last year...a lot but he looks very durable..unlike RGIII .Although I don't think the Colts will win the champioship but at 50-1 they look like a decent possibilty for greening out down the line.

I have watched NFL for 30 years and I believe Luck has the potential to be one of the best there ever was.. most expect him to push on from his rookie year and the colts are making improvements in some wanting areas...Cherilus at RT looks a good signing.. to take some pressure off luck to pass they have brought in Bradshaw at RB and if he can remain healthy they might start getting some decent balance.. I know the Colts want Luck to stay in the pocket more instead of running like a scared cat as his protection disintergrates..if the protection holds up he could cut secondarys to ribbons..

I have Luck ew most passing this year and I feel he can break into the top 4... and have him at 21-1 which i feel is the sort of value the thread aspires to..

Also and this is a recommend... the line of 2.0 over 8.5 season wins looks a little off..they have a soft division apart from the Texans who they split with last year and a soft schedule... i identified at least 8 paper comfortable wins on their schedule and put them about 10-6... i mentioned this to tighty and he agreed.. I actually pressed the max button for this on 365 expecting something silly like 12 grand and was a little spooked it was the £300 i was going to wager anyway..

Saying that Luck will do his ACL week 1 and ill be screwed...lol


SEASON SWEAT RECOMMEND COLTS OVER 8.5 SEASON WINS @2.0 365 OR OTHER VARIOUS..AT LEAST A £100

Thanks Dean.

There seems to be two suggestions there, I'll deal with "Luck" seperately.

Any views from anyone on the Colts suggestion, Over 8.5 Wins @ Evens?

I'll try & find the Oddschecker page, so we can see what's what. I doubt 365 will allow me £100, but others may offer it, too.

LOL Irony ?

[TightEnd]

added above

Players

Most Regular Season Passing Yards   Matthew Stafford 6/1   100 Detroit Lions
Most Regular Season Passing Yards   Drew Brees   3/1   160 New Orleans Saints
Most Regular Season Passing Yards   Matt Ryan           10/1   66 Atlanta Falcons

[tikay]

added above

Players

Most Regular Season Passing Yards   Matthew Stafford 6/1   100 Detroit Lions
Most Regular Season Passing Yards   Drew Brees   3/1   160 New Orleans Saints
Most Regular Season Passing Yards   Matt Ryan           10/1   66 Atlanta Falcons

Perfect, thanks.

[tikay]

The Colts Oddschecker link.....


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl-specials/indianapolis-colts/regular-season-wins

[tikay]

The RP go for San Fran @ 8-1, and Cincy 25-1, Indy 50-1. Rather worryingly they agree with Spangles on 20-1 Andrew Luck.

Indy would be a headline and a half. Worst team in Football (no spurs gags, please) in 2011 and winning the superbowl in 2014. Would also be fun for Baltimore to be followed by Colts again.

The Colts became the worst team in the league mainly because Manning went down, which only enforces what a key position QB is...Luck comes in the next year and in his rookie season drags them to 11-5 behind a horrible O-line..he got hit last year...a lot but he looks very durable..unlike RGIII .Although I don't think the Colts will win the champioship but at 50-1 they look like a decent possibilty for greening out down the line.

I have watched NFL for 30 years and I believe Luck has the potential to be one of the best there ever was.. most expect him to push on from his rookie year and the colts are making improvements in some wanting areas...Cherilus at RT looks a good signing.. to take some pressure off luck to pass they have brought in Bradshaw at RB and if he can remain healthy they might start getting some decent balance.. I know the Colts want Luck to stay in the pocket more instead of running like a scared cat as his protection disintergrates..if the protection holds up he could cut secondarys to ribbons..

I have Luck ew most passing this year and I feel he can break into the top 4... and have him at 21-1 which i feel is the sort of value the thread aspires to..


Also and this is a recommend... the line of 2.0 over 8.5 season wins looks a little off..they have a soft division apart from the Texans who they split with last year and a soft schedule... i identified at least 8 paper comfortable wins on their schedule and put them about 10-6... i mentioned this to tighty and he agreed.. I actually pressed the max button for this on 365 expecting something silly like 12 grand and was a little spooked it was the £300 i was going to wager anyway..

Saying that Luck will do his ACL week 1 and ill be screwed...lol


SEASON SWEAT RECOMMEND COLTS OVER 8.5 SEASON WINS @2.0 365 OR OTHER VARIOUS..AT LEAST A £100

Anyone help me with this, please?

Note we have around £350 invested in the Passing Yards market at present, but I'm not averse to more - Fred does very well at NFL.

[TightEnd]

I checked the Bengals position, as they have become a very fashionable pick by the cognoscenti in the US

We are on at 16/1 conference and 23/10 division

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/afc/winner

Currently 10/1 and 2/1 best

The Bengals have a tough start, away at Chicago on Sunday. If they were to win that and then go 3-2 over their start, then I'd be reasonably bullish as the schedule appears to ease out after that. In so far as you can tell at this stage

[Marky147]

The Colts Oddschecker link.....


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl-specials/indianapolis-colts/regular-season-wins

I think Dean mentions that Tighty agreed with his appraisal of the Indy schedule in his recommendation Tikay.

[the sicilian]

The RP go for San Fran @ 8-1, and Cincy 25-1, Indy 50-1. Rather worryingly they agree with Spangles on 20-1 Andrew Luck.

Indy would be a headline and a half. Worst team in Football (no spurs gags, please) in 2011 and winning the superbowl in 2014. Would also be fun for Baltimore to be followed by Colts again.

The Colts became the worst team in the league mainly because Manning went down, which only enforces what a key position QB is...Luck comes in the next year and in his rookie season drags them to 11-5 behind a horrible O-line..he got hit last year...a lot but he looks very durable..unlike RGIII .Although I don't think the Colts will win the champioship but at 50-1 they look like a decent possibilty for greening out down the line.

I have watched NFL for 30 years and I believe Luck has the potential to be one of the best there ever was.. most expect him to push on from his rookie year and the colts are making improvements in some wanting areas...Cherilus at RT looks a good signing.. to take some pressure off luck to pass they have brought in Bradshaw at RB and if he can remain healthy they might start getting some decent balance.. I know the Colts want Luck to stay in the pocket more instead of running like a scared cat as his protection disintergrates..if the protection holds up he could cut secondarys to ribbons..

I have Luck ew most passing this year and I feel he can break into the top 4... and have him at 21-1 which i feel is the sort of value the thread aspires to..


Also and this is a recommend... the line of 2.0 over 8.5 season wins looks a little off..they have a soft division apart from the Texans who they split with last year and a soft schedule... i identified at least 8 paper comfortable wins on their schedule and put them about 10-6... i mentioned this to tighty and he agreed.. I actually pressed the max button for this on 365 expecting something silly like 12 grand and was a little spooked it was the £300 i was going to wager anyway..

Saying that Luck will do his ACL week 1 and ill be screwed...lol


SEASON SWEAT RECOMMEND COLTS OVER 8.5 SEASON WINS @2.0 365 OR OTHER VARIOUS..AT LEAST A £100

Anyone help me with this, please?

Note we have around £350 invested in the Passing Yards market at present, but I'm not averse to more - Fred does very well at NFL.

At 21-1 feel its good E/W value

[TightEnd]

The RP go for San Fran @ 8-1, and Cincy 25-1, Indy 50-1. Rather worryingly they agree with Spangles on 20-1 Andrew Luck.

Indy would be a headline and a half. Worst team in Football (no spurs gags, please) in 2011 and winning the superbowl in 2014. Would also be fun for Baltimore to be followed by Colts again.

The Colts became the worst team in the league mainly because Manning went down, which only enforces what a key position QB is...Luck comes in the next year and in his rookie season drags them to 11-5 behind a horrible O-line..he got hit last year...a lot but he looks very durable..unlike RGIII .Although I don't think the Colts will win the champioship but at 50-1 they look like a decent possibilty for greening out down the line.

I have watched NFL for 30 years and I believe Luck has the potential to be one of the best there ever was.. most expect him to push on from his rookie year and the colts are making improvements in some wanting areas...Cherilus at RT looks a good signing.. to take some pressure off luck to pass they have brought in Bradshaw at RB and if he can remain healthy they might start getting some decent balance.. I know the Colts want Luck to stay in the pocket more instead of running like a scared cat as his protection disintergrates..if the protection holds up he could cut secondarys to ribbons..

I have Luck ew most passing this year and I feel he can break into the top 4... and have him at 21-1 which i feel is the sort of value the thread aspires to..


Also and this is a recommend... the line of 2.0 over 8.5 season wins looks a little off..they have a soft division apart from the Texans who they split with last year and a soft schedule... i identified at least 8 paper comfortable wins on their schedule and put them about 10-6... i mentioned this to tighty and he agreed.. I actually pressed the max button for this on 365 expecting something silly like 12 grand and was a little spooked it was the £300 i was going to wager anyway..

Saying that Luck will do his ACL week 1 and ill be screwed...lol


SEASON SWEAT RECOMMEND COLTS OVER 8.5 SEASON WINS @2.0 365 OR OTHER VARIOUS..AT LEAST A £100

Anyone help me with this, please?

Note we have around £350 invested in the Passing Yards market at present, but I'm not averse to more - Fred does very well at NFL.

FWIW, I liked Indy over 8 wins. 11 last year made the play offs, better team this. Had absolutely no defense at all last year, and there is more depth this.

I don't think we need more passing yard exposure. iirc redarmi (i think) put the bets up sized as a portfolio that worked well together

As to Indy, if Ahmad Bradshaw stays fit for a season I'll be very surprised. the L should be better, but couldn't be much worse

[kukushkin88]

The RP go for San Fran @ 8-1, and Cincy 25-1, Indy 50-1. Rather worryingly they agree with Spangles on 20-1 Andrew Luck.

Indy would be a headline and a half. Worst team in Football (no spurs gags, please) in 2011 and winning the superbowl in 2014. Would also be fun for Baltimore to be followed by Colts again.

The Colts became the worst team in the league mainly because Manning went down, which only enforces what a key position QB is...Luck comes in the next year and in his rookie season drags them to 11-5 behind a horrible O-line..he got hit last year...a lot but he looks very durable..unlike RGIII .Although I don't think the Colts will win the champioship but at 50-1 they look like a decent possibilty for greening out down the line.

I have watched NFL for 30 years and I believe Luck has the potential to be one of the best there ever was.. most expect him to push on from his rookie year and the colts are making improvements in some wanting areas...Cherilus at RT looks a good signing.. to take some pressure off luck to pass they have brought in Bradshaw at RB and if he can remain healthy they might start getting some decent balance.. I know the Colts want Luck to stay in the pocket more instead of running like a scared cat as his protection disintergrates..if the protection holds up he could cut secondarys to ribbons..

I have Luck ew most passing this year and I feel he can break into the top 4... and have him at 21-1 which i feel is the sort of value the thread aspires to..


Also and this is a recommend... the line of 2.0 over 8.5 season wins looks a little off..they have a soft division apart from the Texans who they split with last year and a soft schedule... i identified at least 8 paper comfortable wins on their schedule and put them about 10-6... i mentioned this to tighty and he agreed.. I actually pressed the max button for this on 365 expecting something silly like 12 grand and was a little spooked it was the £300 i was going to wager anyway..

Saying that Luck will do his ACL week 1 and ill be screwed...lol


SEASON SWEAT RECOMMEND COLTS OVER 8.5 SEASON WINS @2.0 365 OR OTHER VARIOUS..AT LEAST A £100

Anyone help me with this, please?

Note we have around £350 invested in the Passing Yards market at present, but I'm not averse to more - Fred does very well at NFL.

I'm confident in the Luck bet, I think the bookies possibly overestimate how much they'll be running it this year (if they think about in that depth). The under/over on the wins looks about right to me, this is a team that played beyond their talent and ran well in the tight ones last year.

[tikay]

The RP go for San Fran @ 8-1, and Cincy 25-1, Indy 50-1. Rather worryingly they agree with Spangles on 20-1 Andrew Luck.

Indy would be a headline and a half. Worst team in Football (no spurs gags, please) in 2011 and winning the superbowl in 2014. Would also be fun for Baltimore to be followed by Colts again.

The Colts became the worst team in the league mainly because Manning went down, which only enforces what a key position QB is...Luck comes in the next year and in his rookie season drags them to 11-5 behind a horrible O-line..he got hit last year...a lot but he looks very durable..unlike RGIII .Although I don't think the Colts will win the champioship but at 50-1 they look like a decent possibilty for greening out down the line.

I have watched NFL for 30 years and I believe Luck has the potential to be one of the best there ever was.. most expect him to push on from his rookie year and the colts are making improvements in some wanting areas...Cherilus at RT looks a good signing.. to take some pressure off luck to pass they have brought in Bradshaw at RB and if he can remain healthy they might start getting some decent balance.. I know the Colts want Luck to stay in the pocket more instead of running like a scared cat as his protection disintergrates..if the protection holds up he could cut secondarys to ribbons..

I have Luck ew most passing this year and I feel he can break into the top 4... and have him at 21-1 which i feel is the sort of value the thread aspires to..


Also and this is a recommend... the line of 2.0 over 8.5 season wins looks a little off..they have a soft division apart from the Texans who they split with last year and a soft schedule... i identified at least 8 paper comfortable wins on their schedule and put them about 10-6... i mentioned this to tighty and he agreed.. I actually pressed the max button for this on 365 expecting something silly like 12 grand and was a little spooked it was the £300 i was going to wager anyway..

Saying that Luck will do his ACL week 1 and ill be screwed...lol


SEASON SWEAT RECOMMEND COLTS OVER 8.5 SEASON WINS @2.0 365 OR OTHER VARIOUS..AT LEAST A £100

Anyone help me with this, please?

Note we have around £350 invested in the Passing Yards market at present, but I'm not averse to more - Fred does very well at NFL.

FWIW, I liked Indy over 8 wins. 11 last year made the play offs, better team this. Had absolutely no defense at all last year, and there is more depth this.

I don't think we need more passing yard exposure. iirc redarmi (i think) put the bets up sized as a portfolio that worked well together

As to Indy, if Ahmad Bradshaw stays fit for a season I'll be very surprised. the L should be better, but couldn't be much worse

Thanks, I'll look at that Cots bet a bit later. Oddly, I discussed that very bet with an NFL Guru last week, & he was bang against it!

The "Passing Yards" portfolio was put up by bobby, not redarmi, fwiw.

[TightEnd]

http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/sort/quarterbackRating

Has all the Luck stats you need

He needs to go from about 275 yards passing a game last season to 325 a game this

[tikay]

The RP go for San Fran @ 8-1, and Cincy 25-1, Indy 50-1. Rather worryingly they agree with Spangles on 20-1 Andrew Luck.

Indy would be a headline and a half. Worst team in Football (no spurs gags, please) in 2011 and winning the superbowl in 2014. Would also be fun for Baltimore to be followed by Colts again.

The Colts became the worst team in the league mainly because Manning went down, which only enforces what a key position QB is...Luck comes in the next year and in his rookie season drags them to 11-5 behind a horrible O-line..he got hit last year...a lot but he looks very durable..unlike RGIII .Although I don't think the Colts will win the champioship but at 50-1 they look like a decent possibilty for greening out down the line.

I have watched NFL for 30 years and I believe Luck has the potential to be one of the best there ever was.. most expect him to push on from his rookie year and the colts are making improvements in some wanting areas...Cherilus at RT looks a good signing.. to take some pressure off luck to pass they have brought in Bradshaw at RB and if he can remain healthy they might start getting some decent balance.. I know the Colts want Luck to stay in the pocket more instead of running like a scared cat as his protection disintergrates..if the protection holds up he could cut secondarys to ribbons..

I have Luck ew most passing this year and I feel he can break into the top 4... and have him at 21-1 which i feel is the sort of value the thread aspires to..


Also and this is a recommend... the line of 2.0 over 8.5 season wins looks a little off..they have a soft division apart from the Texans who they split with last year and a soft schedule... i identified at least 8 paper comfortable wins on their schedule and put them about 10-6... i mentioned this to tighty and he agreed.. I actually pressed the max button for this on 365 expecting something silly like 12 grand and was a little spooked it was the £300 i was going to wager anyway..

Saying that Luck will do his ACL week 1 and ill be screwed...lol


SEASON SWEAT RECOMMEND COLTS OVER 8.5 SEASON WINS @2.0 365 OR OTHER VARIOUS..AT LEAST A £100

Anyone help me with this, please?

Note we have around £350 invested in the Passing Yards market at present, but I'm not averse to more - Fred does very well at NFL.

I'm confident in the Luck bet, I think the bookies possibly overestimate how much they'll be running it this year (if they think about in that depth). The under/over on the wins looks about right to me, this is a team that played beyond their talent and ran well in the tight ones last year.

Precisely the advice I got last week, that it was not a bet at that price, as the price was right.

I'll have a ponder & dither.

[tikay]

http://espn.go.com/nfl/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/sort/quarterbackRating

Has all the Luck stats you need

He needs to go from about 275 yards passing a game last season to 325 a game this

Crikey.

So he needs to do 20% better than last Season for the bet to win, so we'd have to want him to be 30% better?