Tips for Tikay

[Ironside]

thats not my point

the draw is not for two months. why bet now?

its a ludicrous competition nowadays anyway. No idea which teams will take it seriously anyway

in 2 months time west ham swansea and southampton could/should be sitting 7-12 in the league and there best prices will be nearer the 35-40 mark IMHO

but i take your point that its early in the season for making these bets as injures etc and one of the top 4 could have a bad ECL campaign and set there targets on the cup

[redarmi]

thats not my point

the draw is not for two months. why bet now?

its a ludicrous competition nowadays anyway. No idea which teams will take it seriously anyway

in 2 months time west ham swansea and southampton could/should be sitting 7-12 in the league and there best prices will be nearer the 35-40 mark IMHO

but i take your point that its early in the season for making these bets as injures etc and one of the top 4 could have a bad ECL campaign and set there targets on the cup

You are missing the point Iron.  The chances of them all sitting 7-12 in the league are probably about 3/1 and you are getting only 25% better for your money and you are tying your money up for two months when you could probably earn more on that part of your roll by simply turning it over with other +EV propositions.  Furthermore there tends to be a negative correlation between teams doing well in the league and taking the Cup seriously especially with the continental managers.  If any of these teams have a chance of a UEFA Cup spot they will likely rest players, similarly if they are in, or near, the relegation zone and sometimes they just do it anyway because they think it is a chance to give their teams a break.  Also the 3rd round draw is vital.  If they get another premiership side they pretty much automatically cannot be less than 40-1.  I would be pretty amazed if you couldn't bet at least two of the teams at this price or better as they are kicking off in January.

[Waz1892]

FA cup has no betting value these days. You can generally narrow it down to 3 cities. And about 5 teams, all which are low odds generally.

Since 72/73, there has been only 2 cup finals not to feature a merseyside, Manchester or London club.

And they are boring finals, the last one to feature more than 3 goals was Liverpool vs West Ham

[Ironside]

FA cup has no betting value these days. You can generally narrow it down to 3 cities. And about 5 teams, all which are low odds generally.

Since 72/73, there has been only 2 cup finals not to feature a merseyside, Manchester or London club.

And they are boring finals, the last one to feature more than 3 goals was Liverpool vs West Ham

you could say that about the top 10 in the english premier top 6 is boring and is made up of those 3 cities with i think its 10 out of the 20 coming from those 3 cities this year

[Waz1892]

FA cup has no betting value these days. You can generally narrow it down to 3 cities. And about 5 teams, all which are low odds generally.

Since 72/73, there has been only 2 cup finals not to feature a merseyside, Manchester or London club.

And they are boring finals, the last one to feature more than 3 goals was Liverpool vs West Ham

you could say that about the top 10 in the english premier top 6 is boring and is made up of those 3 cities with i think its 10 out of the 20 coming from those 3 cities this year

Yes, but I'm meaning the FA Cup for betting wise.  Just Little point in it these days.

The prem has kind of adapted so its now about top 4 as much as winner from a betting perspective

[TheDazzler]

The All Ireland hurling between Clare and Cork ended in a draw. Cracking game.
Clare were in front all the way, Cork edged in front right at the end and Clare equalized with virtually the last touch.

[Snowball]

The All Ireland hurling between Clare and Cork ended in a draw. Cracking game.
Clare were in front all the way, Cork edged in front right at the end and Clare equalized with virtually the last touch.

GAA get what they want again, same as last year, blatant cheating from the Ref so they get a replay and more coin.

[a.sparrow]

I was so confused by the scoring lol, seemed like a very exciting game though.

[bobby1]

A couple of NFL bets Tony is on but cannot post as he is working the final table in Newcastle

£60 Benjarvis Green Ellis under 62.5 rushing yards 5/6 with Paddy Power

Going to be sharing carries with Giovanni Bernard, would expect him to have less carries than these stats are based on this game, most firms left it down due to this but Paddy have stuck it up.

£55 Arian Foster to have under 19.5 carries in the Houston v San Diego game at 10/11 with Laddies, tho this line has been trimmed to 18.5 now but prob still ok.

Usually I am a disbeliever when coaches say they are going to do one thing as it usually means another but on this occasion Foster has missed the pre season with a nagging injury and the coach has said he will probably rotate carries with Ben Tate. Foster averaged 22 carrries a game last year and it makes sense for him to be eased back instead of carrying a full load.

'''Foster and backup Ben Tate will alternate at running back during Monday night's season opener in San Diego, the Houston Chronicle reports. "We're going to rotate," Texans head coach Gary Kubiak said Saturday.

Analysis: What exactly Kubiak is referring to when he says "rotate" or how he plans to divvy up the carries between Foster and Tate is not clear. Are we looking at a situation where the backs alternate each drive/possession? Does Kubiak envision a 50/50 split in carries?'''


Think there is enough there to bet the under 18.5 at 10/11 even tho it was 19.5 yesterday. This game is on Tuesday morning but I'm not sure the line will last until then unless more news appears.

cheers

[JoeBeevers]

A couple of NFL bets Tony is on but cannot post as he is working the final table in Newcastle

£60 Benjarvis Green Ellis under 62.5 rushing yards 5/6 with Paddy Power

Going to be sharing carries with Giovanni Bernard, would expect him to have less carries than these stats are based on this game, most firms left it down due to this but Paddy have stuck it up.

£55 Arian Foster to have under 19.5 carries in the Houston v San Diego game at 10/11 with Laddies, tho this line has been trimmed to 18.5 now but prob still ok.

Usually I am a disbeliever when coaches say they are going to do one thing as it usually means another but on this occasion Foster has missed the pre season with a nagging injury and the coach has said he will probably rotate carries with Ben Tate. Foster averaged 22 carrries a game last year and it makes sense for him to be eased back instead of carrying a full load.

'''Foster and backup Ben Tate will alternate at running back during Monday night's season opener in San Diego, the Houston Chronicle reports. "We're going to rotate," Texans head coach Gary Kubiak said Saturday.

Analysis: What exactly Kubiak is referring to when he says "rotate" or how he plans to divvy up the carries between Foster and Tate is not clear. Are we looking at a situation where the backs alternate each drive/possession? Does Kubiak envision a 50/50 split in carries?'''


Think there is enough there to bet the under 18.5 at 10/11 even tho it was 19.5 yesterday. This game is on Tuesday morning but I'm not sure the line will last until then unless more news appears.

cheers

You might like another way to get against Foster in the total rushing yards markets.

Last year Foster total rushing was 1424 yards with an avg of 4.1 yards per carry..
18.5 carries would average 75.85

You can bet under 87.5 10/11 Sky, under 85.5 at 10/11 VC and under 84.5 PP 5/6 (Lads are 80.5)

[JoeBeevers]

VC now 4/5

Shame you won't use Sky, although max bets there are very small anyway.

Would recommend £60 5/6 PP or even £50 4/5 VC for Fred.

[TightEnd]

I am also doing a final table

I can't find it anywhere

Market for David Wilson NYG Rushing Yards v Dallas tonight please (He is going to run for a lot of yards)

Told it was on Ladbrokes, searched and searched but no, I couldn't see it...


If anyone finds it link please!

[bobby1]

A couple of NFL bets Tony is on but cannot post as he is working the final table in Newcastle

£60 Benjarvis Green Ellis under 62.5 rushing yards 5/6 with Paddy Power

Going to be sharing carries with Giovanni Bernard, would expect him to have less carries than these stats are based on this game, most firms left it down due to this but Paddy have stuck it up.

£55 Arian Foster to have under 19.5 carries in the Houston v San Diego game at 10/11 with Laddies, tho this line has been trimmed to 18.5 now but prob still ok.

Usually I am a disbeliever when coaches say they are going to do one thing as it usually means another but on this occasion Foster has missed the pre season with a nagging injury and the coach has said he will probably rotate carries with Ben Tate. Foster averaged 22 carrries a game last year and it makes sense for him to be eased back instead of carrying a full load.

'''Foster and backup Ben Tate will alternate at running back during Monday night's season opener in San Diego, the Houston Chronicle reports. "We're going to rotate," Texans head coach Gary Kubiak said Saturday.

Analysis: What exactly Kubiak is referring to when he says "rotate" or how he plans to divvy up the carries between Foster and Tate is not clear. Are we looking at a situation where the backs alternate each drive/possession? Does Kubiak envision a 50/50 split in carries?'''


Think there is enough there to bet the under 18.5 at 10/11 even tho it was 19.5 yesterday. This game is on Tuesday morning but I'm not sure the line will last until then unless more news appears.

cheers

You might like another way to get against Foster in the total rushing yards markets.

Last year Foster total rushing was 1424 yards with an avg of 4.1 yards per carry..
18.5 carries would average 75.85

You can bet under 87.5 10/11 Sky, under 85.5 at 10/11 VC and under 84.5 PP 5/6 (Lads are 80.5)

deffo good value too.

[bobby1]

http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/searchresults?searchTerm=player+props

will be on there Rich, will have a look around if I get time but possibly wont be able to.

[horseplayer]

I am also doing a final table

I can't find it anywhere

Market for David Wilson NYG Rushing Yards v Dallas tonight please (He is going to run for a lot of yards)

Told it was on Ladbrokes, searched and searched but no, I couldn't see it...


If anyone finds it link please!

no idea what it means but bobby link worked for me

10/11
Over 75.5
Total Rushing Yards - D ..