Tips for Tikay

[BigAdz]

Anyone got any US Dollars they want to sell?

"Wristy" Stenson probably.

[BigAdz]

At the risk of late notice, I've just arrived for a haircut.

No BadBeat surprise tips for the next hour, please.

Thanks in advance

FFS what if an ex-Spurs player appears on Sky Sports News or something?  Come on Channing one time.....

Any ideas why there were 34 guests viewing Fred at 1am and none 40 mins later, with nuthin happening in between?

Search engine bots, Jeff. They back all Fred's stuff.

I don't take anything u say seriously, particularly when technology is involved, but weirdly enough I had a beer with a couple of odds setters the other day who have no interest in poker in the slightest, but they'd heard of this thread and some of the info within it....more from the point of view they wanna bet on some of the golden nuggets posted (in between the spurs updates).

As an aside they both opposed 'uddersfield that night (last week) in the rugby league, but as Fred had already followed the milkman, and why wouldn't he, I didn't pass that on. We got on Wigan at -8.5 as well for the proper banzai which BidAdz-ed its way home....they're fans of opposing the 'udders again tomoro night. 'Ull are +10 on the 'andicap

Jeff. I think we could do with knowing who your mates work for!

[tikay]

We'll want to be sticking with LeSean McCoy if they keep pricing it up like that. What price first TD at Denver? There's a very high chance it'll be too big.

It was a tremendous bet Kuku, thank you, & I'm not in the least deterred. If it wins once in 4 & we can get 7/1, we'd do it every day if we could.

Keep us informed if you find time, please.

[Nico29]

Think this weekend could be one for opposing a few of the favourites in the prem.

Liverpool minus the rather special Coutinho seem very short v the saints @1.62, even though Sturridge can't stop scoring he freely admits he isn't 100% fit either right now. Last league game without Suarez for them I believe and it's one to look into.

Arsenal @1.38 versus an form potters outfit look rather skinny, as do Newcastle @1.82 against a Hull side who would have many more points had they converted numerous chances. One or two of those will have to go in surely. Might just back Hull@9-2 rather than lay Newcastle here.

Am flirting with the idea of opposing Chelsea at 1.32 but Fulham are so anemic i'll prob wait and see if they get much shorter. Also don't like the idea of backing Spurs odds on@ 1.9 to the tricky Cardiff, especially with AVB complaining over fixture congestion with a league cup match on Tuesday meaning 3 games in 5 days. Cant decide on this one though, would want slightly bigger on Cardiff double chance so just a no bet game for me unless spurs get shorter.

Would appreciate thoughts, as of now i'm def having small to medium bets on the first three, but could certainly be convinced to go larger. Prob like the Liverpool lay the most out of the three, carrying on from last season I believe Liverpool are being priced very short for a team of their recent achievements and that Southampton are a dangerous outfit who I would expect to cause numerous problems to a new look and rather shaky looking reds defence.

If I was reccing any bet for fred it would be that one, probs for around £50. But this post was more about gathering ppls opinions.

[TightEnd]

I've written on all these games elsewhere but one of the things I think is being under-rated is how solid Southampton are at the back. Lovren and Wanyama are two of the better signings into the league this season

Only conceded 2 goals in 4 games this season

and since the end of February last season only conceded more than 1 goal in 11 league games, and thats before the squad was strengthened

This of course is in marked contrast to the Adkins team

Obviously Liverpool away is a different kettle of fish in terms of this seasons games but what you do have if siding with Southampton is at least the notion that its difficult to break them down

That spine of

Boruc - Lovren -Wanyama/Schnederlin

is the reason not to be taking short prices top six teams v Southampton this season, I think

[Dubai]

Ive had a big bet under 2.5

[McGlashan]

I'm on unders at Chelsea and Liverpool.

[Nico29]

Def surprised unders is the dog in pool game.

Only thing that worries me is how shaky Liverpool looked at the back versus Swansea, and tbh in other games like against villa when they weren't penalised.

Can def see Lambert and co penetrating that defence, need to check if Agger is back though as makes a big diff.

All of this is tempting me to go for a speculative bet on the saints@6's as well as the lay.

[TightEnd]

Both teams to score - No at Liverpool is the dog too

Chelsea to win to Nil is 11/10 Coral, odds on everywhere else (Chelsea 1/3 outright) and not rotating that back 5 much. Quite liked that

[TightEnd]

Rugby, feeling guilty just so snowed under and missing writing proper stuff on here

Hector...Wasps 7/5 to win at Sale tonight is a good price, yes? Wasps improved off-season, plenty of firepower. Sale a bottom four side for me.

[DungBeetle]

I am swimming against the tide, but I think Southampton are being continually over respected by the bookies at the moment.

They have had games against Norwich, WBA, West Ham and Sunderland and garnered 5 points. To me that is a disappointing haul, yet the spread firms have them 1.5 point higher than where they started the season.  Now I've no doubt the squad looks strong, and they may well improve as the season goes on, but I feel until they start backing it up with results then they should be swerved (or laid when favs).

This game is their first big test, and I'm struggling to see beyond a Liverpool win.  No bet for me.  Liverpool to win "to nil" if pushed.

[Tal]

I don't see any creativity in the Liverpool side without Coutinho. Gerrard is a shadow if his former self and can't get box to box like he used to. Sturridge might have a frustrating day unless the ref is whistle-happy.

At the risk of a daft question...How badly wrong can bookies get premiership outright markets?

It's an interesting game, though. Unders seems a good bet, but that now means a flurry of first half goals. Apologies!

[Junior Senior]

I don't see any creativity in the Liverpool side without Coutinho. Gerrard is a shadow if his former self and can't get box to box like he used to. Sturridge might have a frustrating day unless the ref is whistle-happy.

At the risk of a daft question...How badly wrong can bookies get premiership outright markets?

It's an interesting game, though. Unders seems a good bet, but that now means a flurry of first half goals. Apologies!

Few people Round tipping this bet. 21/20 best i can see ATM.

[Junior Senior]

Also like west ham v everton and west brom v sunderland on the under 2.5 market but would 4/5 be considered value?

[Nico29]

I don't see any creativity in the Liverpool side without Coutinho. Gerrard is a shadow if his former self and can't get box to box like he used to. Sturridge might have a frustrating day unless the ref is whistle-happy.

At the risk of a daft question...How badly wrong can bookies get premiership outright markets?

It's an interesting game, though. Unders seems a good bet, but that now means a flurry of first half goals. Apologies!

It's a fair question, and it's unlikely they will ever get any particular match 'that' wrong, however, I believe there are small edges, such as taking the best price available and taking an opinion that certain factors have been put into the market too much, such as Liverpool being top this early and perhaps Southampton not yet scoring from open play.

I also believe the books will openly give smidgens of value as they know exactly where blind money will automatically go, making the other side too large. All a bit vague but just my view of attempting to gain value in the prem.