Tips for Tikay

[Simon Galloway]

PP offer money back (£100 max) on Superbowl if Broncos or 49s win*

£100 9/2 Seahawks therefore has to be value?

*PP reserve the right to exclude certain customers, so it would be good to know if Fred was excluded as it wouldn't be a bet without.....

Fred is limited with Paddy.

I'm limited with Paddy.  I just got in writing from them that I am eligible for website offers, so as long as the trader accepts the bet, the website offer applies.

With that in place, I think it is a clear bet.

[Doobs]

Got to do all these on will hill mobile as they are close to top price in all.

2.00 Berkshire at Evens
2.35 Kiyoshi at 5/2.  We want Vorda to win, but this one is much shorter in the 1000 Guineas betting, so we should oppose Vorda today.  
3.10 Sky Lantern at 2/1

One post, one acknowledgement, no thread clogging.  One post, 100 moans, thread clogged.

If this is too much trouble this weekend then fair enough.

Hope Tikay's and Tighty's weekends aren't so bad.

DONE.

Note that we currently have THREE "£25 Free Bets" sitting on the Wm Hill Account. ANYONE can suggest a use for them, but the bets have to fit the optimal model for their use, i.e., longish price.

So, we have these three bets today.

All for £25

All with Wm Hill Mobile

All £25 Free Bet if 2nd.

All @ Guaranteed Price.

All @ Newmarket.


2pm - Berkshire, @ Evens

2.25 - Kiyoshi @ 5/2

3.05 - Sky Lantern @ 2/1

ON


28 Sep 13 / 09:26

Stake

2:35 Newmarket – Kiyoshi @ Guaranteed Price (5/2)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000682/F



28 Sep 13 / 09:26

Stake

3:10 Newmarket – Sky Lantern @ Guaranteed Price (2/1)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000683/F



28 Sep 13 / 09:26

Stake

2:00 Newmarket – Berkshire @ Guaranteed Price (EVS)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000681/F

I picked out Seek Again for a free bet in the Cambridgeshire, but think it is much better with 5 places on bet365 or at 18/1 6 places on Sky.  Absolute punt, but John Gosden 3 year old late season, lightly raced, some nice form, ground in favour all seem good things.

Go on, convinced myself, will free bet it too!

Is that a Recommend?

Sheesh, that'd be some value if it won as a Free Bet.

Anyone else got a view on using one of our three x £25 Free Bets on this?

The expiry date of the earliest one is Tuesday.

It is a weird route to the Cambridgeshire.  It has some nice form, is picked up by the Racing Post as one to follow, then runs in a couple of all weather races for no obvious benefit, then shows up here lightly weighted.  It is either a cunning plan, or I have it hopelessly wrong and it comes last.  Can't say I am sure which.

Let's go for it.  Free bet Seek Again £25 free bet in the biggest crapshoot of the year so far.  Way to christen the new thread.

Edit.  Price gone. Forget it.

[tikay]

I'd just warmed to the idea of Seek Again, then the market moved.

I'll have to back it myself now, all those little clues look too enticing to miss.

Funny how these clues look so obvious BEFORE the race, then afterwards, when it ends down the field & was never off a yard, we say to ourselves "what were we thinking?"

[tikay]

What happened to the Adzy Post, it disappeared before I got the name of the horse?!

[Doobs]

What happened to the Adzy Post, it disappeared before I got the name of the horse?!

Red Avenger. 

[BigAdz]

Sorry. Saw Doobs had put one up, so deleted it.

More I look the more carnage I see. I think I shall have to do a mini sweep for myself or I can comfortably back half the field!

[Tal]

Sorry. Saw Doobs had put one up, so deleted it.

More I look the more carnage I see. I think I shall have to do a mini sweep for myself or I can comfortably back half the field!

I'm Jack's Revenge, Thair and Bronze Angel only. For now.

[tikay]

Sorry. Saw Doobs had put one up, so deleted it.

More I look the more carnage I see. I think I shall have to do a mini sweep for myself or I can comfortably back half the field!

And then Doobs put us off, as the price had gone!

[tikay]

Is there a draw bias in this Cambridgeshire thing?


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/newmarket/15:50/winner

[Doobs]

Sorry. Saw Doobs had put one up, so deleted it.

More I look the more carnage I see. I think I shall have to do a mini sweep for myself or I can comfortably back half the field!

And then Doobs put us off, as the price had gone!

Red Avenger as free bet 22/1.  Hills now best.  Gogogo

[tikay]

Cambridgeshire fancies (in truth, "speculative punts" more than Fred bets) so far are.....


Jack's Revenge (Tal)

Thair (Tal)

Bronze Angel (Tal)

Red Avenger (Adzy)

Seek Again (Doobs)

Dance & Dance has been tipped up to me, too.

With 5 & 6 places on offer, I'm surprised "PUNISH THEM" Channing has not been on. Yet.....

[tikay]

Sorry. Saw Doobs had put one up, so deleted it.

More I look the more carnage I see. I think I shall have to do a mini sweep for myself or I can comfortably back half the field!

And then Doobs put us off, as the price had gone!

Red Avenger as free bet 22/1.  Hills now best.  Gogogo

FREE BET PLACED

[Bad Beat]

 The spider has a bit of a lie-in on Saturdays. I could easily bet 10 in the race. Backed Hugh Taylor horse Belgian Bill at 40/1 so far.

 Just having a study.

 Definitely like the idea of Seek Again. My shortlist is about ten at the mo.

[tikay]

Jack's Revenge (Tal)

Thair (Tal)

Bronze Angel (Tal)

Red Avenger (Adzy)

Seek Again (Doobs)

Dance & Dance has been tipped up to me, too.

With 5 & 6 places on offer, I'm surprised "PUNISH THEM" Channing has not been on. Yet.....

Belgian Bill, with 37 others to follow (The Spider)

[horseplayer]

Ripon 16:20
Outright Betting
Good Speech   6/1

suggest £25 win betfred still 6/1

for a class 4 this is a pretty poor race, selection still unexposed at this trip (to far last time) and i would have it about 4/1 fav