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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16359553 times)
redarmi
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« Reply #56400 on: October 11, 2013, 12:39:27 AM »

If anyone has bet Mariota for the Heisman and wants a bit of a sweat then the Rutgers - Louisville game tonight is likely to be fairly important for his chief rival Teddy Bridgewater.  They are nationally televised and a big favourite so he needs to have a big game to have a shot at the trophy so effectively we want him to have a poor game.  His best receiver is out so you have a chance.
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« Reply #56401 on: October 11, 2013, 01:22:32 AM »

Thanks Red, here's hoping Teddy has a mare.

I think Longy mentioned that Oregon have another potential Heisman runner and that could be negative as the vote may split if the team do well....is it right that he's picked up an injury and so could be out of the running? Does that harm Oregon overall too much?
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tikay
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« Reply #56402 on: October 11, 2013, 01:34:05 AM »

If anyone has bet Mariota for the Heisman and wants a bit of a sweat then the Rutgers - Louisville game tonight is likely to be fairly important for his chief rival Teddy Bridgewater.  They are nationally televised and a big favourite so he needs to have a big game to have a shot at the trophy so effectively we want him to have a poor game.  His best receiver is out so you have a chance.

Thanks Stu.

An early morning squeeze will be in order.
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tikay
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« Reply #56403 on: October 11, 2013, 01:37:11 AM »


We have quite a big bet on, about to start on Sky Sports  - OVER 47 points, £88 @ 10/11, Giants v Bears.

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redarmi
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« Reply #56404 on: October 11, 2013, 02:06:14 AM »

Thanks Red, here's hoping Teddy has a mare.

I think Longy mentioned that Oregon have another potential Heisman runner and that could be negative as the vote may split if the team do well....is it right that he's picked up an injury and so could be out of the running? Does that harm Oregon overall too much?

He's only listed as questionable this week as far as I can see so he should only miss a week or two at most but if anything his injury could be good for the bet as they will throw more.  They will still blow out most teams most weeks but you really want your guy to be up there competing for a National championship and it will hurt that a bit.  Fwiw Bridgewater is pretty much doing as expected in first half although he did throw an INT just before the half.
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Longy
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« Reply #56405 on: October 11, 2013, 02:32:38 AM »

Thanks Red, here's hoping Teddy has a mare.

I think Longy mentioned that Oregon have another potential Heisman runner and that could be negative as the vote may split if the team do well....is it right that he's picked up an injury and so could be out of the running? Does that harm Oregon overall too much?

De'Anthony Thomas is the man you are thinking of and he was out last week. Who knows whether he will play this week as Oregon release zero injury information as you are not required to in college unlike the NFL.

Last week it mattered little, this week it could as the game at Washington will be a geniune test. They are only 14 point favourites which is easily the least they have given up so far this year.
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tikay
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« Reply #56406 on: October 11, 2013, 02:54:43 AM »

Chicago Bears Matches 2013

Points Scored Weeks 1-5: 45-61-63-72-57

New York Giants Matches 2013

Points scored Weeks 1-5: 67-64-38-38-44 (in the 38 point games the giants scored 7 points combined!)

They meet on thursday ngiht football tomorrow


Why might the game be high scoring?

- The Giants are 0-5 and the secondary is particularly suspect

- The Giants OL is inconsistent, struggles to protect Manning and the running game can be non existent. So they throw to their main weapons Nicks, Cruz and to a lesser extent Randle

- The Bears protect Cutler better, and he has Marshall/Jeffrey/Forte and Tight Ends like Bennett now to throw to

- The Bears defense creates scoring opportunities from turnovers. Eli Manning will throw interceptions, Wilson the rb fumbles....

the points total tomorrow?


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-giants-at-chicago-bears/total-points

What is the market missing?


That not only do you have two teams that will score points on offense and not only can the Giants not defend, but the Chicago defense could score 14+ points. Manning (foo'ball awn your fwone....) has 12 interceptions in 5 games, and the Bears (Tillman etc) are renowned for interceptions, forcing fumbles etc


What is the risk?


Its a grass field in Chicago. Can be a slow track in adverse weather

What is the likely result?

Far more likely to be 60 points plus than below 40 points in my opinion, 47 points is about 7 points below where I would pitch it

Recommendation

Chunkyville Over 47 points 10/11 various bookmakers




Going along nicely, 14-24 @ Half-Time.

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« Reply #56407 on: October 11, 2013, 04:11:41 AM »

21-27 now.  Wp Tighty.   
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #56408 on: October 11, 2013, 07:13:59 AM »

 thumbs up
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
tikay
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« Reply #56409 on: October 11, 2013, 08:16:38 AM »

21-27 now.  Wp Tighty.   

Final score 21-27 - so we covered by ONE point....

Phew!

Very nice, all the same.
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« Reply #56410 on: October 11, 2013, 10:03:38 AM »

Daily Report

Loss on Month £110.30

Outstanding Bets £2995.66

FREE BETS TO USE TWO BY SUNDAY WILLIAM HILL

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=30

A profit of £40 yesterday.I went to bet at the end of the third quarter of the Chicago/NYG game with 47 points having been covered at 27-21. Surprised to wake up to see no further points becuase in truth the bet was never really in doubt, with 35 points by half-time. +£80

Adrian Lewis lost in the World Grand Prix for -£30

No century in the smash and bash, though Aaron Finch gave us a great run for our money at 8-1, falling for 89 - £10


Today, Wayne Rooney to score first against Montenegro please to set us up for what already looks like another busy weekend acorss a variety of sports and our bets

 
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
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« Reply #56411 on: October 11, 2013, 10:15:41 AM »


Thanks Tighty.

Gents, please note......


FREE BETS TO USE TWO BY SUNDAY WILLIAM HILL

Keep your eyes open for an opportunity please. Cesarewitch, possibly? Coral Sprint?
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« Reply #56412 on: October 11, 2013, 10:24:21 AM »

any odds on this keeper making the squad?

http://www.fourfourtwo.com/features/watch-out-joe-hart-meet-top-flight-english-keeper-youve-never-heard

No i had never heard of him either
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tikay
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« Reply #56413 on: October 11, 2013, 10:30:01 AM »

any odds on this keeper making the squad?

http://www.fourfourtwo.com/features/watch-out-joe-hart-meet-top-flight-english-keeper-youve-never-heard

No i had never heard of him either

Love "giq" people, & stories.
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KarmaDope
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« Reply #56414 on: October 11, 2013, 10:50:39 AM »


Thanks Tighty.

Gents, please note......


FREE BETS TO USE TWO BY SUNDAY WILLIAM HILL

Keep your eyes open for an opportunity please. Cesarewitch, possibly? Coral Sprint?

Just chucking one out here - would want F1 elder Tighty to have a proper think about it.

Nico Hulkenberg to podium at 40/1 best price with William Hill.
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