Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on the Month £379.21

Outstanding Bets £2678.66

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=32

A loss of £13 on Sunday despite the following wins

- Shiv Kapur for +£135 in the Golf

-Everton Spurs u2.5 +£40

Losers

Both NFL bets for -£110

-£45 net on the Darts with Wade a bigger bet than Taylor

Jordan Speith finishing 17th -£33


In longer term positions


A good win for Cardiff, up into the top half on our Premier League handicap bet. Tucked in behind Hull and Southampton currently

Paulnho mdid not score for Spurs

Amat was on the bench for Swansea, again

In the NFL

The Chiefs went 9-0 in winning in Buffalo. The Chiefs are over-achieving massively. In five of their nine wins the QB has not thrown a touchdown pass! However the defense is terrific and winning a lot of games. If the Chiefs can split the upcoming two games against the Broncos we have a real division sweat at 7-1

The Titans scored 28 points in beating the Rams.Before today we needed them to average 25 points a game to scoop the season points bets. So 28 points is fine

The QBs. The Saints got overturned by the Jets, dominated up front, yet Brees still thrw for 382 yards

Ryan though struggled throwing for only 219 yards in an Atlanta offense decimated by injury

Stafford is on a bye

Figures updated when the week completes


Someone else can update the relevant Serie A and La Liga action for us today please

[JaffaCake]

Big move in the strictly market today, not sure why, apart from the obv that our girl Nat is the best dancer. Wonder if there's some people seeing voting figs. Gumball now 6/4 and 5/4 across the board, Sophie is 3/1 or bigger generally. Hope this keeps up.

Think the last few eviction markets, both Strictly and X Factor, we've all been able to call, strikes me we should be talkin em over and gettin involved. Strictly is wide open this week, with Fiona 5/2 fave. Really u need to think in pairs, as not only does your bet need to be in the bottom two, they need to lose the judges' vote. I can see both Dave and Mark being voted out if they get in the bottom two, but that might be a big if. I'm not sure who'd they go with if it's Rachel and Fiona, my feeling is maybe Rachel?
http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/strictly-come-dancing/next-elimination

Rachel had a bounce last week, which is normal after being in the bottom two the previous, and they usually revert to type two weeks after. I think the same might be the case in X Factor, where Kingsland Road bounced after a bottom 2 but might sink again. They're 10/3 with Coral, which is tempting. Abi is 9/4 jolly and boy Sam , who I really think all the judges dislike 7/2
http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/x-factor/next-elimination

In Strictly's top man betting we (me and anyone who followed the rec while grandad was dithering) have a good bet at 13/2 on Ben but I wouldn't bother now, he's 7/2 best and 11/4 in a lot of places. He's not great, neither is Ashley who is market leader. Ashley is not famous and is very dull tho, which helps our cause. Can't see anyone else getting into this race.

I know Tikay likes to take the mick on novelty bets, but was talkin to Chompy in Luton and we both agreed that when there's billions being bet on every football or American football game, it's a lot harder to find ricks than in novelty markets.

If I was forced to have a bet on these two evictions I'd go Rachel and Abi, but not convinced enough to have a bet never mind a rec (yet!). Any thoughts?

Read these pretty well, shoulda stuck with my two bouncers, literally changed my mind and therefore bet from Kingsland Road to Abi while writing the post for Fred, decided I couldn't see Abi not being bottom two. Fred is bad for your health. Expect the Tamera bounce next week as people realise she needs support, but two weeks time might see another shocker. Will have a look at these when I watch the shows properly...

Gumball looking strong right now tho isn't she

[redarmi]

If anyone is up and has access to Ladbrokes then I think Ty Hilton is pretty good value at 8/1 to score first TD in the tonights NFL.

[The Camel]

If anyone is up and has access to Ladbrokes then I think Ty Hilton is pretty good value at 8/1 to score first TD in the tonights NFL.

Great spot Stu

[The Camel]

Indy looking woefully short of weapons

DHB is hopeless, surprised he's still in the NFL.

[exstream]

Chelsea and Manchester City both joint favourites to win the Carling Cup and both best priced at 3-1, but looking at the draw, would you not make Manchester City slight favourites here?

Leicester v Man City
Stoke v Man Utd
Sunderland/Southampton v Chelsea
Spurs v West Ham

Man City playing the weakest team left in the competition and the other 'big' three are in tough ties. Stoke scrapping past Stoke & West Ham beat Spurs not that long ago. Plus I would say Man City out of all the teams left have had a better season overall.

Not sure how they price it up as they do, would definitely have Man City as favourites over Chelsea, best price for both shows at 3-1, comparing each bookie, only Coral has Chelsea as favourites. Have to expect City to be in the semi finals.

Man C 4.5 BF
Chelsea 4.1

[tikay]

Are we laying the Roma machine for 20 quid tonight? Roma due to drop points, and are missing Totti tonight. Been lucky last couple of games, and teams going to get wise to there tactics after an easy start to the season fixture wise.

Morning spudy.

I was a little busy last night with this & that, so did not have time to explain properly about this bet, which we swerved, but which won.

All bet suggestions MUST have a price included, otherwise there is no way we can....

1) Assess the value

2) Know what is the correct price to take.

Glad you had a nice winner though.

[BigAdz]

If anyone is up and has access to Ladbrokes then I think Ty Hilton is pretty good value at 8/1 to score first TD in the tonights NFL.

Nice one.

Sadly missed by me though. Will have to enrol the mother in law, she is the only one up around the witching hour that I know.

[Marky147]

If anyone is up and has access to Ladbrokes then I think Ty Hilton is pretty good value at 8/1 to score first TD in the tonights NFL.

Great shout Stu!

First time I've gone to bed before the late game has finished this season, and even then I only went 5 minutes before you posted

[Karabiner]

I missed Stu's tip and Adzy's too

Well done both, I shall be invoicing you for my non-bokking services shortly.

[Longy]

With the Heisman race being essentially a 2 horse race our main competitor Jameis Winston of Florida state, didn't have a great game threw 2 bad interceptions even though his team beat Miami 41-14 who were ranked highly coming into the game.

Also Texas A&M won 57-7, yawn.

[tikay]

With the Heisman race being essentially a 2 horse race our main competitor Jameis Winston of Florida state, didn't have a great game threw 2 bad interceptions even though his team beat Miami 41-14 who were ranked highly coming into the game.

Also Texas A&M won 57-7, yawn.

Thanks.

Think you suggested that sort of victory margin was probable.

No matter, the big one is Thursday, I think?

[bobby1]

Does anyone follow either Radcliffe Borough or Curzon Ashton?

I am going to the game tonight and might need a financial interest to keep me interested.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/northern-div-1/radcliffe-borough-fc-v-curzon-ashton/winner

Thanks

[Longy]

With the Heisman race being essentially a 2 horse race our main competitor Jameis Winston of Florida state, didn't have a great game threw 2 bad interceptions even though his team beat Miami 41-14 who were ranked highly coming into the game.

Also Texas A&M won 57-7, yawn.

Thanks.

Think you suggested that sort of victory margin was probable.

No matter, the big one is Thursday, I think?

Yes Oregon away to Stanford Thursday night/Friday Morning, has massive implications for Oregon's season and obviously our bet.

[BigAdz]

Does anyone follow either Radcliffe Borough or Curzon Ashton?

I am going to the game tonight and might need a financial interest to keep me interested.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/northern-div-1/radcliffe-borough-fc-v-curzon-ashton/winner

Thanks

Follow them?!!! I've never even bloody heard of them!