Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

They counted his "shot" which hit Sagna on the leg about 20 yards out!

They also counted his blazed free kick which is more understandable

They did not seemingly count Lewandowskis back header which would have been a tie

It is a bloody strange way to watch a game, willing somebody not to shoot/shoot depending on who has it.

[Marky147]

Nice result, congrats.

On a more selfish note, it's good to see Atlético Madrid cruising along nicely.

[horseplayer]

Nice result, congrats.

On a more selfish note, it's good to see Atlético Madrid cruising along nicely.

I need to get my memories of the late 90'sand early 2000's sides out of my mind Mark flatterers to deceive

You could have a hell of a bet there sir

[Tal]

Shots update

Schelmzer 2 (50's shot!)
Subotic 1 (66's shot!)
Jacob B 2
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 2
Lewandowski
Reus 1

Ramsey  Arsenal  1

Probably helps you!

Fml

Its a different level of football in the CL Tal.

If your team keeps progressing you should find out in about 3 years.

Three? That's generous! Thanks.

Proper smash and grab job tonight but fair play to you. Keeps your eyes off the Prem for another few weeks.

Dortmund could be in the Europa League with Napoli winning.

[Ant040689]

Suggest Bromley e/w top 3 places at fifth odds at 6/1 to win the Conference South with Paddy Power.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/conference-south/winner

They are 4 points clear at the top with a game in hand over second, and 9 points clear of Sutton United in fourth who Bromley have played two games more than.
http://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/confsouth

They have dropped points in 4 games with 3 losses 1 draw and 10 wins. 3 of those losses away to the 3 other teams in the top 4. Of those games, which i saw the extended highlights of, only one of them, the loss to Eastleigh (outright favs for the league) was a fair result, the other two should have fallen to Bromley, or at the least a draw, with a few one on one chances they scuppered, and just generally dominating play but being unlucky. The draw they suffered was a 1-1 where the oppo scored in the dying minutes, and they had dominated that game. At home they have a 100% record in the league, 7 in 7 scoring 26 conceding 5, average nearly 4 goals a game there.

Their goal difference is +22 scoring on average 2.4 goals a game, in comparison the next best is +14 but that is an outlier in itself, and of the successful teams +8 is the standard.

They have Bradley Goldberg up front that is on fire, scored a hat trick in his last game with the first goal being an absolute belter. 16 secs in...



they go onto with 5-0

Goldberg has 10 goals in 14 games and is the league's top goalscorer. They have the other striker in Pierre Joseph-Dubois with 6 too.

They had a poor season of last which is why the bookies are underrating them, plus their finances are tight meaning they had to get rid of a couple of players, but have won their last three despite that.

As I have said their record could easily state 13 wins and 1 loss, but they are still up at 6/1 for the league. I think they have the staying power to make 6/5 for a top 3 finish a legitimately good value bet.

Suggest the max you would want on that would be good for not annoying the bookies, perhaps £20 ew?

Thanks ant.

Any idea why the price is so big?

Nothing to warrant that price. There is reported financial problems, but not enough to disturb the core. It probably is more to do with how badly they performed last season and how they think they are currently outdoing themselves, which may be the case, but they are in outrageously rampant form. Too good i think to suggest it is a flash in the pan.

Also the loan signing of Bradley Goldberg appears to have lifted the team and given them a lot of belief.

[jakally]

Suggest Bromley e/w top 3 places at fifth odds at 6/1 to win the Conference South with Paddy Power.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/conference-south/winner

They are 4 points clear at the top with a game in hand over second, and 9 points clear of Sutton United in fourth who Bromley have played two games more than.
http://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/confsouth

They have dropped points in 4 games with 3 losses 1 draw and 10 wins. 3 of those losses away to the 3 other teams in the top 4. Of those games, which i saw the extended highlights of, only one of them, the loss to Eastleigh (outright favs for the league) was a fair result, the other two should have fallen to Bromley, or at the least a draw, with a few one on one chances they scuppered, and just generally dominating play but being unlucky. The draw they suffered was a 1-1 where the oppo scored in the dying minutes, and they had dominated that game. At home they have a 100% record in the league, 7 in 7 scoring 26 conceding 5, average nearly 4 goals a game there.

Their goal difference is +22 scoring on average 2.4 goals a game, in comparison the next best is +14 but that is an outlier in itself, and of the successful teams +8 is the standard.

They have Bradley Goldberg up front that is on fire, scored a hat trick in his last game with the first goal being an absolute belter. 16 secs in...



they go onto with 5-0

Goldberg has 10 goals in 14 games and is the league's top goalscorer. They have the other striker in Pierre Joseph-Dubois with 6 too.

They had a poor season of last which is why the bookies are underrating them, plus their finances are tight meaning they had to get rid of a couple of players, but have won their last three despite that.

As I have said their record could easily state 13 wins and 1 loss, but they are still up at 6/1 for the league. I think they have the staying power to make 6/5 for a top 3 finish a legitimately good value bet.

Suggest the max you would want on that would be good for not annoying the bookies, perhaps £20 ew?

Thanks ant.

Any idea why the price is so big?

Nothing to warrant that price. There is reported financial problems, but not enough to disturb the core. It probably is more to do with how badly they performed last season and how they think they are currently outdoing themselves, which may be the case, but they are in outrageously rampant form. Too good i think to suggest it is a flash in the pan.

Also the loan signing of Bradley Goldberg appears to have lifted the team and given them a lot of belief.

No real view on this Ant but Bromley have played more of the bottom sides than Eastleigh.

[aaron1867]

Thoughts on this for Fred please.

Athletico Madrid are best priced 17-1 to win the Champions League.

They do look a very decent team and have already won their weak group winning 4 out of 4.

They seem to me like they have some very decent players & although they are nowhere near the best team in the league, I still think they can progress to at least the quaters looking how things are.

They have the inability to be drawn against either of the Spanish teams in the next round, whilst it looks certain they can not be drawn with Bayern either & the likelyhood is that Chelsea, Arsenal & Man United will win their groups. It would see them likely to face a weak team in the last 16 & I am sure that if they progress, they can still put up a game against any of the bigger teams, I would probably have them over any English team.

Not looking it as a win bet, but with possibility to lay it off later? Cheers

[Ant040689]

Suggest Bromley e/w top 3 places at fifth odds at 6/1 to win the Conference South with Paddy Power.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/non-league/conference-south/winner

They are 4 points clear at the top with a game in hand over second, and 9 points clear of Sutton United in fourth who Bromley have played two games more than.
http://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/confsouth

They have dropped points in 4 games with 3 losses 1 draw and 10 wins. 3 of those losses away to the 3 other teams in the top 4. Of those games, which i saw the extended highlights of, only one of them, the loss to Eastleigh (outright favs for the league) was a fair result, the other two should have fallen to Bromley, or at the least a draw, with a few one on one chances they scuppered, and just generally dominating play but being unlucky. The draw they suffered was a 1-1 where the oppo scored in the dying minutes, and they had dominated that game. At home they have a 100% record in the league, 7 in 7 scoring 26 conceding 5, average nearly 4 goals a game there.

Their goal difference is +22 scoring on average 2.4 goals a game, in comparison the next best is +14 but that is an outlier in itself, and of the successful teams +8 is the standard.

They have Bradley Goldberg up front that is on fire, scored a hat trick in his last game with the first goal being an absolute belter. 16 secs in...



they go onto with 5-0

Goldberg has 10 goals in 14 games and is the league's top goalscorer. They have the other striker in Pierre Joseph-Dubois with 6 too.

They had a poor season of last which is why the bookies are underrating them, plus their finances are tight meaning they had to get rid of a couple of players, but have won their last three despite that.

As I have said their record could easily state 13 wins and 1 loss, but they are still up at 6/1 for the league. I think they have the staying power to make 6/5 for a top 3 finish a legitimately good value bet.

Suggest the max you would want on that would be good for not annoying the bookies, perhaps £20 ew?

Thanks ant.

Any idea why the price is so big?

Nothing to warrant that price. There is reported financial problems, but not enough to disturb the core. It probably is more to do with how badly they performed last season and how they think they are currently outdoing themselves, which may be the case, but they are in outrageously rampant form. Too good i think to suggest it is a flash in the pan.

Also the loan signing of Bradley Goldberg appears to have lifted the team and given them a lot of belief.

No real view on this Ant but Bromley have played more of the bottom sides than Eastleigh.

Aware of that. Of the away games with the top sides they gave a very good account of themselves despite not getting results and definitely would say Eastleigh are favourites. In Bromley's other games they have been pretty dominant. It would be hard to argue against them not actually being at least 4/1. And if so the value is there.

[tikay]

They counted his "shot" which hit Sagna on the leg about 20 yards out!

They also counted his blazed free kick which is more understandable

They did not seemingly count Lewandowskis back header which would have been a tie

It is a bloody strange way to watch a game, willing somebody not to shoot/shoot depending on who has it.

Very odd indeed, even more so when what I saw, & the stats, don't appear to align.

Lovely bet, we needed that after a few down days, thanks.

[Doobs]

Sned has pulled out. Thats why the price looks so good Sir!

Lordy Lordy, that explains it!

He is still listed by 5 firms, too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/australian-pga-championship/winner

Yup, knee injury

Should we be e/w 5 places Leishman (16/1) and Fowler (14/1) because of the shape of the market?  I missed the Scott price, so did this instead.  Might be a bit marginal though.

Thanks, ditto Adzy.

We had to take 14/1 on Leishmann, which I think is still acceptable, but got the Fowler price OK, so we got on both, EW, @ 14/1. (5 places, qtr odds). 

BETS PLACED

OiOi

Fowler leader in the clubhouse, 2 shots clear on -8, Leishman -2, Adam Scott yet to start.

http://www.pga.org.au/scores  

[BigAdz]

Prefer to save my OiOis until a bit further round the circuit, but one of our boys has certainly trapped well!

Sweat on.

[Doobs]

Sned has pulled out. Thats why the price looks so good Sir!

Lordy Lordy, that explains it!

He is still listed by 5 firms, too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/australian-pga-championship/winner

Yup, knee injury

Should we be e/w 5 places Leishman (16/1) and Fowler (14/1) because of the shape of the market?  I missed the Scott price, so did this instead.  Might be a bit marginal though.

Thanks, ditto Adzy.

We had to take 14/1 on Leishmann, which I think is still acceptable, but got the Fowler price OK, so we got on both, EW, @ 14/1. (5 places, qtr odds). 

BETS PLACED

OiOi

Fowler leader in the clubhouse, 2 shots clear on -8, Leishman -2, Adam Scott yet to start.

http://www.pga.org.au/scores  

Adam Scott -6, tied 2nd

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £459.81

Outstanding Bets £2708.66

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=32

A profit of £165 yesterday with Martin O'Neill's ROI appointment paid out and Reus top shot in the Dortmund/Arsenal game

Elsewhere, the West Indies reduced India to 100-5 in the first session this morning and went 4.5 on the machine. I fell asleep, woke up to a 100 partnership currently, 280-6 and the West Indies out to 13!

Our three golfers in Australia have had a good start. Fowler -8 leads, Scott -6 T2 and Leishman -2 .This may have been the rationale for the bet, but scrolling down the scoring, its not the strongest field.

In the CL last night Napoli beat Marseille 3-2. 66/1 for the thread on winning the CL

In the horrible Arsenal/Dortmund group, and with both still to play, they certainly have a shout at progressing

Position    Team    Played    Goal Difference    Points

1    Arsenal    4    3    9
2    Napoli    4    1    9
3    Borussia Dortmund    4    2    6
4    Marseille    4    -6    0

 

[BigAdz]

Sned has pulled out. Thats why the price looks so good Sir!

Lordy Lordy, that explains it!

He is still listed by 5 firms, too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/australian-pga-championship/winner

Yup, knee injury

Should we be e/w 5 places Leishman (16/1) and Fowler (14/1) because of the shape of the market?  I missed the Scott price, so did this instead.  Might be a bit marginal though.

Thanks, ditto Adzy.

We had to take 14/1 on Leishmann, which I think is still acceptable, but got the Fowler price OK, so we got on both, EW, @ 14/1. (5 places, qtr odds). 

BETS PLACED

OiOi

Fowler leader in the clubhouse, 2 shots clear on -8, Leishman -2, Adam Scott yet to start.

http://www.pga.org.au/scores  

Adam Scott -6, tied 2nd

Scott 13/8
Fowler 5/2

[McGlashan]

On a more selfish note, it's good to see Atlético Madrid cruising along nicely.

On a selfish note we can cheer them on together (as previously mentioned in the thread i liked them at 50-1ew).

Thoughts on this for Fred please.

Atletico Madrid are best priced 17-1 to win the Champions League.

They do look a very decent team and have already won their weak group winning 4 out of 4.

They seem to me like they have some very decent players & although they are nowhere near the best team in the league, I still think they can progress to at least the quaters looking how things are.

They have the inability to be drawn against either of the Spanish teams in the next round, whilst it looks certain they can not be drawn with Bayern either & the likelyhood is that Chelsea, Arsenal & Man United will win their groups. It would see them likely to face a weak team in the last 16 & I am sure that if they progress, they can still put up a game against any of the bigger teams, I would probably have them over any English team.

Not looking it as a win bet, but with possibility to lay it off later? Cheers

Hi Aaron your post wasn't entirely missed. The CL groups are shaping up like this:

1st                    2nd
man utd             bayer lev
real madrid         juve
psg                   olympiakos
bayern munich    man city
chelsea              shalke
arsenal              napoli/dortmund
atletico mad       zenit
barcelona          milan

I'd be with you in taking Atletico in a match bet versus an English side, I fancy this Atletico side as much as any team outside of Bayern, Barca and Real. For a long time they choked versus the Spanish big 2 but that looks to of turned now. Last season they won the Copa Del Roy final against Real who had home advantage and they went unbeaten over 2 legs vs Barca in the Spanish Charity Shield.

Since they were handed an easy group draw they've had 2 very noteworthy results. A very one sided 1-0 win at Real Madrid who were allowed an unusually low amount of shots on goal and a 2-1 comeback at Porto without their 2 best outfield players in Diego Costa and Arda Turan.

There looks to still be a bit of legs in the price to me, perhaps the thread could weigh on it. There's also the question of when to get on it, with top spot already locked up the knockout stages aren't till February.

Coral go 18-1, the machine goes 18.5/19.5.