Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

If the plan was to lay could not thread just leave an order up overnight?

Ok you probably will not lay at the optimal time but still

Yes.

Didn't think it through/timezones/half arsed strategy

I shall henceforth be Lord Half-Arsed Misclick.

Liking that.

[tikay]

Using short words, can someome summarise what I'm supposed to do on the Heisman bet, after last night's misfortuneness?

We want to bet how much, on who, @ what price, with whom? That apart, I'm smack on top of it.

[tikay]

Good Morning Tony,

Pozuelo FGS for Swansea vs Stoke on Sunday, 15/1 with Bet Victor and 14's with Coral. He is playing just off the striker while Michu is away and this price is too big 8's or 9's would be more like it. Recommend £20 at 15/1, 14/1 is fine too if we can't get on with VC.

Excellent stuff, the smell of value, thank you, & I got the 15/1 with BMU. If you see a weasel sleeping, piss in its ear.

BET PLACED

[Doobs]

Using short words, can someome summarise what I'm supposed to do on the Heisman bet, after last night's misfortuneness?

We want to bet how much, on who, @ what price, with whom? That apart, I'm smack on top of it.

Jamesis Winston, back him at  11/10 on Paddy Power.  A gazillion pounds or £3.46, whichever is bigger.

[tikay]

Using short words, can someome summarise what I'm supposed to do on the Heisman bet, after last night's misfortuneness?

We want to bet how much, on who, @ what price, with whom? That apart, I'm smack on top of it.

Jamesis Winston, back him at  11/10 on Paddy Power.  A gazillion pounds or £3.46, whichever is bigger.

Perfect, thanks.

Who owns this bet?

PP offered me £56.79, but I took a nice round £50, for simplicity & symmetry.

BET PLACED

[Doobs]

Also unless we see something spectacular in the second half I am afraid that tonight is the death knell for the Mariota Heisman bet.  At this stage I would bet anything bigger than 1/2 on Winston.

Redarmi owns the Winston bet? 

[TightEnd]

Also unless we see something spectacular in the second half I am afraid that tonight is the death knell for the Mariota Heisman bet.  At this stage I would bet anything bigger than 1/2 on Winston.

Redarmi owns the Winston bet? 

agreed

He has first dibs

[JaffaCake]

Also unless we see something spectacular in the second half I am afraid that tonight is the death knell for the Mariota Heisman bet.  At this stage I would bet anything bigger than 1/2 on Winston.

Redarmi owns the Winston bet? 

agreed

He has first dibs

Marv, put me down for the losing 25/1 no hoper

[tikay]

Also unless we see something spectacular in the second half I am afraid that tonight is the death knell for the Mariota Heisman bet.  At this stage I would bet anything bigger than 1/2 on Winston.

Redarmi owns the Winston bet? 

agreed

He has first dibs

Marv, put me down for the losing 25/1 no hoper

I just love it when a plan comes together.

[Doobs]

Also unless we see something spectacular in the second half I am afraid that tonight is the death knell for the Mariota Heisman bet.  At this stage I would bet anything bigger than 1/2 on Winston.

Redarmi owns the Winston bet? 

agreed

He has first dibs

Marv, put me down for the losing 25/1 no hoper

Don't think it is that simple, you only get that if it loses, Redarmi gets credit if it wins.

[JaffaCake]

Guess we're just lucky red spotted PP are 11/10 the pair

[bobby1]

''It is interesting, and something I thought about when you put up the Peterson bet yesterday, when it is so obvious that a teams offensive weapon is going to be a certain player.  I often bet over their yards in those situations but if it is so obvious to us then it becomes so obvious to a Defensive co-ordinator too and I often wonder if that negates the value of a bet a bit.  It has happened twice with AP now in live games with the other example being against the Giants.  Obviously that doesn't make him 'easy' to stop but when you line up with 8 men on the line against him it is tougher and the single coverage receivers might be a better bet especially when you can figure out which one will get the targets (which wouldn't have been easy last night)''

I think the key to these bets are the individual match ups within the game as mostly the lines are set using avs and adjusted a little for the strength of the opposition but not the opponent they are likely to face within that team. Best example is probably against say Tampa, you would expect the WR being followed by Revis to have a tougher game than the one that isn't. Yet because in those games Tampa would mainly be decent underdogs their Oppo's main wr might have an inflated quote because his team are more likely to win this game, but his match up in that game is not a good one for him.

Cornerback David Amerson of Washington was pulverised by Keenan Allen last week( and had bad games against others before), in last nights game one of the main Minny wr's would be up against DeAngelo Hall and the other against Amerson, yet the line for the guy up against Amerson was much smaller than the guy up against Hall. I think spots like that within the games are where the lines can be wrong.

On your point tho Red I think you are right about main players, New England are renowned for taking away the oppo's best player, so even if you knew the game plan was to get this player the ball as often as possible it would still be very tough.

These are Jimmy Graham's numbers this season

45,179,134,100,135, zero, 37 116

The game against New England was the zero yet Graham's yards were in at around the same line as previous games because everyone can see he is the main man but New England specialise in taking whoever that is away( he was only targeted 6 times tho did leave the game late on with an injury). He would have had more room sitting in the middle of our settee between Bernard Manning and me than he got in that game.

[bobby1]

bad day in the golf, Casey somehow manage to put up +1 on a pitch and putt course.

[McGlashan]

As Tighty reported earlier Dnipro won as did those pesky Italians. Due to countbacks we'll have to go to Florence and win in the last game of the group regardless of round 5 results.

On another note we've joked about how bad Crystal Palace are but what odds would you want on them to beat Derby's record low of 11 points?

One bookmaker has priced this up, Palace have 3 points after 10 games and the spread betting firms go a midpoint of 24.25

[Doobs]

bad day in the golf, Casey somehow manage to put up +1 on a pitch and putt course.

Same same for Fowler.