Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

Ballynagour 10/1 boyelsports looks an ideal trading opportunity to me for the paddy power

doubt it will last the day

[dino1980]

Got it, needed the clue though

Jamie Pollock

In before The Camel mentions the QPR supporters Jamie Pollock story.

[Doobs]

Ballynagour 10/1 boyelsports looks an ideal trading opportunity to me for the paddy power

doubt it will last the day

Gone already, they wouldn't lay me a dime.  Corals only one left offering 9/1.  Gogogo

[TightEnd]

The Ashes starts next Wednesday in Brisbane

England defend, having won this summer 3-0

Swann took 26 wickets, Ryan Harris 24

Shane Watson and Ian Bell topped the batting in terms of runs for their teams

I have really struggled to find value for this series, looked every day for the past ten days and lots of things look priced in

--

In terms of what to expect. I think it will be close. Australia are an improving team particularly in seam bowling. The pitches will definitely not be prepared to start dry and turn early, as the English pitches were. Absolutley no point giving Swann a sniff, so neutralise him and go fast and pacy in terms of pitch preparation and take your chances

A drawn series is 9-2, but thats too skinny. England to win at 11-10 definitely too tight

--

Brisbane - tends to be flat, batsman's pitch
Adelaide - always flat....slight change this time due to extensive ground redevelopment that encloses the ground and could aid swing
Perth...fast, bouncy. Australia usually win here
Melbourne..tends to give tall seamers a chance
Sydney..often turns, but again extensive redevelopment here and swing has been coming back to the fore

--

Two suggested bets

1.

Ian Bell this summer was in the form of his life. In the Ashes this summer 562 runs including 3 centuries and 2 fifties. Impeccable technique, superb temperament and right in the sweet spot of his career

Unibet offer 6/4 2 or more centuries this winter.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/ian-bell/total-centuries



6/4 is generous, in my opinion. There is comparatively little weather threat, and we should expect Bell to have ten innings.

Not sure if Unibet is on the thread list. Medium sized bet if so


2

Top Series Run scorer

This is for both sides combined

Alistair Cook had a poor summer. In the Ashes 277 runs only, 3 fifties, 0 hundreds.



There was a hint of a technical flaw outside off-stump and against the new ball he was not as prolific as usual

Contrast this with two other stats

His Test Career 97 matches 7801 runs at 48, 25 hundreds

Last time in Australia  766 runs, ave. 127.66, 3 centuries, 2 fifties

So the questions

- Is he on the downside?

A. Probably not, only 28 years old and a fantastic worker. Has ironed out problems with Gooch before and come back to score lots of runs

- Are Australia better than the last Tour where he excelled?

A Probably, 766 runs is not likely this time round!

Sky Bet 6-1 888 11/2 and Unibet 11/2 are all too high for Top series batsman

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/top-batsman

Winner of this market will need to score 550+, probably 600+ runs


Any injury risks coming to the fore with Clarke (back), Pieterson (knee) gives a boost to the bet too

Of the other candidates Watson has been playing cricket constantly for 18 months, a few niggles aside. A good chance he'll be injured this series

Rogers, Warner, Smith and Bailey probably not prolific enough to score 550+ Bailey was a tempter at 16/1 e/w but will likely bat 6. Big ask to be scoring heavily all series from there

Trott and Bell are risks to the bet

Carberry, Root - asking a lot for them to score the 550+ needed to win this bet on their first Australian tour


Personally, doing my usual of pricing it up before I looked at the market, I made Cook 4-1 favourite here. Taking the view that a rebound in form was likely and going from there.

[Doobs]

Ballynagour 10/1 boyelsports looks an ideal trading opportunity to me for the paddy power

doubt it will last the day

Gone already, they wouldn't lay me a dime.  Corals only one left offering 9/1.  Gogogo

Great spot Horsey, down to best priced 8/1 now.

[tikay]

Ballynagour 10/1 boyelsports looks an ideal trading opportunity to me for the paddy power

doubt it will last the day

Gone already, they wouldn't lay me a dime.  Corals only one left offering 9/1.  Gogogo

Go Go Go is No No No.

Opened Corals via IE, the BetSlip would not come up when I clicked Ballynagour.

Opened Corals via Chrome, ditto.

Opened Corals via Mobile, price had been clipped from 9/1 to 7/1.  

Still, all was not lost, saw a photo on the Home Page of that daft TV Advert.

[Doobs]

Ballynagour 10/1 boyelsports looks an ideal trading opportunity to me for the paddy power

doubt it will last the day

Gone already, they wouldn't lay me a dime.  Corals only one left offering 9/1.  Gogogo

Go Go Go is No No No.

Opened Corals via IE, the BetSlip would not come up when I clicked Ballynagour.

Opened Corals via Chrome, ditto.

Opened Corals via Mobile, price had been clipped from 9/1 to 7/1.  

Still, all was not lost, saw a photo on the Home Page of that daft TV Advert.

Took me ages to get on.  Went through oddschecker in the end, even though I hate doing that.  Was cursing thinking I was going to miss the price.  Want £5 e/w for the thread sweat?

[BorntoBubble]

At 14/1 I was fancying root before they moved him down the order think this could be his series. Primarily a back foot player I think these conditions will suite him more than English conditions.

Like the bell bet for sure will be having a pop on that

[tikay]

Ballynagour 10/1 boyelsports looks an ideal trading opportunity to me for the paddy power

doubt it will last the day

Gone already, they wouldn't lay me a dime.  Corals only one left offering 9/1.  Gogogo

Go Go Go is No No No.

Opened Corals via IE, the BetSlip would not come up when I clicked Ballynagour.

Opened Corals via Chrome, ditto.

Opened Corals via Mobile, price had been clipped from 9/1 to 7/1.  

Still, all was not lost, saw a photo on the Home Page of that daft TV Advert.

Took me ages to get on.  Went through oddschecker in the end, even though I hate doing that.  Was cursing thinking I was going to miss the price.  Want £5 e/w for the thread sweat?

Very kind of you, yes please, £5 EW BOOKED.

Will sort out usual payment regime via PM.

BET PLACED

[TightEnd]

At 14/1 I was fancying root before they moved him down the order think this could be his series. Primarily a back foot player I think these conditions will suite him more than English conditions.

Like the bell bet for sure will be having a pop on that

Tough ask to score 550+ runs from 6.

As to technique, yes back foot aganst pace bodes well, cutting and pulling.

Looks as if Flower and Cook want to protect him from new ball where he struggled at times this summer

[BigAdz]

Nice one Tighty. They're the ones we have been waiting for!

[horseplayer]

it was for a trade really not a fancy have no view on the race just wont start 10/1

[tikay]

Nice one Tighty. They're the ones we have been waiting for!

Agreed, lovely Ashes sweat.

Fred does not currently have a UNIBET Account, though.

Will sort one shortly. 

[Marky147]

Happens quite often with Corals, you login and then can't add to the betslip, or you click through oddschecker and it opens an empty slip.

Only way I have found to resolve it, is to log out  and back in again. That has always fixed it for me, and generally never have any problems again that day.

[tikay]

Happens quite often with Corals, you login and then can't add to the betslip, or you click through oddschecker and it opens an empty slip.

Only way I have found to resolve it, is to log out  and back in again. That has always fixed it for me, and generally never have any problems again that day.

Thanks Mark, I'll try that next time.

It seems to happen almost every time for me with Corals, it is very hit or miss.

Even when I first log in, the page does weird stuff, flicks back & forth 3 or 4 times. Guess it is browser-related, but it must cost them a ton of business.