Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

COOK, Top Series Batsman, as Recommended by Tighty in his Ashes betting treatise.

BET PLACED

[tikay]

Tighty.....

This Market has changed, or is different to what I believe you suggested.

You wrote....

Unibet offer 6/4 2 or more centuries this winter.

Unibet currently offer as to Bell Centuries.....

0 Centuries 2/1

1 century 6/4

2 or more centuries, 9/5

So our price is now 9/5, not 6/4.

Correct?

I have now Deposited some cash there, so I'm ready to go.

[TightEnd]

Tighty.....

This Market has changed, or is different to what I believe you suggested.

You wrote....

Unibet offer 6/4 2 or more centuries this winter.

Unibet currently offer as to Bell Centuries.....

0 Centuries 2/1

1 century 6/4

2 or more centuries, 9/5

So our price is now 9/5, not 6/4.

Correct?

I have now Deposited some cash there, so I'm ready to go.

All the better.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/ian-bell/total-centuries

He'll have had a disappointing series, to say the least, with no century in five matches yet that has been pushed into 2-1

Barring injury, he's far more likely to get 2+ than 0 yet 9/5 plays 2-1. Odd

[Doobs]

Unibet is C on sportsbookreview.  Player balances confiscated.  I have never had an account with them.  

[horseplayer]

Unibet is C on sportsbookreview.  Player balances confiscated.  I have never had an account with them.  

was going to post the same

not worth the hassle of dealing with in my experience

opened an account pre the summer ashes and had one bet (loser) requested id (fine most do now) all sent in by email wanted further id and then suspended the account

there were a lot of people complaining about payout speed method at the time

[tikay]

Tighty.....

This Market has changed, or is different to what I believe you suggested.

You wrote....

Unibet offer 6/4 2 or more centuries this winter.

Unibet currently offer as to Bell Centuries.....

0 Centuries 2/1

1 century 6/4

2 or more centuries, 9/5

So our price is now 9/5, not 6/4.

Correct?

I have now Deposited some cash there, so I'm ready to go.

All the better.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/ian-bell/total-centuries

He'll have had a disappointing series, to say the least, with no century in five matches yet that has been pushed into 2-1

Barring injury, he's far more likely to get 2+ than 0 yet 9/5 plays 2-1. Odd

Yes, seems a little odd, but hopefully all is well, & his wife is not pregnant or whatever.

I had THE most exasparating experience Depositing with UNIBET.

The bet was for £75, so I deposited exactly that.

There was a tick box for "£25 Sign Up Bonus" so I ticked that.

I then went to place the £75 Bet, & it said "Insufficient Funds available, please amend bet size".

I'd just Deposited £75, so I rung the chappie up, & he said, "ah well, you took the Bonus, & so you cannot bet the full £75 as you may wish to withdraw any winnings within 30 days, which we do not allow under the Bonus T & C's, & the bet lasts longer than 30 days, so it disqualifies you from placing that".

Jeez. So I asked him if I could place the bet if he removed the Bonus Offer, & he agreed I could, so I got them to do that. Yikes, nothing is as it seems, it seems....

Anyway, eventually.....

BET PLACED

[aaron1867]

Tony, I apologise if I've missed it, but did we gt on Greece for 1-0 & 2-0 tonight, can't see anything listed, although it was a quick scroll through pages. The prices have gone completely.

Bet suggestion for tonight though....

Ukraine at home to France in a World Cup play off.

Ukraine ranked 20th, France are 21st. I would imagine that shows that there isn't much between those teams & since we have had Ukraine ourselves, there probably isn't that much between England and France and the rankings show we are better than both, we drew both games with Ukraine.

Ukraine is probably one of the most hostile places to go in Europe for an international and I think it will be on the players mind that they definitely need to pick up a win to stand a fair chance of getting through.

They are generally 9/4 & 5/2 stuff with most bookamakers, but Bet365 are huge standout at 14/5, think this is way out & I do think we will have a decent sweat here.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/matches/ukraine-v-france/winner

Therefore I suggest £30 @ 14/5 with Bet365.

[tikay]

Unibet is C on sportsbookreview.  Player balances confiscated.  I have never had an account with them.  

Ha, thanks Doobs (& horsey), timing is my speciality, I wrote that subsequent Post before I saw this.

I doubt I'll use them again, after that kerfuffle.

I know of them through a friend who works for them, & they are a huge Company in Mainland Europe, or so I am led to believe. Can't be doing with this nonsense, though.

Tighty's fault, obv.

[TightEnd]

Context

England’s Autumn International programme concludes with their toughest Test, playing World Champions New Zealand who come into the game with 31 victories in their last 32 games

New Zealand’s only loss in the last two years was almost a year ago, when as 1/12 favourites they lost 38-21 to England at Twickenham in a huge upset.

New Zealand beat France 26-19  last weekend in Paris, and in 2013 have been the clear number one in World Rugby. They won the Southern Hemisphere Rugby Championship only really tested by South Africa and did so without pre-eminent world players Richie McCaw and Dan Carter for much of the tournament. Both are back for this weekend, and showed in Paris that they are back good as ever

In experience alone New Zealand has a huge and undeniable advantage. Their starting fifteen has 842 caps.  McCaw alone has 127, the same number as England’s entire back division.   Carter in particular tends to punish England heavily, facing them on ten occasions, scoring a total of 171 points.

New Zealand might have a weakness in the scrum, as France showed last weekend, but whether England can take advantage of this with both first choice loose head props in Corbisiero and Vunipola injured remains to be seen.

England have won eight out of nine Test matches since beating New Zeland a year ago, their one reverse a spectacular defeat in Cardiff. In general they are a well organised unit but without a great deal of flair. Against Argentina leading 24-6 at half-time, New Zealand and South Africa would be expected to run away from their opponents. England instead laboured and over a half of rugby without scoring any more points on their opponents.

They tend to rely on Farrell kicking penalties and a big pack to at least get equality up front. This is unlikely to be sufficient against New Zealand, where you need quick ball and an absence of errors to stand a chance.

This time round, a year on, New Zealand are 1/10 outright to win. Can lightning strike twice? It has to be unlikely. Turning to the Handicap markets for an alternative way of getting a price on the match. New Zealand are available at Evens with Stan James with a 13 point handicap,

Bet

Richie McCaw Man of the Match £10 at 10-1 BetVictor

Why?

McCaw is a genuine openside number 7, a World Class player and the New Zealand captain
He is playing against a back row of Robshaw, Wood and Vunipola
Robshaw at 7 is not an openside
NZ's big advantage is likely to be securing quick ball, going through the phases, moving England around
McCaw is the key to this. He wins ball at rucks, he'll be turning over ball at rucks, he'll be first to rucks
Man of the Match will be decided by the Sky colour commentator, Stuart Barnes*. Barnes is a McCaw fan-boy (rightly) of over a decade. Stuart never knowingly under-worships World rugby superstars
McCaw's 129th Test Match. Whilst he will probably retire after the 2015 World Cup over here, he'll be massively motivated to overturn last year's shock result.

10-1 is a fair shout for small stakes. Realistically, if we assume a comfortable NZ win there are not a realm of MOTM candidates. Carter certainly, any back who scores tries, Kieran Read the number 8 and McCaw


* My assumption is this market takes the TV man of the match

[tikay]

Tony, I apologise if I've missed it, but did we gt on Greece for 1-0 & 2-0 tonight, can't see anything listed, although it was a quick scroll through pages. The prices have gone completely.

Bet suggestion for tonight though....

Ukraine at home to France in a World Cup play off.

Ukraine ranked 20th, France are 21st. I would imagine that shows that there isn't much between those teams & since we have had Ukraine ourselves, there probably isn't that much between England and France and the rankings show we are better than both, we drew both games with Ukraine.

Ukraine is probably one of the most hostile places to go in Europe for an international and I think it will be on the players mind that they definitely need to pick up a win to stand a fair chance of getting through.

They are generally 9/4 & 5/2 stuff with most bookamakers, but Bet365 are huge standout at 14/5, think this is way out & I do think we will have a decent sweat here.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/matches/ukraine-v-france/winner

Therefore I suggest £30 @ 14/5 with Bet365.

No, I don't think I have done the 1-0 & 2-0 yet, but if the price remains, I will do. If I've missed the prices, my bad, apologies, but I'll look in a mo.

I'll also have a look at Ukraine-France, but would appreciate feedback from others on this.

There is no logical reason at all, but I'm struggling to find the enthusiasm to get excited about, or bet on, these World Cup Quallie things.

[TightEnd]

Tony, I apologise if I've missed it, but did we gt on Greece for 1-0 & 2-0 tonight, can't see anything listed, although it was a quick scroll through pages. The prices have gone completely.

Bet suggestion for tonight though....

Ukraine at home to France in a World Cup play off.

Ukraine ranked 20th, France are 21st. I would imagine that shows that there isn't much between those teams & since we have had Ukraine ourselves, there probably isn't that much between England and France and the rankings show we are better than both, we drew both games with Ukraine.

Ukraine is probably one of the most hostile places to go in Europe for an international and I think it will be on the players mind that they definitely need to pick up a win to stand a fair chance of getting through.

They are generally 9/4 & 5/2 stuff with most bookamakers, but Bet365 are huge standout at 14/5, think this is way out & I do think we will have a decent sweat here.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/matches/ukraine-v-france/winner

Therefore I suggest £30 @ 14/5 with Bet365.

I can't see this Aaron

England comfortably held Ukraine in Kiev, minus several key players. Pretty sure France can do similar. Marshal Yarmolenko, and Ukraine didn't seem to pose too many threats to decent teams going back as far as Euro 12 at home.

I certainly do not agree that going somewhere like Kiev is harsh any more. Players play in places like Donetsk in the Champions league frequently, they played in Ukraine in the 2012 Euros in a sumptuous brand new stadium and this is not the 1970s where players had no expsoure to Eastern Europe

[tikay]

Context

England’s Autumn International programme concludes with their toughest Test, playing World Champions New Zealand who come into the game with 31 victories in their last 32 games

New Zealand’s only loss in the last two years was almost a year ago, when as 1/12 favourites they lost 38-21 to England at Twickenham in a huge upset.

New Zealand beat France 26-19  last weekend in Paris, and in 2013 have been the clear number one in World Rugby. They won the Southern Hemisphere Rugby Championship only really tested by South Africa and did so without pre-eminent world players Richie McCaw and Dan Carter for much of the tournament. Both are back for this weekend, and showed in Paris that they are back good as ever

In experience alone New Zealand has a huge and undeniable advantage. Their starting fifteen has 842 caps.  McCaw alone has 127, the same number as England’s entire back division.   Carter in particular tends to punish England heavily, facing them on ten occasions, scoring a total of 171 points.

New Zealand might have a weakness in the scrum, as France showed last weekend, but whether England can take advantage of this with both first choice loose head props in Corbisiero and Vunipola injured remains to be seen.

England have won eight out of nine Test matches since beating New Zeland a year ago, their one reverse a spectacular defeat in Cardiff. In general they are a well organised unit but without a great deal of flair. Against Argentina leading 24-6 at half-time, New Zealand and South Africa would be expected to run away from their opponents. England instead laboured and over a half of rugby without scoring any more points on their opponents.

They tend to rely on Farrell kicking penalties and a big pack to at least get equality up front. This is unlikely to be sufficient against New Zealand, where you need quick ball and an absence of errors to stand a chance.

This time round, a year on, New Zealand are 1/10 outright to win. Can lightning strike twice? It has to be unlikely. Turning to the Handicap markets for an alternative way of getting a price on the match. New Zealand are available at Evens with Stan James with a 13 point handicap,

Bet

Richie McCaw Man of the Match £10 at 10-1 BetVictor

Why?

McCaw is a genuine openside number 7, a World Class player and the New Zealand captain
He is playing against a back row of Robshaw, Wood and Vunipola
Robshaw at 7 is not an openside
NZ's big advantage is likely to be securing quick ball, going through the phases, moving England around
McCaw is the key to this. He wins ball at rucks, he'll be turning over ball at rucks, he'll be first to rucks
Man of the Match will be decided by the Sky colour commentator, Stuart Barnes*. Barnes is a McCaw fan-boy (rightly) of over a decade. Stuart never knowingly under-worships World rugby superstars
McCaw's 129th Test Match. Whilst he will probably retire after the 2015 World Cup over here, he'll be massively motivated to overturn last year's shock result.

10-1 is a fair shout for small stakes. Realistically, if we assume a comfortable NZ win there are not a realm of MOTM candidates. Carter certainly, any back who scores tries, Kieran Read the number 8 and McCaw


* My assumption is this market takes the TV man of the match

Now there's a good tenner to a hundred sweat if ever I saw one, all aboard.

Incidentally, BetVictor specifically state that it is the Sky TV Man of the Match.

BET PLACED

[aaron1867]

Tony, the prices have gone for 1-0 & 2-0, sadly.

I think the Ukraine/France game is very different to any of the qualifiers that either of them have played in. I doubt Ukraine will want to be playing the game happy with a draw and having to win in France, whilst there isn't that much between the two. I am thinking we are nearly 3/1 on this, is good. I would have put Ukraine home games as up there as one of the best in Europe, especially with how big the stadium is.

I am looking foward to seeing how the games plan out though, think all of them will be decent games

[tikay]

Incoming e-Mail from Boylesports......


 


Hi Tony,

Big-time jumps racing is back with the Cheltenham Open meeting getting underway today from 1.05 and running right through until Sunday afternoon.

 

Boylesports will give you CASH BACK if your selection finishes 2nd to a Nicky Henderson-trained winner at Cheltenham this weekend!!
 

The T & C's are.....


Singles only
Applies to all channels.
Max refund £/€50.
Applies to single bets struck from Friday at 8.00am Available for all three days of the meeting.
 Available to UK & Irish customers only
Applies to Cheltenham Meeting, Friday 15th, Saturday 16th & Sunday 17th November

[Tal]

I think "world class" is understating how good Richie McCaw is. I'm not sure whether England are dirty enough at the breakdown to disrupt him. Plus TV pundits love picking the marquee players when they have spent the pre-match show telling everyone how great they are. I love this bet, Tighty.