Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

One last one.  Think we should back TimesRemembered in the 3.35 for £25 with Hills Mobile at 9/4.  It is bigger in a couple of spots, but the free bet for 2nd is worth more.

[Doobs]

Message from Hills

With all the top yards represented and in fine fettle, it’s not stopped us taking on the leading contenders,
Ballynagour 8/1, Champion Court 9/1and  Johns Spirit 9/1.
It is from 8.30am.

If Hills do their mobile concession that 8/1 on Ballynagour is best price, beats Betfair and you get money back for 2nd.  They also have best price guarantee.

Think we should take it if thread is up, though guess it is better to check Betfair prices in the morning (£25 Hills mobile).

BUMP

[Doobs]

Message from Hills

With all the top yards represented and in fine fettle, it’s not stopped us taking on the leading contenders,
Ballynagour 8/1, Champion Court 9/1and  Johns Spirit 9/1.
It is from 8.30am.

If Hills do their mobile concession that 8/1 on Ballynagour is best price, beats Betfair and you get money back for 2nd.  They also have best price guarantee.

Think we should take it if thread is up, though guess it is better to check Betfair prices in the morning (£25 Hills mobile).

BUMP

Morning me.  PP are 8/1 and paying 5 places which is as good and less hassle.

[horseplayer]

not a jumps man but everything i read about the horse suggests he breaks blood vessels regularly

seems more of a win or bust type to me

[Marky147]

Chompy steered you to the biggest bit of value pie for a while with Paddys Saltantes!

I missed it, but you're on at 11/1, and the horse is now 5/1 best.

[Bazzaboy]

I don't think Fred has a Spreadex account but I'll stick this up anyway as they are ool. Rabchenko to win on points against Pryce is 11/4 (15/8 biggest elsewhere).  They fought two years ago and Rabchenko won a comfortable decision on points. Since then it's fair to say Rabchenko has improved and at 32 Pryce has gone in the opposite direction.  

However In recent years Pryce has become a lot more durable and hasn't been stopped since 2009.  He also went the distance with BJ Saunders and Eubank Jnr despite not winning a round so has shown an ability to survive despite being outclassed (which will probably happen here). Granted neither of those are big punchers but they are both natural middleweights whereas Pryce is a natural welterweight (two divisions lower). I'd have been interested at 2/1 or bigger so 11/4 is nice.

[tikay]

Message from Hills

With all the top yards represented and in fine fettle, it’s not stopped us taking on the leading contenders,
Ballynagour 8/1, Champion Court 9/1and  Johns Spirit 9/1.
It is from 8.30am.

If Hills do their mobile concession that 8/1 on Ballynagour is best price, beats Betfair and you get money back for 2nd.  They also have best price guarantee.

Think we should take it if thread is up, though guess it is better to check Betfair prices in the morning (£25 Hills mobile).

BUMP

Morning me.  PP are 8/1 and paying 5 places which is as good and less hassle.

Mornimg Mr Maths Man, apologies for lateage, but I decadently overlaid in bed this morning. Ful tank now full, batteries charged, off we go.

We found Mr Power in an unusually generous mood this moirning, & he permitted us £21.04 EW.

Thanks.

PS - Includes "Money Back if we fall at the last" for the win part of the bet,  ("If your horse falls at the last jump, we will refund your losing single win stake on the race")


Applies to all UK & Irish jumps races in November.
 Applies to horses that fall, unseat or get brought down at the last jump.
 Applies to singles only.
 Applies to Win or Each Way market only.
 Bets placed in-running do not apply.
 Applies to win & win part of each-way bets only.
 Max Refund E/£100 per customer per race.    



BET PLACED

[horseplayer]

good shout with Ukraine Aaron

[tikay]

I don't think Fred has a Spreadex account but I'll stick this up anyway as they are ool. Rabchenko to win on points against Pryce is 11/4 (15/8 biggest elsewhere).  They fought two years ago and Rabchenko won a comfortable decision on points. Since then it's fair to say Rabchenko has improved and at 32 Pryce has gone in the opposite direction.  

However In recent years Pryce has become a lot more durable and hasn't been stopped since 2009.  He also went the distance with BJ Saunders and Eubank Jnr despite not winning a round so has shown an ability to survive despite being outclassed (which will probably happen here). Granted neither of those are big punchers but they are both natural middleweights whereas Pryce is a natural welterweight (two divisions lower). I'd have been interested at 2/1 or bigger so 11/4 is nice.

Thanks Bazza, Fred does not have an account with Spreadex, but hopefully others can fill their boots.

[tikay]

good shout with Ukraine Aaron

Yup, very good.

Can't recall what the proposed bets were, but we also discussed Iceland v Croatia (0-0), & Greece v Romania, 3-1, in which we intended to bet "to win to nil" &/or 1-0 & 2-0) but missed the price.

We were on England BTTS to score, too, but perhaps should have bet OTTST.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £596.96

Outstanding Bets £2963.96

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=32

A profit of £13 yesterday

Balthazar King's win at Cheltenham produced a £43 profit, offset by England failing tos core against Chile so the BTTS bet lost for -£30

In current positions, in the Greyhound Eclipse I think, not being a dog buff, that both Airlie Impact and Sawpit sensation qualified for next week's final? Both finished second in the semis in the 4th and 5th best times of the six finalists

Results at http://www.racingpost.com/greyhounds/result_home.sd#resultDay=2013-11-15&meetingId=33&isFullMeeting=true

So on at 12-1 and 25-1 we have a couple of shots. No idea if our two can make up 0.2 or 0.3 of a second in the final to beat the fastest dog. I presume the draw is important, maybe a bit of luck in running etc etc

There, I thought i bluffed those paragraphs quite well

After three rounds of the Australia PGA Brandon De Jonge is 8th after three rounds, seven shots behind who else, Adam Scott. Don't think it was stated on here how many places for the each way part of the bet but he's three shots off 5th

A reasonably busy day for bets today including

- Cheltenham
- Twickenham 
- Kidderminster
- Texas
- Blackpool SCD
- London, X-Factor

[tikay]

The strictly market has gone all weird.

Sophie Ellis Bextor no longer 2nd favourite, but is now 6th favourite!

Patrick has gone ahead of Ashley in the overall betting, but still behind in the best man.

Betway have Patrick at 11/4 for top man, he is 11/10 with Stan James.

If we have Betway, we should just get on and lay off later.  As much as we can.

Edit.  Gone. now best 9/4.  I have also backed SEB again at 9.6 to green the Betfair book.

The gazillion pounds you had on at 11/4 hasn't made the spreadsheet yet.  Some move that now 6/4 best for top man and 6/1 overall.  24 points awaits on Saturday.

Whoops, will sort that out later tonight, so that Tighty can do the Spready. I do remember it. Mostly.

Betway are still slow, 6/4 now when he is best priced 11/10 elsewhere.

Ashley now 13/10 best, which looks a bet to me, but I am on the other side which makes it more tempting obv.

You'll have to speak slowly, Doobs, I don't know what that means, are we suggesting a bet, & if so, on whom? I think we are already on Miss Gumball, too.

[BigAdz]

Does the Will Hill offer apply to Ipads too? cant get through on phone?

[horseplayer]

Click to see full-size image.

seems like a great deal

[tikay]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £596.96

Outstanding Bets £2963.96

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=32

A profit of £13 yesterday

Balthazar King's win at Cheltenham produced a £43 profit, offset by England failing tos core against Chile so the BTTS bet lost for -£30

In current positions, in the Greyhound Eclipse I think, not being a dog buff, that both Airlie Impact and Sawpit sensation qualified for next week's final? Both finished second in the semis in the 4th and 5th best times of the six finalists

Results at http://www.racingpost.com/greyhounds/result_home.sd#resultDay=2013-11-15&meetingId=33&isFullMeeting=true

So on at 12-1 and 25-1 we have a couple of shots. No idea if our two can make up 0.2 or 0.3 of a second in the final to beat the fastest dog. I presume the draw is important, maybe a bit of luck in running etc etc

There, I thought i bluffed those paragraphs quite well

After three rounds of the Australia PGA Brandon De Jonge is 8th after three rounds, seven shots behind who else, Adam Scott. Don't think it was stated on here how many places for the each way part of the bet but he's three shots off 5th

A reasonably busy day for bets today including

- Cheltenham
- Twickenham 
- Kidderminster
- Texas
- Blackpool SCD
- London, X-Factor

Thanks Tighty, love your Dog Racing expertise. If I recall correctly (unlikely...) 0.08 of a second = 1 length, so we need either of our two to find 2 or 3 lengths, or get some luck in running. Great value bets.

I can't recall the De Jonge place Terms, but I'll have a rimmage round shortly.