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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16423861 times)
Eso Kral
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« Reply #62250 on: December 21, 2013, 11:06:34 AM »


Tighty,

All the Admin us up to date now.*

Never going to let it get behind again, what a bloody nightmare.

* Errors & Omissions excepted. Fred takes no responsibility for errors. Bets can go Eso as well as up.
I love you a little more every day Tikay!

You must check who is looking, see me and then Boom!
Wink
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« Reply #62251 on: December 21, 2013, 11:07:33 AM »

Before i forget

365 are doing there now quite rare bet £50 get £50 in play bet free offer for Arsenal Chelsea on Monday

Paddy Power are doing upto £100 back (as cash) on;

 If this match ends as a draw, we'll refund all losing First Goalscorer, Last Goalscorer, Correct Score & Scorecast singles on the match.

Not sure how to equate the paddy offer but as discussed before (lots) the 365 offer is a no brainer for those who can

Think the FGS offer will add about 25% to the EV of a FGS bet.  Draw happens just less than a third of the time so adds roughly 30%, but sometimes we get the FGS so get no refund.  I don't know the likely starters but Walcott, Eto'o and Ba were all top priced with Paddy.  We effectively get 9/1 rather than 7/1 Eto'o and 10/1 rather than 8/1 on the other 2.  Now all we need is someone to let us know what the correct prices on those 3 should be.

And agreed on the bet365 offer
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #62252 on: December 21, 2013, 11:08:33 AM »

I have completely lost track of where Fred is regards SCD.

I know for me realistically I now need Gumball to make top 3 and Reid to win, but I have seen so many comings and goings for "back this, lay that", what is the nut result for Fred?
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« Reply #62253 on: December 21, 2013, 11:10:48 AM »

I have completely lost track of where Fred is regards SCD.

I know for me realistically I now need Gumball to make top 3 and Reid to win, but I have seen so many comings and goings for "back this, lay that", what is the nut result for Fred?

Gumede to win

2nd result Sophie to win


Most likely result

Susanna to win

Gumede to finish 4th

Hoping the top 3 Gumede part comes in, at least. Would be a Novelty travesty if it didn't but she's simply unpopular with the voters, so its a struggle
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tikay
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« Reply #62254 on: December 21, 2013, 11:11:31 AM »

I have completely lost track of where Fred is regards SCD.

I know for me realistically I now need Gumball to make top 3 and Reid to win, but I have seen so many comings and goings for "back this, lay that", what is the nut result for Fred?

You & me too Adzy, I don't have a bloody clue. The sooner it ends, the better.

Anyone know when it will all be over? Today would not be soon enough for me.
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tikay
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« Reply #62255 on: December 21, 2013, 11:12:27 AM »


Tighty,

All the Admin us up to date now.*

Never going to let it get behind again, what a bloody nightmare.

* Errors & Omissions excepted. Fred takes no responsibility for errors. Bets can go Eso as well as up.
I love you a little more every day Tikay!

You must check who is looking, see me and then Boom!
Wink

I doubt there is any sucker on blonde I love more.

xx
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Doobs
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« Reply #62256 on: December 21, 2013, 11:13:27 AM »

I have completely lost track of where Fred is regards SCD.

I know for me realistically I now need Gumball to make top 3 and Reid to win, but I have seen so many comings and goings for "back this, lay that", what is the nut result for Fred?

Gumball needs third for thread.  She is about 8/11 first to go.  Thread should also have £2.50 on SEB to win £40 after the lay is added on.   Think all other bets were ignored.  

Nut result is a Gumball win, but would be a pretty big shock now.  
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« Reply #62257 on: December 21, 2013, 11:13:41 AM »

link for the ski man if like me the weather is knocking your sky signal today

http://www.stream2watch.me/live-tv/eurosport-live-stream
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« Reply #62258 on: December 21, 2013, 11:15:32 AM »

Its a shame really, Susanna was definitely put up at 5-1 and 9-2 but probably too many voices and too much confusion for tikay to sort the wheat from the Tal.

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« Reply #62259 on: December 21, 2013, 11:18:11 AM »

Its a shame really, Susanna was definitely put up at 5-1 and 9-2 but probably too many voices and too much confusion for tikay to sort the wheat from the Tal.



Ain't that the truth.

I just don't understand the concept, format, or anything about it, so it's not an easy one for me. I did see loads of Recommends, but I sort of lost the plot, along with the will to live.

It's the sort of Market that Eso ought to specialise in, when we keep swinging different ways.
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« Reply #62260 on: December 21, 2013, 11:24:33 AM »

OK Mr T I have come to a decision.

I think we should go for Harlequins to beat Bath today. Both teams are playing as well as they can, but Harlequins have been beating better teams than Bath have. Winning away in France in the Heineken cup is very hard and Harlequins managed it with some ease. They have started to score points again after a shaky start to the season. Add in the fact that Bath still have Stringer at scrum half, and I never liked him when he was in his prime, then the 13/8 is good.

Suggest £24 Harlequins @ 13/8 with Betfair fixed odds jobbie I think it is.
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« Reply #62261 on: December 21, 2013, 11:40:18 AM »

link for the ski man if like me the weather is knocking your sky signal today

http://www.stream2watch.me/live-tv/eurosport-live-stream

Spectacularly fast conditions, the jumps are super fast, small mistakes end up as crashes....
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« Reply #62262 on: December 21, 2013, 11:44:05 AM »

Its a shame really, Susanna was definitely put up at 5-1 and 9-2 but probably too many voices and too much confusion for tikay to sort the wheat from the Tal.



Morning all.

I completely agree with you about Nalatie and hope the public give her some recognition for being the best dancer throughout.

But if this is about punting, I've laid all my Gumball money back and I'm funking for Susanna and Abbey at nice prices from a few weeks back.

In all seriousness, I'm with tikay. It's been fiercely complicated trying to sort out which bets are best. Hats off to doobs for his alacrity of thought. Pouncing like a lynx when he saw a vulnerable spot in the market. It's been very impressive to see him at work.
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« Reply #62263 on: December 21, 2013, 11:50:53 AM »

I have completely lost track of where Fred is regards SCD.

I know for me realistically I now need Gumball to make top 3 and Reid to win, but I have seen so many comings and goings for "back this, lay that", what is the nut result for Fred?

Gumede to win

2nd result Sophie to win


Most likely result

Susanna to win

Gumede to finish 4th

Hoping the top 3 Gumede part comes in, at least. Would be a Novelty travesty if it didn't but she's simply unpopular with the voters, so its a struggle


Cheers Tighty..

I note as I write this that Chaff(Tal) has laid his Gumball money back....we now have an excellent chance of scooping the lot! Wink Grin
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« Reply #62264 on: December 21, 2013, 11:52:44 AM »


The weather in London has turned very much for the worse - a spectacular rainstorm in progress right now.
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