Tips for Tikay

[BigAdz]

Thanks to Mrs Bandit for the Maths

Bigger thank you to Bobby1 and Tighty for the Bengals stuff.

Paid out and freerolling the biggie. Go Bengals!!

[tikay]

Coffee ready?

Taken the dog for a walk?

Fed the twins?

OK, sit down & enjoy.

Incoming Daily Report should be quite something.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on the Month £626.76

Outstanding Bets £2964.54

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=33

A profit of £192 yesterday, with one of the key season long NFL bets coming in to virtually guarantee a profit on that sub-portfolio

The Cincinnati Bengals smashed the Minnesota Vikings and when the New England Patriots pummelled the Baltimore Ravens, the Bengals had won the AFC North for a £230 profit. This Guarantees the Bengals their first play-off game at home, where they are 7-0 this season. Now the challenge is to trade correctly around the £50 at 16-1 we have on them to win the AFC where they are now 7-1 third favourites. They have to go through either or both of New England and Denver to get to the Superbowl, which is a tough ask, but we have a shot

Elsewhere yesterday in the profit column

- The Arizona Cardinals beat the Seattle Seahawks, ending Seattle's 15 game home winning streak. They were 10 point underdogs
- The Giants beat the imploding Lions in overtime, again as 10 point dogs
- Sadly the Raiders let me down for the treble, in circumstances that were a touch irking for ladies of a certain dispoosition

Still the three bets returned +£24

In Rugby Union the inclement weather and the toothless Worcester Warriors combined to give a £20 profit on a points unders bet

Losers

- Jack was not topping the charts - £5
- None of the seven first TD scorers came in for the Paddy Power offer -£36
- The Miami Dolphins did not win the AFC East - £40
- The Chiefs lost and now cannot win the AFC West, so that free bet was closed off


Longer term stuff

Southampton lost again, and are slipping down the table. From the heady heights of the top four, injuries struck their back four and they do not seem to have the strength in depth to withstand them. Remains a long long stretch to have them anywhere near going down, though

Bilbao beat Rayo V 2-1. They are 13 points behind A Madrid in the bet to win La Liga minus the top 2, Villareal 17 points behind

The Tennessee Titans scored a humdrum 20 points in beating the Jags. To win a £75 at 17/10 eason points bet the Titans need to score 9 points against the 2-13 Texans next week. We'd be doing well to lose this one

The Eagles walloped the Bears 54-11 to take the NFC East into a one game showdown next week at the Cowboys. Winner makes the play-offs. The loser is out. Dangerous team the Eagles, if they make the play-offs. I think they will

Quarterbacks. Not an easy day for Brees or Stafford. Brees: conditions and the suffocating Carolina defense. Stafford: His inconsistency, coaching, teammates and generally being the perennially underperforming Detroit Lions

Amidst all this the peerless Peyton Manning broke Tom Brady's record by throwing his 51st TD of the season and putting up another 400+ passing yards

1   Peyton Manning, QB   DEN   5,211   
2   Drew Brees, QB    NO   4,781   
3   Matthew Stafford, QB DET 4,433   
4   Philip Rivers, QB SD   4,249
---------
5   Tom Brady, QB    NE   4,221   
6   Ben Roethlisberger, QB PIT 4,082   
7   Andy Dalton, QB CIN 4,015   
8   Matt Ryan, QB   ATL   3,887   

Brees will be an each way winner, its a bit nervy for the Stafford bet though. Ryan plays at the 49ers tonight. 372 yards gets him in the top 4. Very unlikely at the 49ers, but something to watch anyway

 

[TightEnd]

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[Tonji]

Well, I'm heading off to France & a net free holiday, so...

Respect & thanks to Tighty & tikay for their work on TFT.

Elders & all contributors on Fred keep this the most enlightening, interesting & entertaining thread on blonde.

Happy Christmas & a healthy & prosperous New Year all.

[tikay]

A profit of £192 yesterday, with one of the key season long NFL bets coming in to virtually guarantee a profit on that sub-portfolio


Very pleased with that, Rich.

We invested a lot of money in our basket of NFL season bets, & have had 3 + months of fun sweats. To get out @ breakeven, or even a profit, is great news. And we might just be freerolling for a really big lump if the Bengals continue to impress.

Perfect.   

[Chompy]

Ross Barkley still 4/5 to be in the England World Cup squad? Anyone?

[horseplayer]

presumably betting on him not getting injured?

only slight niggle with me would be first season playing 75% + of games might take its toll near the end although Martinez is sure to rotate him well

[Chompy]

Not sure the injury thing comes into it, as Hart and Rooney are 1/50 and just as likely to get a knock.

It's a crazy price. Time to blue it up, oi oi!

[horseplayer]

mm called a press conference for 1pm today

suddenly the 4-6 with vcbet looks a good bet again to me

Cant see why he would call a press conference today for anything positive?

[Tal]

mm called a press conference for 1pm today

suddenly the 4-6 with vcbet looks a good bet again to me

Cant see why he would call a press conference today for anything positive?

Thank you for coming. Everything's fine. Any questions?

[youthnkzR]

Man United can be backed at 18/1 to win the premier league outright. 8 points adrift (however a possible 10 should Arsenal win tonight). There's been word of Man U spending during the upcoming transfer window - this coupled with Arsenal / Liverpools possible and probable inability to maintain their current standard in comparison to the workhorse which is Manchester United.

Moyes seems a lot more confident recently and as was recently said; 'maybe the bad times are behind us'. The team is also seemingly coming together nicely with the introduction of Januzi into the starting 11. With a couple of world class additions in areas they are struggling, they could become possible contenders again.

The obvious worry would be city who have a squad which is near being a class apart from any other in the leauge at the minute, however with their shaky away form - who knows.

I'm not for one second suggesting United can/will win the leauge at the minute, however can we not back with a view to laying when they inevitably (in my novice opinion) become a much shorter price - particularly if the transfer window / few results after are successes. (This has probably already been talked about and either dismissed or punted, however it just occurred to me whilst lazily browsing)!

Anyway if if hasn't been discussed its out there for discussion now!

[tikay]

mm called a press conference for 1pm today

suddenly the 4-6 with vcbet looks a good bet again to me

Cant see why he would call a press conference today for anything positive?

Thank you for coming. Everything's fine. Any questions?

as things stand, I am in charge for the foreseeable future & will be until something else happens

[Chompy]

Not sure the injury thing comes into it, as Hart and Rooney are 1/50 and just as likely to get a knock.

It's a crazy price. Time to blue it up, oi oi!

Lads let me have £100 @ 4/5 and then cut to 1/2! This is the firm that took a huno bags on Phil Taylor. My arse.

[horseplayer]

all firms suspended betting other than pp who are 4/9

if as i suspect he leaves the 10-1 365 for the wba job wont be there in an hour....

edit just seen this

Live: Cardiff City boss Malky Mackay set to speak out on Vincent Tan peace deal bid - 1pm

Seems strange to arrange a press conf an hour before to say he will talk to the owner?