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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16396704 times)
Kmac84
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« Reply #64185 on: January 04, 2014, 03:41:49 PM »

personally dont see the value in suddenly doing football lucky 15's (regardless of who tips them me included)

the accounts are now pretty set in stone, having one or two multiples a week wont undo the damage



I don't disagree with this fwiw.  My suggestion for Fred was not the lucky 15 though but 2 singles.  I was merely pointing out my own bets and I believe its important to give a bit of action to the books wth some dubious looking bets and there is nothing more fishy than a saturday acca.  As well as what was posted I have had a about 10 x £5 accas with coupons ranging from 4 - 8 teams.  I only need one to bink and I break even on my accas.  I am not as restrcted as Tikay though.  I have 2 accounts that I find it difficult to get a bet with as opposed to Tikay having 2 accounts or so that will lay him a bet.  
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tikay
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« Reply #64186 on: January 04, 2014, 03:42:04 PM »

personally dont see the value in suddenly doing football lucky 15's (regardless of who tips them me included)

the accounts are now pretty set in stone, having one or two multiples a week wont undo the damage

The discussion hasn't been about undo-ing damage as far as I am aware, surely more protecting the fully functioning accounts. We need those or the thread can't place bets.

Yes, agreed.

Roulette & Blackjack are next, oooohhhhh
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« Reply #64187 on: January 04, 2014, 03:44:01 PM »

personally dont see the value in suddenly doing football lucky 15's (regardless of who tips them me included)

the accounts are now pretty set in stone, having one or two multiples a week wont undo the damage

The discussion hasn't been about undo-ing damage as far as I am aware, surely more protecting the fully functioning accounts. We need those or the thread can't place bets.

Agree with this.

I also dont understand doing Lucky 15s on selections which include mainly sub 4-1 shots. If you only have one winner and its 2-1, you get double the odds so only get the money back you outlaid.

If you get a double you then dont even get the double odds.

Does make you look like a mug punter tho Wink
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« Reply #64188 on: January 04, 2014, 03:50:10 PM »

Luisa is huge at 35s
She turned people from hating her to liking her in the apprentice.

She's intelligent, not afraid to tell people exactly how it is and is hot. Can you back each way in big brother and hope does it work? Was really shocked at 35s.

You sure? Looks like a 34b to me.



Think this sums up your misogynistic attitude to women captain tiddlearse, this young lady is Louise Cliffe, from BB 11, non celeb style, who went on to marry Geordie Jay. This is the totty u were looking for....34b? Raise
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tikay
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« Reply #64189 on: January 04, 2014, 03:50:31 PM »

personally dont see the value in suddenly doing football lucky 15's (regardless of who tips them me included)

the accounts are now pretty set in stone, having one or two multiples a week wont undo the damage

The discussion hasn't been about undo-ing damage as far as I am aware, surely more protecting the fully functioning accounts. We need those or the thread can't place bets.

Agree with this.

I also dont understand doing Lucky 15s on selections which include mainly sub 4-1 shots. If you only have one winner and its 2-1, you get double the odds so only get the money back you outlaid.

If you get a double you then dont even get the double odds.

Does make you look like a mug punter tho Wink

 I don't need any help with looking mug-like these days.....
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« Reply #64190 on: January 04, 2014, 03:54:41 PM »

I have spent quite a bit of time on todays football cards I have a few selections were I just think the price is plane wrong and I have 1 from Scotland were I think the books have been lazy. 

FA Cup - happy for these to be corrected by anyone.  I started off by pricing up each game and then scoured the net for prices. 

Southampton v Burnley - I had Burnley in at 9/2 chances, still a big price  but was shocked to see we can get 6/1 with a number of the books.  I am not saying this is 100% value but instinctively the price just seems off.  I think Southampton are being priced on the back of their early season form but they have been well out of sorts of late. 

Stoke v Leicester - I think I read on here before that the Championship sides would be pushing for cup runs to help balance the books due to the new fair play rules however, my line of thought on this game was that Pearson was more likely to make changes in this match than Mark Hughes. I think promotion to the Premier League is far more important to Leicester than any cup game.  Leicester have a bigger squad than most Championship sides and I am sure Tight End will be able to offer some guidance here but I think some of the rotations they make are questionable.  I made Stoke around the 11/8 and we can beat that in a number of spots.  I think the books have priced this game up on Leicester fielding their strongest XI I personally expect changes and for tthat reason I am backing Stoke.  I might top up on my single or reverse my position when team news is out though. 

Barnsley v Coventry - This for me was more of a coin flip, Barnsley are another team shot in confidence and Danny Wilson hasn't worked his magic on return - as of yet - Stephen Pressley on the otherhand is an inspirational leader.  I dont particularly like him but I think his record as a manager/player is pretty decent.  As a player he done well in cup competitions, in Scotland as a manager he took all competitions seriously.  He is in charge of a team that is playing some good football just now they are scoring goals and generally doing ok.  I thought the 9/4 we can get with Betfair is a really nice price. 

Hamilton v Queen of the South - I think this is a classic piece of lazy bookmaking.  This game has been priced up purely on league positions.  Queens had a really poor start to the season.  They had lost a manager who had got them promoted and wone a cup competition and brought in a guy who lacked experience.  However over the past 2 months things have started to come together, they have picked up decent points against teams who's league positions have been better.  In addition to that they have recently picked up their first away win since October in tricky conditions at Cowdenbeath.  Hamilton on the otherhand had a really good start to the season but over the past 2 months the wheels have come off, they did beat Queens at Palmerston in a game that QOS dominated.  The 14/5 available with Coral is a stand out.

My bets are a bit ice creamy today, as was pointed out yesterday its good to give a bit of action to books to keep accounts active ;-)

£2 Lucky 15 Burnley 6/1, Stoke 13/10, Coventry 15/8 (sigh), Queen of the South 13/5
Lay Southampton £40 @ 1.55
Back Stoke £50 @7/5
Back Coventry @ £30 @9/4
Back QoS £25 @ 14/5

These are not all selections for Fred, but I wouldn't put you off.   If i were to suggest that Fred got involved I think the best bets are Stoke and QoS.


Multiples, accas, we love 'em. PUNISH THEM.

All aboard the Lucky 15, woo-woo.

BET PLACED
Southampton haven't been out of sorts still been playing well  had a relative easy start to season  and then played a lot of the big teams back to back fixture list is about to get easier for them and they will soon be picking up points again
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« Reply #64191 on: January 04, 2014, 03:56:00 PM »


Barnet lead Alfreton 1-0.
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Marky147
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« Reply #64192 on: January 04, 2014, 04:39:25 PM »

Sheffield Wednesday 1 up!

1-1


Incred bokking tekkers...
« Last Edit: January 04, 2014, 04:40:57 PM by Marky147 » Logged

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« Reply #64193 on: January 04, 2014, 04:44:12 PM »

Green Bay have their pocket slinging QB, Aaron Rodgers back, plus Randall Cobb. San Francisco have their offence on full bore too.

This game is the outsider of the weekend's four to be the highest scoring at 4/1 with BMU.

Saints @ Eagles obviously has potential to be a big one, but I don't understand why the other two games are more likely to have the biggest total.
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« Reply #64194 on: January 04, 2014, 04:45:29 PM »

Sheffield Wednesday 1 up!

1-1


Incred bokking tekkers...

please hold for the draw

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Kmac84
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« Reply #64195 on: January 04, 2014, 05:06:49 PM »

I have spent quite a bit of time on todays football cards I have a few selections were I just think the price is plane wrong and I have 1 from Scotland were I think the books have been lazy. 

FA Cup - happy for these to be corrected by anyone.  I started off by pricing up each game and then scoured the net for prices. 

Southampton v Burnley - I had Burnley in at 9/2 chances, still a big price  but was shocked to see we can get 6/1 with a number of the books.  I am not saying this is 100% value but instinctively the price just seems off.  I think Southampton are being priced on the back of their early season form but they have been well out of sorts of late. 

Stoke v Leicester - I think I read on here before that the Championship sides would be pushing for cup runs to help balance the books due to the new fair play rules however, my line of thought on this game was that Pearson was more likely to make changes in this match than Mark Hughes. I think promotion to the Premier League is far more important to Leicester than any cup game.  Leicester have a bigger squad than most Championship sides and I am sure Tight End will be able to offer some guidance here but I think some of the rotations they make are questionable.  I made Stoke around the 11/8 and we can beat that in a number of spots.  I think the books have priced this game up on Leicester fielding their strongest XI I personally expect changes and for tthat reason I am backing Stoke.  I might top up on my single or reverse my position when team news is out though. 

Barnsley v Coventry - This for me was more of a coin flip, Barnsley are another team shot in confidence and Danny Wilson hasn't worked his magic on return - as of yet - Stephen Pressley on the otherhand is an inspirational leader.  I dont particularly like him but I think his record as a manager/player is pretty decent.  As a player he done well in cup competitions, in Scotland as a manager he took all competitions seriously.  He is in charge of a team that is playing some good football just now they are scoring goals and generally doing ok.  I thought the 9/4 we can get with Betfair is a really nice price. 

Hamilton v Queen of the South - I think this is a classic piece of lazy bookmaking.  This game has been priced up purely on league positions.  Queens had a really poor start to the season.  They had lost a manager who had got them promoted and wone a cup competition and brought in a guy who lacked experience.  However over the past 2 months things have started to come together, they have picked up decent points against teams who's league positions have been better.  In addition to that they have recently picked up their first away win since October in tricky conditions at Cowdenbeath.  Hamilton on the otherhand had a really good start to the season but over the past 2 months the wheels have come off, they did beat Queens at Palmerston in a game that QOS dominated.  The 14/5 available with Coral is a stand out.

My bets are a bit ice creamy today, as was pointed out yesterday its good to give a bit of action to books to keep accounts active ;-)

£2 Lucky 15 Burnley 6/1, Stoke 13/10, Coventry 15/8 (sigh), Queen of the South 13/5
Lay Southampton £40 @ 1.55
Back Stoke £50 @7/5
Back Coventry @ £30 @9/4
Back QoS £25 @ 14/5

These are not all selections for Fred, but I wouldn't put you off.   If i were to suggest that Fred got involved I think the best bets are Stoke and QoS.


Multiples, accas, we love 'em. PUNISH THEM.

All aboard the Lucky 15, woo-woo.

BET PLACED
Southampton haven't been out of sorts still been playing well  had a relative easy start to season  and then played a lot of the big teams back to back fixture list is about to get easier for them and they will soon be picking up points again

I can't agree with that assessment Ironside.  I have watched a numberof Southampton games and they haven't looked as slick in the last few games as they did in the early part of the season.  Even if fixtures have been a bit more difficult I think they have played poorly, defensively they have been slack and going forward not as slick imo. 
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« Reply #64196 on: January 04, 2014, 05:23:28 PM »

Green Bay have their pocket slinging QB, Aaron Rodgers back, plus Randall Cobb. San Francisco have their offence on full bore too.

This game is the outsider of the weekend's four to be the highest scoring at 4/1 with BMU.

Saints @ Eagles obviously has potential to be a big one, but I don't understand why the other two games are more likely to have the biggest total.

Agree, this is a pretty good bet I think.
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« Reply #64197 on: January 04, 2014, 05:24:23 PM »

Green Bay have their pocket slinging QB, Aaron Rodgers back, plus Randall Cobb. San Francisco have their offence on full bore too.

This game is the outsider of the weekend's four to be the highest scoring at 4/1 with BMU.

Saints @ Eagles obviously has potential to be a big one, but I don't understand why the other two games are more likely to have the biggest total.


Brrrrrrrr?
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« Reply #64198 on: January 04, 2014, 05:28:19 PM »

Are Arsenal a bet or lay at 1/1?  Its a bit late in the day to discuss this in any great depth I make them a lay given the look of the team, I foresee much pretty football and lots of passing in the final 3rd but no cutting edge in front of goal.  
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« Reply #64199 on: January 04, 2014, 05:29:02 PM »

Sheffield Wednesday 1 up!

1-1


Incred bokking tekkers...

please hold for the draw



Give him the reins, Milan!
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