Tips for Tikay

[aaron1867]

Wednesday have near enough a full side out against Macclesfield. Kierlan Lee 25/1 FGS, sometimes does net a goal.

Not a bet for fred, but anyone who fancies a small punt.

[tikay]

Jack Payne to score any time for Posh v  Kiddy, 12/1 Coral. Way too big, should be around half that price.

Thanks Chomps. No bet size stated. Half a chunk? A whole chunk? Two chunks?

We have 1.5 chunks, which is £15 in real money, @ 12/1.

BET PLACED

[tikay]

I have spent quite a bit of time on todays football cards I have a few selections were I just think the price is plane wrong and I have 1 from Scotland were I think the books have been lazy.  

FA Cup - happy for these to be corrected by anyone.  I started off by pricing up each game and then scoured the net for prices.  

Southampton v Burnley - I had Burnley in at 9/2 chances, still a big price  but was shocked to see we can get 6/1 with a number of the books.  I am not saying this is 100% value but instinctively the price just seems off.  I think Southampton are being priced on the back of their early season form but they have been well out of sorts of late.  

Stoke v Leicester - I think I read on here before that the Championship sides would be pushing for cup runs to help balance the books due to the new fair play rules however, my line of thought on this game was that Pearson was more likely to make changes in this match than Mark Hughes. I think promotion to the Premier League is far more important to Leicester than any cup game.  Leicester have a bigger squad than most Championship sides and I am sure Tight End will be able to offer some guidance here but I think some of the rotations they make are questionable.  I made Stoke around the 11/8 and we can beat that in a number of spots.  I think the books have priced this game up on Leicester fielding their strongest XI I personally expect changes and for tthat reason I am backing Stoke.  I might top up on my single or reverse my position when team news is out though.  

Barnsley v Coventry - This for me was more of a coin flip, Barnsley are another team shot in confidence and Danny Wilson hasn't worked his magic on return - as of yet - Stephen Pressley on the otherhand is an inspirational leader.  I dont particularly like him but I think his record as a manager/player is pretty decent.  As a player he done well in cup competitions, in Scotland as a manager he took all competitions seriously.  He is in charge of a team that is playing some good football just now they are scoring goals and generally doing ok.  I thought the 9/4 we can get with Betfair is a really nice price.  

Hamilton v Queen of the South - I think this is a classic piece of lazy bookmaking.  This game has been priced up purely on league positions.  Queens had a really poor start to the season.  They had lost a manager who had got them promoted and wone a cup competition and brought in a guy who lacked experience.  However over the past 2 months things have started to come together, they have picked up decent points against teams who's league positions have been better.  In addition to that they have recently picked up their first away win since October in tricky conditions at Cowdenbeath.  Hamilton on the otherhand had a really good start to the season but over the past 2 months the wheels have come off, they did beat Queens at Palmerston in a game that QOS dominated.  The 14/5 available with Coral is a stand out.

My bets are a bit ice creamy today, as was pointed out yesterday its good to give a bit of action to books to keep accounts active ;-)

£2 Lucky 15 Burnley 6/1, Stoke 13/10, Coventry 15/8 (sigh), Queen of the South 13/5
Lay Southampton £40 @ 1.55
Back Stoke £50 @7/5
Back Coventry @ £30 @9/4
Back QoS £25 @ 14/5

These are not all selections for Fred, but I wouldn't put you off.   If i were to suggest that Fred got involved I think the best bets are Stoke and QoS.

Multiples, accas, we love 'em. PUNISH THEM.

All aboard the Lucky 15, woo-woo.

BET PLACED

[Kmac84]

Horrendous start from Queens.  2 - 0 down after 9 minutes.  :-(

[scotty2hatty]

The discussion is super valid regarding multiples, if it preserves your accounts tikay it is definitlely a positive. Has been fairly annoying see you say on a number of occasions that you've managed to get £3.43 on a bet or whatever.

What might be a little fun way of throwing these spanners at the bookmakers could be to pick out 4 or 5 tipsters every Saturday and they give you their best football bet for you to throw a couple of chunks at in an accy? Could add some extra banter too with Chompy busting the coupon every week.

[tikay]

Horrendous start from Queens.  2 - 0 down after 9 minutes.  :-(

Bloody Accas........

[booder]

Horrendous start from Queens.  2 - 0 down after 9 minutes.  :-(

Bloody Accas........

Hamilton  23/20 on Hills with 2-0 lead

[tikay]

The discussion is super valid regarding multiples, if it preserves your accounts tikay it is definitlely a positive. Has been fairly annoying see you say on a number of occasions that you've managed to get £3.43 on a bet or whatever.

What might be a little fun way of throwing these spanners at the bookmakers could be to pick out 4 or 5 tipsters every Saturday and they give you their best football bet for you to throw a couple of chunks at in an accy? Could add some extra banter too with Chompy busting the coupon every week.

Ha, it's pretty annoying for ME when I get tiddlearsed by the Bookies!

We had a chat yesterday, & yes, we'll modify the approach now, in fact, we've already had a Double, & a Lucky 15 today, so we are on the way.

Unfortunately - correct me if I'm wrong - but I think once a Bookie Restricts an Account, they rarely UnRestrict it.

I was naïve early doors with dirty EW's, and so I've had to pay the price for my ignorance. So be it.

[horseplayer]

personally dont see the value in suddenly doing football lucky 15's (regardless of who tips them me included)

the accounts are now pretty set in stone, having one or two multiples a week wont undo the damage

[aaron1867]

Found a stream for Macc/Wed, got lots of other games on.

Macclesfield killing us at the moment.

lol, wednesday winning.

[scotty2hatty]

The discussion is super valid regarding multiples, if it preserves your accounts tikay it is definitlely a positive. Has been fairly annoying see you say on a number of occasions that you've managed to get £3.43 on a bet or whatever.

What might be a little fun way of throwing these spanners at the bookmakers could be to pick out 4 or 5 tipsters every Saturday and they give you their best football bet for you to throw a couple of chunks at in an accy? Could add some extra banter too with Chompy busting the coupon every week.

Ha, it's pretty annoying for ME when I get tiddlearsed by the Bookies!

We had a chat yesterday, & yes, we'll modify the approach now, in fact, we've already had a Double, & a Lucky 15 today, so we are on the way.

Unfortunately - correct me if I'm wrong - but I think once a Bookie Restricts an Account, they rarely UnRestrict it.

I was naïve early doors with dirty EW's, and so I've had to pay the price for my ignorance. So be it.

Apologies, I just meant it was annoying for everyone.

[tikay]

Horrendous start from Queens.  2 - 0 down after 9 minutes.  :-(

Bloody Accas........

Hamilton  23/20 on Hills with 2-0 lead

Good spot David, but gone now, unsurprisingly!

[scotty2hatty]

personally dont see the value in suddenly doing football lucky 15's (regardless of who tips them me included)

the accounts are now pretty set in stone, having one or two multiples a week wont undo the damage

The discussion hasn't been about undo-ing damage as far as I am aware, surely more protecting the fully functioning accounts. We need those or the thread can't place bets.

[horseplayer]

yep thats fine

but i still very much doubt having a multiple on the footie every weekend will protect an account any longer if the majority of the other bets beat sp

as i said last night it would be a much bigger worry if none of the accounts were restricted

[tikay]

The discussion is super valid regarding multiples, if it preserves your accounts tikay it is definitlely a positive. Has been fairly annoying see you say on a number of occasions that you've managed to get £3.43 on a bet or whatever.

What might be a little fun way of throwing these spanners at the bookmakers could be to pick out 4 or 5 tipsters every Saturday and they give you their best football bet for you to throw a couple of chunks at in an accy? Could add some extra banter too with Chompy busting the coupon every week.

Ha, it's pretty annoying for ME when I get tiddlearsed by the Bookies!

We had a chat yesterday, & yes, we'll modify the approach now, in fact, we've already had a Double, & a Lucky 15 today, so we are on the way.

Unfortunately - correct me if I'm wrong - but I think once a Bookie Restricts an Account, they rarely UnRestrict it.

I was naïve early doors with dirty EW's, and so I've had to pay the price for my ignorance. So be it.

Apologies, I just meant it was annoying for everyone.

No apology necessary, my reply was perhaps clumsily worded.