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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16427821 times)
tikay
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« Reply #65850 on: January 18, 2014, 06:59:03 PM »

Come on Villa

Hold.




2-2 now.....
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TightEnd
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« Reply #65851 on: January 18, 2014, 07:01:11 PM »

More importantly Leicester 9 Ulster 9

Could easily be a score either way at the end, tight game

We have a shot.
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« Reply #65852 on: January 18, 2014, 07:02:19 PM »

Boxing folks, thoughts on Pascal v Bute tonight?

Yes, yes, two years late in the making and respective losses to Hopkins and Froch make it much less relevant than it probably should have been. Both over 30 now and question marks about both these days.

Pascal is getting all the hype and all the pundits' love. I find him a poor puncher at the 175lb mark despite his aggressive style and he fights a man in Bute who can be as smooth as silk. Froch is a brawler, too, so we know Bute can be susceptible to that style, but who isn't?

Canada will be watching with whatever passes for mild anticipation over there. This is at least a dozen leagues better than Chisora v Fury after all.

I think this fight is much closer than others seemingly do. Bute is dangerous. He won't give up and Pascal's not going to get things his own way, even if he comes flying out of the traps. He hasn't fought seriously for three years. 4/6 doesn't look in the least bit attractive in that light and I'm not convinced distance favours him as much as some are saying.

Bute is 6/4 to win with Paddy and Mr Coral. What do we think?

I've backed Pascal although not at the current prices. Bute was ruined by Froch in much the same way Lacy was ruined by Calzaghe. Lacy was never the same fighter and I don't think Bute will be either. The aura of invincibility he had has now gone and his chin was exposed. Physically he will have long since recovered from his beating but the mental scars will remain. Pascal won't come at him with the same intensity but I can't see Bute keeping him off for 12 rounds.  The injury problems and stamina issues obviously a concern for Pascal but I think he has too much for Bute.

I do understand why Pascal is favourite, but I'm still minded to consider 6/4 a bit big.

I'll happily cede to your wisdom on these things, though, applying the Elder > Enthusiast system.

As you were.
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« Reply #65853 on: January 18, 2014, 07:19:43 PM »

Got to say I hate the Moreno rushing yards over.

Montee Ball is your man.

I think he's very close to being the featured back.

I am buying his td minutes and backing him for first td.

BTW Anyone who can get a bet on with , please PM. Montee is 20/1 with them and that is way too big. I don't want a big bet - but I'll have to know you. TIA

Ball won't be featured back in teh Conference game

Moreno could rush for 200+

I have no opinion but interesting article on Moreno/ Ball:

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1925464-montee-balls-emergence-could-be-key-for-broncos-in-afc-championship-game
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tikay
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« Reply #65854 on: January 18, 2014, 07:30:18 PM »

Circumstances conspired such that I have been obliged to watch Splash.

Light Entertainment appears to have regressed in the last 40 years, this is truly, utterly, dreadful pap.

This was one of ITV's highest rated Shows in the last series. Who are these people who watch this stuff?

Worry not, The Voice follows. There is no escape.
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« Reply #65855 on: January 18, 2014, 07:34:48 PM »

More importantly Leicester 9 Ulster 9

Could easily be a score either way at the end, tight game

We have a shot.

Leicester now lead 19-9, so we need a Ulster to Try. Just the one, mind.
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tikay
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« Reply #65856 on: January 18, 2014, 07:36:38 PM »

19-12 now.......
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« Reply #65857 on: January 18, 2014, 07:38:49 PM »

More importantly Leicester 9 Ulster 9

Could easily be a score either way at the end, tight game

We have a shot.

Leicester now lead 19-9, so we need a Ulster to Try. Just the one, mind.

Oh dear Tikay
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« Reply #65858 on: January 18, 2014, 07:42:21 PM »

Circumstances conspired such that I have been obliged to watch Splash.

Light Entertainment appears to have regressed in the last 40 years, this is truly, utterly, dreadful pap.

This was one of ITV's highest rated Shows in the last series. Who are these people who watch this stuff?

Worry not, The Voice follows. There is no escape.

You don't have to watch it to collect the money. 

Just a shame they have put The Jump on a Sunday.   
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #65859 on: January 18, 2014, 08:12:46 PM »

Did have a good shot at that, 3 points the wrong way!
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« Reply #65860 on: January 18, 2014, 09:06:18 PM »

Interesting day in the Conference.

Chester appointed Steve Burr (ex-Kidderminster) this morning and won his first game in charge - 2-1 at home to Barnet today.

Barnet then parted company with Edgar Davids, who reportedly wasn't even in attendance at the Exacta today!
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« Reply #65861 on: January 18, 2014, 09:19:34 PM »

Backed the Camel's tip on most likely to get the PP refund if required last night. Where is he with tonight's pick, he gotta hole to get outa!

It was just best value not "most likely", so just check vs oddschecker for a close to best price.


I cba depositing again  Cheesy 

The cheeky bstrds actually sent me a rubdown email saying they "thought they had lost me" and gave me a pish offer to "welcome me back"

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« Reply #65862 on: January 18, 2014, 11:31:04 PM »



Am I missing something here?  BMU have 4/5 a first time winner for the Masters.  Taking the prices of any past winner less than 1000-1 and backing them plus backing the 4/5 seems to be a 93% book?

as   17   5.9
bw   67   1.5
cs   34   2.9
pm   15   6.7
ac   81   1.2
ti   200   0.5
zj   41   2.4
tw   6.5   15.4
vs   300   0.3
1st   1.8   55.6
      
                92.4


Surely a max bet?  (unless I'm missing something obv)

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Tal
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« Reply #65863 on: January 19, 2014, 12:04:33 AM »

Edelman receiving yards line at 77.5. I know what has been said about running the ball, but surely the patriots can't win without him or Amendola having a big game, against the 7th ranked defence against the run and with the injuries Denver have had in the secondary and with Von Miller not bearing down on Brady?

Just thinking out loud, really. I'm sat at a table in a comp in Brum where the discussion is over whether man United were just lucky for sixteen years. I needed a diversion.

« Last Edit: January 19, 2014, 12:10:42 AM by Tal » Logged

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« Reply #65864 on: January 19, 2014, 01:58:21 AM »

For those interested Bute is out to 2.8 on the machine although I've no idea what price he'd have to be before it's a bet.
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