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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16384261 times)
Doobs
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« Reply #66390 on: January 24, 2014, 12:02:16 PM »

I was having a look at the golf late last night and I bet Perez at 18/1. Think he is a great bet at 20/1.

 Brilliant photo-gallery again Rubbish, sorry I put that bet up so late yesterday.

Stop it Neil, stop it, right now.

Suppose I ought to have another £10 @ 20/1 now, right?

PS - e-mail on it's way to you shortly re next Thursday.

Well , the price is still there. 
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tikay
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« Reply #66391 on: January 24, 2014, 12:03:48 PM »

I was having a look at the golf late last night and I bet Perez at 18/1. Think he is a great bet at 20/1.

 Brilliant photo-gallery again Rubbish, sorry I put that bet up so late yesterday.

Stop it Neil, stop it, right now.

Suppose I ought to have another £10 @ 20/1 now, right?

PS - e-mail on it's way to you shortly re next Thursday.

Well , the price is still there. 

I know, I just took it. Wink

Another day, another tenner.......

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« Reply #66392 on: January 24, 2014, 12:11:28 PM »

What is the league table? Is it since he took over?

Hi Tal,

Yeah, last 11 games they've been on a roll. Three of the Five games they've lost have been away to Spuds, Man City and Chelsea so their form looks good at the moment. Sure Ant can elaborate further.

I have bitten my lip a few times, but the 50/1 for Palace to be top 10 is value, I think anyway. Especially when next best is 33/1 with the others at around 25/1.

We dropped points at home to Newcastle and Norwich too when I think the adverse wind, rain, underfoot conditions threw our game off more than the opponents.

Still dreadfully undermanned in the striking department, and if Puncheon didn't find the opening on Saturday with that chance, it looked like it was going to peter out into a 0-0. But with a solid defensive base, which has been shown in every game under Pulis, aside from Newcastle this season, and second half against Spurs, you won't need that much firepower up front to keep us in games/win them. Just need anybody to hit some form up top really and the Eagles could be soaring.

4 points from 10th as it stands with Hull at home in the next game, if all goes well, the distance to 10th will be small. We have Arsenal the game after though, away, but West Brom again at home, so possibly 6 points from 9 there to make us look good.

The top 15 at 9/4 and top 12 at 13/2 is value as well, but involves much less glory at sticking it to the bookmakers.

Not ignored this, Ant, but it is a real stretch of the imagination to see Palace finishing in the Top 10, surely?

Plenty of 50/1 still available if the lads agree with you.


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-10-finish

Palace currently have 20 points from 22 games.
Last 4 seasons 10th place has been achieved by 46 points, 47 points, 47 points and 50 points.
Probably going to need around 47 points.

Palace's improvement over the last 11 games has gained them 1.45 points per game.
If they continued at that rate to the end of the season then they would end up on 43 points.

During those 11 games they have played 4 top 9 teams, and 7 teams from the bottom 11.
Their last 16 games give them 8 top 9 teams to play.

It looks like the top 9 are pretty much away, and it's one team from the rest for 10th.
The only thing in their favour is that none of the teams around them are that good.

It's probably not the worst use of a tenner at 50/1, but there are good reasons why they are a big price.
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tikay
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« Reply #66393 on: January 24, 2014, 12:17:12 PM »

What is the league table? Is it since he took over?

Hi Tal,

Yeah, last 11 games they've been on a roll. Three of the Five games they've lost have been away to Spuds, Man City and Chelsea so their form looks good at the moment. Sure Ant can elaborate further.

I have bitten my lip a few times, but the 50/1 for Palace to be top 10 is value, I think anyway. Especially when next best is 33/1 with the others at around 25/1.

We dropped points at home to Newcastle and Norwich too when I think the adverse wind, rain, underfoot conditions threw our game off more than the opponents.

Still dreadfully undermanned in the striking department, and if Puncheon didn't find the opening on Saturday with that chance, it looked like it was going to peter out into a 0-0. But with a solid defensive base, which has been shown in every game under Pulis, aside from Newcastle this season, and second half against Spurs, you won't need that much firepower up front to keep us in games/win them. Just need anybody to hit some form up top really and the Eagles could be soaring.

4 points from 10th as it stands with Hull at home in the next game, if all goes well, the distance to 10th will be small. We have Arsenal the game after though, away, but West Brom again at home, so possibly 6 points from 9 there to make us look good.

The top 15 at 9/4 and top 12 at 13/2 is value as well, but involves much less glory at sticking it to the bookmakers.

Not ignored this, Ant, but it is a real stretch of the imagination to see Palace finishing in the Top 10, surely?

Plenty of 50/1 still available if the lads agree with you.


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-10-finish

Palace currently have 20 points from 22 games.
Last 4 seasons 10th place has been achieved by 46 points, 47 points, 47 points and 50 points.
Probably going to need around 47 points.

Palace's improvement over the last 11 games has gained them 1.45 points per game.
If they continued at that rate to the end of the season then they would end up on 43 points.

During those 11 games they have played 4 top 9 teams, and 7 teams from the bottom 11.
Their last 16 games give them 8 top 9 teams to play.

It looks like the top 9 are pretty much away, and it's one team from the rest for 10th.
The only thing in their favour is that none of the teams around them are that good.

It's probably not the worst use of a tenner at 50/1, but there are good reasons why they are a big price.



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« Reply #66394 on: January 24, 2014, 12:48:41 PM »

Torrey Pines averages
South 74.45
North 70.53
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« Reply #66395 on: January 24, 2014, 12:51:08 PM »

What is the league table? Is it since he took over?

Hi Tal,

Yeah, last 11 games they've been on a roll. Three of the Five games they've lost have been away to Spuds, Man City and Chelsea so their form looks good at the moment. Sure Ant can elaborate further.

I have bitten my lip a few times, but the 50/1 for Palace to be top 10 is value, I think anyway. Especially when next best is 33/1 with the others at around 25/1.

We dropped points at home to Newcastle and Norwich too when I think the adverse wind, rain, underfoot conditions threw our game off more than the opponents.

Still dreadfully undermanned in the striking department, and if Puncheon didn't find the opening on Saturday with that chance, it looked like it was going to peter out into a 0-0. But with a solid defensive base, which has been shown in every game under Pulis, aside from Newcastle this season, and second half against Spurs, you won't need that much firepower up front to keep us in games/win them. Just need anybody to hit some form up top really and the Eagles could be soaring.

4 points from 10th as it stands with Hull at home in the next game, if all goes well, the distance to 10th will be small. We have Arsenal the game after though, away, but West Brom again at home, so possibly 6 points from 9 there to make us look good.

The top 15 at 9/4 and top 12 at 13/2 is value as well, but involves much less glory at sticking it to the bookmakers.

Not ignored this, Ant, but it is a real stretch of the imagination to see Palace finishing in the Top 10, surely?

Plenty of 50/1 still available if the lads agree with you.


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-10-finish

Palace currently have 20 points from 22 games.
Last 4 seasons 10th place has been achieved by 46 points, 47 points, 47 points and 50 points.
Probably going to need around 47 points.

Palace's improvement over the last 11 games has gained them 1.45 points per game.
If they continued at that rate to the end of the season then they would end up on 43 points.

During those 11 games they have played 4 top 9 teams, and 7 teams from the bottom 11.
Their last 16 games give them 8 top 9 teams to play.

It looks like the top 9 are pretty much away, and it's one team from the rest for 10th.
The only thing in their favour is that none of the teams around them are that good.

It's probably not the worst use of a tenner at 50/1, but there are good reasons why they are a big price.





I don't think it is terrible because none of the bottom 11 is that far clear, but..

I think we effectively have a similar bet already with our handicap bet.  Palace probably have to score that much for that to win, but we got the place for 25/1 which we should get paid on with a few less points.  Also we can still get paid if one of the other bottom sides has a streak.  We also have to beat some of the better sides on handicap (Everton, Arsenal, Newcastle, Spurs and Liverpool all up there), so maybe it is a bit swings and roundabouts.

It is now down to 40/1, though only BetVictor have this particular handicap.
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« Reply #66396 on: January 24, 2014, 01:12:42 PM »

Womens curling - Winter olympics.

Eve Muirhead - team GB

4 from 10 qualify for the final stages. Sweden - Maria Prytz is a certainty to qualify. Muirhead is also a certainty. Jennifer Jones - Canada is pretty certain to qualify. Plus a.n. other.

1 & 2 play off for a spot in the final. 3 & 4 playoff for a shot against the 1 & 2 loser to see who also plays in the final.

Prytz beat Muirhead in the final of the Euros recently after Muirhead had won all matches in the run up to the final. Tactical error, running out of time, cost Muirhead dearly. Previous to that Muirhead had a good record against Prytz.. Muirhead is the world champion. Jones is decent but i think priced up because of nationality not ability.

Muirhead has devoted everything to this. She cannot defend the world title she holds because she is playing at Sochi.

3/1 Muirhead the outsider of 3 is nuts. (skybet is 10/3 for non Fred)

Sandy
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« Reply #66397 on: January 24, 2014, 01:28:36 PM »

Hi Tony, that was the correct market, OKC for NBA champs, anything over 6/1, expecting that to contract as KD is playing so well and their other superstar is close to coming back too. Could be a back to lay, tho personally I've just thrown a nifty at it.

Anyone know how I find the total runs in the current ODI series for England's batters? I put Buttler up at 16s for consideration here ew, and backed it (with those nice people at Ladbrokes I think, sigh), he always seems to get a few without ever being top scorer, how's he doing, anyone know where the stats are?
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« Reply #66398 on: January 24, 2014, 01:30:57 PM »

http://stats.espncricinfo.com/the-ashes-2013-14/engine/records/batting/most_runs_career.html?id=8142;type=series

3 times England have more sixes and game 4 was 6 each.

Sandy
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« Reply #66399 on: January 24, 2014, 01:39:11 PM »

Womens curling - Winter olympics.

Eve Muirhead - team GB

4 from 10 qualify for the final stages. Sweden - Maria Prytz is a certainty to qualify. Muirhead is also a certainty. Jennifer Jones - Canada is pretty certain to qualify. Plus a.n. other.

1 & 2 play off for a spot in the final. 3 & 4 playoff for a shot against the 1 & 2 loser to see who also plays in the final.

Prytz beat Muirhead in the final of the Euros recently after Muirhead had won all matches in the run up to the final. Tactical error, running out of time, cost Muirhead dearly. Previous to that Muirhead had a good record against Prytz.. Muirhead is the world champion. Jones is decent but i think priced up because of nationality not ability.

Muirhead has devoted everything to this. She cannot defend the world title she holds because she is playing at Sochi.

3/1 Muirhead the outsider of 3 is nuts. (skybet is 10/3 for non Fred)

Sandy

Thanks Sandy.

Do you have an Oddschecker link for that? I'm struggling to find it, sorry.
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« Reply #66400 on: January 24, 2014, 01:41:58 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/winter-olympics/curling/olympic-curling-womens/winner

Seems somone found it. Sky cut already.

Sandy
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« Reply #66401 on: January 24, 2014, 01:44:44 PM »


Oh, I seeee now, I thought I was looking for Eve Muirhead. We are backing Team GB, got it.

We got 3/1 with BetVictor.

Curking, how exciting. 

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« Reply #66402 on: January 24, 2014, 01:52:52 PM »

 Really struggling to get each-way bets lately. I've done all I can with this one so you guys can have it...

 1.50 at Huntingdon has four runners that count. The bookmakers may not totally consider it "bad ew" as the favourite is 5/4.

 Anton Chigurh is a soft ground flat horse that has gone from 7/1 into 5/1 for this hurdles debut early this morning. It's 8/1 now though and we have to take it on trust that it will stay and jump. I'd like to oppose this.

 The favourite is one from the annoying John Ferguson. I can't stand the stable or the horse. Pretty inconsistent but likes the ground.

 The 2nd favourite is called Generous Ransom and it's from a stable in form. Down in trip after fading last time. I see this as the most likely winner if anything. I would have it close to the favourite for sure. Has been 11/4 now 15/8.

 The one for me ew is Bally Braes. Just looks very solid to place and can win, especially if New Year's Eve runs a bad one like it can and with the chance of Anton Chigurgh not getting home/being knocked about.

 12.0 on the machine to win but 11/8 a place. A great ew at around 8/1.

 
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« Reply #66403 on: January 24, 2014, 01:58:01 PM »

Really struggling to get each-way bets lately. I've done all I can with this one so you guys can have it...

 1.50 at Huntingdon has four runners that count. The bookmakers may not totally consider it "bad ew" as the favourite is 5/4.

 Anton Chigurh is a soft ground flat horse that has gone from 7/1 into 5/1 for this hurdles debut early this morning. It's 8/1 now though and we have to take it on trust that it will stay and jump. I'd like to oppose this.

 The favourite is one from the annoying John Ferguson. I can't stand the stable or the horse. Pretty inconsistent but likes the ground.

 The 2nd favourite is called Generous Ransom and it's from a stable in form. Down in trip after fading last time. I see this as the most likely winner if anything. I would have it close to the favourite for sure. Has been 11/4 now 15/8.

 The one for me ew is Bally Braes. Just looks very solid to place and can win, especially if New Year's Eve runs a bad one like it can and with the chance of Anton Chigurgh not getting home/being knocked about.

 12.0 on the machine to win but 11/8 a place. A great ew at around 8/1.

 


Ooh, ON.

We got Restricted to £20 EW by BetFred, but it'll do. We got 9/1.

Thank you.

BET PLACED
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« Reply #66404 on: January 24, 2014, 02:00:05 PM »


For better or worse.......

We also took £20 EW with Wm Hill @ 8/1.

Gulp.


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