Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Loss on Month £700.49

Outstanding Bets £3339.95

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=34


Catching up then. There have been four completed bets since the last report, for a loss of £10

England's first T20I produced 22 sixes, we were on over 10.5 for a £50 profit. It remains quite remarkable how quotes have not adjusted for the new T20 playing regulations. In Tasmania too, the match way played with a 52 yard boundary. Bowlers have no chance

Click to see full-size image.

In worse news England lost, though 200 chasing 213 was a good effort and Morgan only scored 4

Any opinions for Melbourne Tighty?

The average first-innings score in six T20 internationals at the MCG is 137.

The eight Big Bash matches in the last two seasons have produced the following totals: 208-90-131-161-134-177-146-145. average of 149.

The MCG is much bigger than the Bellerive in Hobart, no news yet of a shorter boundary anywhere on the ground to skew the odds against the bowlers so much.

- England should pick Stokes and Tredwell, which i think strengthens the team. Stokes because he can bowl 4 overs and bat well too, so lengthens options on both. Tredwell is simply more economical than Briggs at thiss tage of Briggs' development

- I still like England at odds against, 6/5, though having lost the first one I would have hoped for more

- I won't be going long scores or sixes on a big ground. Might try and find unders on the first innings total if it is priced up much north of 160-170

[sonour]

I just couldn't bet £5,000 at 9/2 on a 7/2 shot.

Which got me thinking, how much would I bet on a heads or tails coin flip if I was offered 2/1. Not that much actually because I'm a nit
How much would you bet ? The answer is different for everyone.

But if someone offered me 1000 coin flips at 2/1 now that's a different matter entirely.

Think 1/4 of bankroll about right if you rely solely on betting for a living.

I couldn't do anything like that amount on one toss.

[Ironside]

Really?  I figured the seahawk is a more compact structure so thought the Bronco would melt first!

SEAhawks the Salt from the SEA will have an effect

[Snowball]

Total boundaries line that Hills set could be worth a look at the MCG, set at 33.5.

[TightEnd]

France play England in Paris this Saturday in the Six Nations

Thread has France

Thread has Fofana

I think the team selections produce another angle

England team: M Brown (Harlequins); J Nowell (Exeter), L Burrell (Northampton), B Twelvetrees (Gloucester), J May (Gloucester); O Farrell (Saracens), D Care (Harlequins); J Marler (Harlequins), D Hartley (Northampton), D Cole (Leicester), J Launchbury (Wasps), C Lawes (Northampton), T Wood (Northampton), C Robshaw (Harlequins, capt), B Vunipola (Saracens).

Replacements: T Youngs (Leicester), M Vunipola (Saracens), H Thomas (Sale), D Attwood (Bath), B Morgan (Gloucester), L Dickson (Northampton), B Barritt (Saracens), A Goode (Saracens).


This should be a very close barm-stormer, with two interesting sides picked with a lot of inexperienced players in the English back line and some of the French selections typically inscrutable.

Both sides strengths are in their forwards, and this is the case of England especially who will seek to control the game up front, kick penalties and keep the game tight.

I’m leaning towards another campaign where  England prove tough to beat, solid in the set-piece and accumulate points via Farrell’s boot 

With an inexperienced back line, and away from home with the strength of the side up front the 5/2 that Ladbrokes offer on the first England try being scored by a forward is very interesting, certainly with the price for a back to do so being odds-on.

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/france-v-england/position-to-score-first-away-try

If we look at the England back line both wingers are new. Nowell of Exeter has no tries in the Premiership this season. May plays on the other wing. Little creativity in midfield. Burrell is making his debut. Plays inside for Northampton, picked at outside for England. Twelvetrees plays 10 for Gloucester, picked at 13 for England, Farrell is a game manager/kicker/defender. Won't be breaking defensive lines. Brown at Full back has never scored a try for England

Frankly the selection from 11-15 is a mess.

England's pack excelled throughout the autumn. Good front row, very talented and mobile second row and ball carrying back row. Could be on top in the game

5/2 on a forward try first for England is clear value. No try is also better value than a back try for this game's likely tactics with this line up

£20 recommended

[Rubbish2407]

Longy correct, no overtime in a Super bowl as yet. 9/1 for it to happen this week?

Tom Ince to Palace. Is this good or bad for our bets? I'm guessing good.

[TightEnd]

After last night's five-goal blast at Tottenham, Manchester City are a best of 13/8 to break the Premier League goalscoring record of 103 set by Chelsea in 2009/10.

VetVictor offer that price and City will need to score another 36 in 15 games having bagged 68 in 23 so far.

bUt365 have gone odds-on today at 4/5. SAtan James offer the same price.

interesting?

[tikay]

France play England in Paris this Saturday in the Six Nations

Thread has France

Thread has Fofana

I think the team selections produce another angle

England team: M Brown (Harlequins); J Nowell (Exeter), L Burrell (Northampton), B Twelvetrees (Gloucester), J May (Gloucester); O Farrell (Saracens), D Care (Harlequins); J Marler (Harlequins), D Hartley (Northampton), D Cole (Leicester), J Launchbury (Wasps), C Lawes (Northampton), T Wood (Northampton), C Robshaw (Harlequins, capt), B Vunipola (Saracens).

Replacements: T Youngs (Leicester), M Vunipola (Saracens), H Thomas (Sale), D Attwood (Bath), B Morgan (Gloucester), L Dickson (Northampton), B Barritt (Saracens), A Goode (Saracens).


This should be a very close barm-stormer, with two interesting sides picked with a lot of inexperienced players in the English back line and some of the French selections typically inscrutable.

Both sides strengths are in their forwards, and this is the case of England especially who will seek to control the game up front, kick penalties and keep the game tight.

I’m leaning towards another campaign where  England prove tough to beat, solid in the set-piece and accumulate points via Farrell’s boot 

With an inexperienced back line, and away from home with the strength of the side up front the 5/2 that Ladbrokes offer on the first England try being scored by a forward is very interesting, certainly with the price for a back to do so being odds-on.

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/france-v-england/position-to-score-first-away-try

If we look at the England back line both wingers are new. Nowell of Exeter has no tries in the Premiership this season. May plays on the other wing. Little creativity in midfield. Burrell is making his debut. Plays inside for Northampton, picked at outside for England. Twelvetrees plays 10 for Gloucester, picked at 13 for England, Farrell is a game manager/kicker/defender. Won't be breaking defensive lines. Brown at Full back has never scored a try for England

Frankly the selection from 11-15 is a mess.

England's pack excelled throughout the autumn. Good front row, very talented and mobile second row and ball carrying back row. Could be on top in the game

5/2 on a forward try first for England is clear value. No try is also better value than a back try for this game's likely tactics with this line up

£20 recommended

ACCEPTED.

Thank you.

BET PLACED

[Chompy]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/deadline-day/club-to-sign-most-players-on-deadline-day

Palace favs again! Anyone prem-bores got any views on this?

[tikay]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/deadline-day/club-to-sign-most-players-on-deadline-day

Palace favs again! Anyone prem-bores got any views on this?

Groan.

Do you remember that affair last year? Think 80% of all TfT Posts arose from that bet.

What TIME did he sign?

[exstream]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/deadline-day/club-to-sign-most-players-on-deadline-day

Palace favs again! Anyone prem-bores got any views on this?

Any correlation between a newish manager at the club and how many signings are made?
Mel at West Brom, 20/1.

[tikay]

For those that value & enjoy their waffleage, these two chaps will be discussing some betting aspects of Sunday's Super Bowl TONIGHT, between 9pm & 10pm on Channel 861.

Questions?

skyopen@bskyb.com

[tikay]

Tikay, I placed that bet with 888 who were top price so maybe you did too ?

Thanks Lisa, but I don't have a working 888 Account, so it can't be them.

You must be pleased with Rory's progress so far? Odds on in most places!



http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/omega-dubai-desert-classic/winner


Not being nosy, just trying to learn, you don't have to reply, but will you do any trading, as you have a tidy sum in play, as I recall?

I'm happy to answer any questions although I get the impression I maybe riling one or two people when I post large figures so I will pm you my position as I know you are interested.

Basically I did all my trading yesterday morning so I will make x amount if Rory loses and y amount if Rory wins. y = 3x.

Thanks Lisa, PM received, will reply later, or in the morning, am working tonight.

I hope that nobody has been riled by your very open & honest discussions as to what & how you bet & trade, I think you've been a breath of fresh air for Fred. Not forgetting poor Pete, too.

[tikay]

Have we had the maximum on Man City to qualify v Barca yet?

If not I suggest a double maximum at 15/8 with VC

Thanks Keith.

Moments later, you mused if we ought to await news on Augero's fitness, so I was in a bit of a dither.

So, for now, we've had £150 @ 15/8, with BetVictor.

I hope I've understood the bet correctly, as I can't see the Market this morning.

BET PLACED

This was the price VC chalked up the day the draw was made.

They've just left it, untended and neglected like a ginger stepchild.

Impossible that the price remains the same it was that day.

City playing irresistible football. Tim Sherwood called them the best team on the planet last night.

I don't think that's much of an over statement.

Barca still a huge challenge, but maybe not quite so unstoppable as they were in their pomp.

Assuming Sergio is fit, I can't envisage City not scoring at least 2 or 3 against them.

I think it's 4/6 v 6/4 or even 8/11 v 11/8.

15/8 is clearly way wrong.

Harsh.


I've just had a look, & BetVictor STILL offer 15/8. (I assume we are betting "Barcelona, Stage of Elimination?)


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/barcelona-champions-league-specials/stage-of-elimination

Worth another £150?

I'll be Offline in 20 minutes.

[KarmaDope]

One bet I am interested in when it comes to the CL and Man City is the "English Team to Progress Furthest".

Not entirely sure whether this would work, but I'll explain what I can see. At the moment, with Puddy Parrar, Man City are 9/2 in the above market. All other sites the best I can get is just over 3/1. Price seems massively out of line.