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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16397508 times)
tikay
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« Reply #67935 on: February 08, 2014, 01:20:01 PM »

He Fred/Freddies,

Its Scottish Cup day up in Scotchland and there are quite a few shorties on the card that I think could be worth opposing.  

I am tempted to put up Aberdeen on the basis that I don't think this Celtic team is as good as previous years but they just seem to keep winning and have been scoring goals despite having their worse strikeforce in my living memory and I remember going to watch Wayne Biggins and Tony Cascarino.  So I'll leave that one alone.  

One team I am very interested in going against is Inverness Caledonan Thistle.  Its a tricky trip driving from Inverness to Stranraer and conditions have been pretty poor up here and I expect that conditions at Stair park will be even worse given ist close proximity to the see and the general lack of cover the pitch will get from the elements.  Stranraer have been one of the better sides in the 2nd division this year.  Although the quality isn't great they have also shown recently that playing in front of a big crowd doesn't scare them when they went to Ibrox and managed a 1 -1 draw.  

I also remember them making life very difficult for Celtic not so long ago in a Scottish Cup tie at Stair Park.  If the game is tight throughout I wouldn't be surprised to see them play for the draw and get a replay with the possibility of getting a televised game if it goes back to Inverness.  

Either way I think the price on ICT is on the slim side and would be a layer if we can get matched for a few quid at around 1.44 if we stick up a lay of £57 it gives us a liability of just over £25.08.  

The other game I like is taking Hibs to win to nil - i really couldnt have Hibs as 1/2 against many teams even with Terry Butcher having done fairly well since he took over.  Raith have had an average season but there big issue has been scoring goals and they are fairly low in confidence.  a quick look at recent stats shows us they haven't scored a goal in any game since December.  But what worries me is they have played against teams in that period who ship goals left right and centre.   The standout price on this is Spreadex at 5/4 but checking odds checker  there are only 3 books offerring this market.  I was disappointed to see this was not on offer with Betfair as generally its a good place to start.  




Thanks, we have executed the Lay, exactly as specified.

£57.00 LAY, ICT, @ 1.44, liability £25.08, minus, I assume, commission @ 5%, BetFair, kMac


  Fixtures 08 February / Stranraer v Inverness CT / Match Odds  Inverness CT Lay 34048702691  08-Feb-14
13:01    1.44 57.00  1.44 08-Feb-14 13:02 



BET PLACED
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« Reply #67936 on: February 08, 2014, 01:20:47 PM »

Amazing how Tal not playing a tourny or chess at the moment.

Just like my Liverpool mate who I haven't heard from mid game for years.....

Cut from the same cheap cloth no doubt
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« Reply #67937 on: February 08, 2014, 01:22:14 PM »

It's a terrible Skrtl gag, but by Jove I'm sticking with it!
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« Reply #67938 on: February 08, 2014, 01:23:05 PM »

Amazing how Tal not playing a tourny or chess at the moment.

Just like my Liverpool mate who I haven't heard from mid game for years.....

Cut from the same cheap cloth no doubt

Welcome to our world.
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« Reply #67939 on: February 08, 2014, 01:23:44 PM »

Mr T you could do England by 1-12 @7/5 with bwin or are you not with them?
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« Reply #67940 on: February 08, 2014, 01:28:21 PM »

Amazing how Tal not playing a tourny or chess at the moment.

Just like my Liverpool mate who I haven't heard from mid game for years.....

Cut from the same cheap cloth no doubt

Welcome to our world.

Not me mate. I dont go scuttling off when my team loses or horses lose.

Stand and be counted.......and remind the world what you been saying about the manager for so long
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« Reply #67941 on: February 08, 2014, 01:32:40 PM »

Amazing how Tal not playing a tourny or chess at the moment.

Just like my Liverpool mate who I haven't heard from mid game for years.....

Cut from the same cheap cloth no doubt

Welcome to our world.

Not me mate. I dont go scuttling off when my team loses or horses lose.

Stand and be counted.......and remind the world what you been saying about the manager for so long

No, the world of comedy defending and being on the reverse end of a hiding.

Don't worry. Normal service resumes tomorrow if we don't win, I'm sure.
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« Reply #67942 on: February 08, 2014, 01:33:05 PM »

Amazing how Tal not playing a tourny or chess at the moment.

Just like my Liverpool mate who I haven't heard from mid game for years.....

Cut from the same cheap cloth no doubt

Welcome to our world.

Not me mate. I dont go scuttling off when my team loses or horses lose.

Stand and be counted.......and remind the world what you been saying about the manager for so long

Every cloud..
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« Reply #67943 on: February 08, 2014, 01:33:13 PM »

I read this morning that in ten years of Murrayfield Calcutta Cup Matches, one try TOTAL has been scored, and that was a charge down!

The pitch is soggy, and notoriously loose too (going to a hybrid pitch next year). Rob Swindells' bet was Scotland +10. I think you get more bang for your buck with Eng 1-12 at 13/8, though you lose the possibility of a Scotland win

If you choose one of my three, this would be it






That price seems to have tightened considerably, (approx.) 11/8 best now, which is some way south of 13/8.



http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/scotland-v-england/winning-margin

We can, however, get Scotland +10 @ Evens, which, I think, was Rob S's suggestion.


http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/scotland-v-england/handicaps

Given the revised prices, what would you suggest now?

Ignoring the bets now the price has moved and watching it
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« Reply #67944 on: February 08, 2014, 01:42:06 PM »

Mr T you could do England by 1-12 @7/5 with bwin or are you not with them?

Ooh, never saw that.
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« Reply #67945 on: February 08, 2014, 01:47:22 PM »

I read this morning that in ten years of Murrayfield Calcutta Cup Matches, one try TOTAL has been scored, and that was a charge down!

The pitch is soggy, and notoriously loose too (going to a hybrid pitch next year). Rob Swindells' bet was Scotland +10. I think you get more bang for your buck with Eng 1-12 at 13/8, though you lose the possibility of a Scotland win

If you choose one of my three, this would be it






That price seems to have tightened considerably, (approx.) 11/8 best now, which is some way south of 13/8.



http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/scotland-v-england/winning-margin

We can, however, get Scotland +10 @ Evens, which, I think, was Rob S's suggestion.


http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/scotland-v-england/handicaps

Given the revised prices, what would you suggest now?

Ignoring the bets now the price has moved and watching it


OK.

Hector mentioned BWin go 7/5 England by 1-12, & I can get that.

Still too short?
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« Reply #67946 on: February 08, 2014, 01:52:38 PM »


Groan, 4-0 Liverpool, every goal scored by a player with a surname that starts with "S". But not Suarez.

 
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« Reply #67947 on: February 08, 2014, 01:58:51 PM »

Small bet only at 7/5 tikay, or Swinebag's at Ev. Up to you

France-Italy is tomorrow, so no rush for that game
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« Reply #67948 on: February 08, 2014, 02:06:46 PM »

Small bet only at 7/5 tikay, or Swinebag's at Ev. Up to you

France-Italy is tomorrow, so no rush for that game

We have £20 @ 7/5, BWin, England by 1-12.

BET PLACED
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« Reply #67949 on: February 08, 2014, 02:18:18 PM »


Let's make Richard rage    ....       lump on Watford to undo Lesta's nine straight winning spree at the Monster Munch - 4/1+, easy money!

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