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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16386465 times)
Tal
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« Reply #68865 on: February 22, 2014, 06:04:35 AM »

For those who don't follow the updates, tikay came second in the PLO side event for a far from disagreeable sum.

 

Fred is getting rolled for Cheltenham, at least.


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« Reply #68866 on: February 22, 2014, 06:56:30 AM »

Any love for Brendan Rogers at 8/1 in this?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/lma-manager-of-the-year
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Bad Beat
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« Reply #68867 on: February 22, 2014, 06:57:12 AM »

 Nice one Teeks (good to see you yesterday Simon, was a bit distracted by two separate text conversations I was having that were tilting me).

 Nice to see Tighty too. Amazed he has had time to be on here, must be absolutely cream-crackered. Doing a great job at DTD.

 
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« Reply #68868 on: February 22, 2014, 08:41:01 AM »

Ladbrokes. Mobile app only. Money back as free bet IF Hurricane Fly finishes first OR second.
£25 max.
Put it on The New One at 3/1.
Champion Hurdle.
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Tonji
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« Reply #68869 on: February 22, 2014, 08:59:56 AM »

For those who don't follow the updates, tikay came second in the PLO side event for a far from disagreeable sum.

 

Fred is getting rolled for Cheltenham, at least.




nice job tikay swashbuckling the four cards.
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« Reply #68870 on: February 22, 2014, 09:11:13 AM »

Well done tikay!
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« Reply #68871 on: February 22, 2014, 09:20:16 AM »


Yes I like it and the whole front end of the market is wrong. The only thing that stopped me putting it up for Fred is that the price has shortened a lot lately. It was 20-1 before their last match iirc.
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« Reply #68872 on: February 22, 2014, 09:34:47 AM »

If you get time, or if anyone else likes grinding these.  Hills mobile £25s.

2.05 Kempton Actival 15/8, you just missed 2/1 meh
2.40 Balder Success 5/4
3.15 Kempton Irving 10/11
3.30 Lingfield Grandeur 13/8

I put one of my free bets on Cue Card at 8/1 in the Gold Cup.  On Betfair and I think this horse is frequently underrated.  Think he goes in this race, but has some non runner risk.  Also a non staying risk, but he wouldn't be 8/1 if there wasn't!
It is probably too late to get on the  Tom Segal tips.  The PSG one looks fine as on Betfair.

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #68873 on: February 22, 2014, 09:44:30 AM »

Victor Dubuisson 8/5 with Beirfart sportsbook can be arbed with Jokorl if any one wants - I think Fred should stick £20 on.

edit Golf matchplay for the uninitiated



well done tikay

Beirfart sportsbook are now scared of Dubuisson........ so have gone a best price of McDowell at 8/11.  They are also best price Ousthuizen 11/8 Fowler 11/10 and Speith 8/15....

I know you hate yankees but surely on this auspicious day 11 x £5?

« Last Edit: February 22, 2014, 09:49:22 AM by doubleup » Logged
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« Reply #68874 on: February 22, 2014, 09:49:33 AM »

Slybet doing a money back if Irving wins  the 3.15 at Kempton.  Even though it isn't best price, First Mohican a no brainier for those that can get on for £25.  Obviously not for thread, but Tikay waist deep in sticky buns at the moment.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #68875 on: February 22, 2014, 09:55:39 AM »

FWIW.

I would not back Tour des Champs at or lower.

I certainly wouldnt pt a freebie on it when you have missed 13 points(65%) of the suggested price.
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« Reply #68876 on: February 22, 2014, 10:06:21 AM »

If you get time, or if anyone else likes grinding these.  Hills mobile £25s.

2.05 Kempton Actival 15/8, you just missed 2/1 meh
2.40 Balder Success 5/4
3.15 Kempton Irving 10/11
3.30 Lingfield Grandeur 13/8

I put one of my free bets on Cue Card at 8/1 in the Gold Cup.  On Betfair and I think this horse is frequently underrated.  Think he goes in this race, but has some non runner risk.  Also a non staying risk, but he wouldn't be 8/1 if there wasn't!
It is probably too late to get on the  Tom Segal tips.  The PSG one looks fine as on Betfair.



I know I should be retired.

But I couldn't back Cue Card at 8/1 for the Gold Cup with stolen money.
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Bad Beat
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« Reply #68877 on: February 22, 2014, 10:07:51 AM »

 Great spot on the golf Double-Up. Bizarre that the Betfair sportsbook should offer an arb against the exchange on ALL FOUR MATCHES. They really are a poorly managed organisation.

 I know Tikay hates multiples but this is a great example of where you are simply multiplying up a series of obviously +ev bets and it's actually way better to do multiples than singles in the long run.
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« Reply #68878 on: February 22, 2014, 10:13:18 AM »

 For anyone who only plays the 2nd place offer selectively my order on those four would be Actival (way the best of the four), Irving (great for this offer but priced correctly without), Grandeur (may get behind and find it hard to get there with no guaranteed pace, not one I'd bet but obv the offer cancels that negative out), Balder Success (don't like this at all on the ground and trip, don't think it will get home and could see a big drift, sure Fox Appeal will be favourite).
« Last Edit: February 22, 2014, 10:15:44 AM by Bad Beat » Logged
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« Reply #68879 on: February 22, 2014, 10:17:03 AM »

Tbf to betfair sportsbook the max on those golfers they were standout on yesterday was a lot higher than the norm for most customers (somebody who is a good judge on twitter got 2k on victor)

They had changed there front page to advertise the best prices on the sportsbook so it would be a shame if the undoubted hammering they took from arbers was to deter them from being more competitive.
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