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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16466284 times)
Chompy
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« Reply #69810 on: March 05, 2014, 10:04:26 AM »

Is there any way to see what bets we have running at the moment? Just clicked on the spreadshits on page 1 and they're empty.

How much did we have on the Cheltenham ground to be good? Just wondering if we're in a spot to cover?

While I was channel-hopping last night, I stumbled across Bill Maynard saying that the weather on St Swithens' Day is what we'll get for the next 40 days.

In that case (and looking at the met office forecast) we're in with a good shout. The slightest trace of soft in the ground, though, and Claisse will snap off the chance to call it good to soft.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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« Reply #69811 on: March 05, 2014, 10:07:23 AM »

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=22

Look at the tab for March 2014

14-Feb   Chompy   WilliamHill   Mar-2014   Horses   Cheltenham Going   Good   12/1   25

Did you want to green it out?
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Chompy
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« Reply #69812 on: March 05, 2014, 10:20:07 AM »

CHELTENHAM - Jump (Updated:04/03/2014 at 16:35:12)  

Going
Soft
(GoingStick: 5.9 on Tuesday at 14:00)


Weather
Turning predominantly dry with no more than 3 to 4mm of rain over the next seven days.

It'sa straight flip now, as the betting suggests. Sid's 4/6 about good to soft is fine. Rec £60 @ that price just to (probably) ensure a profit on the market.

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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
tikay
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« Reply #69813 on: March 05, 2014, 10:27:14 AM »

Is there any way to see what bets we have running at the moment? Just clicked on the spreadshits on page 1 and they're empty.

How much did we have on the Cheltenham ground to be good? Just wondering if we're in a spot to cover?

While I was channel-hopping last night, I stumbled across Bill Maynard saying that the weather on St Swithens' Day is what we'll get for the next 40 days.
In that case (and looking at the met office forecast) we're in with a good shout. The slightest trace of soft in the ground, though, and Claisse will snap off the chance to call it good to soft.

Bastard.

Channel-hopping, my arse. Bet you watched EVERY minute of the whole damn 5 hour-a-thon.

I get that stuff through, you know. St Swithens day is in July......
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tikay
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« Reply #69814 on: March 05, 2014, 10:32:25 AM »

CHELTENHAM - Jump (Updated:04/03/2014 at 16:35:12)   

Going
Soft
(GoingStick: 5.9 on Tuesday at 14:00)


Weather
Turning predominantly dry with no more than 3 to 4mm of rain over the next seven days.

It'sa straight flip now, as the betting suggests. Sid's 4/6 about good to soft is fine. Rec £60 @ that price just to (probably) ensure a profit on the market.



Sid is now 8/15!

I can get on with Wm Hill, currently 8/13. That'll have to do, I guess? (£65 @ 8/13?)
« Last Edit: March 05, 2014, 10:34:05 AM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #69815 on: March 05, 2014, 10:36:44 AM »

CHELTENHAM - Jump (Updated:04/03/2014 at 16:35:12)   

Going
Soft
(GoingStick: 5.9 on Tuesday at 14:00)


Weather
Turning predominantly dry with no more than 3 to 4mm of rain over the next seven days.

It'sa straight flip now, as the betting suggests. Sid's 4/6 about good to soft is fine. Rec £60 @ that price just to (probably) ensure a profit on the market.



Sid is now 8/15!

I can get on with Wm Hill, currently 8/13. That'll have to do, I guess? (£65 @ 8/13?)

We want to take 8/13 on a "straight flip"?  Getting my coins polished right now, think I am in business.
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« Reply #69816 on: March 05, 2014, 10:39:47 AM »

CHELTENHAM - Jump (Updated:04/03/2014 at 16:35:12)   

Going
Soft
(GoingStick: 5.9 on Tuesday at 14:00)


Weather
Turning predominantly dry with no more than 3 to 4mm of rain over the next seven days.

It'sa straight flip now, as the betting suggests. Sid's 4/6 about good to soft is fine. Rec £60 @ that price just to (probably) ensure a profit on the market.



Sid is now 8/15!

I can get on with Wm Hill, currently 8/13. That'll have to do, I guess? (£65 @ 8/13?)

We want to take 8/13 on a "straight flip"?  Getting my coins polished right now, think I am in business.

Joking aside, think 8/13 isn't so bad, always thought he would try for good to soft day 1.  Gives scope to firm up during meeting.  You start genuine good then ground could be too firm for the powers that be on Friday.

Not greening out here though.
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« Reply #69817 on: March 05, 2014, 10:39:56 AM »

Calm down Prof Doobs! Bad wordage from me. What I meaned to say is we're down to two possible outcomes and 4/6 is fine for a cover on good to soft. 8/13 OK also.

 Click to see full-size image.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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« Reply #69818 on: March 05, 2014, 10:41:54 AM »

Calm down Prof Doobs! Bad wordage from me. What I meaned to say is we're down to two possible outcomes and 4/6 is fine for a cover on good to soft. 8/13 OK also.

 Click to see full-size image.


You snooze you lose
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #69819 on: March 05, 2014, 10:42:36 AM »

Calm down Prof Doobs! Bad wordage from me. What I meaned to say is we're down to two possible outcomes and 4/6 is fine for a cover on good to soft. 8/13 OK also.

 Click to see full-size image.


Ahh, I see the resemblance now.....I'll shave it off before Thursday's CHELTENHAM BETTING PREVIEW SHOW.

Seriously, Sid is now 8/15, but I could save @ 8/13 with Wm Hill. 
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Chompy
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« Reply #69820 on: March 05, 2014, 10:44:26 AM »

Yup, £65 @ 8/13 sounds pleasing enough.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
tikay
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« Reply #69821 on: March 05, 2014, 10:48:37 AM »

Yup, £65 @ 8/13 sounds pleasing enough.

We can't control the weather, or the fact that the CoC might want Good to Soft, for his own ends.

To me, it makes perfect sense here to lock up a freeroll.


£65 @ 8/13, Wm Hill, Going Good to Soft for the Opening Race @ Cheltenham, Chompy.


05 Mar 14 / 10:19

Stake

Supreme Novices' Hurdle - What Will The Official Going Be On The 'Off' – Good To Soft @ 8/13

- £65.00

O/0457483/0000845/F


BET PLACED
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« Reply #69822 on: March 05, 2014, 10:51:10 AM »

If it is "Good, Good to soft in places", do we win on the Good part and vice versa?
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« Reply #69823 on: March 05, 2014, 10:51:39 AM »

If it is "Good, Good to soft in places", do we win on the Good part and vice versa?

Crikey, that's a good point.
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« Reply #69824 on: March 05, 2014, 10:58:16 AM »

You can get 2-1 about a team in a coin flip on Sunday at 3pm, still

Highly unlikely to be more than a score either way (handicap is +/-5)

Jonathan Davies back, Alun Wyn-Jones back

12 Lions versus 2 Lions

10 Lions that played the Australia Tests

Halfpenny to kick the points, North and Cuthbert to occupy the English back row

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/england-v-wales/winner

Recommend again

£40 Wales at 2-1 Bald

and

Saver £5 Draw 25-1 Bald 

I make it that close
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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