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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16359830 times)
tikay
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« Reply #70560 on: March 11, 2014, 09:34:16 AM »

Any lucky 15 possibilities with those four?

Go on, tikay. Fiver Yankee on your Hills Quartet. Let's make some real money.

They are all in the same race. Think that might be a related contingency......
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« Reply #70561 on: March 11, 2014, 09:35:58 AM »

They lay £25ew max and then rest at previous prices

Gilgamboa at 11/1 is obvious for 25 e/w too.  Hills best price.  Can somebody look at the rest?

Hill beat betfair on

Irving 4/1

Vautour 4/1

Wcklow Brave 8/1

so including gilgamboa thats the top 4 suitable for £25 e.w

from vanitex and valseur lido down they are not best price and don't beat Betfair

Wicklow Brave is 11/2??

I am a menace. I was looking at Coral, next door on oddschecker

Please clarify what 4 we are doing with WH in the opener.

Irving

Vantour

Wicklow Brave

Gilgamboa.


Yes, no?
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« Reply #70562 on: March 11, 2014, 09:38:04 AM »

Hills Mobile etc for Cheltenham

I think we should give the 13.30 a miss for now, as Hills are rumoured to be 4/1 Irving tomorrow.  Should definitely hold our Hills powder dry for that.

14.05 I am going to be a bit contradictory here.  Hills are 3/1 Champagne Fever.  He has one twice at the festival, but has had a ropey prep.  But 3/1 is the Betfair price and we get free bet for 2nd, so we should hold our nose and bet regardless. 
I have been a fan of Dodging Bullets for a while and have an ante-post voucher.  I think the ground is coming in his favour.  Paddy Power are 6/1 and quarter first 3, both win and place beat Betfair, and definitely think we should take the max we can with Paddy Power on this.  I got maxed at £20 e/w.  I have listened to a couple of Neil's podcasts and he seems a fan of this too.  I don't think much of Grandouet or Rock and Ruby either in this race, so a 1-2 seems inevitable.

15.20  I think this race favours The New One and Hurricane Fly more than My Tent or Yours.  I can see why Neil likes Our Conor, but 3/1 Hurricane Fly or The New One is mathematically better than 5/1 Our Conor under the offer.  Unfortunately Hills are shorter than 3/1 on Hurricane Fly, so think we have to go 3/1 The New One under the offer and try and get some of the 4/1 The Fly elsewhere (for disclosure, I have backed all 3 of these ante post already).

16.00 5/6 Que Vega is a must for the offer at 5/6.

Summary

Hills Mobile
14.05 Champagne Fever 3/1
15.20 The New One 3/1
16.00 Que Vega 5/6

Paddy Power
14.05 Max we can on Dodging Bullets each way.

   

13.30 £25 Irving at 4/1, just beats Betfair and you get 2nd place free bet.

BetVictor now 6/1 Dodging Bullets.  Still beating Betfair, suggest 50 e/w total is good.  Gogogo.  Bye bye tiddleyarsing.

4 different Firms go 6/1 Dodging Bullets. The Betty Price is currently 6.6, a tad below 6/1.

Still a bet?

Yes 50 e/w


OK........

2.05, £50 EW @ 6/1, (qtr odds, 1,2,3) BetVictor, Dodging Bullets.


14:05DODGING BULLETS (EW)(Horse Racing Outright)Odds: 6/1 Stake: 100.00Possible Return:  475.00

BET PLACED
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« Reply #70563 on: March 11, 2014, 09:39:47 AM »

Hills Mobile etc for Cheltenham

I think we should give the 13.30 a miss for now, as Hills are rumoured to be 4/1 Irving tomorrow.  Should definitely hold our Hills powder dry for that.

14.05 I am going to be a bit contradictory here.  Hills are 3/1 Champagne Fever.  He has one twice at the festival, but has had a ropey prep.  But 3/1 is the Betfair price and we get free bet for 2nd, so we should hold our nose and bet regardless. 
I have been a fan of Dodging Bullets for a while and have an ante-post voucher.  I think the ground is coming in his favour.  Paddy Power are 6/1 and quarter first 3, both win and place beat Betfair, and definitely think we should take the max we can with Paddy Power on this.  I got maxed at £20 e/w.  I have listened to a couple of Neil's podcasts and he seems a fan of this too.  I don't think much of Grandouet or Rock and Ruby either in this race, so a 1-2 seems inevitable.

15.20  I think this race favours The New One and Hurricane Fly more than My Tent or Yours.  I can see why Neil likes Our Conor, but 3/1 Hurricane Fly or The New One is mathematically better than 5/1 Our Conor under the offer.  Unfortunately Hills are shorter than 3/1 on Hurricane Fly, so think we have to go 3/1 The New One under the offer and try and get some of the 4/1 The Fly elsewhere (for disclosure, I have backed all 3 of these ante post already).

16.00 5/6 Que Vega is a must for the offer at 5/6.

Summary

Hills Mobile
14.05 Champagne Fever 3/1
15.20 The New One 3/1
16.00 Que Vega 5/6

Paddy Power
14.05 Max we can on Dodging Bullets each way.

   

Will try & work through this now. Stop me if the info has changed.

We are on Dodging Bullets now, so just the other 3 to do.
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« Reply #70564 on: March 11, 2014, 09:42:13 AM »

They lay £25ew max and then rest at previous prices

Gilgamboa at 11/1 is obvious for 25 e/w too.  Hills best price.  Can somebody look at the rest?

Hill beat betfair on

Irving 4/1

Vautour 4/1

Wcklow Brave 8/1

so including gilgamboa thats the top 4 suitable for £25 e.w

from vanitex and valseur lido down they are not best price and don't beat Betfair

Wicklow Brave is 11/2??

I am a menace. I was looking at Coral, next door on oddschecker

Please clarify what 4 we are doing with WH in the opener.

Irving

Vantour

Wicklow Brave

Gilgamboa.


Yes, no?

Irving/Vantour and Gilgamboa at the moment. It appears Wicklow was up @ 8/1 but its not the price now. £25ew on them all appears to be the max at those prices. Get stuck in.

The 365 market i mentioned was the one Adz brought up without Quevga and Cockney. The 63p one.
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« Reply #70565 on: March 11, 2014, 09:45:52 AM »

Any lucky 15 possibilities with those four?

Go on, tikay. Fiver Yankee on your Hills Quartet. Let's make some real money.

Ahh, you mean these 4......


14.05 Champagne Fever 3/1
15.20 The New One 3/1 (now 0/30 with WH)
16.00 Que Vega 5/6 (now 10/11 with WH)
14.05  Dodging Bullets @6/1 (only 9/2 with WH)



Are we getting above Ev on the quartet?

If the thread agrees, yes, I'll do it.

Let me know.
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« Reply #70566 on: March 11, 2014, 09:48:41 AM »

Morning Mr T.

Nadal losing was a blow. I read yesterday that he was having back problems which have made his serving poor. He certainly struggled on his own serve, and that is what is happening to Murray as well. I backed Murray's opponent yesterday at 18-1 in running only to see him just fail. I can't see how Murray is favourite to beat Raonic in the next round when his serve is so vulnerable. In his previous match Murray lost 3 service games in a row, and you don't do that even against Djokovic unlesss there is something gravely amiss.

Suggest £25 Raonic to beat Murray @ 23/10 betvictor.

Do this one now Mr T.
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« Reply #70567 on: March 11, 2014, 09:50:00 AM »

Hills Mobile etc for Cheltenham

I think we should give the 13.30 a miss for now, as Hills are rumoured to be 4/1 Irving tomorrow.  Should definitely hold our Hills powder dry for that.

14.05 I am going to be a bit contradictory here.  Hills are 3/1 Champagne Fever.  He has one twice at the festival, but has had a ropey prep.  But 3/1 is the Betfair price and we get free bet for 2nd, so we should hold our nose and bet regardless. 
I have been a fan of Dodging Bullets for a while and have an ante-post voucher.  I think the ground is coming in his favour.  Paddy Power are 6/1 and quarter first 3, both win and place beat Betfair, and definitely think we should take the max we can with Paddy Power on this.  I got maxed at £20 e/w.  I have listened to a couple of Neil's podcasts and he seems a fan of this too.  I don't think much of Grandouet or Rock and Ruby either in this race, so a 1-2 seems inevitable.

15.20  I think this race favours The New One and Hurricane Fly more than My Tent or Yours.  I can see why Neil likes Our Conor, but 3/1 Hurricane Fly or The New One is mathematically better than 5/1 Our Conor under the offer.  Unfortunately Hills are shorter than 3/1 on Hurricane Fly, so think we have to go 3/1 The New One under the offer and try and get some of the 4/1 The Fly elsewhere (for disclosure, I have backed all 3 of these ante post already).

16.00 5/6 Que Vega is a must for the offer at 5/6.

Summary

Hills Mobile
14.05 Champagne Fever 3/1
15.20 The New One 3/1
16.00 Que Vega 5/6


Paddy Power
14.05 Max we can on Dodging Bullets each way.

   

Done, but 2 prices have improved slightly.

These are all for £25, with WH, "Money Back as Free Bet if 2nd".


2.05, Champagne Fever @ 3/1 BOG

3.20, The New One @ 100/30 BOG

4.00, Quevega @ 10/11 BOG



11 Mar 14 / 09:27

Stake

2:05 Cheltenham – Champagne Fever @ Guaranteed Price (3/1)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000850/F



11 Mar 14 / 09:27

Stake

3:20 Cheltenham – The New One @ Guaranteed Price (10/3)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000851/F



11 Mar 14 / 09:27

Stake

4:00 Cheltenham – Quevega @ Guaranteed Price (10/11)

- £25.00

O/0457483/0000852/F



3 BETS PLACED
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« Reply #70568 on: March 11, 2014, 09:54:18 AM »

tikay your alarm call

20 minutes til William Hill's website explodes. They're offering 10,000 £10 bets on Hurricane Fly at 6/1 at 10am

i believe this is offered at 1/4 the odds £5 each way too
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« Reply #70569 on: March 11, 2014, 09:55:44 AM »

Any lucky 15 possibilities with those four?

Go on, tikay. Fiver Yankee on your Hills Quartet. Let's make some real money.

Ahh, you mean these 4......


14.05 Champagne Fever 3/1
15.20 The New One 3/1 (now 0/30 with WH)
16.00 Que Vega 5/6 (now 10/11 with WH)
14.05  Dodging Bullets @6/1 (only 9/2 with WH)



Are we getting above Ev on the quartet?

If the thread agrees, yes, I'll do it.

Let me know.

Noooooo
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« Reply #70570 on: March 11, 2014, 09:57:16 AM »

Morning Mr T.

Nadal losing was a blow. I read yesterday that he was having back problems which have made his serving poor. He certainly struggled on his own serve, and that is what is happening to Murray as well. I backed Murray's opponent yesterday at 18-1 in running only to see him just fail. I can't see how Murray is favourite to beat Raonic in the next round when his serve is so vulnerable. In his previous match Murray lost 3 service games in a row, and you don't do that even against Djokovic unlesss there is something gravely amiss.

Suggest £25 Raonic to beat Murray @ 23/10 betvictor.

Do this one now Mr T.

BetVictor are now.....6/4!

I took 2/1 with BetFred though, as it t beats Betfair (2.72 currently), but only for £20 (not £25) as we missed a bit of price.

 

Bet placed, its reference is 290/312
 
Bet ref: 290/312 £20.00 Single

Raonic, M v Murray, A
Match Result


Raonic, M

2/1


Total stake

£ 20.00



BET PLACED
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« Reply #70571 on: March 11, 2014, 09:57:37 AM »

Betbright is offering a £30 risk free bet again.
They did it for the imperial cup with the offer being deposit £30, bet on imperial cup, if it loses, money back and a £30 free bet for chelt.
I won on imperial cup, withdrawl went through fine.
Would take up this offer.

b u m p
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« Reply #70572 on: March 11, 2014, 09:58:34 AM »

tikay your alarm call

20 minutes til William Hill's website explodes. They're offering 10,000 £10 bets on Hurricane Fly at 6/1 at 10am

i believe this is offered at 1/4 the odds £5 each way too

Thanks Rich.

So should we be going WIN, or EW?
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« Reply #70573 on: March 11, 2014, 09:59:21 AM »

Betbright is offering a £30 risk free bet again.
They did it for the imperial cup with the offer being deposit £30, bet on imperial cup, if it loses, money back and a £30 free bet for chelt.
I won on imperial cup, withdrawl went through fine.
Would take up this offer.

b u m p

Thanks Ex.

I did see it, but I don't have a Betbright Account, & I don't have time to open one right now.
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« Reply #70574 on: March 11, 2014, 09:59:29 AM »

Is the WH offer available in shops too? Can't get on online but shop is just round the corner.
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