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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16348953 times)
horseplayer
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« Reply #72180 on: March 25, 2014, 11:42:57 AM »

Tighty

what stands the pp acca offer apart from the other firms who offer bonuses on a certain number of winners?

cheers

sorry, i don't understand

I'll probably chuck a few quid on a 14-timer and wait to see which odds-on favourites will let me down

I thought it was a special offer from them? Pretty sure most firms offer bonuses if you get 9 or more?
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Dubai
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« Reply #72181 on: March 25, 2014, 11:43:56 AM »

I feel like we should be having 2 pretty big bets today and 2 teams who played terribly last time out and as such have drifted and the markets have arguably overreacted. Arsenal @1.6 v Swansea, West Indies 1.4 v Bangladesh. Views? Will gamble with anyone who disagrees and fancies laying either

Like Arsenal.  Not so sure about West Indies though.  Happy to lay them for a few bob at the general 1/3 on our tab for settlement when the footie dust settles if you like.  £200 to £600?

Let me know mate.



Just checked 1.37-1.38. My £675 to your £250?
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #72182 on: March 25, 2014, 11:48:50 AM »

I feel like we should be having 2 pretty big bets today and 2 teams who played terribly last time out and as such have drifted and the markets have arguably overreacted. Arsenal @1.6 v Swansea, West Indies 1.4 v Bangladesh. Views? Will gamble with anyone who disagrees and fancies laying either

Like Arsenal.  Not so sure about West Indies though.  Happy to lay them for a few bob at the general 1/3 on our tab for settlement when the footie dust settles if you like.  £200 to £600?

Let me know mate.



Just checked 1.37-1.38. My £675 to your £250?

Ok done.  Will add outcome to the bottom of our weekly email and we'll net it/add it in May? 
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TightEnd
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« Reply #72183 on: March 25, 2014, 11:50:56 AM »

Tighty

what stands the pp acca offer apart from the other firms who offer bonuses on a certain number of winners?

cheers

sorry, i don't understand

I'll probably chuck a few quid on a 14-timer and wait to see which odds-on favourites will let me down

I thought it was a special offer from them? Pretty sure most firms offer bonuses if you get 9 or more?

right not sure. i saw this in PR because the PP offer is stopping after this week.
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« Reply #72184 on: March 25, 2014, 11:51:35 AM »

I feel like we should be having 2 pretty big bets today and 2 teams who played terribly last time out and as such have drifted and the markets have arguably overreacted. Arsenal @1.6 v Swansea, West Indies 1.4 v Bangladesh. Views? Will gamble with anyone who disagrees and fancies laying either

Like Arsenal.  Not so sure about West Indies though.  Happy to lay them for a few bob at the general 1/3 on our tab for settlement when the footie dust settles if you like.  £200 to £600?

Let me know mate.



Just checked 1.37-1.38. My £675 to your £250?

Ok done.  Will add outcome to the bottom of our weekly email and we'll net it/add it in May? 

Yeah no worries
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horseplayer
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« Reply #72185 on: March 25, 2014, 01:05:18 PM »

Bashley Keeper Monty George Donates To Troubled Club
Posted on March 25, 2014 by Steven Coney in Calor Southern Leagues, Featured with 0 Comments
bashley
YOUNG Bashley loan goalkeeper Monty George has stunned the club by donating £1,000 of his own money to the cash-strapped Calor Premier outfit.

Bash members voted in favour of a resolution to begin proceedings to dissolve the club at the end of the season if new funding can not be attracted.

George, 17, is only on loan from Skrill Premier Salisbury City and buys and sells imported electronic goods and pest control products from China.

The former Yeovil Town stopper told the Daily Echo: “Bashley have made me feel very welcome and having got to know all the guys I just wanted to help out.

“Football has given me a lot and I was in a position to help out so I did. It would be a shame to see the club go under.

“I saw they needed the money and realised I could contribute. To me, I’m not doing anything with the money at the moment and I like the club so I am happy to be able to help.”

Bashley joint-manager Paul Gazzard added: “I don’t know how many years I have spent in football but I have never known anything like it.

“The lad isn’t even getting paid, he turns up and plays when we need him to. I’m just taken back by it all. It was a tremendous, selfless act.”
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TightEnd
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« Reply #72186 on: March 25, 2014, 01:33:54 PM »

Malaysian Grand Prix

From a reliability point of view Sepang is far more of a challenge for the teams than Melbourne.

The heat and humidity will stretch the cars’ cooling systems to the limit.

With the new hybrid turbo power units and the powerful batteries in the Energy Recovery System, cooling is critical this year and this in particular is what the Renault powered teams are strugging.

We may see several teams being forced to open the bodywork to improve cooling, which will hurt their aerodynamic performance and in some cases the stability of the cars in the corners.

Winner

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/winner

It's 6/4 Hamilton 7/4 Rosberg 16/1 bar the two! The 4/1 value in Rosberg from Australia is gone.

I'd like to see evidence that Hamilton can deal with the challenges of these cars over race distance (fuel conservation an issue at the hotter tracks) before piling in at 6/4. Rosberg is the "safer" race driver in terms of consistent points scoring  

Of course a skewed book creates opportunities. For example McLaren were very reliable in Melbourne and have upgrades for Sepang

see http://www1.skysports.com/f1/news/12479/9231392/mclaren-pushing-aggressively-to-close-gap-to-mercedes-for-malaysia-and-beyond

We can have Magnusson (quick, talented, definitely a driver to be on the right side of in the years ahead) at 18/1 e/w 1/5 1,2,3 with BetVictory

I think the McLaren/Williams look fundamentally quicker cars than the Ferrari. I would say the McLaren will be back winning races this year


Pole Position

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/pole-position

The Mercedes is was one and half seconds a lap quicker than the rest apart from Riccardo on the evidence of one GP qualifying. We would expect that gap to close, but not so easy from one fly-away race to the next. Hamilton is quicker over a single lap than Rosberg. We find Hamilton odds against to be on Pole. I have him odds-on. Risk of heavy rain in qualifying would be the major reason you can get him at odds-against

Podium

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/podium-finish

Note the Williams priced a far bit shorter than the McLarens here. The McLaren of Button at 3/1 is the value: The data on the Medium tyre from Melbourne showed that the longest stint was 25 laps by Button. Sepang will present a far stiffer challenge: heat, longer straights, more wear via braking from fast speeds. Very reliable car, it seems with who we know is the best driver at managing tyre wear = potential podium to me. Not one for the win market as his qualifying pace often leaves him down the grid.

To finish

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race

the 8/11 about the Lotae not to finish is gone, now 2/5 best. All of the Renault cars are odds on not to finish except the two Red Bulls where we can get 13/8 Riccardo and Vettel not to finish. It strikes me as unlikely that both Red Bulls would finish

Very interesting to see the two Mercedes at 7/2 not to finish with Bet3sixfive. It does not necessarily follow that quick=reliable. I would be more interested about 7/2 Hamilton not to finish than 6/4 him to win on value grounds


Recommendations


Choose from :

Winner Magnusson £10 e/w at 18-1 Bv 1/5 1,2,3

Hamilton £30 Pole Position at 6/5 Betfried

Button £20 Podium at 3/1 PadraigPowerful or StanleyJimes


Hamilton £20 7/2 Not to finish Betthreesixfive

either Vettel/Riccardo £20 Not to finish 13/8 Coral. Pick the right one.


« Last Edit: March 25, 2014, 01:36:25 PM by TightEnd » Logged

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Doobs
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« Reply #72187 on: March 25, 2014, 01:57:25 PM »

Malaysian Grand Prix

From a reliability point of view Sepang is far more of a challenge for the teams than Melbourne.

The heat and humidity will stretch the cars’ cooling systems to the limit.

With the new hybrid turbo power units and the powerful batteries in the Energy Recovery System, cooling is critical this year and this in particular is what the Renault powered teams are strugging.

We may see several teams being forced to open the bodywork to improve cooling, which will hurt their aerodynamic performance and in some cases the stability of the cars in the corners.

Winner

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/winner

It's 6/4 Hamilton 7/4 Rosberg 16/1 bar the two! The 4/1 value in Rosberg from Australia is gone.

I'd like to see evidence that Hamilton can deal with the challenges of these cars over race distance (fuel conservation an issue at the hotter tracks) before piling in at 6/4. Rosberg is the "safer" race driver in terms of consistent points scoring  

Of course a skewed book creates opportunities. For example McLaren were very reliable in Melbourne and have upgrades for Sepang

see http://www1.skysports.com/f1/news/12479/9231392/mclaren-pushing-aggressively-to-close-gap-to-mercedes-for-malaysia-and-beyond

We can have Magnusson (quick, talented, definitely a driver to be on the right side of in the years ahead) at 18/1 e/w 1/5 1,2,3 with BetVictory

I think the McLaren/Williams look fundamentally quicker cars than the Ferrari. I would say the McLaren will be back winning races this year


Pole Position

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/pole-position

The Mercedes is was one and half seconds a lap quicker than the rest apart from Riccardo on the evidence of one GP qualifying. We would expect that gap to close, but not so easy from one fly-away race to the next. Hamilton is quicker over a single lap than Rosberg. We find Hamilton odds against to be on Pole. I have him odds-on. Risk of heavy rain in qualifying would be the major reason you can get him at odds-against

Podium

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/podium-finish

Note the Williams priced a far bit shorter than the McLarens here. The McLaren of Button at 3/1 is the value: The data on the Medium tyre from Melbourne showed that the longest stint was 25 laps by Button. Sepang will present a far stiffer challenge: heat, longer straights, more wear via braking from fast speeds. Very reliable car, it seems with who we know is the best driver at managing tyre wear = potential podium to me. Not one for the win market as his qualifying pace often leaves him down the grid.

To finish

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/malaysian-grand-prix/not-to-finish-the-race

the 8/11 about the Lotae not to finish is gone, now 2/5 best. All of the Renault cars are odds on not to finish except the two Red Bulls where we can get 13/8 Riccardo and Vettel not to finish. It strikes me as unlikely that both Red Bulls would finish

Very interesting to see the two Mercedes at 7/2 not to finish with Bet3sixfive. It does not necessarily follow that quick=reliable. I would be more interested about 7/2 Hamilton not to finish than 6/4 him to win on value grounds


Recommendations


Choose from :

Winner Magnusson £10 e/w at 18-1 Bv 1/5 1,2,3

Hamilton £30 Pole Position at 6/5 Betfried

Button £20 Podium at 3/1 PadraigPowerful or StanleyJimes


Hamilton £20 7/2 Not to finish Betthreesixfive

either Vettel/Riccardo £20 Not to finish 13/8 Coral. Pick the right one.




Pretty much agree on all these, though not sure on Hamilton not to finish. 

I also think we should back Magnussen each way for the championship.  We missed the 20/1 speculative punt I put up in January and then waited for the price to crash to 12/1 before backing him to win in Australia. 

Today, after he has confirmed his pace and maturity and with points for 2nd place in Australia in the bag we can back him at a revised price of 20/1.  Think 4/1 the place is very good.  If have this between him and Button at the minute.  The Ferraris and Red Bulls are still a bit slow and at least the latter had doubtful reliability.  The Williams deserve to be a bigger price even if I like Bottas. 

Suggest fifteen each way is good with Billy Hillbillies or Vet Bicktor. 

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #72188 on: March 25, 2014, 02:00:59 PM »

I think 13/8 on both Red Bulls not to finish is an incredibly generous price.  I know we have a somewhat poor record on F1 but all of the above bets aren't really related and there is a legitimate argument to bet them all and most of all I don't think you should choose which of the red bulls wont finish and should just back them both.
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« Reply #72189 on: March 25, 2014, 02:01:20 PM »

PP Messenger

PP pick one race per day and give you money back if your horse is 2nd or 3rd

Today's race is 2.10 Fontwell

Max refund £50

Eg Type

50 Marmalade Man
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TightEnd
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« Reply #72190 on: March 25, 2014, 02:04:31 PM »

Market moves in Next NFFC Manager betting http://bit.ly/NNAcES 

2/1 Hoddle

7/2 Pearce

4/1 Zola

14 Jardim

16 Mackay

18 Warnock

20 Brazil
Expand
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« Reply #72191 on: March 25, 2014, 02:10:20 PM »

Market moves in Next NFFC Manager betting http://bit.ly/NNAcES 

2/1 Hoddle

7/2 Pearce

4/1 Zola

14 Jardim

16 Mackay

18 Warnock

20 Brazil
Expand

Hoddle rumours from a mysterious company owned by a Mr G. Hoddle again or a legitimate source?
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« Reply #72192 on: March 25, 2014, 02:11:24 PM »

PP Messenger

PP pick one race per day and give you money back if your horse is 2nd or 3rd

Today's race is 2.10 Fontwell

Max refund £50

Eg Type

50 Marmalade Man

Not just PP Messenger also online and app
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redarmi
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« Reply #72193 on: March 25, 2014, 02:12:45 PM »

Surely Pearce, if he wants and he is said to, is an absolute steal at 7/2.  I normally wouldn't bet anyone at under double figures in a manager market but that is sorely tempting.
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Marky147
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« Reply #72194 on: March 25, 2014, 02:21:51 PM »

Here is the Oddschecker for the Forest job

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/nottingham-forest/next-permanent-manager




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