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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16358391 times)
jakally
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« Reply #72255 on: March 26, 2014, 12:53:16 AM »

I like Sheffield Wednesday at home to Watford on Saturday.
Wednesday are the form team in the division at the minute, and are playing some decent stuff, although they have had the best of it with sendings off etc...
Watford are consistently overrated, possibly based on last season's effort.
Recommend £40 @ 31/20 Sheffield Wednesday to win with VC.

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exstream
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« Reply #72256 on: March 26, 2014, 02:24:50 AM »

Having been booked against Cardiff City, Gerrard is one yellow away from an automatic 2 match suspension.
With the position Liverpool are in, it's not going to be a good time for him to serve that suspension at all.
From 25 starts this season, he has received 7 yellow cards.
Looking at their remaining fixtures, http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/liverpool/fixtures , is Saturdays game vs Sunderland the ideal time for him to pick up a yellow card intentionally? The two games he would miss are at home to Spurs and away to West Ham.
He wouldn't want to be missing the big games vs Chelsea or Man City, or the last few?
Gerrard is 22/1 to receive first yellow on Saturday, 11/4 anytime.
Thoughts?
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arbboy
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« Reply #72257 on: March 26, 2014, 02:33:04 AM »

Having been booked against Cardiff City, Gerrard is one yellow away from an automatic 2 match suspension.
With the position Liverpool are in, it's not going to be a good time for him to serve that suspension at all.
From 25 starts this season, he has received 7 yellow cards.
Looking at their remaining fixtures, http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/liverpool/fixtures , is Saturdays game vs Sunderland the ideal time for him to pick up a yellow card intentionally? The two games he would miss are at home to Spurs and away to West Ham.
He wouldn't want to be missing the big games vs Chelsea or Man City, or the last few?
Gerrard is 22/1 to receive first yellow on Saturday, 11/4 anytime.
Thoughts?

Very interesting!  Great Detective work.
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exstream
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« Reply #72258 on: March 26, 2014, 02:34:10 AM »

Having been booked against Cardiff City, Gerrard is one yellow away from an automatic 2 match suspension.
With the position Liverpool are in, it's not going to be a good time for him to serve that suspension at all.
From 25 starts this season, he has received 7 yellow cards.
Looking at their remaining fixtures, http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/liverpool/fixtures , is Saturdays game vs Sunderland the ideal time for him to pick up a yellow card intentionally? The two games he would miss are at home to Spurs and away to West Ham.
He wouldn't want to be missing the big games vs Chelsea or Man City, or the last few?
Gerrard is 22/1 to receive first yellow on Saturday, 11/4 anytime.
Thoughts?

Very interesting!  Great Detective work.

The Daily Star told me that he was one card away Cheesy
Kind of expected to be told that's the stupidest thing anyone has ever heard haha.
Couldn't find odds on oddschecker for that of any other site either!
« Last Edit: March 26, 2014, 02:35:43 AM by exstream » Logged
arbboy
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« Reply #72259 on: March 26, 2014, 02:54:03 AM »

Having been booked against Cardiff City, Gerrard is one yellow away from an automatic 2 match suspension.
With the position Liverpool are in, it's not going to be a good time for him to serve that suspension at all.
From 25 starts this season, he has received 7 yellow cards.
Looking at their remaining fixtures, http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/liverpool/fixtures , is Saturdays game vs Sunderland the ideal time for him to pick up a yellow card intentionally? The two games he would miss are at home to Spurs and away to West Ham.
He wouldn't want to be missing the big games vs Chelsea or Man City, or the last few?
Gerrard is 22/1 to receive first yellow on Saturday, 11/4 anytime.
Thoughts?

Very interesting!  Great Detective work.

The Daily Star told me that he was one card away Cheesy
Kind of expected to be told that's the stupidest thing anyone has ever heard haha.
Couldn't find odds on oddschecker for that of any other site either!

This is the off the cuff sort of info that the thread is all about imo. In general it can throw up some great punting spots when prices are just auto generated by firms' spreadsheets and don't factor this kind of stuff into their prices at all. 
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aaron1867
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« Reply #72260 on: March 26, 2014, 03:00:18 AM »

Think info is really good here, BUT is say they would want him in the spurs game too, which at that point could lock up a top 4 spot

Think I will have a nibble at the bet tho
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exstream
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« Reply #72261 on: March 26, 2014, 03:25:24 AM »

Forgot to mention, those odds were with PadPow.
As I said, couldn't find market on Oddschecker.
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« Reply #72262 on: March 26, 2014, 05:33:35 AM »

Starting with the Cricket and Badree took four wickets.



As the West Indies beat Bangladesh by a lot.



Ross McCormack continues to keep on scoring.



And keeping us all quiet.

Yeovil took a 1-0 lead and a 25/1 shot was looking good.



Unfortunately Leicester could only find one in the second half.

Our retirement Acca fell at the first hurdle.

 Click to see full-size image.


As Arsenal conceded a late equaliser.



Arsene Wenger looked crestfallen afterwards.



Man City did the double over their quiet neighbours.



No bad blood between Moyes and Pellegrini.

Kompany got the first yellow.



Horsey knew.

Off topic, video of search conditions for Malaysian airplane.



Brave Guys out in that.

Not really sure what to make of this photo?

 Click to see full-size image.


Anyone know who it is?

Later.
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« Reply #72263 on: March 26, 2014, 07:17:35 AM »

Great gallery Rubbish

Excellent post Exstream noticed a long piece from Rodgers earlier in the week suggesting Gerard needed to change quickly to play the holding role without getting as many bookings. Would suggest it is to late for him to change now and this looks a very good opportunity to get a cheap booking especially with Lucas back from injury and ready to play.
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Chompy
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« Reply #72264 on: March 26, 2014, 09:33:32 AM »

Isn't it ten yellows before a suspension? And think the slate gets wiped clean around mid-April.
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #72265 on: March 26, 2014, 09:40:22 AM »

I like Sheffield Wednesday at home to Watford on Saturday.
Wednesday are the form team in the division at the minute, and are playing some decent stuff, although they have had the best of it with sendings off etc...
Watford are consistently overrated, possibly based on last season's effort.
Recommend £40 @ 31/20 Sheffield Wednesday to win with VC.



Think this is a good price.  As a Watford fan I can confirm we haven't won away from home for 14 games now.
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #72266 on: March 26, 2014, 09:41:17 AM »

Be quick with this IMO....

Ipswich to beat Forest on Saturday @13/10 is absolutely huge.

We are in complete disarray, our season is shot to pieces, no manager, 8 first teamers out injured, and our last half decent centre half picked up a yellow card tonight and is banned for Saturday.

Honestly, if we win another game this season I will be surprised.

Ipswich on a push for play-offs...need I go on.

Just checked odds checker and expected 5/6 or thereabouts.

GO GO GO.....

Also think this is a good price.  Wednesday and Ipswich both look like stonking bets this weekend on price.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #72267 on: March 26, 2014, 09:48:39 AM »

Daily Report

Loss on Month £881.29

Outstanding Bets £4074.44

Countdown £110.20


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web&pli=1#gid=22

One bet placed yesterday, and it was a winner for £18.45. So thats what it feels like. Manchester City picking up the first booking, as well as picking up everythnig else, at Old Trafford

It was a busy Tuesday

One game in the cricket World cup, as the West Indies beat Bangladesh. No luck on the batting front, with Simmons out for 0 in an innings in which Chris Gayle was batting as if he's thawing out of a million-year old icicle. but Badree's 4 wickets and Santokie's 3 were encouraging. Badree is currently top West Indian wicket taker with 5, and we have him at 9/2. He is into 12/1 top tournament wicket taker. Australia next.....

Football.

Arsenal were pegged back by a 90th minute Flanimal own goal and we are in desperate trouble on the "finish top three" bet, let alone the title bet. With Everton in form again Arsenal are looking at the gap to 5th, not the gap to the top...

Newcastle's loss to Everton was a hammer blow to that handicap bet, as Everton look likely to win it

In the Championship, what looked a good thing for Leicester to win the title (trading below 1/10 before the weekend) now looks a lot tighter with Burnley 3 points behind and hosting Leicester on Saturday in a biggie for the bet. Yeovil were a huge side, but actually very tidy to watch. Leicester had 31 shots on goal, 66% possession but it wasn't until the magnificent Kasper Schmeichel soared like a trampolining viking in injury time when he had stayed up after a corner that Leicester equalised to make it 18 unbeaten



 Click to see full-size image.


Elsewhere in the championship Watford drew 3-3 with Blackburn, Blackburn equalising in injury time. The £300 at 2/7 top half bet is on a knife-edge with Watford 12th and playing Sheffield Wednesday in 13th at the weekend

Barnsley won, and the bunting was hung out in celebration this morning. Not that it matters, the top half bet is very close to mathematically done, as is the Reading bet to win the title, as they were the team that Barnsley vanquished

Any chance that Ross McCormack could stop scoring please? Vokes is now on pens for Burnley, and scored again last night but McCormack scored a consolation for a Leeds side in turmoil, with genuine doubts about whether the team can be paid this month


26  McCormack
20  Ings
20  Rhodes
20  Vokes
17  Grabban

You'll noitce that Nugent has dropped off the top part of the table. Completely off-form on the evidence of what I saw last night

In league one Sheffield United must have a realistica stab at 6th with their form and momentum, 7 points behind 6th after beating Crawley away last night. Especially because the Peterborough and Bet of the century FC teams above them are showing no consistency and both lost last night

Tranmere lost again, and are now above the relegation zone on goal difference only

Scorers, Sam Baldock has overtaken Britt. that's another player to anti-funk while he scores game in game out.

20 Baldock
19 Assombalonga
19 Wilson

In league two the Portsmouth bet is very close to being put down, never to be mentioned again. They are one place off relegation to the conference. They lost 3-0 last night to Rochdale

Winnall scored twice for Scunthorpe last night, and that cover bet is virtually home and hosed to cover the Hogan injury bet loss

Tonight

Liverpool and Suarez

Hull at West Ham could really help secure the top promoted team bet

« Last Edit: March 26, 2014, 09:50:47 AM by TightEnd » Logged

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JoeBeevers
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« Reply #72268 on: March 26, 2014, 10:10:43 AM »

Be quick with this IMO....

Ipswich to beat Forest on Saturday @13/10 is absolutely huge.

We are in complete disarray, our season is shot to pieces, no manager, 8 first teamers out injured, and our last half decent centre half picked up a yellow card tonight and is banned for Saturday.

Honestly, if we win another game this season I will be surprised.

Ipswich on a push for play-offs...need I go on.

Just checked odds checker and expected 5/6 or thereabouts.

GO GO GO.....

2.41 Pinnacle is stand out and I can't see it being there long.
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JoeBeevers
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« Reply #72269 on: March 26, 2014, 10:16:20 AM »

Having been booked against Cardiff City, Gerrard is one yellow away from an automatic 2 match suspension.
With the position Liverpool are in, it's not going to be a good time for him to serve that suspension at all.
From 25 starts this season, he has received 7 yellow cards.
Looking at their remaining fixtures, http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/teams/liverpool/fixtures , is Saturdays game vs Sunderland the ideal time for him to pick up a yellow card intentionally? The two games he would miss are at home to Spurs and away to West Ham.
He wouldn't want to be missing the big games vs Chelsea or Man City, or the last few?
Gerrard is 22/1 to receive first yellow on Saturday, 11/4 anytime.
Thoughts?

This game is tonight not Saturday, Liverpool also play Tottenham on Sunday 30th.

Evens now with PoddyP and 6/4 with Sky but 3/1 with Fred and 5/2 Unicycle still there.
« Last Edit: March 26, 2014, 10:30:15 AM by JoeBeevers » Logged
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