Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

teafor3 16/1 with ladbrokes 9am

missed this, thouroughly

not a bet now i assume.

[Tal]

I do fancy one at Chepstow today in the 3:45 (ever the contrarian...)

Paddy Brennan apparently turned down three National rides because he was waiting for one of the reserves to get in (I believe Soll?). The gamble didn't payoff and now he's off to Chepstow. I'd be surprised if What's Happening struggled off top weight and Billy Hill goes 10/1, while Boils goes 15/2.

Not a recommend, but I am interested in views.

[exstream]

http://www.stanjames.com/UK/541/betting#action=market-group-list&market-group=1240378.2&bo-navigation=146036.2,160873.2

be quick
get on trifolium
9/2

can lay on betfair after at 5.0 if need be

can't use stanjames

somewhere else?

what's the reasoning behind the bet?

Adz says its good.
9/2 gone. Beat betfair by a good amount.

[Doobs]

wow, man united are 11-10 tomorrow?

Newcastle are absolutely awful at the moment, seriously terrible.


Remy is out, HBA refuses to play for Pardew and Cisse-De Jong are worse than useless.  Asides from the Stoke match where we played with 9 men (we were losing 1-0 before this) we have only scored 14 goals at home all week. 6 of those goals come from Remy. In our last 7 games at home our scores have been.

Without Remy in our team, we have scored 1 goal all season (1-0 94th minute win vs Crystal Palace)

0-1
0-2
0-3
0-4
1-0 (terrible villa team)
1-0 (terrible palace team, 94th minute goal)
0-3


West Ham   0-0   No scorer
Fulham     1-0   Ben Arfa 86
Hull City     2-3   Remy 10,44
Liverpool     2-2   Cabaye 23, Dummett 56
Chelsea    2-0   Gouffran 68, Remy 89
Norwich City     2-1   Remy 2, Gouffran 38
West Brom     2-1   Gouffran 36 Sissoko 57
Southampton     1-1   Gouffran 27   
Stoke City    5-1   Remy 44,56 Gouffran 48
Cabaye 66 Cisse 80pen
Arsenal    0-1   No scorer
Man City   0-2   No scorer
mackems   0-3   No scorer
Spurs   0-4   No scorer
Aston Villa   1-0   Remy 90+2
Crystal Palace     1-0   Cisse 90+4
Everton   0-3   No scorer


The one thing against Man United is that they may rest players for the Bayern match as the league is out of the question but we have a huge injury list.

Arguably our 3 best and most consitent players Krul, Debuchy and Remy are all injured. Sissoko is also out injured whilst HBA will probably not play either. Apparantly Pardew will play Dan Gosling who has basically not played for the last 3 years.

Man United may have Rooney missing but they have won to nil in their last 4 away games.

When we beat Man United 1-0 earlier in season 5 of those players have now been sold or are injured.

All in?

opinions.....

If they were at home, but away 11/10 doesn't seem massive to me.  Man U dire at times this season too.  Man U got a more important match coming up.  Doesn't look a max for me.  

[TightEnd]

Zarkandar in the 2.50 at 7/2 is good for Hills mobile.  

Edit
Favourite has been a bit ropey this season.  Just a bit worse than Betfair, but free bet is enough to make up for it.  Aintree is easier to get 3 miles than Cheltenham.

05 Apr 2014 - 2:50 Aintree - Win

Best Odds Guaranteed!
Tip It

Zarkandar @ 7/2

Stake : £25.00
Estimated Returns : £
112.50
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0000920/

BET PLACED, free bet if second

[arbboy]

wow, man united are 11-10 tomorrow?

Newcastle are absolutely awful at the moment, seriously terrible.


Remy is out, HBA refuses to play for Pardew and Cisse-De Jong are worse than useless.  Asides from the Stoke match where we played with 9 men (we were losing 1-0 before this) we have only scored 14 goals at home all week. 6 of those goals come from Remy. In our last 7 games at home our scores have been.

Without Remy in our team, we have scored 1 goal all season (1-0 94th minute win vs Crystal Palace)

0-1
0-2
0-3
0-4
1-0 (terrible villa team)
1-0 (terrible palace team, 94th minute goal)
0-3


West Ham   0-0   No scorer
Fulham     1-0   Ben Arfa 86
Hull City     2-3   Remy 10,44
Liverpool     2-2   Cabaye 23, Dummett 56
Chelsea    2-0   Gouffran 68, Remy 89
Norwich City     2-1   Remy 2, Gouffran 38
West Brom     2-1   Gouffran 36 Sissoko 57
Southampton     1-1   Gouffran 27   
Stoke City    5-1   Remy 44,56 Gouffran 48
Cabaye 66 Cisse 80pen
Arsenal    0-1   No scorer
Man City   0-2   No scorer
mackems   0-3   No scorer
Spurs   0-4   No scorer
Aston Villa   1-0   Remy 90+2
Crystal Palace     1-0   Cisse 90+4
Everton   0-3   No scorer


The one thing against Man United is that they may rest players for the Bayern match as the league is out of the question but we have a huge injury list.

Arguably our 3 best and most consitent players Krul, Debuchy and Remy are all injured. Sissoko is also out injured whilst HBA will probably not play either. Apparantly Pardew will play Dan Gosling who has basically not played for the last 3 years.

Man United may have Rooney missing but they have won to nil in their last 4 away games.

When we beat Man United 1-0 earlier in season 5 of those players have now been sold or are injured.

All in?

opinions.....

If they were at home, but away 11/10 doesn't seem massive to me.  Man U dire at times this season too.  Man U got a more important match coming up.  Doesn't look a max for me.  

Would we be having a max on them at 2/5 if man u were at home?  I think not.  Case closed.  Its the same bet effectively.

[TightEnd]

http://www.stanjames.com/UK/541/betting#action=market-group-list&market-group=1240378.2&bo-navigation=146036.2,160873.2

be quick
get on trifolium
9/2

can lay on betfair after at 5.0 if need be

can't use stanjames

somewhere else?

what's the reasoning behind the bet?

Adz says its good.
9/2 gone. Beat betfair by a good amount.

ok.

sell it to us next time and we'll try not to miss it. why does adz say its good?...etc etc

[exstream]

http://www.stanjames.com/UK/541/betting#action=market-group-list&market-group=1240378.2&bo-navigation=146036.2,160873.2

be quick
get on trifolium
9/2

can lay on betfair after at 5.0 if need be

can't use stanjames

somewhere else?

what's the reasoning behind the bet?

Adz says its good.
9/2 gone. Beat betfair by a good amount.

ok.

sell it to us next time and we'll try not to miss it. why does adz say its good?...etc etc

If it's beating betfair in a very popular market at 5.5 to 5.0 is it not an auto bet which can even be layed?

[claypole]

Hope nobody else got f****d with 365, obviously my limits slightly higher - rush to get bets on at 11.50, lay out £250 on 6 horses then after it's not in phone up and I am not "eligible for offers" - morons

[TightEnd]

http://www.stanjames.com/UK/541/betting#action=market-group-list&market-group=1240378.2&bo-navigation=146036.2,160873.2

be quick
get on trifolium
9/2

can lay on betfair after at 5.0 if need be

can't use stanjames

somewhere else?

what's the reasoning behind the bet?

Adz says its good.
9/2 gone. Beat betfair by a good amount.

ok.

sell it to us next time and we'll try not to miss it. why does adz say its good?...etc etc

If it's beating betfair in a very popular market at 5.5 to 5.0 is it not an auto bet which can even be layed?

but you are assuming someone is going to be around to lay it.

i think I need the strategy (and if its a mathematical bet, tell me) laid out clearly please, next time


keep them coming, but just assume you are talking to an idiot

""be quick
get on trifolium
9/2

can lay on betfair after at 5.0 if need be"

assumes some knowledge of the situation!

[BorntoBubble]

wow, man united are 11-10 tomorrow?

Newcastle are absolutely awful at the moment, seriously terrible.


Remy is out, HBA refuses to play for Pardew and Cisse-De Jong are worse than useless.  Asides from the Stoke match where we played with 9 men (we were losing 1-0 before this) we have only scored 14 goals at home all week. 6 of those goals come from Remy. In our last 7 games at home our scores have been.

Without Remy in our team, we have scored 1 goal all season (1-0 94th minute win vs Crystal Palace)

0-1
0-2
0-3
0-4
1-0 (terrible villa team)
1-0 (terrible palace team, 94th minute goal)
0-3


West Ham   0-0   No scorer
Fulham     1-0   Ben Arfa 86
Hull City     2-3   Remy 10,44
Liverpool     2-2   Cabaye 23, Dummett 56
Chelsea    2-0   Gouffran 68, Remy 89
Norwich City     2-1   Remy 2, Gouffran 38
West Brom     2-1   Gouffran 36 Sissoko 57
Southampton     1-1   Gouffran 27   
Stoke City    5-1   Remy 44,56 Gouffran 48
Cabaye 66 Cisse 80pen
Arsenal    0-1   No scorer
Man City   0-2   No scorer
mackems   0-3   No scorer
Spurs   0-4   No scorer
Aston Villa   1-0   Remy 90+2
Crystal Palace     1-0   Cisse 90+4
Everton   0-3   No scorer


The one thing against Man United is that they may rest players for the Bayern match as the league is out of the question but we have a huge injury list.

Arguably our 3 best and most consitent players Krul, Debuchy and Remy are all injured. Sissoko is also out injured whilst HBA will probably not play either. Apparantly Pardew will play Dan Gosling who has basically not played for the last 3 years.

Man United may have Rooney missing but they have won to nil in their last 4 away games.

When we beat Man United 1-0 earlier in season 5 of those players have now been sold or are injured.

All in?

opinions.....

If they were at home, but away 11/10 doesn't seem massive to me.  Man U dire at times this season too.  Man U got a more important match coming up.  Doesn't look a max for me. 

Would we be having a max on them at 2/5 if man u were at home?  I think not.  Case closed.  Its the same bet effectively.

I dont quite agree with that.

United have been dire at home this year but the best team in the league away.

I still dont think its a max bet though

[arbboy]

wow, man united are 11-10 tomorrow?

Newcastle are absolutely awful at the moment, seriously terrible.


Remy is out, HBA refuses to play for Pardew and Cisse-De Jong are worse than useless.  Asides from the Stoke match where we played with 9 men (we were losing 1-0 before this) we have only scored 14 goals at home all week. 6 of those goals come from Remy. In our last 7 games at home our scores have been.

Without Remy in our team, we have scored 1 goal all season (1-0 94th minute win vs Crystal Palace)

0-1
0-2
0-3
0-4
1-0 (terrible villa team)
1-0 (terrible palace team, 94th minute goal)
0-3


West Ham   0-0   No scorer
Fulham     1-0   Ben Arfa 86
Hull City     2-3   Remy 10,44
Liverpool     2-2   Cabaye 23, Dummett 56
Chelsea    2-0   Gouffran 68, Remy 89
Norwich City     2-1   Remy 2, Gouffran 38
West Brom     2-1   Gouffran 36 Sissoko 57
Southampton     1-1   Gouffran 27   
Stoke City    5-1   Remy 44,56 Gouffran 48
Cabaye 66 Cisse 80pen
Arsenal    0-1   No scorer
Man City   0-2   No scorer
mackems   0-3   No scorer
Spurs   0-4   No scorer
Aston Villa   1-0   Remy 90+2
Crystal Palace     1-0   Cisse 90+4
Everton   0-3   No scorer


The one thing against Man United is that they may rest players for the Bayern match as the league is out of the question but we have a huge injury list.

Arguably our 3 best and most consitent players Krul, Debuchy and Remy are all injured. Sissoko is also out injured whilst HBA will probably not play either. Apparantly Pardew will play Dan Gosling who has basically not played for the last 3 years.

Man United may have Rooney missing but they have won to nil in their last 4 away games.

When we beat Man United 1-0 earlier in season 5 of those players have now been sold or are injured.

All in?

opinions.....

If they were at home, but away 11/10 doesn't seem massive to me.  Man U dire at times this season too.  Man U got a more important match coming up.  Doesn't look a max for me. 

Would we be having a max on them at 2/5 if man u were at home?  I think not.  Case closed.  Its the same bet effectively.

I dont quite agree with that.

United have been dire at home this year but the best team in the league away.

I still dont think its a max bet though

sample sizes ftw!!!! 

[TightEnd]

mercedes power 1,2,3,4,5,6 in fp3

qualifying later...

[rfgqqabc]

wow, man united are 11-10 tomorrow?

Newcastle are absolutely awful at the moment, seriously terrible.


Remy is out, HBA refuses to play for Pardew and Cisse-De Jong are worse than useless.  Asides from the Stoke match where we played with 9 men (we were losing 1-0 before this) we have only scored 14 goals at home all week. 6 of those goals come from Remy. In our last 7 games at home our scores have been.

Without Remy in our team, we have scored 1 goal all season (1-0 94th minute win vs Crystal Palace)



The one thing against Man United is that they may rest players for the Bayern match as the league is out of the question but we have a huge injury list.

Arguably our 3 best and most consitent players Krul, Debuchy and Remy are all injured. Sissoko is also out injured whilst HBA will probably not play either. Apparantly Pardew will play Dan Gosling who has basically not played for the last 3 years.

Man United may have Rooney missing but they have won to nil in their last 4 away games.

When we beat Man United 1-0 earlier in season 5 of those players have now been sold or are injured.

All in?

opinions.....

If they were at home, but away 11/10 doesn't seem massive to me.  Man U dire at times this season too.  Man U got a more important match coming up.  Doesn't look a max for me. 

Would we be having a max on them at 2/5 if man u were at home?  I think not.  Case closed.  Its the same bet effectively.

I dont quite agree with that.

United have been dire at home this year but the best team in the league away.

I still dont think its a max bet though

sample sizes ftw!!!! 

Applies to the whole season and not just the away form?

11/10 doesn't feel that big but im fairly clueless.

[arbboy]

wow, man united are 11-10 tomorrow?

Newcastle are absolutely awful at the moment, seriously terrible.


Remy is out, HBA refuses to play for Pardew and Cisse-De Jong are worse than useless.  Asides from the Stoke match where we played with 9 men (we were losing 1-0 before this) we have only scored 14 goals at home all week. 6 of those goals come from Remy. In our last 7 games at home our scores have been.

Without Remy in our team, we have scored 1 goal all season (1-0 94th minute win vs Crystal Palace)



The one thing against Man United is that they may rest players for the Bayern match as the league is out of the question but we have a huge injury list.

Arguably our 3 best and most consitent players Krul, Debuchy and Remy are all injured. Sissoko is also out injured whilst HBA will probably not play either. Apparantly Pardew will play Dan Gosling who has basically not played for the last 3 years.

Man United may have Rooney missing but they have won to nil in their last 4 away games.

When we beat Man United 1-0 earlier in season 5 of those players have now been sold or are injured.

All in?

opinions.....

If they were at home, but away 11/10 doesn't seem massive to me.  Man U dire at times this season too.  Man U got a more important match coming up.  Doesn't look a max for me.  

Would we be having a max on them at 2/5 if man u were at home?  I think not.  Case closed.  Its the same bet effectively.

I dont quite agree with that.

United have been dire at home this year but the best team in the league away.

I still dont think its a max bet though

sample sizes ftw!!!!  

Applies to the whole season and not just the away form?

11/10 doesn't feel that big but im fairly clueless.

Teams are not better away from home than at home.  It's totally illogical to think that and it's talked about every year about the 1 or 2 teams who have better away records.  No mention is ever made of the dozen's of teams who fit in with the logical (proven over decades of data) pattern of having much better home form than away form.  It's nothing but variance each and every year when it happens to a team esp the further up the leagues you go where home advantage becomes more and more a factor in the price of a match.  It's funny how no one says at the start of the season 'Man U or Villa are going to better away from home than at home this season' they wait to see the statistical blips 2/3rds of the way through the season then quote stats that really are meaningless.