Tips for Tikay

[doubleup]

I did say all this the other day.

but that was before a good bet appeared on the other side.  Also people want to bet other players and it allows Tikay to decide on merit without worrying about betting too much on one event.

[Omm]

While Doobs and Adz are around will we be having a little dabble on Speith top American?

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/the-masters/top-american

Bf sports book seem quite generous, beats bf and get 1/4 1/2/3/4

[Doobs]

Hey Adz, what price would you want on Jordan Spieth for next year's masters?

FWIW He isn't in every betting list, but gets in on top 30 in this year's money list.

I have already backed him.

Evening Sir.

Seems to keep progressing up that curve nicely. Was thinking I might have to think again about an acceptable price as the 33s seems like wishful t.

Looked at the prices for US Open first and thought 40s was fair. When I saw 66s for the masters had to have the max each would let me. May look foolish in 9 months time but cant see it being a bigger price unless he goes all David Duval on us. Great spot Doobs.

Glad you think so.  The Masters comes first so less of a wait.  Looking at the others at 66/1, you wouldn't back any above Speight.

Suggest Tikay gets £20 on the nose Jordan Spieth for the long sweat on the US Masters.

You can get 66/1 on BET365, Boylesports or Paddy Power.  The thinking is I can't see him starting at 66/1 any time soon in a US golf tournament and this price looks a bit stale.

Better bump this before the Masters starts.  Didn't think it was BigAdz that did the Spieth bet.  Don't want to do the mother of all aftertimes whilst he is basking in the glory on Monday!

[TightEnd]

Hey Adz, what price would you want on Jordan Spieth for next year's masters?

FWIW He isn't in every betting list, but gets in on top 30 in this year's money list.

I have already backed him.

Evening Sir.

Seems to keep progressing up that curve nicely. Was thinking I might have to think again about an acceptable price as the 33s seems like wishful t.

Looked at the prices for US Open first and thought 40s was fair. When I saw 66s for the masters had to have the max each would let me. May look foolish in 9 months time but cant see it being a bigger price unless he goes all David Duval on us. Great spot Doobs.

Glad you think so.  The Masters comes first so less of a wait.  Looking at the others at 66/1, you wouldn't back any above Speight.

Suggest Tikay gets £20 on the nose Jordan Spieth for the long sweat on the US Masters.

You can get 66/1 on BET365, Boylesports or Paddy Power.  The thinking is I can't see him starting at 66/1 any time soon in a US golf tournament and this price looks a bit stale.

Thanks Guys.

We have £20 EW @ 66/1, Boylesports, Jordan Spieth, 2014 US Masters

ON

23 Sep 2013 22:07

116/115

US Masters 2014 - Tournament Outright

Spieth, Jordan

e/w Single

66/1

40.00

 

this was the bet

i have changed the "owner" on the spreadsheet before he wins

[Mark_Porter]

Three weeks to go until the Masters Golf at Augusta. From memory, Fred was in for chunks last year and got in a right pickle.

This year’s Masters is set to be one of the largest fields in Masters history. There are currently 94 registered players but, of course, we can put a line through many of those that are just not capable of winning this event.

There are some common thoughts about the key attributes needed to do well. Those include:-

- Big Hitter
- Comfortable with the woods and long irons off the floor
- Must be able to draw the ball hard
- Putting crucial
- High ball flight useful

By using the above criteria and looking through form I have been trying to work through crossing out as many as possible that don’t fit the profile. Not lots jumping off the page yet but one early rec:-

Gary Woodland - 100/1EW with BV. 5 places.

Click to see full-size image.

Having listed the criteria, Woodland doesn't exactly fit that but I do fancy him. Yes - he hits the ball very long but the make or break will be with the flat stick and his short game can get a bit ropey hence the big price. He also hits a natural fade but has been working hard on hitting the draw in the last couple of years. I am hoping the stars align for him this week at the Arnold Palmer and I expect the 100/1 for the Masters will shorten. A small tickle each way looks good.

Anyone got any ante post thoughts?

One of the BE tips too. 100/1 with Boyles and get the offer. £5 EW?

[doubleup]

This is the former winners best odds and derived %

as   13   7.7
bw   29   3.4
cs   41   2.4
pm   15   6.7
ac   67   1.5
ti   201   0.5
zj   36   2.8
fc   175   0.6
sl   1001   0.1
lm   1001   0.1
bc   1001   0.1
cs   1001   0.1
iw   1001   0.1
tw   1001   0.1
mw   1001   0.1
mo   1001   0.1
jmo   1001   0.1
bl   800   0.1
vs   700   0.1

               26.8%

So 3-1 is good and we are making more money by doing the bet.


and btw if traders aren't going to notice the initial bet, why should they notice an entirely differently designed bet?


ps the main players are exactly 25% - so we are freerolling fred couples - what could be better than that?

[Doobs]

While Doobs and Adz are around will we be having a little dabble on Speith top American?

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/the-masters/top-american

Bf sports book seem quite generous, beats bf and get 1/4 1/2/3/4

Looks a minor rick to me, definitely they should be punished even if we are overloaded on Speith.  They owe me loads from their tolerance of colluders and multi accounters over the years anyway.

[arbboy]

This is the former winners best odds and derived %

as   13   7.7
bw   29   3.4
cs   41   2.4
pm   15   6.7
ac   67   1.5
ti   201   0.5
zj   36   2.8
fc   175   0.6
sl   1001   0.1
lm   1001   0.1
bc   1001   0.1
cs   1001   0.1
iw   1001   0.1
tw   1001   0.1
mw   1001   0.1
mo   1001   0.1
jmo   1001   0.1
bl   800   0.1
vs   700   0.1

               26.8%

So 3-1 is good and we are making more money by doing the bet.


and btw if traders aren't going to notice the initial bet, why should they notice an entirely differently designed bet?

£25k a year 'loltraders' are funny creatures and some take offense if you arb against them although this isn't technically an arb.  It's not certain to happen just warning that certain less educated traders might take offence if they spot it.

[Mark_Porter]

Fred Couples last four finishes at Augusta:-

2010 - 6th
2011 - 15th
2012 - 12th
2013 - 13th

Loves Augusta. Still hits it a long way averaging 299.4 yards this season. Won his 10th Champions Tour Classic last month and has been playing great for a long long time on that tour.

Bwhine are best priced 4/1 to finish in the top 20 at Augusta. What do we think?

[Omm]

While Doobs and Adz are around will we be having a little dabble on Speith top American?

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/the-masters/top-american

Bf sports book seem quite generous, beats bf and get 1/4 1/2/3/4

Looks a minor rick to me, definitely they should be punished even if we are overloaded on Speith.  They owe me loads from their tolerance of colluders and multi accounters over the years anyway.

Tighty can we get on this? £10ew unless Doobs thinks otherwise.

[Omm]

Three weeks to go until the Masters Golf at Augusta. From memory, Fred was in for chunks last year and got in a right pickle.

This year’s Masters is set to be one of the largest fields in Masters history. There are currently 94 registered players but, of course, we can put a line through many of those that are just not capable of winning this event.

There are some common thoughts about the key attributes needed to do well. Those include:-

- Big Hitter
- Comfortable with the woods and long irons off the floor
- Must be able to draw the ball hard
- Putting crucial
- High ball flight useful

By using the above criteria and looking through form I have been trying to work through crossing out as many as possible that don’t fit the profile. Not lots jumping off the page yet but one early rec:-

Gary Woodland - 100/1EW with BV. 5 places.

Click to see full-size image.

Having listed the criteria, Woodland doesn't exactly fit that but I do fancy him. Yes - he hits the ball very long but the make or break will be with the flat stick and his short game can get a bit ropey hence the big price. He also hits a natural fade but has been working hard on hitting the draw in the last couple of years. I am hoping the stars align for him this week at the Arnold Palmer and I expect the 100/1 for the Masters will shorten. A small tickle each way looks good.

Anyone got any ante post thoughts?

One of the BE tips too. 100/1 with Boyles and get the offer. £5 EW?

I got on this when you put it up before, nice to see it backed up by a pro betting site. Well done. Let's hope he gives a good account of himself.

[tikay]

Oh dear.

On MNF, after Kane scored......

".,,,,,,,and Kane shows he is able......."

How many red top puns will be in that style tomorrow morning?

[Doobs]

While Doobs and Adz are around will we be having a little dabble on Speith top American?

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/the-masters/top-american

Bf sports book seem quite generous, beats bf and get 1/4 1/2/3/4

Looks a minor rick to me, definitely they should be punished even if we are overloaded on Speith.  They owe me loads from their tolerance of colluders and multi accounters over the years anyway.

Tighty can we get on this? £10ew unless Doobs thinks otherwise.

definitely shouldn't be a smaller bet.  I think the price is either stale or sloppy.

[Tal]

Oh dear.

On MNF, after Kane scored......

".,,,,,,,and Kane shows he is able......."

How many red top puns will be in that style tomorrow morning?

Esau an opening...

[Rubbish2407]

Oh dear.

On MNF, after Kane scored......

".,,,,,,,and Kane shows he is able......."

How many red top puns will be in that style tomorrow morning?

I was going to use that on Wednesday's photo gallery.