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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16388109 times)
tikay
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« Reply #73965 on: April 11, 2014, 07:55:33 PM »

Why was Phil's pm never posted? We held off days waiting for it.....

Because he kindly sent it to me to assist me on the Show, and so I did not feel comfortable posting it here without his prior permission. It just felt poor etiquette to do otherwise.
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« Reply #73966 on: April 11, 2014, 08:00:52 PM »

With such a scorching score surely there is going to be a few big names who miss the cut.
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« Reply #73967 on: April 11, 2014, 08:02:44 PM »

With such a scorching score surely there is going to be a few big names who miss the cut.

That little back nine surge has certainly put the cat amongst the pigeons.
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« Reply #73968 on: April 11, 2014, 08:06:37 PM »

Bubba can currently be laid on Betfair @ 2.98......!
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« Reply #73969 on: April 11, 2014, 08:11:43 PM »

I can't believe he's that daft, but apparently RoryM has complained about the pin positions saying that they don't encourage aggressive play.

Surely he didn't...
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« Reply #73970 on: April 11, 2014, 08:13:37 PM »

Bubba can currently be laid on Betfair @ 2.98......!

Bet, I think you mean.

Unless one is greening out which is piddling against a wall according to the gone but not forgotten humpster.
« Last Edit: April 11, 2014, 08:17:16 PM by Karabiner » Logged

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« Reply #73971 on: April 11, 2014, 08:16:47 PM »

Bubba can currently be laid on Betfair @ 2.98......!

Bet, I think you mean.

Probably, you know how confused I get.

It was something like 2.94 to bet, 2.98 to lay. Currently 2.88 to bet, 2.9 to lay.
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« Reply #73972 on: April 11, 2014, 08:18:25 PM »

Maybe I am getting carried away but I honestly don't think that is a bad price.  Apparently he has only won once from 8 when leading after 36 holes but sample sizes etc.  He wasn't in my portfolio but I think he is decent value now at 2/1ish.
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tikay
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« Reply #73973 on: April 11, 2014, 08:18:26 PM »

Bubba can currently be laid on Betfair @ 2.98......!

Bet, I think you mean.

Unless one is greening out which is piddling against a wall according to the gone but not forgotten humpster.

Nah, not greening out, just thought that price was crazy low, with 2 days yo go.
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« Reply #73974 on: April 11, 2014, 08:19:43 PM »

Maybe I am getting carried away but I honestly don't think that is a bad price.  Apparently he has only won once from 8 when leading after 36 holes but sample sizes etc.  He wasn't in my portfolio but I think he is decent value now at 2/1ish.

Wow. I would have thought 2/1 with 2 rounds remaining was crazy bad.

Hope you are right, though.
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« Reply #73975 on: April 11, 2014, 08:22:48 PM »

Maybe I am getting carried away but I honestly don't think that is a bad price.  Apparently he has only won once from 8 when leading after 36 holes but sample sizes etc.  He wasn't in my portfolio but I think he is decent value now at 2/1ish.

Wow. I would have thought 2/1 with 2 rounds remaining was crazy bad.

Hope you are right, though.

You managed to get him to bogey the last with your level-7 bokking skillz.
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« Reply #73976 on: April 11, 2014, 08:31:09 PM »

Maybe I am getting carried away but I honestly don't think that is a bad price.  Apparently he has only won once from 8 when leading after 36 holes but sample sizes etc.  He wasn't in my portfolio but I think he is decent value now at 2/1ish.

Wow. I would have thought 2/1 with 2 rounds remaining was crazy bad.

Hope you are right, though.

You managed to get him to bogey the last with your level-7 bokking skillz.

You are the worst ever, Tikay... Please make sure you get right behind Chelsea, against Athletico Madrid!
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« Reply #73977 on: April 11, 2014, 08:35:18 PM »

I think the makeup of the leaderboard is important.  There are only, I think, 4 major winners under par currently (including Couples whose age may tell and Weir who has been awful for years) and a lot of relative journeymen or players that are largely out of form.  Outside of the obvious McIlroy and Scott, both who seem underpriced to me, the only player that would worry me a lot is Jimmy Walker.  Naturally someone can come out of the pack but they will have to shoot very low which seems tough right now.  Given he has dropped a shot now I'm not sure 5/2 is incredible value now but I would definitely rather back it than lay it.
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« Reply #73978 on: April 11, 2014, 08:39:37 PM »

Fred Couples just going along really really well. Jimenez has dropped a couple too which is good for the senior bet.

Woodland has dropped two as well today but still in the mix. All about not doing anything crazy and leaving yourself something to play for at the weekend.
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« Reply #73979 on: April 11, 2014, 08:43:08 PM »

The obvious thing I missed from my post above is that the wind is getting up and the others are going to find it much tougher today.
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