Tips for Tikay

[Kmac84]

If only you posted a minute earlier Tikay. 

McManus has a 107 and Ken's too highest breaks have been 88 and 93 the 88 was on course for a maximum but he played a poor shot and missed splitting the last 5 balls.

[JaffaCake]

Billy Hill have a 10/1 special on Suarez/Aguero/Wickham to all score any time tomoro, good home for any free bet u have

[chemicaltoon]

Glad to see the first bet can go in the winners column.

The NBA have just released a statement stating Washington Wizards Forward Nene will be banned for Game 4 against the Chicago Bulls after incident with Jimmy Butler in Game 3.

http://nba.si.com/2014/04/26/nene-suspended-wizards-bulls-jimmy-butler/

Nene was ruled out for 6 weeks towards the end of February and during that period the replacement was Trevor Booker. I have been having a quick look at the games that Booker featured in during that time and its fair to say its not a like for like replacement. Booker doesn't have the same presence on Offence and Defense that Nene does. There definitely appears to be some high scores from both sides during that period too though.

If we are to assume the handicappers will adjust the match line and the total points line by the appropriate amount, is it better to be looking to exploit the over/under on specifics players? Jimmy Butlers line has generally been 15.5 I think and Noahs 13.5, I cant remember looking at Boozers line during the playoffs and don’t have a way of finding the lines set for these things from previous games unfortunately. Or maybe looking at some of the other Washington Wizards players who will now have to pick up the slack if they are to get something out of the game.

I’m not sure if there is a bet here and I will try and spend some further time looking into the fixtures during March to see if I can see anything. Hope some people with more NBA knowledge than myself can put the information to good use.

Game is 6pm 27th April

[GreekWay]

Just noticed a slight mistake on the spreadsheet.

Kev's Man Utd bet even though it shows that it has made money on the Win column it has a N instead of Y.

Slap on TK's hand.

[tikay]

Just noticed a slight mistake on the spreadsheet.

Kev's Man Utd bet even though it shows that it has made money on the Win column it has a N instead of Y.

Slap on TK's hand.

Not guilty George, I've not touched the Spready, or even opened it this week. They prefer not to let me near the Spready, I could wreck it within minutes.

[tikay]

Glad to see the first bet can go in the winners column.

The NBA have just released a statement stating Washington Wizards Forward Nene will be banned for Game 4 against the Chicago Bulls after incident with Jimmy Butler in Game 3.

http://nba.si.com/2014/04/26/nene-suspended-wizards-bulls-jimmy-butler/

Nene was ruled out for 6 weeks towards the end of February and during that period the replacement was Trevor Booker. I have been having a quick look at the games that Booker featured in during that time and its fair to say its not a like for like replacement. Booker doesn't have the same presence on Offence and Defense that Nene does. There definitely appears to be some high scores from both sides during that period too though.

If we are to assume the handicappers will adjust the match line and the total points line by the appropriate amount, is it better to be looking to exploit the over/under on specifics players? Jimmy Butlers line has generally been 15.5 I think and Noahs 13.5, I cant remember looking at Boozers line during the playoffs and don’t have a way of finding the lines set for these things from previous games unfortunately. Or maybe looking at some of the other Washington Wizards players who will now have to pick up the slack if they are to get something out of the game.

I’m not sure if there is a bet here and I will try and spend some further time looking into the fixtures during March to see if I can see anything. Hope some people with more NBA knowledge than myself can put the information to good use.

Game is 6pm 27th April

Thanks Kev, that looks an interesting angle.

We have a few really smart NBA-heads here, am sure they will have some views on this by tomorrow.

[GreekWay]

Just noticed a slight mistake on the spreadsheet.

Kev's Man Utd bet even though it shows that it has made money on the Win column it has a N instead of Y.

Slap on TK's hand.

Not guilty George, I've not touched the Spready, or even opened it this week. They prefer not to let me near the Spready, I could wreck it within minutes.

I can understand why. Old men should not get that much into tech/geeky stuff.

Apologies for the slap. . I thought you were doing all the admin stuff today.

Actually I should slap your hand as you came all the way down to Hove and you didn't let me know.

Get well soon Tighty.

[GreekWay]

Glad to see the first bet can go in the winners column.

The NBA have just released a statement stating Washington Wizards Forward Nene will be banned for Game 4 against the Chicago Bulls after incident with Jimmy Butler in Game 3.

http://nba.si.com/2014/04/26/nene-suspended-wizards-bulls-jimmy-butler/

Nene was ruled out for 6 weeks towards the end of February and during that period the replacement was Trevor Booker. I have been having a quick look at the games that Booker featured in during that time and its fair to say its not a like for like replacement. Booker doesn't have the same presence on Offence and Defense that Nene does. There definitely appears to be some high scores from both sides during that period too though.

If we are to assume the handicappers will adjust the match line and the total points line by the appropriate amount, is it better to be looking to exploit the over/under on specifics players? Jimmy Butlers line has generally been 15.5 I think and Noahs 13.5, I cant remember looking at Boozers line during the playoffs and don’t have a way of finding the lines set for these things from previous games unfortunately. Or maybe looking at some of the other Washington Wizards players who will now have to pick up the slack if they are to get something out of the game.

I’m not sure if there is a bet here and I will try and spend some further time looking into the fixtures during March to see if I can see anything. Hope some people with more NBA knowledge than myself can put the information to good use.

Game is 6pm 27th April

Thanks Kev, that looks an interesting angle.

We have a few really smart NBA-heads here, am sure they will have some views on this by tomorrow.

Just posting some odds in order to have them as reference for tomorrow and monitor any movement.

Winner market: Bulls 5/6, Wizards 21/20
Spread: Wizards -1.5
Total points: 183.5

[tikay]

Glad to see the first bet can go in the winners column.

The NBA have just released a statement stating Washington Wizards Forward Nene will be banned for Game 4 against the Chicago Bulls after incident with Jimmy Butler in Game 3.

http://nba.si.com/2014/04/26/nene-suspended-wizards-bulls-jimmy-butler/

Nene was ruled out for 6 weeks towards the end of February and during that period the replacement was Trevor Booker. I have been having a quick look at the games that Booker featured in during that time and its fair to say its not a like for like replacement. Booker doesn't have the same presence on Offence and Defense that Nene does. There definitely appears to be some high scores from both sides during that period too though.

If we are to assume the handicappers will adjust the match line and the total points line by the appropriate amount, is it better to be looking to exploit the over/under on specifics players? Jimmy Butlers line has generally been 15.5 I think and Noahs 13.5, I cant remember looking at Boozers line during the playoffs and don’t have a way of finding the lines set for these things from previous games unfortunately. Or maybe looking at some of the other Washington Wizards players who will now have to pick up the slack if they are to get something out of the game.

I’m not sure if there is a bet here and I will try and spend some further time looking into the fixtures during March to see if I can see anything. Hope some people with more NBA knowledge than myself can put the information to good use.

Game is 6pm 27th April

Ooh, forgot to say well done on the Man U bet. Got home with plenty to spare.

[JaffaCake]

Glad to see the first bet can go in the winners column.

The NBA have just released a statement stating Washington Wizards Forward Nene will be banned for Game 4 against the Chicago Bulls after incident with Jimmy Butler in Game 3.

http://nba.si.com/2014/04/26/nene-suspended-wizards-bulls-jimmy-butler/

Nene was ruled out for 6 weeks towards the end of February and during that period the replacement was Trevor Booker. I have been having a quick look at the games that Booker featured in during that time and its fair to say its not a like for like replacement. Booker doesn't have the same presence on Offence and Defense that Nene does. There definitely appears to be some high scores from both sides during that period too though.

If we are to assume the handicappers will adjust the match line and the total points line by the appropriate amount, is it better to be looking to exploit the over/under on specifics players? Jimmy Butlers line has generally been 15.5 I think and Noahs 13.5, I cant remember looking at Boozers line during the playoffs and don’t have a way of finding the lines set for these things from previous games unfortunately. Or maybe looking at some of the other Washington Wizards players who will now have to pick up the slack if they are to get something out of the game.

I’m not sure if there is a bet here and I will try and spend some further time looking into the fixtures during March to see if I can see anything. Hope some people with more NBA knowledge than myself can put the information to good use.

Game is 6pm 27th April

Thanks Kev, that looks an interesting angle.

We have a few really smart NBA-heads here, am sure they will have some views on this by tomorrow.

Nene's been really hot in this series, well the first two games they won anyway, but in general I don't think him going down makes too much diff. Firstly it's no surprise he got a suspension, so the time to bet may well have been while watching live. Booker is a much diff player, so think you're right the extra slack will be taken up by others. Brad Beal has really come of age in this series, I've been over on him the last couple of games, wouldn't be surprised to see him get more shots. Also John Wall is the undoubted star yet he's not been shooting much, so imagine he will take more.

Noah is interesting, he's been a one-man team to get the Bulls where they are but he's been a little off his game. Would love to see him take advantage of less work at the defensive end...he's never gonna score many less than 13, but I went over on 365 in the last game in their combo of points/assists/rebounds which I think is too low (even tho I lost). Might be one for u, as he can get 25 without scoring a point.

Not sure there's massive value anywhere tho, as Nene isn't that big a deal despite playing well at the mo...

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £69.92

Outstanding Bets £3622.77

Free Bets £10 William Hill, £25 Betfred

H-Admin £25 William Hill free bet Valdez?, London Marathon refund

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=23

Over the last two days a loss of £171

Firstly the winners

* Oakfield Lucy at Romford +£50

* Menorah at Sandown +£67

Click to see full-size image.

* Sire De Grugy at Sandown +£7



* Manchester United -1 +£20



The losers

* Ali Carter lost to Selby -£40

* I could have beaten Ken Doherty. Can't legislate for a shocker of a performance like that -£50 -£40 outright and highest break

* Two WH offer favourites were done by the ground and fitter horses on Friday -£50

* Leeds beat St Helens 32-12, we had a win by 1-2 points -£20

As we approach the end of the season a number of ante-post losers to be settled

* Rooney's two goals meant the injured Jay Rodriguez could not finish in the top four of the goal-scoring charts -£10

* Bournemouth beat Forest but other results mean they cannot make the Championship top six -£25

* Watford cannot be promoted -£50

* Saracens convincingly thumped Clermont in the Heineken semi (and I was unable to bump my tip, which was frustrating). Nalaga cannot be top try scorer, finished 2nd, -£30


Positions still live, on which there was progress yesterday

* Watford took the lead against Derby. They went 2-1 down. They equalised. The "as it stands" league table was taking milk of magnesia for an upset tummy. Derby scored two late goals to win 4-2. However it was ok, Middlesborough in 13th were being held by Barnsley. As it stood Watford stayed 12th. Middlesborough then scored an injury time winner to send Watford into the bottom half. Mddlesborough have one game left, away at Yeovil. Watford have two, away at Charlton, home to Huddersfield.

* Tranmere lost and with one game to go are in a relegation spot. They haven't scored for four games. Useful. We have £50 at 3-1 them to go down. Tranmere home to Bradford next week. Crewe, a point above them, home to Preston

* Hull's equaliser at Fulham just about kept alive the top promoted club bet. However the Stoke result yesterday means the Crystal Palace-Manchester City game today is a monster for us and top half hopes



* Britt Assombolonga is going to prove a heartbreaker, remaining one goal behind Baldock having missed a penalty at Srewsbury yesterday. One game to go, and Britt may be rested for the play-offs

* Bale missed real's 4-0 win last night, which is great news for our hairy under 18 goals this season bet

* Fiorentina won 3-0 last night and Napoli drew 0-0 at Iter. Fiorentina 8 points behind Napoli with 3 games to go, delaying the red ink on that bet

* Sunrisers Hyderabad won on Friday, with Finch, Warner and Dhawan coming to the party. They play CSK today



* NBA. OKC beat Memphis last night tie tie their play off series 2-2. BKN beat Toronto to lead their series 2-1. The Spurs lost to the Mavs to trail 2-1. Miami won to lead their series 3-0

* MLB The yankees beat the Angels 4-3, the Orioles beat the Royals 3-2 in the 11th inning




Meanwhile, so you think you've got problems...

Click to see full-size image.

[millidonk]

oioi you can't keep a good man down.

[Waz1892]

Hope u are ok tighty. And well rested!

[ripple11]

Great comprehensive report as usual  .....hope you're feeling better tightly

[Tal]

Paulinho played 90 minutes but failed to find the onion bag. More importantly, Charlie Adam didn't kill him.

Spurs have two games remaining: away at West Ham next Saturday and at home to Aston Villa on the final Sunday.