Tips for Tikay

[exstream]

What odds to people make Ross Barkley to make England world cup side?
He's playing in a very impressive Everton side.
Lampard is ageing. Wilshere isnt number 1 on arsenals team sheet.
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup-team-specials/england/to-make-world-cup-squad

5/6 13/8 11/10 6/4 but with William Hill 2/1

Lol.

[BigAdz]

Ok Ralph. Maybe I deserve that, worded badly but....not sure why everyone got so upset about me having an opinion about the Scoop, but there we go. I didn't agree our approach was the best, get over it, I have. I had a few PMs about it, and others thought along the  same lines, but didn't want to post. Suppose I will always be marmite, if having an opinion and not just nodding blindly because a few so called "professionals" tell me I am wrong, is my crime.

As for being sensitive, again, fine, but lol. I find it amusing the way you chase me round with thinly veiled attempts to wind me up based on my opposing views on Mr Wenger, to your good self.

I do, however,take offense though to you thinking I want your bets to lose though. That really is a level of petty, I don't do. Unless of course you have backed Mr W to be in charge at the start of next season....

[Marky147]

I hope Wenger gets another 5


In better news for Fred  MCW <3

[action man]

gotta put one up in the 2.05 at newmarket cus its a monster price and i think its a good 15lbs better than its mark. Miss Marjurie 25/1 general 33/1 at ladbrokes. I did a lot of speed figure work towards the backend of last year. Basicailly i would find a benchmark race over a course and distance and going, then replay the races in tandom with the benchmark to see if they went off too fast or too slow a gallop. I would then take out the anomolys. I.E the one that stuck up with them on a frenetic gallop while the other front runners wilted. Or alternately when a horse is staying on into a place when the rest of the hold up horses never got into it. I had tremendous sucess, as claypole can confirm, last year by following ones i noted down, usually next time out. Ive stopped doing this now as im 100% commited to poker and this analysis is very time consuming. And basically becuase for me, there is more money in poker. Anyhow, some of my noted horses are yet to run since i noted them down and this is one of them.   Miss marjurie had impressed me greatly when winning at lingfield over 10f and even more so when it stuck on gamely over 10f again over todays track when they went an absolute dordle. Came out very highly on my ratings and she has her ground tomorrow. Yes this race is tough and shes not guaranteed to stay on pedigree but at 33/1 im willing to take a decent plunge and luke morris seems a great booking. Not saying lump on but an e/w bet might be a good idea, has run well fresh both times shes tried.

[tikay]

gotta put one up in the 2.05 at newmarket cus its a monster price and i think its a good 15lbs better than its mark. Miss Marjurie 25/1 general 33/1 at ladbrokes. I did a lot of speed figure work towards the backend of last year. Basicailly i would find a benchmark race over a course and distance and going, then replay the races in tandom with the benchmark to see if they went off too fast or too slow a gallop. I would then take out the anomolys. I.E the one that stuck up with them on a frenetic gallop while the other front runners wilted. Or alternately when a horse is staying on into a place when the rest of the hold up horses never got into it. I had tremendous sucess, as claypole can confirm, last year by following ones i noted down, usually next time out. Ive stopped doing this now as im 100% commited to poker and this analysis is very time consuming. And basically becuase for me, there is more money in poker. Anyhow, some of my noted horses are yet to run since i noted them down and this is one of them.   Miss marjurie had impressed me greatly when winning at lingfield over 10f and even more so when it stuck on gamely over 10f again over todays track when they went an absolute dordle. Came out very highly on my ratings and she has her ground tomorrow. Yes this race is tough and shes not guaranteed to stay on pedigree but at 33/1 im willing to take a decent plunge and luke morris seems a great booking. Not saying lump on but an e/w bet might be a good idea, has run well fresh both times shes tried.

Thanks Rick, you must have been mortified to see Hannon's horse get home in the Guineas without you backing it!

OK, to Miss Marjurie.

I was about to have £10 EW of Fred's finest English pounds, & we can get the recommended price of 33/1 in numerous places.

Howerver, before we get on board, we can get 41/1 on Betfair, & 8.2/1 the place. (The FO Firms are qtr odds, 3 places).

So I need some guidance from the Big Boys - it seems (to me) we just ought to have £10 Win & £10 place with Betfair?

Yes, no, anyone?

The market is here.....

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/newmarket/14:05/winner

We WILL back it in all probability, but I just need to see the best route.

[hector62]

Morning Mr T.

A couple of weeks ago we woz robbed when you boked the Castleford bet after they led 24-6. Their 1st half performance against St Helens was the best I have seen this year, brutal defence and a dynamic attack. They had the match won but didn't have the nous to play the percentage game to close it out. However they are certainly worth backing at over 2-1 today against Huddersfield.

Suggest £20 Castleford @ 12/5  with betvictor ( 5-2 with  spreadex ).

I also think there could be a drop goal in this game, but we don't bet on those.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

A couple of weeks ago we woz robbed when you boked the Castleford bet after they led 24-6. Their 1st half performance against St Helens was the best I have seen this year, brutal defence and a dynamic attack. They had the match won but didn't have the nous to play the percentage game to close it out. However they are certainly worth backing at over 2-1 today against Huddersfield.

Suggest £20 Castleford @ 12/5  with betvictor ( 5-2 with  spreadex ).

I also think there could be a drop goal in this game, but we don't bet on those.

Morning hector.

Whilst Tighty is busy with the DTD thing, & next week's UKIPT, I'm on "mornings" for bet placing duty, & we are on.

The BMU 5/2 easily beats all the other Firms.

I PROMISE not to say a word if Cass go 24-6 up this time......

I've had an off-thread £10 on the Drop Goal (7/2) too, because I enjoy those little fun bets, but don't tell a soul, or I'll get in awful trouble. 

Huddersfield v CastlefordCastleford (To Win Match - 80 Mins)Odds: 12/5 Stake: 20.00Possible Return:  68.00

BET PLACED

[tikay]

By way of welcominmg Tal back to Fred after his absence this week, a classic moment from yesterday's West Ham v Spurs game.  

Adebayor's face is a perfect picture.



http://vine.co/v/MrPa1zHurW9/embed

[RED-DOG]

By way of welcominmg Tal back to Fred after his absence this week, a classic moment from yesterday's West Ham v Spurs game.  

Adebayor's face is a perfect picture.



http://vine.co/v/MrPa1zHurW9/embed

Has he got a note, and where has he been anyway? Over on the peoples diary,  I needed him to explain things like infinity and Carroll's whimsical prose.

[Tal]

Lovely

[tikay]

By way of welcominmg Tal back to Fred after his absence this week, a classic moment from yesterday's West Ham v Spurs game.  

Adebayor's face is a perfect picture.



http://vine.co/v/MrPa1zHurW9/embed

Has he got a note, and where has he been anyway? Over on the peoples diary,  I needed him to explain things like infinity and Carroll's whimsical prose.

He was Banned for 7 days, for services to Bookmakers profits.

[Tal]

By way of welcominmg Tal back to Fred after his absence this week, a classic moment from yesterday's West Ham v Spurs game.  

Adebayor's face is a perfect picture.



http://vine.co/v/MrPa1zHurW9/embed

Has he got a note, and where has he been anyway? Over on the peoples diary,  I needed him to explain things like infinity and Carroll's whimsical prose.

He was Banned for 7 days, for services to Bookmakers profits.

True story.

Thank you for letting me back in.

Van Gaal announced midweek and we are freerolling Paulinho for a goal in the dead rubber at WHL at the weekend.

[jakally]

Did some work the other day that related to already relegated clubs in the Championship playing the last game of the season.
Incidence of games with lots of goals was very high (over 3.5 goals in 9 out of the last 12 relevant matches versus ave 26% over 3.5 normally).

Didn't get time to stick it up, but notice that the Yeovil game is already there, and Barnsley v QPR is at 3 goals with time left.

Haven't got any league one knowledge, but can't see why the factors in play would be any different.
Think it's worth a punt on O3.5 in the Brentford/Stevenage (best 19/10 VC)  and Gillingham/Shrewsbury games (best 23/10 Lads).

Some of this will already be factored in so wouldn't go mad.... £25 each should do.

Pleased I could contribute to one of TFT's most noteworthy days.
Felt like a good spot, but maybe it wasn't - neither game had lots of chances, so wasn't even a question of run bad.

It's possible that League 1 is different to the Championship, and that weaker team at home is better.
Nevermind, back to work.

[tikay]

What would be the expected price for 11th v 2nd in the Premier League?

11th is at home.

Both teams have near identical records on paper for the last 6 games - they both won the first 5, & lost the 6th.


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/crystal-palace-v-liverpool/winner

[TightEnd]

What would be the expected price for 11th v 2nd in the Premier League?

11th is at home.

Both teams have near identical records on paper for the last 6 games - they both won the first 5, & lost the 6th.


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/crystal-palace-v-liverpool/winner

I don't think the answer is 8/1 but we've been here before. Palace look value but teams in this spot have been "illusory" value this season